Lietkabelis vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Nov 2018

Tip-off: 15:20

Final 76-100

20-30 21-17 10-28 25-25

Position#4

Record7-3

FormWWLWW

Points / game80.8

Allowed / game75.8

Lietkabelis

Neptunas 🏆

Position#2

Record9-2

FormWWLLL

Points / game85.7

Allowed / game76.2

LKL

Domestic2018-19

Meetings · Lietkabelis v Neptunas

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lietkabelis winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Neptunas winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lietkabelis Lithuania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pieno Zvaigzdes

81-87

-6

A20/10

LKL

Nymburk

#40

97-86

+11

H24/10

Champions League

Zalgiris Kaunas

58-71

-13

A28/10

LKL

Bamberg

#12

77-82

-5

A31/10

Champions League

Nevezis

87-66

+21

H03/11

LKL

Dijon

#38

78-62

+16

H06/11

Champions League

Siauliai

#10

88-83

A10/11

LKL

AEK Athens

59-65

-6

A13/11

Champions League

Pieno Zvaigzdes

94-63

+31

H18/11

LKL

Fuenlabrada

#42

78-67

+11

H21/11

Champions League

16-21

16-16

25-27

24-23

24-29

17-17

31-19

25-21

18-12

20-21

6-22

14-16

18-18

24-25

20-14

15-25

17-21

27-10

20-28

23-7

13-10

16-12

21-22

28-18

26-20

27-18

16-22

19-23

13-17

18-14

20-16

8-18

22-14

21-15

25-16

26-18

17-9

24-20

17-24

20-14

152.9Avg total

79.7Scored

73.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	80.8	75.8	156.6	+5.0	70%
Season at home (5)	82.8	69.6	152.4	+13.2	100%
Season away (5)	78.8	82.0	160.8	-3.2	40%
Last 10 (10)	79.7	73.2	152.9	+6.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	79.4	68.0	147.4	+11.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	71.5	80.6	152.1	-9.1	8%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	85.1	80.2	165.3	+4.9	70%
vs Weaker (8)	82.2	75.1	157.4	+7.1	75%

This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Neptunas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Juventus

81-70

+11

H21/10

LKL

Oostende

#27

89-91

-2

A24/10

Champions League

Siauliai

#10

98-88

+10

A27/10

LKL

Strasbourg

#13

92-83

H31/10

Champions League

Rytas

78-66

+12

A03/11

LKL

Petrol Olimpija

#45

97-88

A07/11

Champions League

Nevezis

83-69

+14

A10/11

LKL

Promitheas

#17

82-83

-1

H13/11

Champions League

Rytas

78-93

-15

H18/11

LKL

Bayreuth

#35

78-102

102

-24

A20/11

Champions League

16-18

23-17

22-20

20-15

24-26

22-28

18-19

25-18

26-27

30-18

19-18

23-25

29-19

19-15

21-24

19-16

22-15

18-12

19-23

24-17

32-30

24-21

17-20

22-9

28-20

12-21

21-19

16-14

20-20

19-23

27-26

24-23

17-23

14-27

23-20

15-24

23-24

22-30

18-24

168.9Avg total

85.6Scored

83.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	85.7	76.2	161.9	+9.5	82%
Season at home (5)	85.4	79.0	164.4	+6.4	60%
Season away (6)	86.0	73.8	159.8	+12.2	100%
Last 10 (10)	85.6	83.3	168.9	+2.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	83.6	87.0	170.6	-3.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	72.7	74.4	147.1	-1.7	43%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	81.4	83.8	165.1	-2.4	38%
vs Weaker (15)	88.1	77.1	165.2	+10.9	87%

