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Mazeikiai vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 70-91
13-27 20-25 20-16 17-23
Position#9
Record0-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game92.2
Mazeikiai
Lithuania
vs
Neptunas 🏆
Lithuania
Position#2
Record2-3
FormLLLWW
Points / game92.6
Allowed / game84.6
LithuaniaKing Mindaugas Cup· Telsiu sporto arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Mazeikiai v Neptunas
15 Mar 2025
MAZ77
NEP96
06 Nov 2024
MAZ70
NEP91
27 Oct 2024
MAZ107
NEP96
17 Dec 2023
MAZ70
NEP68
11 Oct 2023
MAZ86
NEP87
28 Mar 2015
MAZ59
NEP71
10 Nov 2014
MAZ69
NEP81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mazeikiai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MazeikiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMazeikiai
Date
Competition
Juventus
#10
L
73-86
73
86
-13
63avg 71
H02/10
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#4
L
86-95
86
95
-9
81avg 71
H05/10
LKL
Neptunas
#2
L
71-106
71
106
-35
61avg 71
A09/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
L
46-91
46
91
-45
34avg 71
H13/10
LKL
Nevezis
#5
L
71-89
71
89
-18
62avg 71
A15/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#5
L
83-103
83
103
-20
82avg 71
A19/10
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
85-91
85
91
-6
81avg 71
H22/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#7
W
107-96
107
96
+11
103avg 71
H27/10
LKL
Jonava
#4
L
74-89
74
89
-15
69avg 71
A31/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
L
77-98
77
98
-21
69avg 71
H03/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-28
27-19
17-20
14-19
26-25
26-25
13-24
21-21
19-25
15-27
24-32
13-22
17-21
17-21
6-26
6-23
26-26
21-19
8-28
16-16
17-26
23-19
13-31
30-27
24-19
30-20
22-24
9-28
28-22
20-20
29-25
30-29
19-31
15-16
24-24
16-18
13-29
22-20
23-30
19-19
171.7Avg total
77.3Scored
94.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)74.892.2167.0-17.40%
Season at home (2)79.088.5167.5-9.50%
Season away (3)72.094.7166.7-22.70%
Last 10 (10)77.394.4171.7-17.110%
Last 5 (5)85.295.4180.6-10.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)76.491.1167.5-14.812%
vs Similar (5)83.284.4167.6-1.260%
vs Weaker (1)79.073.0152.0+6.0100%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#8
L
82-102
82
102
-20
73avg 82
A02/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
W
99-92
99
92
+7
87avg 82
A06/10
LKL
Mazeikiai
#9
W
106-71
106
71
+35
114avg 82
H09/10
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#4
W
89-74
89
74
+15
84avg 82
H12/10
LKL
Jonava
#4
L
84-88
84
88
-4
79avg 82
A15/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#8
L
103-108 OT
103
108
-5
100avg 82
A19/10
LKL
Nevezis
#5
L
86-88
86
88
-2
86avg 82
H23/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#10
L
96-107
96
107
-11
92avg 82
A27/10
LKL
Juventus
#10
W
105-74
105
74
+31
107avg 82
H30/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
W
89-81
89
81
+8
84avg 82
A02/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
26-20
23-29
16-35
32-17
24-29
21-27
22-19
25-19
27-15
32-24
22-13
25-23
18-19
29-15
17-17
27-25
24-19
11-28
22-16
19-26
34-14
19-22
22-32
22-17
23-22
25-25
16-24
22-28
20-20
25-29
29-30
22-19
30-15
23-20
30-20
23-18
20-14
21-21
25-28
182.4Avg total
93.9Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)92.684.6177.2+8.040%
Season at home (3)99.077.7176.7+21.367%
Season away (2)83.095.0178.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)93.988.5182.4+5.450%
Last 5 (5)95.891.6187.4+4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)85.186.5171.6-1.554%
vs Similar (6)89.887.5177.3+2.383%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)89.989.0178.9+0.936%
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +5.9+5.9Q3Q3: -8.5-8.5Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -4.8-4.8Q4: -1.3-1.3
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +5.9+5.9Q3Q3: -8.5-8.5Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -4.8-4.8Q4: -1.3-1.3
MazeikiaiNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MazeikiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#10
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H02/10
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#4
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H05/10
LKL
Neptunas
#2
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A09/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H13/10
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A15/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#5
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A19/10
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H22/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#7
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H27/10
LKL
Jonava
#4
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A31/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H03/11
LKL
87.8Avg total
