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Petrol Olimpija vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 Nov 2018
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 88-97
17-24 30-32 21-24 20-17
Position#45
Record1-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game81.2
vs
Position#24
Record2-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game80.0
EuropeChampions League
European cup2018
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Petrol Olimpija winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zadar
#11
W
91-81
91
81
+10
H14/10
ABA League
Promitheas
#17
L
77-79
77
79
-2
A17/10
Champions League
Mega Bemax
#7
L
77-81 OT
77
81
-4
A19/10
ABA League
Polzela
#5
W
98-95
98
95
+3
H21/10
Liga Nova KBM
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
61-92
61
92
-31
H24/10
Champions League
Cibona
#8
L
78-80 OT
78
80
-2
H27/10
ABA League
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
W
98-89
98
89
+9
A28/10
Liga Nova KBM
Oostende
#27
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A30/10
Champions League
KK Primorska
#1
W
81-61
81
61
+20
H02/11
Liga Nova KBM
Buducnost
#3
L
69-85
69
85
-16
A05/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-16
19-21
10-17
33-27
20-17
22-20
19-23
16-19
18-20
30-19
15-17
11-18
18-21
30-22
26-25
24-27
16-19
11-27
17-23
17-23
19-15
15-10
14-21
20-22
27-20
32-26
20-21
19-22
21-16
19-23
16-22
23-12
19-20
20-19
25-14
17-8
10-22
13-23
30-19
16-21
162.5Avg total
80.9Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)72.081.2153.2-9.225%
Season at home (2)66.086.5152.5-20.50%
Season away (2)78.076.0154.0+2.050%
Last 10 (10)80.981.6162.5-0.750%
Last 5 (5)81.077.6158.6+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)73.979.0152.9-5.129%
vs Similar (7)82.680.7163.3+1.957%
vs Weaker (14)85.774.5160.2+11.286%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
94-91
94
91
+3
A04/10
LKL
Skycop
#7
W
92-67
92
67
+25
H07/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
78-83 OT
78
83
-5
A10/10
Champions League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
75-60
75
60
+15
A14/10
LKL
Besiktas
#16
W
78-63
78
63
+15
H17/10
Champions League
Juventus
#6
W
81-70
81
70
+11
H21/10
LKL
Oostende
#27
L
89-91
89
91
-2
A24/10
Champions League
Siauliai
#10
W
98-88
98
88
+10
A27/10
LKL
Strasbourg
#13
W
92-83
92
83
+9
H31/10
Champions League
Rytas
#3
W
78-66
78
66
+12
A03/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
30-22
16-21
22-22
14-21
29-16
25-8
24-22
19-10
14-14
21-19
15-26
19-21
16-8
16-20
24-11
22-12
16-21
17-7
23-23
16-18
23-17
22-20
20-15
24-26
22-28
18-19
25-18
26-27
30-18
19-18
23-25
23-25
29-19
19-15
21-24
19-16
22-15
18-12
19-23
161.7Avg total
85.5Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.280.0164.2+4.250%
Season at home (2)85.073.0158.0+12.0100%
Season away (2)83.587.0170.5-3.50%
Last 10 (10)85.576.2161.7+9.380%
Last 5 (5)87.679.6167.2+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.676.4149.0-3.838%
vs Similar (5)82.678.4161.0+4.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)86.977.5164.4+9.582%
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +5.3+5.3Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +0.7+0.7
Petrol OlimpijaNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zadar
#11
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H14/10
ABA League
Promitheas
#17
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A17/10
Champions League
Mega Bemax
#7
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A19/10
ABA League
Polzela
#5
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H21/10
Liga Nova KBM
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
27-46
27
46
-19
H24/10
Champions League
Cibona
#8
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H27/10
ABA League
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
W
59-46
59
46
+13
A28/10
Liga Nova KBM
Oostende
#27
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A30/10
Champions League
KK Primorska
#1
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H02/11
Liga Nova KBM
Buducnost
#3
L
23-45
23
45
-22
A05/11
ABA League
80.4Avg total
40.8Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.939.280.0+1.763%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.638.278.8+2.467%-
Last 30 away (15)41.140.181.3+1.060%-
Last 10 (10)40.839.680.4+1.270%-
Last 5 (5)39.038.877.8+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)34.340.975.1-6.643%-
vs Similar (7)42.937.380.1+5.686%-
vs Weaker (14)44.038.882.8+5.264%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A04/10
LKL
Skycop
#7
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H07/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
33-24
33
24
+9
A10/10
Champions League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A14/10
LKL
Besiktas
#16
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H17/10
Champions League
Juventus
#6
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H21/10
LKL
Oostende
#27
L
46-54
46
54
-8
A24/10
Champions League
Siauliai
#10
W
56-45
56
45
+11
A27/10
LKL
Strasbourg
#13
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H31/10
