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Neptunas vs Petrol Olimpija Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 23 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 82-74
29-20 22-22 18-20 13-12
Position#24
Record5-6
FormWLLWW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game83.1
vs
Position#45
Record1-10
FormWLLLW
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game82.8
EuropeChampions League
European cup2018
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Petrol Olimpija winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
88-85
88
85
+3
H12/12
Champions League
Skycop
#7
W
83-72
83
72
+11
A15/12
LKL
Besiktas
#16
L
70-77
70
77
-7
A18/12
Champions League
Siauliai
#10
W
80-76
80
76
+4
H23/12
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
80-88
80
88
-8
A30/12
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
98-93 OT
98
93
+5
H06/01
LKL
Oostende
#27
L
77-79
77
79
-2
H09/01
Champions League
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
L
77-80
77
80
-3
H12/01
LKL
Strasbourg
#13
W
90-80
90
80
+10
A15/01
Champions League
Skycop
#7
W
85-68
85
68
+17
H19/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
25-25
21-20
26-18
17-16
22-21
25-17
19-18
20-20
20-18
12-20
18-19
17-22
23-21
22-15
18-18
15-17
13-20
26-25
26-26
16-12
18-28
21-22
23-16
12-21
27-18
20-21
18-19
18-15
21-17
17-17
21-31
16-27
28-17
25-20
21-16
16-13
18-16
30-19
21-20
162.6Avg total
82.8Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)83.583.1166.6+0.545%
Season at home (5)83.478.6162.0+4.860%
Season away (6)83.786.8170.5-3.233%
Last 10 (10)82.879.8162.6+3.060%
Last 5 (5)85.480.0165.4+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)84.880.2165.0+4.575%
vs Similar (12)82.381.8164.2+0.542%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)87.676.4164.0+11.386%
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zadar
#11
L
80-84 OT
80
84
-4
A04/01
ABA League
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H05/01
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#16
W
95-92
95
92
+3
A07/01
Slovenian Cup
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
84-87
84
87
-3
A09/01
Champions League
KK Primorska
#1
L
63-80
63
80
-17
A12/01
Liga Nova KBM
Mega Bemax
#7
W
91-78
91
78
+13
H13/01
ABA League
Rogaska
#16
L
79-81
79
81
-2
H14/01
Slovenian Cup
Oostende
#27
L
69-71
69
71
-2
H16/01
Champions League
Cibona
#8
L
70-87
70
87
-17
A20/01
ABA League
Sencur
#6
W
82-70
82
70
+12
H21/01
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
21-19
15-16
23-20
21-19
17-13
18-21
20-19
26-25
17-21
21-19
31-27
23-13
18-24
22-24
21-26
15-23
10-22
20-20
18-15
15-20
20-23
26-18
30-17
23-11
25-19
14-29
17-22
22-16
19-21
19-15
9-19
16-24
18-21
17-16
19-26
15-20
16-16
29-16
22-18
159.1Avg total
78.9Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)75.482.8158.2-7.59%
Season at home (6)72.082.8154.8-10.80%
Season away (5)79.482.8162.2-3.420%
Last 10 (10)78.980.2159.1-1.340%
Last 5 (5)78.277.4155.6+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)73.483.4156.8-10.00%
vs Similar (13)81.984.8166.8-2.946%
vs Weaker (5)83.474.4157.8+9.080%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +0.1+0.1
NeptunasPetrol Olimpija
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H12/12
Champions League
Skycop
#7
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A15/12
LKL
Besiktas
#16
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A18/12
Champions League
Siauliai
#10
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H23/12
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A30/12
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H06/01
LKL
Oostende
#27
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H09/01
Champions League
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H12/01
LKL
Strasbourg
#13
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A15/01
Champions League
Skycop
#7
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H19/01
LKL
76.4Avg total
37.8Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.039.281.2+2.863%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.339.479.7+0.953%-
Last 30 away (15)43.739.082.7+4.773%-
Last 10 (10)37.838.676.4-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)38.036.874.8+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.835.070.8+0.850%-
vs Similar (12)41.241.282.4+0.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)44.438.783.1+5.779%-
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zadar
#11
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A04/01
ABA League
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H05/01
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#16
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A07/01
Slovenian Cup
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A09/01
Champions League
KK Primorska
#1
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A12/01
Liga Nova KBM
Mega Bemax
#7
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H13/01
ABA League
Rogaska
#16
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H14/01
Slovenian Cup
Oostende
#27
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H16/01
Champions League
Cibona
#8
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A20/01
ABA League
Sencur
#6
