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Neptunas vs Cedevita Olimpija Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 13 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 85-104
16-24 25-23 20-27 24-30
Position#14
Record6-7
FormLLLWW
Points / game94.5
Allowed / game97.1
Neptunas
vs
Cedevita Olimpija 🏆
Position#5
Record8-5
FormLWWLL
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game77.5
EuropeEurocupRound 14· Svyturio Arena
European cup2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cedevita Olimpija winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Jonava
#8
W
124-117 OT
124
117
+7
121avg 85
A07/12
LKL
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
103-87 OT
103
87
+16
81avg 85
H10/12
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#5
W
104-87
104
87
+17
96avg 85
A13/12
LKL
Cluj-Napoca
#11
L
97-118
97
118
-21
86avg 85
A17/12
Eurocup
Nevezis
#5
W
87-76
87
76
+11
87avg 85
A23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#4
L
101-103
101
103
-2
90avg 85
H28/12
LKL
Venezia
#9
L
103-118
103
118
-15
101avg 85
H02/01
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
77-112
77
112
-35
66avg 85
A04/01
LKL
Hamburg
#20
W
98-94
98
94
+4
90avg 85
A07/01
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
W
113-82
113
82
+31
111avg 85
H10/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-29
26-15
24-25
24-29
16-30
24-16
24-19
19-18
24-24
26-18
37-19
17-26
18-38
22-30
33-24
24-26
26-15
15-28
23-13
23-20
33-26
15-29
20-18
33-30
35-29
21-29
31-31
16-29
25-31
6-32
18-23
28-26
25-24
23-20
21-24
29-26
29-24
24-27
33-13
27-18
200.1Avg total
100.7Scored
99.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)94.597.1191.5-2.646%
Season at home (6)98.796.7195.3+2.050%
Season away (7)90.997.4188.3-6.643%
Last 10 (10)100.799.4200.1+1.360%
Last 5 (5)98.4101.8200.2-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)86.5100.0186.5-13.518%
vs Similar (5)92.687.4180.0+5.260%
vs Weaker (14)100.291.1191.4+9.179%
This opponent (Cedevita Olimpija) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cedevita OlimpijaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlimpija
Date
Competition
Manresa
#10
L
82-99
82
99
-17
68avg 79
A10/12
Eurocup
KK Bosna
#11
W
89-73
89
73
+16
89avg 79
H13/12
ABA League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
81-84
81
84
-3
66avg 79
H16/12
Eurocup
Mega Basket
#8
W
90-72
90
72
+18
81avg 79
A21/12
ABA League
Perspektiva Ilirija
#28
W
84-78
84
78
+6
73avg 79
A23/12
Slovenian Cup
Crvena zvezda
#4
L
77-97
77
97
-20
69avg 79
A27/12
ABA League
Aris
#13
W
89-60
89
60
+29
91avg 79
A30/12
Eurocup
Spartak Subotica
#5
W
86-65
86
65
+21
85avg 79
H03/01
ABA League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#7
L
59-67
59
67
-8
44avg 79
H06/01
Eurocup
Vienna Basket
#17
L
89-93
89
93
-4
86avg 79
A10/01
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
23-23
18-32
26-21
15-11
27-23
26-14
21-25
15-20
18-24
16-15
32-25
25-16
17-21
16-21
32-14
26-16
10-20
23-19
25-23
24-28
13-30
18-15
22-24
19-15
25-16
22-11
23-18
19-11
26-18
21-21
20-15
14-13
21-12
10-22
14-20
25-31
13-16
21-25
30-21
161.4Avg total
82.6Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)86.277.5163.6+8.762%
Season at home (8)85.173.1158.2+12.062%
Season away (5)87.884.4172.2+3.460%
Last 10 (10)82.678.8161.4+3.850%
Last 5 (5)80.076.4156.4+3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)84.284.7168.9-0.456%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)88.576.4164.9+12.175%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +3.9+3.9
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +3.9+3.9
NeptunasCedevita Olimpija
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#8
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A07/12
LKL
Slask Wroclaw
#18
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H10/12
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#5
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A13/12
LKL
Cluj-Napoca
#11
L
40-68
40
68
-28
A17/12
Eurocup
Nevezis
#5
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#4
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H28/12
LKL
Venezia
#9
L
56-58
56
58
-2
H02/01
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
31-63
31
63
-32
A04/01
LKL
Hamburg
#20
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A07/01
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H10/01
LKL
97.1Avg total
45.7Scored
51.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.047.693.6-1.650%-
Last 30 at home (13)47.548.295.7-0.838%-
Last 30 away (17)44.947.191.9-2.259%-
Last 10 (10)45.751.497.1-5.740%-
Last 5 (5)47.254.2101.4-7.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)42.550.593.0-7.936%-
vs Similar (5)46.646.092.6+0.640%-
vs Weaker (14)48.545.994.4+2.664%-
This opponent (Cedevita Olimpija) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cedevita OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manresa
