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Netherlands vs Latvia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Jul 2026
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 69-72
26-18 7-23 21-11 15-20
Position#56
Record5-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game76.1
vs
Latvia 🏆
Position#40
Record1-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game82.5
EuropeWorld CupRound 5· Topsportcentrum Almere
Other2027
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Netherlands winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Latvia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NetherlandsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNetherlands
Date
Competition
Great Britain
#12
L
69-73
69
73
-4
no box
H21/02
EuroBasket
Greece
#6
L
53-63
53
63
-10
no box
A24/02
EuroBasket
Austria
#54
W
65-64
65
64
+1
no box
H02/08
World Cup
Bulgaria
#71
W
81-70
81
70
+11
no box
A09/08
World Cup
Austria
#54
L
70-83
70
83
-13
no box
A13/08
World Cup
Bulgaria
#71
W
97-70
97
70
+27
no box
H20/08
World Cup
Latvia
#40
W
86-78
86
78
+8
no box
A28/11
World Cup
Poland
#7
L
83-85
83
85
-2
no box
H01/12
World Cup
Austria
#54
W
81-71
81
71
+10
no box
A27/02
World Cup
Austria
#54
L
87-88
87
88
-1
no box
H01/03
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
15-11
21-18
19-24
18-18
5-16
16-14
14-15
21-12
13-23
18-14
13-15
22-15
22-17
18-21
19-17
10-19
21-20
17-30
22-14
25-29
26-12
16-14
30-15
26-12
22-17
17-21
21-28
28-22
25-15
17-21
13-27
17-13
23-21
15-19
26-18
23-18
27-25
17-18
20-27
151.7Avg total
77.2Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)81.276.1157.4+5.162%
Season at home (4)83.076.8159.8+6.250%
Season away (4)79.575.5155.0+4.075%
Last 10 (10)77.274.5151.7+2.750%
Last 5 (5)86.878.4165.2+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)71.981.5153.4-9.55%
vs Similar ◀ (6)78.278.7156.8-0.550%
vs Weaker (2)89.070.0159.0+19.0100%
This opponent (Latvia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LatviaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLatvia
Date
Competition
Turkey
#2
L
73-93
73
93
-20
62avg 77
H27/08
EuroBasket
Estonia
#18
W
72-70
72
70
+2
64avg 77
A29/08
EuroBasket
Serbia
#6
L
80-84
80
84
-4
74avg 77
H30/08
EuroBasket
Portugal
#17
W
78-62
78
62
+16
79avg 77
A01/09
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#23
W
109-75
109
75
+34
113avg 77
A03/09
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
79-88
79
88
-9
67avg 77
A06/09
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#56
L
78-86
78
86
-8
no box
H28/11
World Cup
Austria
#54
W
86-68
86
68
+18
no box
A01/12
World Cup
Poland
#7
L
82-84
82
84
-2
no box
H27/02
World Cup
Poland
#7
L
72-92
72
92
-20
no box
A01/03
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
18-23
16-25
18-21
17-21
21-21
25-19
9-9
18-22
20-20
18-25
24-17
23-21
27-7
15-15
13-19
30-24
28-20
28-12
23-19
18-28
19-19
17-19
25-22
12-26
17-22
21-17
28-21
20-24
20-13
29-17
17-14
23-21
25-21
14-24
20-18
16-23
20-31
18-16
18-22
161.1Avg total
80.9Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.582.5162.0-3.025%
Season at home (2)80.085.0165.0-5.00%
Season away (2)79.080.0159.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)80.980.2161.1+0.740%
Last 5 (5)79.483.6163.0-4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.490.8167.2-14.40%
vs Similar ◀ (8)82.881.1163.9+1.662%
vs Weaker (17)85.968.8154.8+17.1100%
This opponent (Netherlands) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +1.3+1.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +1.3+1.3
NetherlandsLatvia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NetherlandsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Great Britain
#12
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H21/02
EuroBasket
Greece
#6
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A24/02
EuroBasket
Austria
#54
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H02/08
World Cup
Bulgaria
#71
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A09/08
World Cup
Austria
#54
