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Netherlands vs Croatia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Aug 2026
Tip-off: 12:30
Final 99-101
31-22 27-22 19-32 22-25
Position#56
Record5-6
FormWLLLL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game79.3
vs
Croatia 🏆
Position#5
Record10-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game99.1
Allowed / game71.2
EuropeWorld CupRound 2· Topsportcentrum Almere
Other2027
Meetings · Netherlands v Croatia
30 Aug 2026
NETH99
CROA101
24 Feb 2020
NETH59
CROA69
24 Nov 2017
NETH68
CROA61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Netherlands winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Croatia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NetherlandsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bulgaria
#71
W
81-70
81
70
+11
A09/08
World Cup
Austria
#54
L
70-83
70
83
-13
A13/08
World Cup
Bulgaria
#71
W
97-70
97
70
+27
H20/08
World Cup
Latvia
#40
W
86-78
86
78
+8
A28/11
World Cup
Poland
#7
L
83-85
83
85
-2
H01/12
World Cup
Austria
#54
W
81-71
81
71
+10
A27/02
World Cup
Austria
#54
L
87-88
87
88
-1
H01/03
World Cup
Latvia
#40
L
69-72
69
72
-3
H03/07
World Cup
Poland
#7
L
84-92
84
92
-8
A06/07
World Cup
Germany
#8
L
83-99
83
99
-16
A27/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
22-17
18-21
19-17
10-19
21-20
17-30
22-14
25-29
26-12
16-14
30-15
26-12
22-17
17-21
21-28
28-22
25-15
17-21
13-27
17-13
23-21
15-19
26-18
23-18
27-25
17-18
20-27
26-18
7-23
21-11
15-20
16-18
28-28
21-27
19-19
31-38
19-26
16-18
17-17
162.9Avg total
82.1Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)80.579.3159.8+1.345%
Season at home (5)80.275.8156.0+4.440%
Season away (6)80.882.2163.0-1.350%
Last 10 (10)82.180.8162.9+1.340%
Last 5 (5)80.884.4165.2-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)72.983.3156.1-10.45%
vs Similar (7)76.977.7154.6-0.943%
vs Weaker (2)89.070.0159.0+19.0100%
This opponent (Croatia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denmark
#79
W
100-71
100
71
+29
H09/08
World Cup
Norway
#75
W
102-53
102
53
+49
H16/08
World Cup
Denmark
#79
W
79-76
79
76
+3
A20/08
World Cup
Cyprus
#92
W
100-60
100
60
+40
H28/11
World Cup
Israel
#67
W
85-71
85
71
+14
A01/12
World Cup
Germany
#8
W
93-88
93
88
+5
H27/02
World Cup
Germany
#8
L
89-91 OT
89
91
-2
A01/03
World Cup
Cyprus
#92
W
123-50
123
50
+73
A03/07
World Cup
Israel
#67
W
103-75
103
75
+28
H06/07
World Cup
Latvia
#40
W
115-80
115
80
+35
H27/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-14
32-29
21-16
23-12
28-14
34-8
22-13
18-18
12-21
24-17
24-19
19-19
28-8
19-19
28-23
25-10
25-25
22-17
24-14
14-15
20-26
26-24
29-22
18-16
24-22
26-19
17-21
10-15
35-12
24-14
33-10
31-14
25-12
22-19
27-20
29-24
23-14
37-27
25-16
30-23
170.4Avg total
98.9Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)99.171.2170.3+27.991%
Season at home (6)102.271.2173.3+31.0100%
Season away (5)95.471.2166.6+24.280%
Last 10 (10)98.971.5170.4+27.490%
Last 5 (5)104.676.8181.4+27.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)86.289.2175.4-3.040%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)91.469.9161.3+21.684%
This opponent (Netherlands) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +7.6+7.6Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +7.3+7.3Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +7.6+7.6Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +5.1+5.1
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +7.6+7.6Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +7.3+7.3Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +7.6+7.6Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +5.1+5.1
NetherlandsCroatia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NetherlandsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bulgaria
#71
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A09/08
World Cup
Austria
#54
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A13/08
World Cup
Bulgaria
#71
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H20/08
World Cup
Latvia
#40
W
48-29
48
29
+19
A28/11
World Cup
Poland
#7
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H01/12
World Cup
Austria
#54
