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Besiktas vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 18 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 77-70
20-20 18-20 20-12 19-18
Position#16
Record3-5
FormLWWLL
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game80.0
vs
Position#24
Record4-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game84.8
EuropeChampions League
European cup2018
Meetings · Besiktas v Neptunas
18 Dec 2018
BES77
NEP70
28 Jan 2015
BES80
NEP78
27 Nov 2013
BES74
NEP83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Besiktas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BesiktasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
90-94
90
94
-4
H07/11
Champions League
Afyon Belediye
#13
W
80-75
80
75
+5
H10/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Oostende
#27
W
73-66
73
66
+7
A14/11
Champions League
Gaziantep
#5
L
56-63
56
63
-7
A18/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petrol Olimpija
#45
W
94-84
94
84
+10
H21/11
Champions League
Galatasaray
#3
L
72-74
72
74
-2
H25/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
W
90-86
90
86
+4
A04/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#9
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H09/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bayreuth
#35
L
74-90
74
90
-16
H11/12
Champions League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#10
L
57-83
57
83
-26
A15/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
20-28
25-21
24-26
21-17
18-20
19-15
22-23
20-19
17-21
24-9
12-17
10-23
14-15
21-10
11-15
27-24
30-15
18-29
19-16
23-18
14-14
14-18
21-24
10-23
33-17
20-23
27-23
18-19
24-18
23-15
16-20
13-19
24-11
16-28
21-32
16-23
14-18
19-21
8-21
155.4Avg total
76.7Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)76.980.0156.9-3.138%
Season at home (4)82.286.5168.8-4.225%
Season away (4)71.573.5145.0-2.050%
Last 10 (10)76.778.7155.4-2.050%
Last 5 (5)74.881.0155.8-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)78.285.2163.5-7.025%
vs Similar ◀ (15)70.976.2147.1-5.320%
vs Weaker (11)78.769.2147.9+9.5100%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#3
W
78-66
78
66
+12
A03/11
LKL
Petrol Olimpija
#45
W
97-88
97
88
+9
A07/11
Champions League
Nevezis
#9
W
83-69
83
69
+14
A10/11
LKL
Promitheas
#17
L
82-83
82
83
-1
H13/11
Champions League
Rytas
#3
L
78-93
78
93
-15
H18/11
LKL
Bayreuth
#35
L
78-102
78
102
-24
A20/11
Champions League
Lietkabelis
#4
W
100-76
100
76
+24
A24/11
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
89-67
89
67
+22
H08/12
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
88-85
88
85
+3
H12/12
Champions League
Skycop
#7
W
83-72
83
72
+11
A15/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
22-15
18-12
19-23
24-17
32-30
24-21
17-20
22-9
28-20
12-21
21-19
16-14
20-20
19-23
27-26
24-23
17-23
14-27
23-20
15-24
23-24
22-30
18-24
30-20
17-21
28-10
25-25
27-21
25-22
18-11
19-13
16-22
25-25
21-20
26-18
17-16
22-21
25-17
19-18
165.7Avg total
85.6Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)85.284.8170.0+0.550%
Season at home (4)85.078.5163.5+6.575%
Season away (4)85.591.0176.5-5.525%
Last 10 (10)85.680.1165.7+5.570%
Last 5 (5)87.680.4168.0+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)73.375.3148.6-2.043%
vs Similar ◀ (9)83.482.9166.3+0.644%
vs Weaker (14)86.675.6162.2+11.193%
This opponent (Besiktas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +0.8+0.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +0.8+0.8
BesiktasNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BesiktasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H07/11
Champions League
Afyon Belediye
#13
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H10/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Oostende
#27
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A14/11
Champions League
Gaziantep
#5
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A18/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petrol Olimpija
#45
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H21/11
Champions League
Galatasaray
#3
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H25/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A04/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#9
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H09/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bayreuth
#35
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H11/12
Champions League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#10
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A15/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
76.8Avg total
38.7Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.835.972.7+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.636.477.9+5.286%-
Last 30 away (16)32.635.668.1-3.025%-
Last 10 (10)38.738.176.8+0.660%-
Last 5 (5)37.836.073.8+1.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.039.876.8-2.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)34.536.571.0-1.940%-