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A13/08
World Cup
Bulgaria
#71
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H20/08
World Cup
Latvia
#40
W
48-29
48
29
+19
A28/11
World Cup
Poland
#7
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H01/12
World Cup
Austria
#54
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A27/02
World Cup
Austria
#54
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H01/03
World Cup
75.8Avg total
40.3Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.439.177.6-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.438.679.1+1.857%-
Last 30 away (16)36.739.676.2-2.931%-
Last 10 (10)40.335.575.8+4.860%-
Last 5 (5)48.436.885.2+11.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)37.639.677.2-2.036%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)38.338.376.7+0.050%-
vs Weaker (2)47.536.584.0+11.0100%-
This opponent (Latvia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LatviaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turkey
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H27/08
EuroBasket
Estonia
#18
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A29/08
EuroBasket
Serbia
#6
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H30/08
EuroBasket
Portugal
#17
W
50-28
50
28
+22
A01/09
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#23
W
58-44
58
44
+14
A03/09
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A06/09
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#56
L
29-48
29
48
-19
H28/11
World Cup
Austria
#54
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A01/12
World Cup
Poland
#7
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H27/02
World Cup
Poland
#7
L
36-54
36
54
-18
A01/03
World Cup
84.4Avg total
41.3Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.439.480.8+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.838.280.0+3.567%-
Last 30 away (18)41.240.281.4+1.150%-
Last 10 (10)41.343.184.4-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)38.045.683.6-7.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.645.686.2-5.020%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)37.642.980.5-5.212%-
vs Weaker (17)43.535.979.4+7.588%-
This opponent (Netherlands) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Netherlandstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Netherlands: 72.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 19% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.315.5
49.5%
-31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.89.2
35.5%
-27.5
🏀 Free throws20.213.7
67.8%
-13.7
They take 57.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Latviatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Latvia: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.715.4
51.9%
-30.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.311.6
35.9%
-34.8
🏀 Free throws21.015.7
74.8%
-15.7
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/10 games with a box score before 03 Jul 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Netherlands
LWLWWLWWLL
Latvia
LLWLLWWLWL
#56
League position
#40
-7.9
Net rating
+7.8
97.5
Offensive rating
113.6
105.3
Defensive rating
105.8
51.2%
Effective FG%
52.9%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
23.6%
Turnover %
15.0%
28.0%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.34
35.5%
3-point %
35.9%
81.8%
Assist %
72.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Netherlands   ■ Latvia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Netherlands wins
0
Latvia wins
DateGameScore
28/11/25Latvia v Netherlands78-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/26HAustria87-88
27/02/26AAustria81-71
01/12/25HPoland83-85
28/11/25ALatvia86-78
20/08/25HBulgaria97-70
13/08/25AAustria70-83
09/08/25ABulgaria81-70
02/08/25HAustria65-64
24/02/25AGreece53-63
21/02/25HGreat Britain69-73
Latvialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/26APoland72-92
27/02/26HPoland82-84
01/12/25AAustria86-68
28/11/25HNetherlands78-86
06/09/25ALithuania79-88
03/09/25ACzech Republic109-75
