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Nevada vs San Diego State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 50-69
21-28 29-41
Position#189
Record11-8
FormLWWWL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game68.1
Nevada
USA
vs
San Diego State 🏆
USA
Position#65
Record12-5
FormWLWLW
Points / game72.3
Allowed / game63.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Nevada v San Diego State
06 Jan 2026
NEVA68
SAN 73
25 Jan 2025
NEVA50
SAN 69
09 Feb 2024
NEVA70
SAN 66
31 Jan 2023
NEVA75
SAN 66
05 Mar 2022
NEVA78
SAN 79
29 Feb 2020
NEVA76
SAN 83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Diego State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Dakota St.
#108
W
77-63
77
63
+14
H12/12
NCAA
Texas Southern
#223
W
105-73
105
73
+32
H15/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
64-66
64
66
-2
H21/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
L
63-66
63
66
-3
A28/12
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
64-69
64
69
-5
H01/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
81-82 OT
81
82
-1
A04/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
77-66 OT
77
66
+11
A12/01
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
68-62
68
62
+6
H15/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H18/01
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
69-90
69
90
-21
A23/01
NCAA
1H
2H
30-37
47-26
55-31
50-42
30-33
34-33
24-26
39-40
33-28
31-41
37-34
33-36
30-31
34-33
33-35
35-27
36-32
39-32
38-47
31-43
144.4Avg total
74.3Scored
70.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)74.568.1142.6+6.458%
Season at home (14)75.965.9141.7+10.071%
Season away (5)70.874.4145.2-3.620%
Last 10 (10)74.370.1144.4+4.250%
Last 5 (5)74.072.8146.8+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)72.672.2144.8+0.440%
vs Similar ◀ (13)73.970.1144.0+3.854%
vs Weaker (12)76.164.8140.8+11.383%
This opponent (San Diego State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Diego StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego Toreros
#360
W
74-57
74
57
+17
H08/12
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H12/12
NCAA
California
#268
W
71-50
71
50
+21
H22/12
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
66-67
66
67
-1
H28/12
NCAA
Boise State
#55
W
76-68
76
68
+8
A04/01
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
67-38
67
38
+29
H09/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
48-62
48
62
-14
A11/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
W
75-60
75
60
+15
H15/01
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
68-76
68
76
-8
H19/01
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
77-76 OT
77
76
+1
A23/01
NCAA
1H
2H
33-31
41-26
40-33
41-42
25-16
46-34
43-32
23-35
33-32
43-36
33-24
34-14
20-30
28-32
35-29
40-31
23-31
45-45
35-31
33-37
133.2Avg total
70.3Scored
62.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)72.363.5135.8+8.871%
Season at home (11)72.762.5135.3+10.264%
Season away (6)71.565.2136.7+6.383%
Last 10 (10)70.362.9133.2+7.470%
Last 5 (5)67.062.4129.4+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)63.872.5136.2-8.850%
vs Similar ◀ (15)70.765.9136.5+4.853%
vs Weaker (11)76.059.4135.4+16.691%
This opponent (Nevada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +1.2+1.21st half: +3.1+3.12nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: +4.2+4.2
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +1.2+1.21st half: +3.1+3.12nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: +4.2+4.2
NevadaSan Diego State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Dakota St.
#108
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H12/12
NCAA
Texas Southern
#223
W
55-31
55
31
+24
H15/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H21/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
L
24-26
24
26
-2
A28/12
NCAA
Utah State
#28
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H01/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A04/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A12/01
NCAA
Air Force
#367
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H15/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H18/01
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A23/01
NCAA
68.0Avg total
34.6Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.432.066.4+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (20)35.531.967.4+3.560%-
Last 30 away (10)32.432.064.4+0.450%-
Last 10 (10)34.633.468.0+1.240%-
Last 5 (5)34.835.870.6-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.633.869.4+1.860%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)34.233.367.5+0.846%-
vs Weaker (12)34.229.864.0+4.567%-
This opponent (San Diego State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Diego StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego Toreros
#360
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H08/12
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H12/12
NCAA
California
#268
W
25-16
25
16
+9
H22/12
NCAA
Utah State
#28
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H28/12
NCAA
Boise State
#55
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A04/01
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H09/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
20-30
20
30
-10
A11/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H15/01
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
23-31
23
31
-8
H19/01
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A23/01
NCAA
60.9Avg total
32.0Scored
28.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.329.762.0+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (18)33.929.463.3+4.667%-
Last 30 away (12)29.930.160.0-0.242%-
Last 10 (10)32.028.960.9+3.180%-
Last 5 (5)29.229.058.2+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)27.833.060.8-5.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)32.132.364.3-0.240%-
vs Weaker (11)34.424.959.3+9.591%-
This opponent (Nevada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Nevada wins
8
San Diego State wins
DateGameScore
10/02/24Nevada v San Diego State70-66 OT
18/01/24San Diego State v Nevada71-59
01/02/23Nevada v San Diego State75-66
11/01/23San Diego State v Nevada74-65
06/03/22Nevada v San Diego State78-79
06/02/22San Diego State v Nevada65-63
13/03/21San Diego State v Nevada77-70
10/01/21San Diego State v Nevada69-67
08/01/21San Diego State v Nevada65-60
01/03/20Nevada v San Diego State76-83
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/25AUtah State69-90
18/01/25HSan Jose State75-64
15/01/25HAir Force68-62
12/01/25AFresno State77-66 OT
04/01/25ANew Mexico81-82 OT
01/01/25HUtah State64-69
28/12/24AWyoming63-66
21/12/24HColorado State64-66
15/12/24HTexas Southern105-73
12/12/24HSouth Dakota St.77-63
San Diego Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/25AAir Force77-76 OT
19/01/25HUNLV68-76
15/01/25HColorado State75-60
11/01/25ANew Mexico48-62
09/01/25HAir Force67-38
04/01/25ABoise State76-68
28/12/24HUtah State66-67
22/12/24HCalifornia71-50
12/12/24HCalifornia Baptist81-75
08/12/24HSan Diego Toreros74-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevada
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL58%
HomeWLLWW71%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19145
Win %58%71%20%
Points / game74.575.970.8
Allowed / game68.165.974.4
Point differential+6.4+10.0-3.6
Avg total142.6141.7145.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%57%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)25% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %11%0%40%
San Diego State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW71%
HomeWLWWL64%
AwayWWWLW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17116
Win %71%64%83%
Points / game72.372.771.5
Allowed / game63.562.565.2
Point differential+8.8+10.2+6.3
Avg total135.8135.3136.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%45%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %12%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State2018290%82.767.5+15.2
2 New Mexico2117481%83.472.4+11.0
3 Grand Canyon2015575%79.568.1+11.4
4 San Diego State1712571%72.363.5+8.8
5 Boise State2013765%77.767.5+10.2
6 Colorado State2013765%73.968.3+5.6
7 Nevada1911858%74.568.1+6.4
8 UNLV2011955%71.270.3+0.9
9 Wyoming20101050%68.570.8-2.3
10 San Jose State21101148%74.672.3+2.3
11 Fresno State2051525%72.581.5-9.1
12 Air Force2031715%63.671.1-7.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Nevada212950
San Diego State284169
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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