vs Weaker (11)39.733.873.5+5.982%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#3
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A03/11
LKL
Petrol Olimpija
#45
W
56-47
56
47
+9
A07/11
Champions League
Nevezis
#9
W
50-29
50
29
+21
A10/11
LKL
Promitheas
#17
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H13/11
Champions League
Rytas
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H18/11
LKL
Bayreuth
#35
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A20/11
Champions League
Lietkabelis
#4
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A24/11
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H08/12
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H12/12
Champions League
Skycop
#7
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A15/12
LKL
84.4Avg total
44.1Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.639.080.6+2.663%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.139.478.6-0.350%-
Last 30 away (16)43.838.682.3+5.275%-
Last 10 (10)44.140.384.4+3.870%-
Last 5 (5)43.443.286.6+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.635.972.4+0.743%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)41.341.482.8-0.156%-
vs Weaker (14)44.338.983.2+5.479%-
This opponent (Besiktas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Besiktastheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.015.0
50.0%
52.6%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.010.0
37.0%
34.3%30.0
🏀 Free throws16.013.0
81.2%
73.8%13.0
They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Besiktas wins
2
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
17/10/18Neptunas v Besiktas78-63
28/01/15Besiktas v Neptunas80-78
21/01/15Neptunas v Besiktas62-69
27/11/13Besiktas v Neptunas74-83
23/10/13Neptunas v Besiktas70-72
Besiktaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/18ABahcesehir Kol.57-83
11/12/18HBayreuth74-90
09/12/18HDarussafaka81-72
04/12/18AAnadolu Efes90-86
25/11/18HGalatasaray72-74
21/11/18HPetrol Olimpija94-84
18/11/18AGaziantep56-63
14/11/18AOostende73-66
10/11/18HAfyon Belediye80-75
07/11/18HVirtus Bologna90-94
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/18ASkycop83-72
12/12/18HVirtus Bologna88-85
08/12/18HAlytaus Dzukija89-67
24/11/18ALietkabelis100-76
20/11/18ABayreuth78-102
18/11/18HRytas78-93
13/11/18HPromitheas82-83
10/11/18ANevezis83-69
07/11/18APetrol Olimpija97-88
03/11/18ARytas78-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Besiktas
Champions League 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL38%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%25%50%
Points / game76.982.271.5
Allowed / game80.086.573.5
Point differential-3.1-4.2-2.0
Avg total156.9168.8145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas
Champions League 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW50%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%75%25%
Points / game85.285.085.5
Allowed / game84.878.591.0
Point differential+0.5+6.5-5.5
Avg total170.0163.5176.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %12%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tenerife87188%83.167.4+15.8
2 Virtus Bologna87188%87.476.2+11.1
3 AEK Athens87188%81.175.2+5.9
4 Murcia108280%76.869.3+7.5
5 Aris43175%74.560.8+13.8
6 Hapoel M. Jerusalem86275%85.877.8+8.0
7 Bakken Bears43175%80.873.5+7.2
8 Hapoel Holon86275%85.079.8+5.2
9 Nizhny Novgorod1510567%79.671.9+7.7
10 Antwerp Giants128467%81.977.8+4.1
11 Kauhajoen Karhu64267%76.784.5-7.8
12 Banvit85362%82.974.4+8.5
13 PAOK85362%79.274.2+5.0
14 Venezia85362%86.081.6+4.4
15 Bamberg85362%82.278.8+3.5
16 Strasbourg85362%76.974.9+2.0
17 Promitheas85362%82.181.4+0.8
18 Avellino85362%86.486.6-0.2
19 Nanterre106460%84.572.1+12.4
20 Bayreuth105550%78.473.0+5.4
21 Lukoil Levski42250%84.281.2+3.0
22 Cantu42250%82.280.8+1.5
23 Spirou Charleroi63350%70.569.0+1.5
24 Estudiantes42250%70.069.2+0.8
25 Neptunas84450%85.284.8+0.5
26 Z-Mobile Prishtina21150%69.572.0-2.5
27 Minsk21150%75.580.0-4.5
28 Norrkoping21150%66.571.5-5.0
29 Hapoel Tel-Aviv21150%67.573.0-5.5
30 Anwil Wloclawek94544%81.682.7-1.1
31 Fribourg Olympic146843%79.983.6-3.8
32 Lietkabelis83538%75.975.5+0.4
33 Besiktas83538%76.980.0-3.1
34 Bonn83538%84.088.2-4.2
35 Ventspils83538%81.586.4-4.9
36 Fuenlabrada83538%77.683.1-5.5
37 Oostende83538%74.681.9-7.2
38 Torun62433%75.074.5+0.5
39 Donar Groningen41325%72.072.5-0.5
40 Dijon82625%73.479.4-6.0
41 Le Mans82625%70.577.2-6.8
42 Nymburk82625%77.083.9-6.9
43 Ludwigsburg82625%77.184.6-7.5
44 Petrol Olimpija81712%75.084.1-9.1
45 Opava81712%72.194.0-21.9
46 Saratov2020%82.583.5-1.0
47 CSM Oradea2020%79.083.5-4.5
48 Szolnoki Olaj2020%69.579.5-10.0
49 Sakarya BB2020%68.581.5-13.0
50 Siauliai2020%72.085.0-13.0
51 AEK Larnaca2020%64.579.5-15.0
52 Leicester Riders2020%80.596.5-16.0
53 Pardubice2020%70.588.5-18.0
54 FC Porto2020%67.089.0-22.0
55 Dinamo Tbilisi2020%59.091.0-32.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 55 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Besiktas2018201977
Neptunas2020121870
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