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Jonava vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 17:10
Final 117-124 (OT)
29-24 15-26 25-24 29-24 19-26
Position#8
Record1-9
FormLLWLW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game98.6
vs
Position#3
Record6-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game93.1
Allowed / game87.6
LithuaniaLKL· Jonavos sporto arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Jonava v Neptunas
08 May 2027
JON v NEP
upcoming
17 Oct 2026
JON83
NEP84
21 Mar 2026
JON81
NEP64
07 Dec 2025
JON117
NEP124
20 May 2025
JON93
NEP98
28 Dec 2024
JON86
NEP82
15 Oct 2024
JON88
NEP84
08 Apr 2024
JON78
NEP81
29 Oct 2023
JON88
NEP77
01 Feb 2023
JON83
NEP66
21 Jan 2023
JON76
NEP75
16 Dec 2021
JON64
NEP89
21 Oct 2021
JON86
NEP92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jonava winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#3
L
113-117
113
117
-4
116avg 77
A26/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#9
W
88-84
88
84
+4
85avg 77
A30/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#7
L
82-98
82
98
-16
75avg 77
H03/11
LKL
Nevezis
#5
L
74-92
74
92
-18
68avg 77
A06/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
72-104
72
104
-32
57avg 77
A09/11
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
76-86
76
86
-10
67avg 77
A12/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#6
L
85-96
85
96
-11
80avg 77
H16/11
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
82-80
82
80
+2
76avg 77
H19/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
71-105
71
105
-34
56avg 77
H22/11
LKL
Gargzdai
#9
W
97-82
97
82
+15
92avg 77
H04/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-32
36-20
27-39
24-26
28-17
19-26
18-15
23-26
18-21
18-23
19-29
27-25
11-26
16-28
29-16
18-22
21-28
25-36
16-20
10-20
15-21
18-27
19-23
24-15
20-25
28-18
20-27
17-26
27-25
21-16
15-20
19-19
14-29
19-26
19-29
19-21
22-22
28-15
25-18
22-27
178.4Avg total
84.0Scored
94.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)81.298.6179.8-17.410%
Season at home (5)80.493.6174.0-13.220%
Season away (5)82.0103.6185.6-21.60%
Last 10 (10)84.094.4178.4-10.430%
Last 5 (5)82.289.8172.0-7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)80.491.8172.2-11.420%
vs Similar (5)94.294.2188.4+0.060%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#20
W
97-88
97
88
+9
88avg 81
H21/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#8
W
117-113
117
113
+4
113avg 81
H26/10
LKL
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
94-91
94
91
+3
91avg 81
A29/10
Eurocup
Siauliai
#4
L
85-89
85
89
-4
83avg 81
A02/11
LKL
Manresa
#10
W
100-87
100
87
+13
95avg 81
H05/11
Eurocup
Juventus
#7
W
85-72
85
72
+13
85avg 81
H08/11
LKL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
93-110
93
110
-17
78avg 81
A11/11
Eurocup
Juventus
#7
W
97-90
97
90
+7
87avg 81
A15/11
LKL
Aris
#13
L
87-93
87
93
-6
76avg 81
H18/11
Eurocup
Bahcesehir Kol.
#7
W
100-85
100
85
+15
96avg 81
A04/12
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-32
22-15
18-26
22-15
32-26
20-36
39-27
26-24
34-16
15-26
21-25
24-24
26-16
23-26
20-17
16-30
27-17
31-27
22-20
20-23
12-15
24-23
29-20
20-14
28-29
28-25
27-28
10-28
23-27
31-18
19-24
24-21
28-21
18-29
18-23
23-20
32-18
20-18
31-18
17-31
187.3Avg total
95.5Scored
91.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)93.187.6180.7+5.667%
Season at home (4)93.885.8179.5+8.075%
Season away (5)92.689.0181.6+3.660%
Last 10 (10)95.591.8187.3+3.770%
Last 5 (5)92.490.0182.4+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)82.193.0175.1-10.923%
vs Similar (8)94.892.1186.9+2.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)93.987.2181.1+6.778%
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: +6.0+6.0Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -2.8-2.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: +6.0+6.0Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -2.8-2.8
JonavaNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#3
W
62-52
62
52
+10
A26/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#9
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A30/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#7
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H03/11
LKL
Nevezis
#5
L
27-54
27
54
-27
A06/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
46-64
46
64
-18
A09/11
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A12/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#6
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H16/11
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H19/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
33-55
33
55
-22
H22/11
LKL
Gargzdai
#9
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H04/12
King Mindaugas Cup
91.1Avg total
43.0Scored
48.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.745.686.2-4.940%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.643.986.4-1.350%-
Last 30 away (16)39.047.186.1-8.131%-
Last 10 (10)43.048.191.1-5.150%-
Last 5 (5)42.444.887.2-2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)39.945.885.8-5.940%-
vs Similar (5)44.444.288.6+0.240%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#20
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H21/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#8
L
52-62
52
62
-10
H26/10
LKL
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A29/10
Eurocup
Siauliai
#4
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A02/11
LKL
Manresa
#10
W
58-44
58
44
+14
H05/11
Eurocup
Juventus
#7
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H08/11
LKL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A11/11
Eurocup
Juventus
#7
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A15/11
LKL
Aris
#13
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H18/11
Eurocup
Bahcesehir Kol.
