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Neptunas vs Strasbourg Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 31 Oct 2018
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 92-83
23-25 29-19 19-15 21-24
Position#24
Record1-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Position#13
Record3-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game68.3
EuropeChampions League
European cup2018
Meetings · Neptunas v Strasbourg
31 Oct 2018
NEP92
STR83
07 Mar 2018
NEP73
STR68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Strasbourg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
88-69
88
69
+19
A26/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
76-89
76
89
-13
H30/09
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
94-91
94
91
+3
A04/10
LKL
Skycop
#7
W
92-67
92
67
+25
H07/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
78-83 OT
78
83
-5
A10/10
Champions League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
75-60
75
60
+15
A14/10
LKL
Besiktas
#16
W
78-63
78
63
+15
H17/10
Champions League
Juventus
#6
W
81-70
81
70
+11
H21/10
LKL
Oostende
#27
L
89-91
89
91
-2
A24/10
Champions League
Siauliai
#10
W
98-88
98
88
+10
A27/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
24-16
22-21
20-15
21-22
12-20
22-26
21-21
26-26
30-22
16-21
22-22
14-21
29-16
25-8
24-22
19-10
14-14
21-19
15-26
19-21
16-8
16-20
24-11
22-12
16-21
17-7
23-23
16-18
23-17
22-20
20-15
24-26
22-28
18-19
25-18
26-27
30-18
19-18
23-25
162.0Avg total
84.9Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)81.779.0160.7+2.733%
Season at home (1)78.063.0141.0+15.0100%
Season away (2)83.587.0170.5-3.50%
Last 10 (10)84.977.1162.0+7.870%
Last 5 (5)84.274.4158.6+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.676.4149.0-3.838%
vs Similar ◀ (3)81.081.0162.0+0.033%
vs Weaker (19)86.778.1164.8+8.779%
This opponent (Strasbourg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StrasbourgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cholet
#15
W
112-75
112
75
+37
A22/09
LNB
Le Portel
#16
L
79-82
79
82
-3
A26/09
LNB
Elan Bearnais
#5
L
65-70
65
70
-5
H30/09
LNB
Antibes
#18
W
86-81
86
81
+5
A05/10
LNB
Petrol Olimpija
#45
W
81-71
81
71
+10
A09/10
Champions League
Limoges
#7
W
81-61
81
61
+20
H14/10
LNB
Bayreuth
#35
W
67-63
67
63
+4
H16/10
Champions League
Levallois
#12
L
65-80
65
80
-15
A19/10
LNB
Besiktas
#16
W
78-71
78
71
+7
A24/10
Champions League
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
W
90-84
90
84
+6
H27/10
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
27-19
26-21
34-19
21-21
19-17
22-28
17-16
22-17
13-15
21-14
9-24
21-22
23-16
22-20
20-23
19-21
27-13
24-22
11-15
23-16
13-15
26-15
19-15
14-19
19-20
16-13
18-11
15-27
17-19
13-17
20-17
15-15
20-21
24-20
19-15
25-24
19-15
18-28
28-17
154.2Avg total
80.4Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)75.368.3143.7+7.0100%
Season at home (1)67.063.0130.0+4.0100%
Season away (2)79.571.0150.5+8.5100%
Last 10 (10)80.473.8154.2+6.670%
Last 5 (5)76.271.8148.0+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)76.176.2152.3-0.250%
vs Weaker (14)87.474.7162.1+12.779%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +2.3+2.3
NeptunasStrasbourg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A26/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H30/09
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A04/10
LKL
Skycop
#7
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H07/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
33-24
33
24
+9
A10/10
Champions League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A14/10
LKL
Besiktas
#16
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H17/10
Champions League
Juventus
#6
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H21/10
LKL
Oostende
#27
L
46-54
46
54
-8
A24/10
Champions League
Siauliai
#10
W
56-45
56
45
+11
A27/10
LKL
80.5Avg total
42.5Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.138.878.9+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.239.577.7-1.246%-
Last 30 away (17)41.538.479.9+3.259%-
Last 10 (10)42.538.080.5+4.580%-
Last 5 (5)42.839.282.0+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.036.273.2+0.838%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)39.043.082.0-4.033%-
vs Weaker (19)41.639.380.8+2.363%-
This opponent (Strasbourg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StrasbourgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cholet
#15
W
52-35
52
35
+17
A22/09
LNB
Le Portel
#16
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A26/09
LNB
Elan Bearnais
#5
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H30/09
LNB
Antibes
#18
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A05/10
LNB
Petrol Olimpija
#45
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A09/10
Champions League
Limoges
#7
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H14/10
LNB
Bayreuth
#35
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H16/10
Champions League
Levallois
#12
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A19/10