Champions League
Rytas
#3
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A03/11
LKL
81.9Avg total
43.9Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.038.779.7+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.239.879.0-0.650%-
Last 30 away (16)42.637.780.2+4.969%-
Last 10 (10)43.938.081.9+5.990%-
Last 5 (5)46.841.888.6+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.036.273.2+0.838%-
vs Similar (5)42.040.882.8+1.260%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)42.639.281.8+3.471%-
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Petrol Olimpijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Petrol Olimpija: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.4
51.1%
52.6%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.49.1
38.9%
34.3%27.3
🏀 Free throws21.815.9
72.9%
73.8%15.9
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.015.0
50.0%
52.6%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.010.0
37.0%
34.3%30.0
🏀 Free throws16.013.0
81.2%
73.8%13.0
They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/1 games with a box score before 07 Nov 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Petrol Olimpija
LWWWLLWLLW
Neptunas
WWWLWWWLWW
#45
League position
#24
+2.7
Net rating
+9.4
108.1
Offensive rating
97.6
105.4
Defensive rating
88.2
54.0%
Effective FG%
52.6%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
17.8%
Turnover %
20.0%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
12.9%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.28
38.9%
3-point %
37.0%
68.4%
Assist %
60.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence108.1 · 97.6Defence105.4 · 88.2Shooting54.0% · 52.6%3-point %38.9% · 37.0%Ball care17.8% · 20.0%Off. rebounds27.2% · 12.9%Free throws0.37 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Petrol Olimpija   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Petrol Olimpija wins
0
Neptunas wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/18ABuducnost69-85
02/11/18HKK Primorska81-61
30/10/18AOostende79-73
28/10/18ATajfun Sentjur98-89
27/10/18HCibona78-80 OT
24/10/18HVirtus Bologna61-92
21/10/18HPolzela98-95
19/10/18AMega Bemax77-81 OT
17/10/18APromitheas77-79
14/10/18HZadar91-81
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/18ARytas78-66
31/10/18HStrasbourg92-83
27/10/18ASiauliai98-88
24/10/18AOostende89-91
21/10/18HJuventus81-70
17/10/18HBesiktas78-63
14/10/18AZalgiris Kaunas75-60
10/10/18AVirtus Bologna78-83 OT
07/10/18HSkycop92-67
04/10/18AAlytaus Dzukija94-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Petrol Olimpija
Champions League 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
HomeLL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%0%50%
Points / game72.066.078.0
Allowed / game81.286.576.0
Point differential-9.2-20.5+2.0
Avg total153.2152.5154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas
Champions League 2018
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game84.285.083.5
Allowed / game80.073.087.0
Point differential+4.2+12.0-3.5
Avg total164.2158.0170.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %25%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tenerife550100%81.862.2+19.6
2 Virtus Bologna550100%86.471.2+15.2
3 Promitheas440100%81.875.8+6.0
4 Murcia76186%77.968.4+9.4
5 Venezia54180%85.878.2+7.6
6 Aris43175%74.560.8+13.8
7 Banvit43175%85.872.2+13.5
8 Hapoel M. Jerusalem43175%88.579.5+9.0
9 Bakken Bears43175%80.873.5+7.2
10 Avellino43175%92.586.0+6.5
11 AEK Athens43175%88.084.5+3.5
12 Strasbourg43175%77.274.2+3.0
13 Fuenlabrada43175%86.890.5-3.8
14 Antwerp Giants96367%85.482.0+3.4
15 Kauhajoen Karhu64267%76.784.5-7.8
16 Nizhny Novgorod117464%78.472.2+6.2
17 Bamberg53260%82.879.8+3.0
18 Hapoel Holon53260%81.880.8+1.0
19 Nanterre74357%80.969.7+11.1
20 Fribourg Olympic116555%80.180.7-0.6
21 Neptunas42250%84.280.0+4.2
22 Lukoil Levski42250%84.281.2+3.0
23 Cantu42250%82.280.8+1.5
24 Spirou Charleroi63350%70.569.0+1.5
25 Estudiantes42250%70.069.2+0.8
26 Z-Mobile Prishtina21150%69.572.0-2.5
27 Minsk21150%75.580.0-4.5
28 Norrkoping21150%66.571.5-5.0
29 Hapoel Tel-Aviv21150%67.573.0-5.5
30 PAOK52340%79.878.4+1.4
31 Lietkabelis52340%81.280.4+0.8
32 Anwil Wloclawek52340%88.889.6-0.8
33 Le Mans52340%71.077.0-6.0
34 Ventspils52340%83.690.6-7.0
35 Bonn52340%78.487.2-8.8
36 Torun62433%75.074.5+0.5
37 Donar Groningen41325%72.072.5-0.5
38 Nymburk41325%81.084.8-3.8
39 Petrol Olimpija41325%72.081.2-9.2
40 Oostende41325%77.087.5-10.5
41 Besiktas51420%74.880.0-5.2
42 Dijon51420%73.078.2-5.2
43 Opava51420%73.287.2-14.0
44 Bayreuth61517%71.573.3-1.8
45 Saratov2020%82.583.5-1.0
46 CSM Oradea2020%79.083.5-4.5
47 Szolnoki Olaj2020%69.579.5-10.0
48 Ludwigsburg5050%76.887.0-10.2
49 Sakarya BB2020%68.581.5-13.0
50 Siauliai2020%72.085.0-13.0
51 AEK Larnaca2020%64.579.5-15.0
52 Leicester Riders2020%80.596.5-16.0
53 Pardubice2020%70.588.5-18.0
54 FC Porto2020%67.089.0-22.0
55 Dinamo Tbilisi2020%59.091.0-32.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Petrol Olimpija1730212088
Neptunas2432241797
← all games of the day
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