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Neptunas vs Oostende Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 09 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 77-79
12-21 27-18 20-21 18-19
Position#24
Record4-5
FormWLWLW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game83.9
vs
Position#27
Record4-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game81.2
EuropeChampions League
European cup2018
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oostende winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#3
L
78-93
78
93
-15
H18/11
LKL
Bayreuth
#35
L
78-102
78
102
-24
A20/11
Champions League
Lietkabelis
#4
W
100-76
100
76
+24
A24/11
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
89-67
89
67
+22
H08/12
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
88-85
88
85
+3
H12/12
Champions League
Skycop
#7
W
83-72
83
72
+11
A15/12
LKL
Besiktas
#16
L
70-77
70
77
-7
A18/12
Champions League
Siauliai
#10
W
80-76
80
76
+4
H23/12
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
80-88
80
88
-8
A30/12
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
98-93 OT
98
93
+5
H06/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
17-23
14-27
23-20
15-24
23-24
22-30
18-24
30-20
17-21
28-10
25-25
27-21
25-22
18-11
19-13
16-22
25-25
21-20
26-18
17-16
22-21
25-17
19-18
20-20
20-18
12-20
18-19
17-22
23-21
22-15
18-18
15-17
13-20
26-25
26-26
16-12
18-28
21-22
23-16
167.3Avg total
84.4Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)83.683.9167.4-0.344%
Season at home (4)85.078.5163.5+6.575%
Season away (5)82.488.2170.6-5.820%
Last 10 (10)84.482.9167.3+1.560%
Last 5 (5)82.281.2163.4+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)84.880.2165.0+4.575%
vs Similar ◀ (10)82.182.3164.4-0.240%
vs Weaker (16)85.876.4162.2+9.488%
This opponent (Oostende) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OostendeLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liege
#10
W
85-61
85
61
+24
H17/11
EuroMillions Basketball League
Strasbourg
#13
W
64-61
64
61
+3
A20/11
Champions League
Belfius Mons
#5
W
91-58
91
58
+33
A24/11
EuroMillions Basketball League
Okapi Aalstar
#4
W
83-80
83
80
+3
A07/12
Belgian Cup
Okapi Aalstar
#4
L
96-97
96
97
-1
H09/12
Belgian Cup
Promitheas
#17
W
88-84
88
84
+4
A11/12
Champions League
Leuven Bears
#9
W
20-0
20
0
+20
A15/12
EuroMillions Basketball League
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
77-76
77
76
+1
H19/12
Champions League
Basic-Fit Brussels
#4
L
58-59
58
59
-1
H22/12
EuroMillions Basketball League
Spirou Charleroi
#3
W
88-82
88
82
+6
H26/12
EuroMillions Basketball League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-13
23-16
17-16
26-16
20-8
11-18
15-8
18-27
16-14
28-19
21-11
26-14
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
21-22
28-24
13-17
26-21
–
–
–
–
20-16
17-19
18-21
22-20
14-15
13-18
20-15
11-11
24-20
22-26
16-17
26-19
140.8Avg total
75.0Scored
65.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)74.981.2156.1-6.344%
Season at home (5)78.282.0160.2-3.840%
Season away (4)70.880.2151.0-9.550%
Last 10 (10)75.065.8140.8+9.280%
Last 5 (5)66.260.2126.4+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)67.779.3147.0-11.733%
vs Similar ◀ (8)83.181.8164.9+1.462%
vs Weaker (18)74.364.3138.6+9.983%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +3.9+3.9
NeptunasOostende
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H18/11
LKL
Bayreuth
#35
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A20/11
Champions League
Lietkabelis
#4
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A24/11
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H08/12
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H12/12
Champions League
Skycop
#7
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A15/12
LKL
Besiktas
#16
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A18/12
Champions League
Siauliai
#10
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H23/12
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A30/12
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H06/01
LKL
82.0Avg total
40.0Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.439.280.6+2.263%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.940.280.1-0.450%-
Last 30 away (16)42.838.381.1+4.575%-
Last 10 (10)40.042.082.0-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)36.239.075.2-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.835.070.8+0.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)41.241.182.3+0.160%-
vs Weaker (16)43.039.182.1+3.969%-
This opponent (Oostende) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OostendeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liege
#10