This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LietkabelisNeptunas

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	17.5	35.8	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	17.7	37.4	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.8	17.4	34.2	-0.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	17.1	35.5	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	14.0	32.2	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	16.2	17.0	33.2	-0.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.1	18.0	37.1	+1.1	40%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.4	17.8	38.1	+2.6	62%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.1	38.8	+0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.5	19.5	38.0	-0.9	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.5	18.8	39.4	+1.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	19.9	40.8	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	17.4	37.6	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.7	19.3	37.0	-1.6	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	20.5	20.2	40.8	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	20.1	18.4	38.5	+1.7	47%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.7	40.0	+0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	18.9	39.9	+2.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	20.6	40.1	-1.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	16.8	37.8	+4.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	15.8	37.0	+5.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	19.1	20.2	39.2	-1.1	42%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	21.5	20.5	42.0	+1.0	40%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.6	18.1	38.8	+2.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	19.2	41.2	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.6	18.9	38.5	+0.7	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	23.8	19.4	43.2	+4.4	76%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.6	21.4	46.0	+3.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	23.4	47.4	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.9	15.7	34.6	+3.1	57%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	20.1	21.2	41.4	-1.1	25%	-
vs Weaker (15)	24.4	19.7	44.1	+4.7	80%	-

LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pieno Zvaigzdes

32-37

-5

A20/10

LKL

Nymburk

#40

41-46

-5

H24/10

Champions League

Zalgiris Kaunas

38-33

A28/10

LKL

Bamberg

#12

42-43

-1

A31/10

Champions League

Nevezis

44-31

+13

H03/11

LKL

Dijon

#38

29-22

H06/11

Champions League

Siauliai

#10

53-38

+15

A10/11

LKL

AEK Athens

31-31

A13/11

Champions League

Pieno Zvaigzdes

43-29

+14

H18/11

LKL

Fuenlabrada

#42

41-29

+12

H21/11

Champions League

73.3Avg total

39.4Scored

33.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	37.3	75.8	+1.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.8	36.5	77.3	+4.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.3	38.0	74.3	-1.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.4	33.9	73.3	+5.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	29.8	69.2	+9.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	35.2	37.2	72.4	-1.9	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	40.6	38.5	79.1	+2.1	40%	-
vs Weaker (8)	41.0	35.9	76.9	+5.1	62%	-

This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Juventus

39-35

H21/10

LKL

Oostende

#27

46-54

-8

A24/10

Champions League

Siauliai

#10

56-45

+11

A27/10

LKL

Strasbourg

#13

52-44

H31/10

Champions League

Rytas

41-31

+10

A03/11

LKL

Petrol Olimpija

#45

56-47

A07/11

Champions League

Nevezis

50-29

+21

A10/11

LKL

Promitheas

#17

36-34

H13/11

Champions League

Rytas

41-46

-5

H18/11

LKL

Bayreuth

#35

38-48

-10

A20/11

Champions League

86.8Avg total

45.5Scored

41.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.6	38.3	79.9	+3.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	38.2	38.4	76.5	-0.2	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	44.3	38.2	82.5	+6.1	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.5	41.3	86.8	+4.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	40.8	85.0	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	36.6	35.0	71.6	+1.6	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	40.6	41.5	82.1	-0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	44.5	38.1	82.7	+6.4	80%	-

This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	21.0	40.4	-1.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	20.5	41.1	+0.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	21.5	39.8	-3.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	21.0	41.1	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	20.0	39.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	16.6	20.8	37.4	-4.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	22.2	20.9	43.1	+1.3	40%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.4	21.2	41.6	-0.9	38%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	18.1	37.1	+0.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.8	16.9	35.8	+1.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.1	19.0	38.1	+0.1	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	20.6	39.3	-1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	24.4	42.6	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	15.7	15.7	31.4	+0.0	57%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	18.6	19.9	38.5	-1.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (15)	20.7	18.3	38.9	+2.4	73%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	20.4	41.0	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.4	18.5	39.9	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	22.3	42.2	-2.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	18.3	38.5	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	18.2	38.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	19.1	21.7	40.8	-2.6	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	22.3	20.8	43.1	+1.5	60%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.9	18.0	38.9	+2.9	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	21.4	43.2	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	23.2	21.4	44.5	+1.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.8	21.4	42.2	-0.6	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	21.4	42.8	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	21.8	43.0	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.1	21.7	40.9	-2.6	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	22.1	22.4	44.5	-0.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (15)	22.9	20.7	43.6	+2.1	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	41.4	81.5	-1.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.0	38.9	80.9	+3.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.2	43.8	82.0	-5.6	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	39.3	79.6	+1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	38.2	78.2	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	35.7	42.5	78.2	-6.8	8%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	44.5	41.7	86.2	+2.8	60%	-
vs Weaker (8)	41.2	39.2	80.5	+2.0	38%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	39.5	80.3	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	42.0	38.3	80.3	+3.7	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	39.8	40.4	80.2	-0.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	42.0	82.1	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	46.2	85.6	-6.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	34.9	37.4	72.3	-2.6	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	40.8	42.2	83.0	-1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	43.5	39.0	82.5	+4.5	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 73.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀41%

