PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Fresno State vs Nevada Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 57-72
32-36 25-36
Position#304
Record7-7
FormWLLWL
Points / game69.6
Allowed / game72.3
vs
Nevada 🏆
USA
Position#25
Record13-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game64.4
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Fresno State v Nevada
03 Jan 2026
FRES65
NEVA66
11 Jan 2025
FRES66
NEVA77
06 Jan 2024
FRES57
NEVA72
24 Feb 2023
FRES56
NEVA60
04 Feb 2022
FRES73
NEVA56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fresno State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
James Madison
#6
L
64-95
64
95
-31
H23/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#189
L
65-69
65
69
-4
H28/11
NCAA
Brigham Young
#61
L
56-85
56
85
-29
A02/12
NCAA
Idaho State
#279
W
79-67
79
67
+12
H06/12
NCAA
Pacific
#361
W
89-56
89
56
+33
H10/12
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#280
W
61-58
61
58
+3
H16/12
NCAA
Portland State
#184
L
72-75 OT
72
75
-3
H19/12
NCAA
San Francisco
#49
L
57-77
57
77
-20
A23/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#178
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A30/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
L
47-74
47
74
-27
A04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
23-51
41-44
31-29
34-40
23-36
33-49
42-35
37-32
42-23
47-33
24-17
37-41
28-41
37-24
34-39
23-38
26-22
45-45
26-39
21-35
138.4Avg total
66.1Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)69.672.3141.9-2.650%
Season at home (8)74.269.2143.5+5.062%
Season away (6)63.576.3139.8-12.833%
Last 10 (10)66.172.3138.4-6.240%
Last 5 (5)61.670.2131.8-8.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)63.572.4135.8-8.924%
vs Similar (11)71.568.0139.5+3.555%
vs Weaker (2)83.061.0144.0+22.0100%
This opponent (Nevada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana
#65
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H30/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#293
W
73-59
73
59
+14
H03/12
NCAA
UC Davis
#133
W
80-68
80
68
+12
H07/12
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
53-72
53
72
-19
A10/12
NCAA
Weber State
#101
W
72-55
72
55
+17
H14/12
NCAA
Hawaii
#149
W
72-66
72
66
+6
A18/12
NCAA
Temple
#254
W
80-56
80
56
+24
A21/12
NCAA
TCU
#111
W
88-75
88
75
+13
A22/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
72-64
72
64
+8
A25/12
NCAA
Fresno Pacific
#432
W
92-59
92
59
+33
H31/12
NCAA
1H
2H
39-18
38-48
38-26
35-33
29-27
51-41
19-28
34-44
29-22
43-33
36-37
36-29
35-28
45-28
48-36
40-39
36-30
36-34
45-20
47-39
139.9Avg total
75.9Scored
64.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)79.664.4144.0+15.393%
Season at home (8)83.461.5144.9+21.9100%
Season away (6)74.768.2142.8+6.583%
Last 10 (10)75.964.0139.9+11.990%
Last 5 (5)80.864.0144.8+16.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)72.672.9145.6-0.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)78.963.4142.3+15.693%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -3.3-3.31st half: +8.2+8.22nd half2nd half: -2.6-2.62nd half: +3.7+3.7
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -3.3-3.31st half: +8.2+8.22nd half2nd half: -2.6-2.62nd half: +3.7+3.7
Fresno StateNevada
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
James Madison
#6
L
23-51
23
51
-28
H23/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#189
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H28/11
NCAA
Brigham Young
#61
L
23-36
23
36
-13
A02/12
NCAA
Idaho State
#279
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H06/12
NCAA
Pacific
#361
W
42-23
42
23
+19
H10/12
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#280
W
24-17
24
17
+7
H16/12
NCAA
Portland State
#184
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H19/12
NCAA
San Francisco
#49
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A23/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#178
W
26-22
26
22
+4
A30/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A04/01
NCAA
63.1Avg total
29.9Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.832.663.4-1.943%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.230.162.4+2.169%-
Last 30 away (14)29.135.564.6-6.414%-
Last 10 (10)29.933.263.1-3.350%-
Last 5 (5)27.631.659.2-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)29.934.864.8-4.935%-
vs Similar (11)30.830.961.7-0.145%-
vs Weaker (2)37.523.561.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Nevada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana
#65
W
39-18
39
18
+21
H30/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#293
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H03/12
NCAA
UC Davis
#133
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H07/12
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
19-28
19
28
-9
A10/12
NCAA
Weber State
#101
W
29-22
29
22
+7
H14/12
NCAA
Hawaii
#149
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A18/12
NCAA
Temple
#254
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A21/12
NCAA
TCU
#111
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A22/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A25/12
NCAA
Fresno Pacific
#432
W
45-20
45
20
+25
H31/12
NCAA
62.6Avg total
35.4Scored
27.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.732.267.9+3.560%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.728.864.5+6.969%-
Last 30 away (14)35.736.171.9-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)35.427.262.6+8.280%-
Last 5 (5)40.030.270.2+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)33.034.467.4-1.438%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)38.829.768.5+9.186%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Fresno State wins
6
Nevada wins
DateGameScore
25/02/23Fresno State v Nevada56-60
11/02/23Nevada v Fresno State77-66
05/02/22Fresno State v Nevada73-56
22/01/22Nevada v Fresno State77-73
17/01/21Nevada v Fresno State79-65
16/01/21Nevada v Fresno State73-57
23/02/20Nevada v Fresno State78-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/24ASan Diego State47-74
30/12/23ASan Diego Toreros71-67
23/12/23ASan Francisco57-77
19/12/23HPortland State72-75 OT
16/12/23HCSU Bakersfield61-58
10/12/23HPacific89-56
06/12/23HIdaho State79-67
02/12/23ABrigham Young56-85
28/11/23HUC Santa Barbara65-69
23/11/23HJames Madison64-95
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/23HFresno Pacific92-59
25/12/23AGeorgia Tech72-64
22/12/23ATCU88-75
21/12/23ATemple80-56
18/12/23AHawaii72-66
14/12/23HWeber State72-55
10/12/23ADrake53-72
07/12/23HUC Davis80-68
03/12/23HLoyola Marymount73-59
30/11/23HMontana77-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fresno State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeLWWWL62%
AwayWLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %50%62%33%
Points / game69.674.263.5
Allowed / game72.369.276.3
Point differential-2.6+5.0-12.8
Avg total141.9143.5139.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)33% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %14%12%17%
Nevada
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW93%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %93%100%83%
Points / game79.683.474.7
Allowed / game64.461.568.2
Point differential+15.3+21.9+6.5
Avg total144.0144.9142.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State1413193%81.865.3+16.5
2 Colorado State1413193%84.168.2+15.9
3 Nevada1413193%79.664.4+15.3
4 Grand Canyon1413193%83.668.6+14.9
5 San Diego State1513287%77.165.2+11.9
6 New Mexico1412286%83.467.8+15.6
7 Boise State1410471%76.065.9+10.1
8 Wyoming148657%74.973.0+1.9
9 UNLV137654%76.268.4+7.8
10 Air Force137654%68.566.8+1.7
11 Fresno State147750%69.672.3-2.6
12 San Jose State157847%75.171.8+3.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Fresno State322557
Nevada363672
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.