#10
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A10/12
Eurocup
KK Bosna
#11
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H13/12
ABA League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H16/12
Eurocup
Mega Basket
#8
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A21/12
ABA League
Perspektiva Ilirija
#28
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A23/12
Slovenian Cup
Crvena zvezda
#4
L
37-58
37
58
-21
A27/12
ABA League
Aris
#13
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A30/12
Eurocup
Spartak Subotica
#5
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H03/01
ABA League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#7
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H06/01
Eurocup
Vienna Basket
#17
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A10/01
ABA League
77.7Avg total
39.0Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.639.582.0+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.236.180.3+8.176%-
Last 30 away (13)40.543.884.3-3.431%-
Last 10 (10)39.038.777.7+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)39.838.077.8+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)41.445.386.8-3.933%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)43.537.080.5+6.570%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 99.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws24.1 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.120.6
55.5%
54.5%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.111.4
36.7%
34.4%34.2
🏀 Free throws31.424.1
76.8%
75.2%24.1
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cedevita Olimpijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cedevita Olimpija: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.318.2
53.1%
54.5%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.0
33.1%
34.4%27.0
🏀 Free throws22.218.2
82.0%
75.2%18.2
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
WWLLLWLWWW
Cedevita Olimpija
LLWWLWWLWL
#14
League position
#5
+0.6
Net rating
+4.8
119.4
Offensive rating
109.7
118.8
Defensive rating
104.9
55.3%
Effective FG%
51.5%
60.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
16.1%
Turnover %
15.3%
33.3%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.46
Free-throw rate
0.36
36.7%
3-point %
33.1%
60.9%
Assist %
60.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence119.4 · 109.7Defence118.8 · 104.9Shooting55.3% · 51.5%3-point %36.7% · 33.1%Ball care16.1% · 15.3%Off. rebounds33.3% · 28.5%Free throws0.46 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Neptunas   ■ Cedevita Olimpija
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Neptunas wins
0
Cedevita Olimpija wins
DateGameScore
29/10/25Cedevita Olimpija v Neptunas91-94
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26HNevezis113-82
07/01/26AHamburg98-94
04/01/26AZalgiris Kaunas77-112
02/01/26HVenezia103-118
28/12/25HSiauliai101-103
23/12/25ANevezis87-76
17/12/25ACluj-Napoca97-118
13/12/25AGargzdai104-87
10/12/25HSlask Wroclaw103-87 OT
07/12/25AJonava124-117 OT
Cedevita Olimpijalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26AVienna Basket89-93
06/01/26HBahcesehir Kol.59-67
03/01/26HSpartak Subotica86-65
30/12/25AAris89-60
27/12/25ACrvena zvezda77-97
23/12/25APerspektiva Ilirija84-78
21/12/25AMega Basket90-72
16/12/25HHapoel Jerusalem81-84
13/12/25HKK Bosna89-73
10/12/25AManresa82-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
Eurocup 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW46%
HomeWWLWL50%
AwayWLWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %46%50%43%
Points / game94.598.790.9
Allowed / game97.196.797.4
Point differential-2.6+2.0-6.6
Avg total191.5195.3188.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%33%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %8%17%0%
Cedevita Olimpija
Eurocup 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL62%
HomeWWWLL62%
AwayWLWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %62%62%60%
Points / game86.285.187.8
Allowed / game77.573.184.4
Point differential+8.7+12.0+3.4
Avg total163.6158.2172.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Jerusalem1311285%96.681.4+15.2
2 JL Bourg1311285%80.572.7+7.8
3 Besiktas139469%93.484.1+9.3
4 Bahcesehir Kol.149564%89.181.9+7.2
5 Turk Telekom138562%86.476.9+9.5
6 Cedevita Olimpija138562%86.277.5+8.7
7 Buducnost138562%87.980.0+7.9
8 Manresa148657%88.288.5-0.3
9 Cluj-Napoca137654%95.392.5+2.8
10 Venezia137654%88.987.8+1.1
11 Chemnitz137654%82.381.3+1.0
12 Trento137654%83.586.2-2.7
13 Neptunas136746%94.597.1-2.6
14 Aris136746%83.188.6-5.5
15 London Lions135838%76.481.3-4.9
16 Ulm135838%83.592.2-8.7
17 Slask Wroclaw134931%84.393.5-9.2
18 Lietkabelis1331023%78.286.3-8.2
19 Panionios1321115%76.887.8-11.1
20 Hamburg130130%78.396.2-17.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas1625202485
Cedevita Olimpija24232730104
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