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New York Knicks vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 12 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 00:30
Scheduled
Position#16
Record6-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game109.8
Allowed / game103.7
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.8/10
Around normal
4.6/10
Around normal
Position#10
Record7-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game114.6
Allowed / game112.8
USANBA· Madison Square Garden
NBA2026-27
Meetings · New York Knicks v Denver Nuggets
11 Jan 2027
NYK v DEN
upcoming
04 Feb 2026
NYK134
DEN127
29 Jan 2025
NYK122
DEN112
25 Jan 2024
NYK122
DEN84
18 Mar 2023
NYK116
DEN110
04 Dec 2021
NYK99
DEN113
10 Jan 2021
NYK89
DEN114
05 Dec 2019
NYK92
DEN129
22 Mar 2019
NYK93
DEN111
30 Oct 2017
NYK116
DEN110
10 Feb 2017
NYK123
DEN131
07 Feb 2016
NYK96
DEN101
16 Nov 2014
NYK109
DEN93
07 Feb 2014
NYK117
DEN90
09 Dec 2012
NYK112
DEN106
21 Jan 2012
NYK114
DEN119
12 Dec 2010
NYK129
DEN125
23 Mar 2010
NYK109
DEN104
28 Dec 2008
NYK110
DEN117
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New York Knicks win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New York KnicksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKnicks
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#20
L
102-111
102
111
-9
90avg 108
H25/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#9
W
111-97
111
97
+14
107avg 108
H28/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
133-127
133
127
+6
124avg 108
A29/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
93-98
93
98
-5
84avg 108
A30/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
W
103-90
103
90
+13
99avg 108
H03/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
135-105
135
105
+30
136avg 108
H05/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
W
109-97
109
97
+12
101avg 108
A08/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
117-85
117
85
+32
116avg 108
H11/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
L
107-115
107
115
-8
105avg 108
H12/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
L
104-106
104
106
-2
96avg 108
A14/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-21
24-27
23-23
27-40
25-38
26-12
37-13
23-34
34-33
22-29
34-34
43-31
21-29
23-24
24-24
25-21
27-21
24-23
24-35
28-11
43-21
41-31
29-27
22-26
26-27
37-26
25-17
21-27
26-21
32-13
27-38
32-13
23-33
30-26
23-23
31-33
27-26
22-32
35-27
20-21
214.5Avg total
111.4Scored
103.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)109.8103.7213.4+6.150%
Season at home (7)110.7101.3212.0+9.457%
Season away (5)108.4107.0215.4+1.440%
Last 10 (10)111.4103.1214.5+8.360%
Last 5 (5)114.4101.6216.0+12.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)103.0107.0210.0-4.00%
vs Similar (8)103.2101.4204.6+1.962%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)117.9102.0219.9+15.976%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
141-135 OT
141
135
+6
113avg 112
H25/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
114-134
114
134
-20
92avg 112
H27/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
104-91
104
91
+13
93avg 112
A29/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
W
127-120
127
120
+7
120avg 112
A31/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
110-118
110
118
-8
96avg 112
H03/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
W
128-109
128
109
+19
134avg 112
H05/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
114-102
114
102
+12
109avg 112
A07/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
100-110
100
110
-10
87avg 112
A10/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#8
W
123-118
123
118
+5
114avg 112
A12/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
116-108
116
108
+8
117avg 112
A15/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-38
33-35
32-35
37-18
32-28
24-32
28-40
30-34
37-18
20-27
22-28
25-18
32-37
39-30
32-26
24-27
31-19
35-39
21-27
23-33
33-35
31-32
39-15
25-27
27-19
37-22
26-37
24-24
24-32
16-22
28-23
32-33
35-24
30-28
29-38
29-28
29-23
27-28
30-31
30-26
232.2Avg total
117.7Scored
114.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)114.6112.8227.5+1.864%
Season at home (4)123.2124.0247.2-0.850%
Season away (7)109.7106.4216.1+3.371%
Last 10 (10)117.7114.5232.2+3.270%
Last 5 (5)116.2109.4225.6+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)115.0113.2228.2+1.850%
vs Similar (13)113.9115.5229.4-1.554%
vs Weaker (13)126.5116.8243.2+9.792%
This opponent (New York Knicks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +1.1+1.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +1.1+1.1
New York KnicksDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
New York KnicksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#20
W
52-48
52
48
+4
H25/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#9
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H28/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