42.0Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.244.784.9-4.540%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.743.783.5-4.040%-
Last 30 away (15)40.745.786.4-5.140%-
Last 10 (10)42.045.887.8-3.840%-
Last 5 (5)42.244.486.6-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)39.544.884.2-5.238%-
vs Similar (5)43.246.689.8-3.440%-
vs Weaker (1)42.035.077.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#8
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A02/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A06/10
LKL
Mazeikiai
#9
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H09/10
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#4
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H12/10
LKL
Jonava
#4
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A15/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#8
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A19/10
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H23/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#10
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A27/10
LKL
Juventus
#10
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H30/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A02/11
LKL
87.7Avg total
48.0Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.040.084.1+4.070%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.940.384.1+3.673%-
Last 30 away (15)44.239.884.0+4.467%-
Last 10 (10)48.039.787.7+8.390%-
Last 5 (5)47.038.685.6+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)40.838.779.5+2.154%-
vs Similar (6)47.541.789.2+5.883%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)46.040.786.7+5.382%-
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mazeikiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mazeikiai: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
44%
35%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.615.3
53.5%
55.0%30.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.311.1
39.2%
36.6%33.3
🏀 Free throws17.912.6
70.4%
74.4%12.6
They take 56.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 92.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
44%
35%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.122.0
59.3%
55.0%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.210.2
37.5%
36.6%30.6
🏀 Free throws23.518.1
77.0%
74.4%18.1
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mazeikiai
LLWLLLLLLL
Neptunas
WWLLLLWWWL
#9
League position
#2
-23.5
Net rating
+6.5
103.9
Offensive rating
121.4
127.4
Defensive rating
114.9
56.2%
Effective FG%
58.0%
58.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.6%
21.3%
Turnover %
16.0%
21.3%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.37
39.2%
3-point %
37.5%
63.3%
Assist %
67.1%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.9 · 121.4Defence127.4 · 114.9Shooting56.2% · 58.0%3-point %39.2% · 37.5%Ball care21.3% · 16.0%Off. rebounds21.3% · 31.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ Mazeikiai   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Mazeikiai wins
7
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
27/10/24Mazeikiai v Neptunas107-96
09/10/24Neptunas v Mazeikiai106-71
01/04/24Neptunas v Mazeikiai91-89
17/12/23Mazeikiai v Neptunas70-68
08/11/23Neptunas v Mazeikiai109-80
23/10/23Neptunas v Mazeikiai84-87
11/10/23Mazeikiai v Neptunas86-87 OT
28/03/15Mazeikiai v Neptunas59-71
04/01/15Neptunas v Mazeikiai95-77
10/11/14Mazeikiai v Neptunas69-81
Mazeikiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/24HNevezis77-98
31/10/24AJonava74-89
27/10/24HNeptunas107-96
22/10/24HSiauliai85-91
19/10/24AJonava83-103
15/10/24ANevezis71-89
13/10/24HJuventus46-91
09/10/24ANeptunas71-106
05/10/24HBC Wolves86-95
02/10/24HJuventus73-86
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/24ALietkabelis89-81
30/10/24HJuventus105-74
27/10/24AMazeikiai96-107
23/10/24HNevezis86-88
19/10/24ASiauliai103-108 OT
15/10/24AJonava84-88
12/10/24HBC Wolves89-74
09/10/24HMazeikiai106-71
06/10/24AJuventus99-92
02/10/24ASiauliai82-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mazeikiai
King Mindaugas Cup 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game74.879.072.0
Allowed / game92.288.594.7
Point differential-17.4-9.5-22.7
Avg total167.0167.5166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas
King Mindaugas Cup 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW40%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game92.699.083.0
Allowed / game84.677.795.0
Point differential+8.0+21.3-12.0
Avg total177.2176.7178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jonava54180%89.683.2+6.4
2 Siauliai54180%94.488.2+6.2
3 Juventus53260%84.886.0-1.2
4 Neptunas52340%92.684.6+8.0
5 Nevezis52340%87.089.0-2.0
6 Mazeikiai5050%74.892.2-17.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mazeikiai1320201770
Neptunas2725162391
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