🏀🏀🏀41%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game

50%

30%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	30.0	15.0	50.0%	55.4%	30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.0	10.0	37.0%	35.6%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	16.0	13.0	81.2%	73.8%	13.0

They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.0	17.0	45.9%	55.4%	34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	20.0	8.0	40.0%	35.6%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	15.0	8.0	53.3%	73.8%	8.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.0	17.0	45.9%	55.4%	34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	20.0	8.0	40.0%	35.6%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	15.0	8.0	53.3%	73.8%	8.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Lietkabelis wins

Neptunas wins

Date	Game	Score
30/09/18	Neptunas v Lietkabelis	76-89
17/06/18	Lietkabelis v Neptunas	78-89
15/06/18	Neptunas v Lietkabelis	79-71
12/06/18	Lietkabelis v Neptunas	69-71
10/06/18	Neptunas v Lietkabelis	69-83
18/04/18	Lietkabelis v Neptunas	89-94 OT
27/01/18	Neptunas v Lietkabelis	83-78
02/12/17	Neptunas v Lietkabelis	86-76
04/10/17	Lietkabelis v Neptunas	88-76
01/04/17	Lietkabelis v Neptunas	74-61

Lietkabelislast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/11/18	H	Fuenlabrada	78-67
18/11/18	H	Pieno Zvaigzdes	94-63
13/11/18	A	AEK Athens	59-65
10/11/18	A	Siauliai	88-83
06/11/18	H	Dijon	78-62
03/11/18	H	Nevezis	87-66
31/10/18	A	Bamberg	77-82
28/10/18	A	Zalgiris Kaunas	58-71
24/10/18	H	Nymburk	97-86
20/10/18	A	Pieno Zvaigzdes	81-87

Neptunaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/11/18	A	Bayreuth	78-102
18/11/18	H	Rytas	78-93
13/11/18	H	Promitheas	82-83
10/11/18	A	Nevezis	83-69
07/11/18	A	Petrol Olimpija	97-88
03/11/18	A	Rytas	78-66
31/10/18	H	Strasbourg	92-83
27/10/18	A	Siauliai	98-88
24/10/18	A	Oostende	89-91
21/10/18	H	Juventus	81-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lietkabelis

LKL 2018-19

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	70%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	LWLLW	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	5	5
Win %	70%	100%	40%
Points / game	80.8	82.8	78.8
Allowed / game	75.8	69.6	82.0
Point differential	+5.0	+13.2	-3.2
Avg total	156.6	152.4	160.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	30%	40%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (3)	100% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Neptunas

LKL 2018-19

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	82%
Home	WLWWL	60%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	5	6
Win %	82%	60%	100%
Points / game	85.7	85.4	86.0
Allowed / game	76.2	79.0	73.8
Point differential	+9.5	+6.4	+12.2
Avg total	161.9	164.4	159.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	73%	60%	83%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Zalgiris Kaunas	11	10	1	91%	84.5	67.1	+17.4
2	Rytas	11	9	2	82%	84.5	70.1	+14.4
3	Neptunas	11	9	2	82%	85.7	76.2	+9.5
4	Lietkabelis	10	7	3	70%	80.8	75.8	+5.0
5	Alytaus Dzukija	11	5	6	45%	78.0	77.7	+0.3
6	Juventus	11	5	6	45%	77.5	79.4	-1.9
7	Skycop	11	4	7	36%	76.9	84.0	-7.1
8	Pieno Zvaigzdes	11	4	7	36%	77.0	84.9	-7.9
9	Nevezis	12	2	10	17%	69.8	84.1	-14.2
10	Siauliai	11	0	11	0%	75.9	89.5	-13.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Lietkabelis	20	21	10	25	76
Neptunas	30	17	28	25	100

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Lietkabelis vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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