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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Nevezis-OPTIBET Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 15:20
Final 94-59
27-10 17-14 30-25 20-10
Position#1
Record11-1
FormWLLWW
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game68.2
vs
Position#10
Record5-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game83.9
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Nevezis-OPTIBET
02 May 2021
ZAL99
NOP66
24 Jan 2021
ZAL94
NOP59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevezis-OPTIBET winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#3
W
82-77
82
77
+5
A20/12
LKL
Bayern
#5
W
74-73
74
73
+1
H23/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
74-71
74
71
+3
A29/12
Euroleague
Neptunas
#6
W
104-74
104
74
+30
A03/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
98-82
98
82
+16
A05/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Khimki M.
#18
W
102-75
102
75
+27
H08/01
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
73-83
73
83
-10
A13/01
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
65-77
65
77
-12
A15/01
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
103-77
103
77
+26
H18/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Olympiacos
#12
W
81-79
81
79
+2
H22/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-13
13-7
13-27
29-30
22-16
18-19
16-16
18-22
12-14
19-23
23-11
20-23
34-20
25-20
25-14
20-20
25-26
28-24
23-17
22-15
22-20
17-28
39-13
24-14
11-18
21-27
20-15
21-23
14-17
22-19
13-20
16-21
30-18
24-19
22-27
27-13
26-20
19-24
18-16
18-19
162.4Avg total
85.6Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)87.768.2155.9+19.492%
Season at home (6)85.065.8150.8+19.283%
Season away (6)90.370.7161.0+19.7100%
Last 10 (10)85.676.8162.4+8.880%
Last 5 (5)84.878.2163.0+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.579.0154.5-3.525%
vs Similar (13)80.479.3159.7+1.154%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)91.471.9163.3+19.5100%
This opponent (Nevezis-OPTIBET) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nevezis-OPTIBETLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#7
W
96-77
96
77
+19
H25/10
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
100-94
100
94
+6
H31/10
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
74-80
74
80
-6
A07/11
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
85-87
85
87
-2
A22/11
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
70-87
70
87
-17
H01/12
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
L
58-81
58
81
-23
H28/12
LKL
CBet
#5
L
85-87
85
87
-2
A03/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
91-96
91
96
-5
A09/01
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
78-82
78
82
-4
H14/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
69-98
69
98
-29
A20/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
29-16
17-18
32-23
23-20
27-24
21-29
29-21
16-14
22-25
20-22
16-19
13-20
33-27
16-20
23-20
22-25
15-24
16-16
17-22
12-27
12-23
20-18
14-13
23-17
12-33
31-16
19-21
23-24
19-18
29-23
20-31
24-23
18-17
14-22
22-20
14-29
17-21
23-23
15-25
167.5Avg total
80.6Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)80.183.9164.0-3.733%
Season at home (7)81.482.7164.1-1.357%
Season away (8)79.084.9163.9-5.912%
Last 10 (10)80.686.9167.5-6.320%
Last 5 (5)76.288.8165.0-12.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)79.286.2165.5-7.025%
vs Similar (7)81.181.1162.3+0.043%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -0.8-0.8
Zalgiris KaunasNevezis-OPTIBET
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#3
W
40-20
40
20
+20
A20/12
LKL
Bayern
#5
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H23/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A29/12
Euroleague
Neptunas
#6
W
59-40
59
40
+19
A03/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A05/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Khimki M.
#18
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H08/01
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A13/01
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A15/01
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H18/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Olympiacos
#12
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H22/01
Euroleague
82.1Avg total
42.9Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.539.080.6+2.563%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.038.681.6+4.475%-
Last 30 away (14)39.939.679.4+0.350%-
Last 10 (10)42.939.282.1+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)41.242.083.2-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.041.077.0-5.025%-
vs Similar (13)40.441.381.7-0.954%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.436.280.5+8.285%-
This opponent (Nevezis-OPTIBET) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nevezis-OPTIBETLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#7
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H25/10
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H31/10
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A07/11
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A22/11
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H01/12
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
L
24-50
24
50
-26
H28/12
LKL
CBet
#5
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A03/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A09/01
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H14/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A20/01
LKL
83.9Avg total
39.2Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (15)39.341.580.8-2.340%-
Last 30 at home (7)40.341.481.7-1.157%-
Last 30 away (8)38.441.680.0-3.225%-
Last 10 (10)39.244.783.9-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)34.846.481.2-11.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)39.041.880.8-2.838%-
vs Similar (7)39.641.380.9-1.743%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.421.1
56.4%
54.2%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.49.9
44.2%
36.6%29.7
🏀 Free throws13.911.9
85.6%
75.2%11.9
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nevezis-OPTIBETtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis-OPTIBET: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.5
55.2%
54.2%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.18.5
31.4%
36.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.615.3
78.1%
75.2%15.3
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWLLWWWWWW
Nevezis-OPTIBET
LLLLLLLLWW
#1
League position
#10
+14.9
Net rating
-8.7
119.8
Offensive rating
102.6
104.9
Defensive rating
111.3
60.1%
Effective FG%
51.7%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
19.0%
Turnover %
22.3%
33.9%
Off. rebound %
31.9%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.31
44.2%
3-point %
31.4%
70.0%
Assist %
55.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence119.8 · 102.6Defence104.9 · 111.3Shooting60.1% · 51.7%3-point %44.2% · 31.4%Ball care19.0% · 22.3%Off. rebounds33.9% · 31.9%Free throws0.23 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 20%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Nevezis-OPTIBET
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
0
Nevezis-OPTIBET wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/21HOlympiacos81-79
18/01/21HPieno Zvaigzdes103-77
15/01/21AZenit Petersburg65-77
13/01/21ACSKA Moscow73-83
08/01/21HKhimki M.102-75
05/01/21APieno Zvaigzdes98-82
03/01/21ANeptunas104-74
29/12/20AAlba Berlin74-71
23/12/20HBayern74-73
20/12/20ALietkabelis82-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/21ALietkabelis69-98
14/01/21HAlytaus Dzukija78-82
09/01/21ARytas91-96
03/01/21ACBet85-87
28/12/20HPieno Zvaigzdes58-81
01/12/20HJuventus70-87
22/11/20ASiauliai85-87
07/11/20AAlytaus Dzukija74-80
31/10/20HRytas100-94
25/10/20HSiauliai96-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %92%83%100%
Points / game87.785.090.3
Allowed / game68.265.870.7
Point differential+19.4+19.2+19.7
Avg total155.9150.8161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%67%83%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %8%17%0%
Nevezis-OPTIBET
LKL 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeWWLLL57%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %33%57%12%
Points / game80.181.479.0
Allowed / game83.982.784.9
Point differential-3.7-1.3-5.9
Avg total164.0164.1163.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%14%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas1211192%87.768.2+19.4
2 Lietkabelis1511473%84.774.2+10.5
3 Rytas1611569%89.281.7+7.6
4 Juventus1510567%86.586.1+0.4
5 Pieno Zvaigzdes157847%78.580.9-2.3
6 Neptunas1761135%78.485.5-7.1
7 Alytaus Dzukija124833%80.984.0-3.1
8 Nevezis-OPTIBET1551033%80.183.9-3.7
9 CBet1961332%85.590.9-5.5
10 Siauliai1441029%80.091.9-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas2717302094
Nevezis-OPTIBET1014251059
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