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Nevezis vs BC Olimpas Palanga Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 31 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 83-57
24-10 26-26 14-10 19-11
Position#6
Record1-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game95.3
Nevezis 🏆
Lithuania
vs
BC Olimpas Palanga
Lithuania
Position#8
Record1-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game79.3
LithuaniaKing Mindaugas Cup· Kedainiu arena (Kedainiai)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Nevezis v BC Olimpas Palanga
31 Oct 2023
NEV83
OPA57
02 Mar 2013
NEV69
OPA68
06 Jan 2012
NEV86
OPA72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevezis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BC Olimpas Palanga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#5
L
79-100
79
100
-21
67avg 78
A30/09
LKL
FC Porto
#12
L
84-100
84
100
-16
87avg 78
A03/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Manisa
#13
L
88-98
88
98
-10
89avg 78
H04/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Juventus
#4
L
64-91
64
91
-27
51avg 78
H09/10
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
112-107
112
107
+5
109avg 78
H12/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#12
L
84-97
84
97
-13
80avg 78
A16/10
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
98-102
98
102
-4
89avg 78
H19/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
70-76
70
76
-6
70avg 78
H22/10
LKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#8
L
66-77
66
77
-11
59avg 78
A24/10
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
L
74-89
74
89
-15
70avg 78
A28/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-28
18-23
21-30
15-19
23-25
12-13
24-32
25-30
20-12
25-30
25-33
18-23
17-23
19-20
16-29
12-19
37-23
24-23
29-31
22-30
23-23
25-23
24-23
12-28
25-23
20-29
28-26
25-24
24-31
22-23
11-10
13-12
21-19
15-23
12-13
18-22
20-27
18-30
15-18
21-14
175.6Avg total
81.9Scored
93.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)92.095.3187.3-3.333%
Season at home (2)105.0104.5209.5+0.550%
Season away (1)66.077.0143.0-11.00%
Last 10 (10)81.993.7175.6-11.810%
Last 5 (5)78.488.2166.6-9.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)82.294.7176.9-12.40%
vs Similar ◀ (8)93.093.8186.8-0.850%
vs Weaker (6)96.894.3191.2+2.567%
This opponent (BC Olimpas Palanga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC Olimpas PalangaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPalanga
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
87-72
87
72
+15
85avg 80
H07/10
NKL
Siauliai
#4
L
75-88
75
88
-13
72avg 80
H10/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Kretinga
#8
W
87-72
87
72
+15
89avg 80
A12/10
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
89-90
89
90
-1
82avg 80
H14/10
NKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
78-84
78
84
-6
68avg 80
A17/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas 2
#13
W
80-65
80
65
+15
78avg 80
H19/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
89-66
89
66
+23
86avg 80
A21/10
NKL
Nevezis
#6
W
77-66
77
66
+11
75avg 80
H24/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
W
82-63
82
63
+19
80avg 80
H26/10
NKL
Silute
#14
W
91-86
91
86
+5
88avg 80
A28/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
23-20
18-15
24-18
16-16
21-17
21-24
17-31
25-16
21-15
24-27
17-14
19-27
23-19
23-27
24-17
11-16
25-21
16-21
26-26
22-14
18-19
21-14
19-18
19-18
22-19
22-19
26-10
19-21
23-15
13-12
22-18
20-17
16-14
24-11
22-21
21-23
16-17
22-26
32-20
158.7Avg total
83.5Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)76.779.3156.0-2.733%
Season at home (2)76.077.0153.0-1.050%
Season away (1)78.084.0162.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)83.575.2158.7+8.370%
Last 5 (5)83.869.2153.0+14.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.082.3156.3-8.333%
vs Similar ◀ (8)75.479.0154.4-3.638%
vs Weaker (19)79.869.9149.8+9.989%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: +3.6+3.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: +3.6+3.6
NevezisBC Olimpas Palanga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#5
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A30/09
LKL
FC Porto
#12
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A03/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Manisa
#13
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H04/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Juventus
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H09/10
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
61-46
61
46
+15
H12/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#12
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A16/10
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H19/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
46-54
46
54
-8
H22/10
LKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#8
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A24/10
