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Neptunas vs Venezia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 02 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 103-118
35-29 21-29 31-31 16-29
Position#14
Record5-6
FormWWLWL
Points / game93.4
Allowed / game95.5
vs
Venezia 🏆
Position#9
Record5-6
FormLLWWL
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game86.9
EuropeEurocupRound 12· Svyturio Arena
European cup2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Venezia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
93-110
93
110
-17
78avg 83
A11/11
Eurocup
Juventus
#7
W
97-90
97
90
+7
87avg 83
A15/11
LKL
Aris
#13
L
87-93
87
93
-6
76avg 83
H18/11
Eurocup
Bahcesehir Kol.
#7
W
100-85
100
85
+15
96avg 83
A04/12
Eurocup
Jonava
#8
W
124-117 OT
124
117
+7
121avg 83
A07/12
LKL
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
103-87 OT
103
87
+16
81avg 83
H10/12
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#5
W
104-87
104
87
+17
96avg 83
A13/12
LKL
Cluj-Napoca
#11
L
97-118
97
118
-21
86avg 83
A17/12
Eurocup
Nevezis
#5
W
87-76
87
76
+11
87avg 83
A23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#4
L
101-103
101
103
-2
90avg 83
H28/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-29
28-25
27-28
10-28
23-27
31-18
19-24
24-21
28-21
18-29
18-23
23-20
32-18
20-18
31-18
17-31
24-29
26-15
24-25
24-29
16-30
24-16
24-19
19-18
24-24
26-18
37-19
17-26
18-38
22-30
33-24
24-26
26-15
15-28
23-13
23-20
33-26
15-29
20-18
33-30
195.9Avg total
99.3Scored
96.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)93.495.5188.8-2.145%
Season at home (5)97.892.4190.2+5.460%
Season away (6)89.798.0187.7-8.333%
Last 10 (10)99.396.6195.9+2.760%
Last 5 (5)98.494.2192.6+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)85.596.6182.1-11.120%
vs Similar (7)94.488.3182.7+6.171%
vs Weaker (13)98.290.7188.9+7.577%
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVenezia
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#7
W
89-79
89
79
+10
81avg 82
A16/11
Lega A
Manresa
#10
W
97-93
97
93
+4
94avg 82
H19/11
Eurocup
Tortona
#6
W
98-90
98
90
+8
99avg 82
A23/11
Lega A
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
66-98
66
98
-32
48avg 82
A04/12
Eurocup
Cantu
#15
W
101-95
101
95
+6
94avg 82
H07/12
Lega A
Aris
#13
L
86-90
86
90
-4
82avg 82
A10/12
Eurocup
Trento
#9
L
90-96
90
96
-6
82avg 82
A13/12
Lega A
Bahcesehir Kol.
#7
W
94-85
94
85
+9
90avg 82
H17/12
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#11
W
106-96
106
96
+10
112avg 82
H21/12
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
93-104
93
104
-11
85avg 82
A28/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-28
34-19
22-10
21-22
27-29
27-16
18-24
25-24
22-22
30-25
22-17
24-26
12-21
14-26
18-20
22-31
36-26
25-25
23-14
17-30
22-33
21-23
20-14
23-20
17-20
33-17
17-33
23-26
15-14
14-28
32-16
33-27
30-29
23-19
27-18
26-30
18-25
24-29
31-21
20-29
184.6Avg total
92.0Scored
92.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)86.286.9173.1-0.745%
Season at home (5)90.277.4167.6+12.880%
Season away (6)82.894.8177.7-12.017%
Last 10 (10)92.092.6184.6-0.660%
Last 5 (5)93.894.2188.0-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)79.588.1167.6-8.625%
vs Similar (9)93.294.7187.9-1.444%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)91.878.8170.6+12.985%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: -3.1-3.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: -3.1-3.1
NeptunasVenezia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A11/11
Eurocup
Juventus
#7
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A15/11
LKL
Aris
#13
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H18/11
Eurocup
Bahcesehir Kol.