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A27/02
World Cup
Austria
#54
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H01/03
World Cup
Latvia
#40
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H03/07
World Cup
Poland
#7
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A06/07
World Cup
Germany
#8
L
50-64
50
64
-14
A27/08
World Cup
85.0Avg total
44.4Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.840.078.8-1.240%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.938.478.3+1.457%-
Last 30 away (16)37.941.379.2-3.425%-
Last 10 (10)44.440.685.0+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)43.445.689.0-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)38.440.779.1-2.333%-
vs Similar (7)37.638.776.3-1.143%-
vs Weaker (2)47.536.584.0+11.0100%-
This opponent (Croatia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CroatiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denmark
#79
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H09/08
World Cup
Norway
#75
W
62-22
62
22
+40
H16/08
World Cup
Denmark
#79
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A20/08
World Cup
Cyprus
#92
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H28/11
World Cup
Israel
#67
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A01/12
World Cup
Germany
#8
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H27/02
World Cup
Germany
#8
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A01/03
World Cup
Cyprus
#92
W
59-26
59
26
+33
A03/07
World Cup
Israel
#67
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H06/07
World Cup
Latvia
#40
W
60-41
60
41
+19
H27/08
World Cup
87.1Avg total
51.0Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.236.082.2+10.273%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.634.382.9+14.387%-
Last 30 away (15)43.837.781.5+6.160%-
Last 10 (10)51.036.187.1+14.980%-
Last 5 (5)52.437.890.2+14.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)44.445.489.8-1.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)46.634.280.7+12.480%-
This opponent (Netherlands) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Netherlandstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Netherlands: 72.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 19% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.315.5
49.5%
-31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.89.2
35.5%
-27.5
🏀 Free throws20.213.7
67.8%
-13.7
They take 57.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Croatiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Croatia: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.118.3
55.3%
-36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.812.1
40.6%
-36.3
🏀 Free throws19.215.0
78.1%
-15.0
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/10 games with a box score before 30 Aug 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Netherlands
LLLLWLWWLW
Croatia
WWWLWWWWWW
#56
League position
#5
-7.9
Net rating
+22.7
97.5
Offensive rating
120.4
105.3
Defensive rating
97.6
51.2%
Effective FG%
57.9%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
23.6%
Turnover %
15.9%
28.0%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.5%
3-point %
40.6%
81.8%
Assist %
74.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)40% · 90%
■ Netherlands   ■ Croatia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Netherlands wins
2
Croatia wins
DateGameScore
20/02/21Croatia v Netherlands57-65
24/02/20Netherlands v Croatia59-69
26/02/18Croatia v Netherlands82-78
24/11/17Netherlands v Croatia68-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/08/26AGermany83-99
06/07/26APoland84-92
03/07/26HLatvia69-72
01/03/26HAustria87-88
27/02/26AAustria81-71
01/12/25HPoland83-85
28/11/25ALatvia86-78
20/08/25HBulgaria97-70
13/08/25AAustria70-83
09/08/25ABulgaria81-70
Croatialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/08/26HLatvia115-80
06/07/26HIsrael103-75
03/07/26ACyprus123-50
01/03/26AGermany89-91 OT
27/02/26HGermany93-88
01/12/25AIsrael85-71
28/11/25HCyprus100-60
20/08/25ADenmark79-76
16/08/25HNorway102-53
09/08/25HDenmark100-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Netherlands
World Cup 2027