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H17/11
EuroMillions Basketball League
Strasbourg
#13
W
31-26
31
26
+5
A20/11
Champions League
Belfius Mons
#5
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A24/11
EuroMillions Basketball League
Promitheas
#17
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A11/12
Champions League
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H19/12
Champions League
Basic-Fit Brussels
#4
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H22/12
EuroMillions Basketball League
Spirou Charleroi
#3
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H26/12
EuroMillions Basketball League
74.9Avg total
39.4Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)39.636.576.1+3.165%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.537.077.5+3.564%-
Last 30 away (12)38.535.974.4+2.667%-
Last 10 (7)39.435.474.9+4.071%-
Last 5 (5)40.638.679.2+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.038.372.3-4.367%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)42.241.783.8+0.550%-
vs Weaker (17)39.634.474.0+5.371%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.015.0
50.0%
52.6%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.010.0
37.0%
34.3%30.0
🏀 Free throws16.013.0
81.2%
73.8%13.0
They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oostendetheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Neptunas wins
1
Oostende wins
DateGameScore
24/10/18Oostende v Neptunas91-89
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/19HZalgiris Kaunas98-93 OT
30/12/18AJuventus80-88
23/12/18HSiauliai80-76
18/12/18ABesiktas70-77
15/12/18ASkycop83-72
12/12/18HVirtus Bologna88-85
08/12/18HAlytaus Dzukija89-67
24/11/18ALietkabelis100-76
20/11/18ABayreuth78-102
18/11/18HRytas78-93
Oostendelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/18HSpirou Charleroi88-82
22/12/18HBasic-Fit Brussels58-59
19/12/18HVirtus Bologna77-76
15/12/18ALeuven Bears20-0
11/12/18APromitheas88-84
09/12/18HOkapi Aalstar96-97
07/12/18AOkapi Aalstar83-80
24/11/18ABelfius Mons91-58
20/11/18AStrasbourg64-61
17/11/18HLiege85-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
Champions League 2018
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL44%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%75%20%
Points / game83.685.082.4
Allowed / game83.978.588.2
Point differential-0.3+6.5-5.8
Avg total167.4163.5170.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %11%0%20%
Oostende
Champions League 2018
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW44%
HomeLWLLW40%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%40%50%
Points / game74.978.270.8
Allowed / game81.282.080.2
Point differential-6.3-3.8-9.5
Avg total156.1160.2151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tenerife109190%81.667.3+14.3
2 Murcia119282%75.968.5+7.4
3 AEK Athens108280%80.275.5+4.7
4 Hapoel M. Jerusalem97278%87.076.9+10.1
5 Virtus Bologna97278%86.176.3+9.8
6 Aris43175%74.560.8+13.8
7 Bakken Bears43175%80.873.5+7.2
8 Venezia107370%86.080.3+5.7
9 Bamberg107370%83.680.0+3.6
10 Avellino107370%84.583.1+1.4
11 Antwerp Giants139469%83.577.8+5.6
12 Nizhny Novgorod1510567%79.671.9+7.7
13 Promitheas96367%81.980.8+1.1
14 Kauhajoen Karhu64267%76.784.5-7.8
15 PAOK106460%80.376.5+3.8
16 Hapoel Holon106460%82.680.0+2.6
17 Strasbourg106460%76.374.4+1.9
18 Banvit95456%81.675.6+6.0
19 Nanterre116555%83.072.7+10.3
20 Lukoil Levski42250%84.281.2+3.0
21 Cantu42250%82.280.8+1.5
22 Spirou Charleroi63350%70.569.0+1.5
23 Estudiantes42250%70.069.2+0.8
24 Besiktas105550%76.177.4-1.3
25 Z-Mobile Prishtina21150%69.572.0-2.5
26 Minsk21150%75.580.0-4.5
27 Norrkoping21150%66.571.5-5.0
28 Hapoel Tel-Aviv21150%67.573.0-5.5
29 Bayreuth115645%78.274.0+4.2
30 Neptunas94544%83.683.9-0.3
31 Bonn94544%85.187.0-1.9
32 Oostende94544%74.981.2-6.3
33 Fribourg Olympic167944%78.882.4-3.6
34 Anwil Wloclawek104640%79.681.6-2.0
35 Torun62433%75.074.5+0.5
36 Le Mans93633%72.176.6-4.4
37 Ventspils93633%79.284.2-5.0
38 Lietkabelis103730%74.877.9-3.1
39 Dijon103730%75.779.5-3.8
40 Nymburk103730%77.082.2-5.2
41 Fuenlabrada103730%75.884.0-8.2
42 Donar Groningen41325%72.072.5-0.5
43 Ludwigsburg92722%77.084.3-7.3
44 Petrol Olimpija91811%75.183.7-8.6
45 Opava101910%73.493.1-19.7
46 Saratov2020%82.583.5-1.0
47 CSM Oradea2020%79.083.5-4.5
48 Szolnoki Olaj2020%69.579.5-10.0
49 Sakarya BB2020%68.581.5-13.0
50 Siauliai2020%72.085.0-13.0
51 AEK Larnaca2020%64.579.5-15.0
52 Leicester Riders2020%80.596.5-16.0
53 Pardubice2020%70.588.5-18.0
54 FC Porto2020%67.089.0-22.0
55 Dinamo Tbilisi2020%59.091.0-32.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas1227201877
Oostende2118211979
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