#7
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A04/12
Eurocup
96.9Avg total
50.9Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.145.389.5-1.253%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.544.490.8+2.162%-
Last 30 away (17)42.446.188.4-3.747%-
Last 10 (10)50.946.096.9+4.970%-
Last 5 (5)48.844.693.4+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)40.946.287.1-5.246%-
vs Similar (8)44.845.890.5-1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)48.243.892.0+4.467%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.619.0
50.5%
55.4%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.7
36.6%
35.5%26.1
🏀 Free throws25.319.1
75.5%
74.3%19.1
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 94.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.319.3
58.0%
55.4%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.211.9
39.4%
35.5%35.7
🏀 Free throws27.020.2
74.8%
74.3%20.2
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jonava
WLWLLLLLWL
Neptunas
WLWLWWLWWW
#8
League position
#3
-13.5
Net rating
+4.8
110.5
Offensive rating
123.1
124.0
Defensive rating
118.3
52.2%
Effective FG%
58.5%
60.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
19.1%
Turnover %
17.8%
33.9%
Off. rebound %
35.6%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.43
36.6%
3-point %
39.4%
68.6%
Assist %
60.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence110.5 · 123.1Defence124.0 · 118.3Shooting52.2% · 58.5%3-point %36.6% · 39.4%Ball care19.1% · 17.8%Off. rebounds33.9% · 35.6%Free throws0.41 · 0.43Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Jonava   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Jonava wins
6
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
26/10/25Neptunas v Jonava117-113
20/05/25Jonava v Neptunas93-98 OT
05/04/25Neptunas v Jonava97-98
28/12/24Jonava v Neptunas86-82
13/11/24Neptunas v Jonava111-110 OT
15/10/24Jonava v Neptunas88-84
29/09/24Neptunas v Jonava90-87
08/04/24Jonava v Neptunas78-81
10/12/23Neptunas v Jonava69-64
29/10/23Jonava v Neptunas88-77
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/25HGargzdai97-82
22/11/25HRytas71-105
19/11/25HJuventus82-80
16/11/25HLietkabelis85-96
12/11/25ASiauliai76-86
09/11/25ARytas72-104
06/11/25ANevezis74-92
03/11/25HJuventus82-98
30/10/25AGargzdai88-84
26/10/25ANeptunas113-117
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/25ABahcesehir Kol.100-85
18/11/25HAris87-93
15/11/25AJuventus97-90
11/11/25AHapoel Jerusalem93-110
08/11/25HJuventus85-72
05/11/25HManresa100-87
02/11/25ASiauliai85-89
29/10/25ACedevita Olimpija94-91
26/10/25HJonava117-113
21/10/25HHamburg97-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jonava
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL10%
HomeLWLLL20%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %10%20%0%
Points / game81.280.482.0
Allowed / game98.693.6103.6
Point differential-17.4-13.2-21.6
Avg total179.8174.0185.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW67%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWWLLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %67%75%60%
Points / game93.193.892.6
Allowed / game87.685.889.0
Point differential+5.6+8.0+3.6
Avg total180.7179.5181.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas109190%89.874.0+15.8
2 Rytas119282%94.679.9+14.7
3 Neptunas96367%93.187.6+5.6
4 Lietkabelis116555%86.983.3+3.6
5 Siauliai115645%86.289.7-3.5
6 Juventus104640%83.586.0-2.5
7 Gargzdai114736%83.489.4-6.0
8 Nevezis113827%81.691.3-9.6
9 Jonava101910%81.298.6-17.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Jonava2915252919117
Neptunas2426242426124
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