#7
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A04/12
Eurocup
Jonava
#8
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A07/12
LKL
Slask Wroclaw
#18
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H10/12
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#5
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A13/12
LKL
Cluj-Napoca
#11
L
40-68
40
68
-28
A17/12
Eurocup
Nevezis
#5
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#4
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H28/12
LKL
96.0Avg total
47.7Scored
48.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.245.991.1-0.850%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.045.891.8+0.246%-
Last 30 away (17)44.546.190.6-1.553%-
Last 10 (10)47.748.396.0-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)43.850.894.6-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)42.348.690.9-6.340%-
vs Similar (7)44.344.488.7-0.143%-
vs Weaker (13)47.844.792.5+3.262%-
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#7
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A16/11
Lega A
Manresa
#10
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H19/11
Eurocup
Tortona
#6
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A23/11
Lega A
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
26-47
26
47
-21
A04/12
Eurocup
Cantu
#15
W
61-51
61
51
+10
H07/12
Lega A
Aris
#13
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A10/12
Eurocup
Trento
#9
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A13/12
Lega A
Bahcesehir Kol.
#7
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H17/12
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#11
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H21/12
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A28/12
Lega A
93.0Avg total
45.6Scored
47.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.643.086.6+0.543%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.539.484.9+6.171%-
Last 30 away (16)41.946.288.1-4.319%-
Last 10 (10)45.647.493.0-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)43.447.490.8-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.842.581.2-3.812%-
vs Similar (9)44.746.891.4-2.133%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)45.840.886.5+5.069%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 97.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀36%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.017.8
53.9%
54.5%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.213.6
38.6%
34.4%40.8
🏀 Free throws29.121.5
73.9%
75.2%21.5
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Veneziatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Venezia: 90.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.322.0
57.4%
54.5%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.9
35.9%
34.4%29.7
🏀 Free throws21.817.1
78.4%
75.2%17.1
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
LWLWWWWLWL
Venezia
LWWLLWLWWW
#14
League position
#9
+2.1
Net rating
-1.6
122.1
Offensive rating
114.5
120.0
Defensive rating
116.1
56.0%
Effective FG%
55.9%
57.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
16.7%
Turnover %
16.2%
36.6%
Off. rebound %
26.5%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.33
38.6%
3-point %
35.9%
58.3%
Assist %
67.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence122.1 · 114.5Defence120.0 · 116.1Shooting56.0% · 55.9%3-point %38.6% · 35.9%Ball care16.7% · 16.2%Off. rebounds36.6% · 26.5%Free throws0.43 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Neptunas   ■ Venezia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Neptunas wins
1
Venezia wins
DateGameScore
15/10/25Venezia v Neptunas89-69
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/25HSiauliai101-103
23/12/25ANevezis87-76
17/12/25ACluj-Napoca97-118
13/12/25AGargzdai104-87
10/12/25HSlask Wroclaw103-87 OT
07/12/25AJonava124-117 OT
04/12/25ABahcesehir Kol.100-85
18/11/25HAris87-93
15/11/25AJuventus97-90
11/11/25AHapoel Jerusalem93-110
Venezialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/25ABrescia93-104
21/12/25HBasket Napoli106-96
17/12/25HBahcesehir Kol.94-85
13/12/25ATrento90-96
10/12/25AAris86-90
07/12/25HCantu101-95
04/12/25AHapoel Jerusalem66-98
23/11/25ATortona98-90
19/11/25HManresa97-93
16/11/25AReggiana89-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
Eurocup 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL45%
HomeLWWLW60%
AwayLWLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%60%33%
Points / game93.497.889.7
Allowed / game95.592.498.0
Point differential-2.1+5.4-8.3
Avg total188.8190.2187.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%40%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %9%20%0%
Venezia
Eurocup 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW45%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%80%17%
Points / game86.290.282.8
Allowed / game86.977.494.8
Point differential-0.7+12.8-12.0
Avg total173.1167.6177.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%40%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %9%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Jerusalem1210283%95.182.2+12.9
2 JL Bourg1210283%80.172.7+7.4
3 Cedevita Olimpija128467%88.478.3+10.1
4 Buducnost128467%88.278.6+9.6
5 Besiktas128467%93.184.8+8.3
6 Bahcesehir Kol.128467%90.782.6+8.1
7 Turk Telekom127558%85.976.2+9.8
8 Cluj-Napoca127558%96.392.8+3.6
9 Trento127558%83.285.7-2.4
10 Chemnitz126650%82.782.2+0.4
11 Manresa126650%85.587.3-1.8
12 Aris126650%81.886.6-4.8
13 Venezia115645%86.286.9-0.7
14 Neptunas115645%93.495.5-2.1
15 Ulm115645%84.592.0-7.5
16 London Lions125742%76.981.6-4.7
17 Slask Wroclaw124833%85.391.7-6.3
18 Lietkabelis112918%77.687.0-9.4
19 Panionios121118%75.188.1-13.0
20 Hamburg120120%77.096.1-19.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas35213116103
Venezia29293129118
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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