LNB
Besiktas
#16
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A24/10
Champions League
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H27/10
LNB
76.5Avg total
39.7Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.337.877.1+1.563%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.736.775.4+2.062%-
Last 30 away (14)40.139.179.1+1.064%-
Last 10 (10)39.736.876.5+2.970%-
Last 5 (5)36.038.274.2-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)36.038.174.1-2.144%-
vs Weaker (14)43.137.580.6+5.686%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.015.0
50.0%
52.6%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.010.0
37.0%
34.3%30.0
🏀 Free throws16.013.0
81.2%
73.8%13.0
They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Strasbourgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Strasbourg: 66.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.017.0
45.9%
52.6%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.08.0
40.0%
34.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws15.08.0
53.3%
73.8%8.0
They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/1 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
WLWWWLWWLW
Strasbourg
WWLWWWWLLW
#24
League position
#13
+9.4
Net rating
-9.4
97.6
Offensive rating
88.2
88.2
Defensive rating
97.6
52.6%
Effective FG%
50.9%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
20.0%
Turnover %
26.8%
12.9%
Off. rebound %
26.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.26
37.0%
3-point %
40.0%
60.0%
Assist %
60.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence97.6 · 88.2Defence88.2 · 97.6Shooting52.6% · 50.9%3-point %37.0% · 40.0%Ball care20.0% · 26.8%Off. rebounds12.9% · 26.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Neptunas   ■ Strasbourg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Neptunas wins
1
Strasbourg wins
DateGameScore
14/03/18Strasbourg v Neptunas88-78 OT
07/03/18Neptunas v Strasbourg73-68
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/18ASiauliai98-88
24/10/18AOostende89-91
21/10/18HJuventus81-70
17/10/18HBesiktas78-63
14/10/18AZalgiris Kaunas75-60
10/10/18AVirtus Bologna78-83 OT
07/10/18HSkycop92-67
04/10/18AAlytaus Dzukija94-91
30/09/18HLietkabelis76-89
26/09/18APieno Zvaigzdes88-69
Strasbourglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/18HGravelines-Dunkerque90-84
24/10/18ABesiktas78-71
19/10/18ALevallois65-80
16/10/18HBayreuth67-63
14/10/18HLimoges81-61
09/10/18APetrol Olimpija81-71
05/10/18AAntibes86-81
30/09/18HElan Bearnais65-70
26/09/18ALe Portel79-82
22/09/18ACholet112-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
Champions League 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game81.778.083.5
Allowed / game79.063.087.0
Point differential+2.7+15.0-3.5
Avg total160.7141.0170.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %33%0%50%
Strasbourg
Champions League 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game75.367.079.5
Allowed / game68.363.071.0
Point differential+7.0+4.0+8.5
Avg total143.7130.0150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tenerife330100%84.364.7+19.7
2 Virtus Bologna440100%84.566.5+18.0
3 Venezia330100%90.078.3+11.7
4 Strasbourg330100%75.368.3+7.0
5 Promitheas330100%82.377.0+5.3
6 Fuenlabrada330100%90.785.7+5.0
7 Antwerp Giants76186%88.481.6+6.9
8 Murcia65183%76.368.5+7.8
9 Aris43175%74.560.8+13.8
10 Hapoel Holon43175%89.280.0+9.2
11 Bakken Bears43175%80.873.5+7.2
12 Avellino43175%92.586.0+6.5
13 AEK Athens43175%88.084.5+3.5
14 Banvit32167%88.376.3+12.0
15 Nizhny Novgorod96367%79.771.7+8.0
16 Hapoel M. Jerusalem32167%83.081.0+2.0
17 Kauhajoen Karhu64267%76.784.5-7.8
18 Fribourg Olympic106460%79.479.2+0.2
19 Nanterre63350%78.366.8+11.5
20 Anwil Wloclawek42250%94.090.2+3.8
21 Lukoil Levski42250%84.281.2+3.0
22 Cantu42250%82.280.8+1.5
23 Spirou Charleroi63350%70.569.0+1.5
24 Estudiantes42250%70.069.2+0.8
25 Z-Mobile Prishtina21150%69.572.0-2.5
26 Minsk21150%75.580.0-4.5
27 Norrkoping21150%66.571.5-5.0
28 Hapoel Tel-Aviv21150%67.573.0-5.5
29 Bonn42250%77.085.5-8.5
30 Neptunas31233%81.779.0+2.7
31 Torun62433%75.074.5+0.5
32 Bamberg31233%82.382.0+0.3
33 Lietkabelis31233%83.786.0-2.3
34 Besiktas31233%70.775.3-4.7
35 Ventspils31233%83.090.0-7.0
36 Le Mans31233%64.374.7-10.3
37 Donar Groningen41325%72.072.5-0.5
38 Dijon41325%75.878.2-2.5
39 PAOK41325%76.280.8-4.5
40 Petrol Olimpija41325%72.081.2-9.2
41 Oostende41325%77.087.5-10.5
42 Opava41325%74.285.5-11.2
43 Bayreuth61517%71.573.3-1.8
44 Saratov2020%82.583.5-1.0
45 CSM Oradea2020%79.083.5-4.5
46 Nymburk3030%80.788.3-7.7
47 Szolnoki Olaj2020%69.579.5-10.0
48 Ludwigsburg4040%73.085.5-12.5
49 Sakarya BB2020%68.581.5-13.0
50 Siauliai2020%72.085.0-13.0
51 AEK Larnaca2020%64.579.5-15.0
52 Leicester Riders2020%80.596.5-16.0
53 Pardubice2020%70.588.5-18.0
54 FC Porto2020%67.089.0-22.0
55 Dinamo Tbilisi2020%59.091.0-32.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas2329192192
Strasbourg2519152483
← all games of the day
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