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL45%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayLWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%40%50%
Points / game80.580.280.8
Allowed / game79.375.882.2
Point differential+1.3+4.4-1.3
Avg total159.8156.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%20%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)25% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Croatia
World Cup 2027
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW91%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %91%100%80%
Points / game99.1102.295.4
Allowed / game71.271.271.2
Point differential+27.9+31.0+24.2
Avg total170.3173.3166.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+73%83%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %9%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia880100%101.870.0+31.8
2 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
3 Canada770100%101.479.6+21.9
4 Turkey770100%89.372.6+16.7
5 Poland770100%96.080.3+15.7
6 Croatia1110191%99.171.2+27.9
7 Ivory Coast87188%90.574.2+16.2
8 Cameroon87188%77.669.2+8.4
9 Argentina76186%86.667.9+18.7
10 Lebanon76186%90.072.6+17.4
11 Brazil76186%93.178.0+15.1
12 France76186%85.372.0+13.3
13 Germany76186%93.380.4+12.9
14 Mexico54180%96.683.4+13.2
15 Dominican Republic54180%91.880.2+11.6
16 New Zealand86275%97.279.8+17.5
17 South Sudan86275%82.467.8+14.6
18 Senegal86275%85.070.5+14.5
19 Mali86275%82.875.6+7.1
20 Ukraine118373%81.974.7+7.2
21 Spain75271%87.974.6+13.3
22 Uruguay75271%85.073.1+11.9
23 Japan75271%86.475.4+11.0
24 Italy75271%85.777.0+8.7
25 Serbia75271%88.780.1+8.6
26 Jordan85362%85.571.0+14.5
27 Angola85362%86.273.4+12.9
28 Guinea85362%73.466.0+7.4
29 Iran85362%74.967.8+7.1
30 Tunisia85362%71.268.8+2.5
31 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
32 Portugal74357%82.976.9+6.0
33 China74357%83.980.9+3.0
34 Georgia74357%83.781.6+2.1
35 Qatar74357%76.775.6+1.1
36 Romania148657%76.976.6+0.3
37 Sweden74357%82.983.4-0.6
38 Finland74357%78.481.0-2.6
39 Montenegro74357%69.376.4-7.1
40 Nigeria95456%79.976.9+3.0
41 Hungary116555%81.376.6+4.6
42 Egypt84450%76.072.6+3.4
43 Switzerland168850%73.172.8+0.3
44 Philippines84450%76.976.8+0.1
45 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
46 Czech Republic63350%81.386.2-4.8
47 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
48 Netherlands115645%80.579.3+1.3
49 Greece73443%72.770.0+2.7
50 Bosnia & Herzegovina73443%78.977.0+1.9
51 Estonia73443%82.381.1+1.1
52 Lithuania73443%87.086.3+0.7
53 Latvia73443%83.182.9+0.3
54 Bahamas73443%92.393.6-1.3
55 Saudi Arabia73443%77.078.9-1.9
56 Slovenia73443%82.984.7-1.9
57 Austria146843%83.084.9-1.9
58 South Korea73443%77.480.1-2.7
59 Colombia73443%83.691.4-7.9
60 Iceland73443%82.491.4-9.0
61 Chile62433%72.277.2-5.0
62 Cape Verde93633%75.681.3-5.8
63 Chinese Taipei62433%77.284.5-7.3
64 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
65 Jamaica62433%86.3102.8-16.5
66 Israel72529%80.683.3-2.7
67 Puerto Rico72529%87.491.7-4.3
68 Panama72529%74.487.3-12.9
69 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
70 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
71 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
72 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
73 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
74 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
75 D.R. Congo82625%67.887.0-19.2
76 Syria82625%66.889.9-23.1
77 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
78 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
79 Denmark102820%73.186.8-13.7
80 Venezuela61517%79.087.5-8.5
81 Great Britain61517%80.290.5-10.3
82 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
83 Belgium6060%71.880.0-8.2
84 Rwanda6060%66.285.7-19.5
85 Libya6060%66.586.7-20.2
86 Uganda6060%64.086.5-22.5
87 Cuba6060%66.789.8-23.2
88 Nicaragua4040%72.095.5-23.5
89 Madagascar6060%73.797.7-24.0
90 Iraq6060%69.393.8-24.5
91 India6060%60.886.2-25.3
92 Cyprus6060%60.299.0-38.8
93 Guam6060%65.2104.5-39.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Netherlands3127192299
Croatia22223225101
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