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H21/01
Liga Nova KBM
76.3Avg total
37.3Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.841.079.8-2.237%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.037.375.3+0.747%-
Last 30 away (15)39.644.784.3-5.127%-
Last 10 (10)37.339.076.3-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)37.838.276.0-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)37.242.379.5-5.233%-
vs Similar (13)39.242.381.5-3.123%-
vs Weaker (5)41.634.476.0+7.280%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.015.0
50.0%
52.6%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.010.0
37.0%
34.3%30.0
🏀 Free throws16.013.0
81.2%
73.8%13.0
They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Petrol Olimpijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Petrol Olimpija: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.517.0
46.6%
52.6%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.38.5
36.5%
34.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws22.417.3
77.2%
73.8%17.3
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/10 games with a box score before 23 Jan 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
WWLLWLWLWW
Petrol Olimpija
WLLLWLLWWL
#24
League position
#45
+9.4
Net rating
-10.0
97.6
Offensive rating
103.7
88.2
Defensive rating
113.6
52.6%
Effective FG%
49.7%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
20.0%
Turnover %
18.2%
12.9%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.37
37.0%
3-point %
36.5%
60.0%
Assist %
54.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence97.6 · 103.7Defence88.2 · 113.6Shooting52.6% · 49.7%3-point %37.0% · 36.5%Ball care20.0% · 18.2%Off. rebounds12.9% · 28.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Neptunas   ■ Petrol Olimpija
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Neptunas wins
0
Petrol Olimpija wins
DateGameScore
07/11/18Petrol Olimpija v Neptunas88-97
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/19HSkycop85-68
15/01/19AStrasbourg90-80
12/01/19HPieno Zvaigzdes77-80
09/01/19HOostende77-79
06/01/19HZalgiris Kaunas98-93 OT
30/12/18AJuventus80-88
23/12/18HSiauliai80-76
18/12/18ABesiktas70-77
15/12/18ASkycop83-72
12/12/18HVirtus Bologna88-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/19HSencur82-70
20/01/19ACibona70-87
16/01/19HOostende69-71
14/01/19HRogaska79-81
13/01/19HMega Bemax91-78
12/01/19AKK Primorska63-80
09/01/19AVirtus Bologna84-87
07/01/19ARogaska95-92
05/01/19HTajfun Sentjur76-72
04/01/19AZadar80-84 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
Champions League 2018
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW45%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayLWLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%60%33%
Points / game83.583.483.7
Allowed / game83.178.686.8
Point differential+0.5+4.8-3.2
Avg total166.6162.0170.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%20%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %9%0%17%
Petrol Olimpija
Champions League 2018
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL9%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %9%0%20%
Points / game75.472.079.4
Allowed / game82.882.882.8
Point differential-7.5-10.8-3.4
Avg total158.2154.8162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murcia1412286%76.469.4+7.1
2 Hapoel M. Jerusalem1210283%89.876.8+13.0
3 Tenerife119282%81.368.5+12.8
4 Virtus Bologna119282%86.877.6+9.2
5 AEK Athens119282%80.273.7+6.5
6 Aris43175%74.560.8+13.8
7 Bakken Bears43175%80.873.5+7.2
8 Banvit128467%81.975.2+6.7
9 Venezia128467%84.179.5+4.6
10 Antwerp Giants1510567%82.878.4+4.4
11 Promitheas128467%81.980.8+1.1
12 Kauhajoen Karhu64267%76.784.5-7.8
13 Hapoel Holon117464%83.978.5+5.4
14 Bamberg117464%82.180.4+1.7
15 Nanterre138562%84.271.2+13.0
16 Avellino127558%82.582.5+0.0
17 Oostende127558%75.578.2-2.8
18 Nizhny Novgorod1810856%79.474.2+5.2
19 PAOK116555%79.476.7+2.6
20 Besiktas116555%77.977.1+0.8
21 Lukoil Levski42250%84.281.2+3.0
22 Cantu42250%82.280.8+1.5
23 Spirou Charleroi63350%70.569.0+1.5
24 Estudiantes42250%70.069.2+0.8
25 Strasbourg126650%75.675.9-0.3
26 Z-Mobile Prishtina21150%69.572.0-2.5
27 Minsk21150%75.580.0-4.5
28 Norrkoping21150%66.571.5-5.0
29 Hapoel Tel-Aviv21150%67.573.0-5.5
30 Fribourg Olympic178947%78.381.3-3.0
31 Neptunas115645%83.583.1+0.5
32 Le Mans125742%74.076.6-2.6
33 Ventspils125742%80.282.8-2.6
34 Bonn125742%79.885.4-5.6
35 Lietkabelis114736%75.676.9-1.3
36 Bayreuth145936%77.777.4+0.3
37 Torun62433%75.074.5+0.5
38 Anwil Wloclawek124833%78.381.8-3.4
39 Dijon113827%73.979.5-5.6
40 Fuenlabrada113827%75.984.6-8.7
41 Donar Groningen41325%72.072.5-0.5
42 Ludwigsburg123925%77.483.8-6.3
43 Nymburk123925%76.884.8-8.0
44 Petrol Olimpija111109%75.482.8-7.5
45 Opava111109%72.593.5-20.9
46 Saratov2020%82.583.5-1.0
47 CSM Oradea2020%79.083.5-4.5
48 Szolnoki Olaj2020%69.579.5-10.0
49 Sakarya BB2020%68.581.5-13.0
50 Siauliai2020%72.085.0-13.0
51 AEK Larnaca2020%64.579.5-15.0
52 Leicester Riders2020%80.596.5-16.0
53 Pardubice2020%70.588.5-18.0
54 FC Porto2020%67.089.0-22.0
55 Dinamo Tbilisi2020%59.091.0-32.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas2922181382
Petrol Olimpija2022201274
← all games of the day
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