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
L
38-57
38
57
-19
A28/10
LKL
90.4Avg total
43.3Scored
47.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.746.189.8-2.427%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.047.691.6-3.621%-
Last 30 away (16)43.444.988.3-1.431%-
Last 10 (10)43.347.190.4-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)42.650.292.8-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)40.948.189.0-7.16%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)45.144.289.4+0.938%-
vs Weaker (6)49.243.592.7+5.767%-
This opponent (BC Olimpas Palanga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC Olimpas PalangaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H07/10
NKL
Siauliai
#4
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H10/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Kretinga
#8
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A12/10
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H14/10
NKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A17/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas 2
#13
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H19/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A21/10
NKL
Nevezis
#6
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H24/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H26/10
NKL
Silute
#14
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A28/10
NKL
76.5Avg total
40.2Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.738.777.4+0.157%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.436.574.9+1.969%-
Last 30 away (14)39.141.180.3-2.043%-
Last 10 (10)40.236.376.5+3.970%-
Last 5 (5)39.235.474.6+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.741.777.3-6.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)39.141.680.8-2.550%-
vs Weaker (19)39.136.976.0+2.163%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.222.2
55.2%
56.9%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.58.5
37.8%
34.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws16.111.0
68.3%
74.5%11.0
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BC Olimpas Palangatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Olimpas Palanga: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.521.1
57.8%
56.9%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.1
33.6%
34.9%24.3
🏀 Free throws22.116.4
74.2%
74.5%16.4
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nevezis
LLLLLWLLLL
BC Olimpas Palanga
WWWWWLLWLW
#6
League position
#8
-15.6
Net rating
+11.7
106.7
Offensive rating
112.9
122.2
Defensive rating
101.2
55.7%
Effective FG%
54.9%
59.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
22.5%
Turnover %
19.3%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
33.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.36
37.8%
3-point %
33.6%
65.8%
Assist %
70.5%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.7 · 112.9Defence122.2 · 101.2Shooting55.7% · 54.9%3-point %37.8% · 33.6%Ball care22.5% · 19.3%Off. rebounds32.2% · 33.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)10% · 70%
■ Nevezis   ■ BC Olimpas Palanga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Nevezis wins
1
BC Olimpas Palanga wins
DateGameScore
24/10/23BC Olimpas Palanga v Nevezis77-66
02/03/13Nevezis v BC Olimpas Palanga69-68
09/11/12BC Olimpas Palanga v Nevezis74-84
06/01/12Nevezis v BC Olimpas Palanga86-72
04/11/11BC Olimpas Palanga v Nevezis61-76
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/23ABC Wolves74-89
24/10/23ABC Olimpas Palanga66-77
22/10/23HZalgiris Kaunas70-76
19/10/23HSiauliai98-102
16/10/23AGargzdai84-97
12/10/23HPieno Zvaigzdes112-107
09/10/23HJuventus64-91
04/10/23HManisa88-98
03/10/23AFC Porto84-100
30/09/23ALietkabelis79-100
BC Olimpas Palangalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/23ASilute91-86
26/10/23HUkmerges Stekas82-63
24/10/23HNevezis77-66
21/10/23AVilkaviskis89-66
19/10/23HRytas 280-65
17/10/23APieno Zvaigzdes78-84
14/10/23HTelsiai89-90
12/10/23AKretinga87-72
10/10/23HSiauliai75-88
07/10/23HZalgiris Kaunas 287-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevezis
King Mindaugas Cup 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game92.0105.066.0
Allowed / game95.3104.577.0
Point differential-3.3+0.5-11.0
Avg total187.3209.5143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
BC Olimpas Palanga
King Mindaugas Cup 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game76.776.078.0
Allowed / game79.377.084.0
Point differential-2.7-1.0-6.0
Avg total156.0153.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siauliai330100%98.088.7+9.3
2 Neptunas330100%92.087.7+4.3
3 Juventus32167%86.776.0+10.7
4 BC Olimpas Palanga31233%76.779.3-2.7
5 Nevezis31233%92.095.3-3.3
6 Pieno Zvaigzdes31233%94.798.0-3.3
7 Gargzdai31233%81.091.3-10.3
8 Mazeikiai3030%84.789.3-4.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nevezis2426141983
BC Olimpas Palanga1026101157
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