01/09/25APortugal78-62
30/08/25HSerbia80-84
29/08/25AEstonia72-70
27/08/25HTurkey73-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Netherlands
World Cup 2027
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL62%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%50%75%
Points / game81.283.079.5
Allowed / game76.176.875.5
Point differential+5.1+6.2+4.0
Avg total157.4159.8155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Latvia
World Cup 2027
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeLL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%0%50%
Points / game79.580.079.0
Allowed / game82.585.080.0
Point differential-3.0-5.0-1.0
Avg total162.0165.0159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
2 Australia550100%94.670.8+23.8
3 Spain550100%87.467.2+20.2
4 Brazil440100%88.871.0+17.8
5 Canada440100%99.582.2+17.2
6 Poland550100%94.878.4+16.4
7 Turkey550100%87.274.0+13.2
8 Mali440100%82.074.8+7.2
9 Croatia98189%96.969.8+27.1
10 Jordan54180%80.858.6+22.2
11 Argentina54180%84.265.8+18.4
12 Lebanon54180%87.872.4+15.4
13 Uruguay54180%80.467.8+12.6
14 Guinea54180%77.065.0+12.0
15 Italy54180%87.475.4+12.0
16 Japan54180%84.073.8+10.2
17 Iran54180%75.865.8+10.0
18 Germany54180%88.680.2+8.4
19 Finland54180%79.876.6+3.2
20 South Sudan43175%84.862.8+22.0
21 Angola43175%86.870.5+16.2
22 Ivory Coast43175%89.274.5+14.8
23 Senegal43175%84.871.0+13.8
24 France43175%81.874.0+7.8
25 Cameroon43175%74.070.2+3.8
26 Dominican Republic32167%88.778.3+10.3
27 Mexico32167%91.084.0+7.0
28 Ukraine96367%80.075.2+4.8
29 Colombia32167%79.385.7-6.3
30 Netherlands85362%81.276.1+5.1
31 Romania138562%77.877.5+0.4
32 Greece53260%75.467.4+8.0
33 Lithuania53260%91.884.6+7.2
34 New Zealand53260%86.079.6+6.4
35 Qatar53260%80.874.6+6.2
36 Estonia53260%87.281.6+5.6
37 Slovenia53260%86.882.6+4.2
38 Saudi Arabia53260%77.674.0+3.6
39 Serbia53260%85.081.4+3.6
40 Nigeria53260%74.477.2-2.8
41 Montenegro53260%69.274.0-4.8
42 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
43 Switzerland158753%73.271.3+1.9
44 Tunisia42250%76.273.5+2.8
45 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
46 Jamaica42250%91.594.5-3.0
47 Cape Verde42250%79.585.5-6.0
48 D.R. Congo42250%71.078.0-7.0
49 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
50 Austria136746%84.382.8+1.5
51 Hungary94544%80.478.4+2.0
52 Philippines52340%83.277.0+6.2
53 Israel52340%80.674.8+5.8
54 Bosnia & Herzegovina52340%78.673.8+4.8
55 Portugal52340%82.878.6+4.2
56 South Korea52340%77.477.8-0.4
57 Georgia52340%78.881.6-2.8
58 Sweden52340%81.284.8-3.6
59 China52340%82.487.0-4.6
60 Chinese Taipei52340%77.883.0-5.2
61 Czech Republic52340%82.688.8-6.2
62 Iceland52340%83.290.4-7.2
63 Panama52340%76.885.8-9.0
64 Syria52340%68.879.4-10.6
65 Venezuela31233%78.080.7-2.7
66 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
67 Egypt41325%77.574.8+2.8
68 Latvia41325%79.582.5-3.0
69 Puerto Rico41325%84.587.8-3.2
70 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
71 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
72 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
73 Bahamas41325%82.093.0-11.0
74 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
75 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
76 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
77 Denmark92722%73.685.4-11.9
78 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
79 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
80 Great Britain51420%79.091.0-12.0
81 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
82 Belgium4040%72.278.8-6.5
83 Chile4040%68.579.5-11.0
84 Rwanda4040%67.081.2-14.2
85 Libya4040%64.284.0-19.8
86 Madagascar4040%70.291.8-21.5
87 Iraq5050%69.891.4-21.6
88 Cuba5050%66.088.0-22.0
89 India5050%58.683.8-25.2
90 Nicaragua2020%66.592.5-26.0
91 Uganda4040%63.890.0-26.2
92 Guam5050%63.299.6-36.4
93 Cyprus5050%56.496.6-40.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Netherlands267211569
Latvia1823112072
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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