L
56-62
56
62
-6
A29/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A30/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H03/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
84-52
84
52
+32
H05/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
W
63-53
63
53
+10
A08/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
58-34
58
34
+24
H11/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
L
53-59
53
59
-6
H12/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
L
49-58
49
58
-9
A14/11
NBA
107.4Avg total
56.1Scored
51.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.052.0110.1+6.063%-
Last 30 at home (15)58.652.4111.0+6.273%-
Last 30 away (15)57.551.7109.1+5.853%-
Last 10 (10)56.151.3107.4+4.860%-
Last 5 (5)61.451.2112.6+10.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)49.050.099.0-1.00%-
vs Similar (8)50.954.9105.8-4.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)61.251.0112.2+10.171%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
L
57-73
57
73
-16
H25/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H27/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A29/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A31/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
66-58
66
58
+8
H03/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
L
64-67
64
67
-3
H05/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
64-41
64
41
+23
A07/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A10/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#8
W
65-52
65
52
+13
A12/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
56-51
56
51
+5
A15/11
NBA
116.4Avg total
59.6Scored
56.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.958.2118.1+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (16)61.762.4124.1-0.738%-
Last 30 away (14)57.853.5111.3+4.371%-
Last 10 (10)59.656.8116.4+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)57.853.0110.8+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)57.553.8111.2+3.875%-
vs Similar (13)58.258.0116.2+0.246%-
vs Weaker (13)62.359.8122.2+2.554%-
This opponent (New York Knicks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
New York Knickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New York Knicks: 106.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.822.8
46.7%
54.0%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.114.3
36.6%
35.1%42.9
🏀 Free throws24.018.3
76.2%
77.3%18.3
They take 87.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 112.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.031.2
56.7%
54.0%62.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.410.1
32.2%
35.1%30.3
🏀 Free throws24.919.6
78.7%
77.3%19.6
They take 86.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
New York Knicks
LLWWWWLWWL
Denver Nuggets
WWLWWLWWLW
#16
League position
#10
+1.3
Net rating
-1.6
108.1
Offensive rating
110.1
106.8
Defensive rating
111.6
50.3%
Effective FG%
53.6%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
13.8%
Turnover %
11.1%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
16.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.6%
3-point %
32.2%
65.0%
Assist %
65.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.1 · 110.1Defence106.8 · 111.6Shooting50.3% · 53.6%3-point %36.6% · 32.2%Ball care13.8% · 11.1%Off. rebounds28.2% · 16.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ New York Knicks   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
New York Knicks wins
3
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AIndiana Pacers104-106
12/11/26HCleveland Cavaliers107-115
11/11/26HMilwaukee Bucks117-85
08/11/26ACleveland Cavaliers109-97
05/11/26HChicago Bulls135-105
03/11/26HBrooklyn Nets103-90
30/10/26APhiladelphia 76ers93-98
29/10/26AChicago Bulls133-127
28/10/26HDetroit Pistons111-97
25/10/26HOrlando Magic102-111
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ANew Orleans Pelicans116-108
12/11/26AMemphis Grizzlies123-118
10/11/26AHouston Rockets100-110
07/11/26AIndiana Pacers114-102
05/11/26HToronto Raptors128-109
03/11/26HPortland Trail Blazers110-118
31/10/26APhoenix Suns127-120
29/10/26ANew Orleans Pelicans104-91
27/10/26HGolden State Warriors114-134
25/10/26HNew Orleans Pelicans141-135 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New York Knicks
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL50%
HomeWWWWL57%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %50%57%40%
Points / game109.8110.7108.4
Allowed / game103.7101.3107.0
Point differential+6.1+9.4+1.4
Avg total213.4212.0215.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%57%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)-0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW64%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayWWLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %64%50%71%
Points / game114.6123.2109.7
Allowed / game112.8124.0106.4
Point differential+1.8-0.8+3.3
Avg total227.5247.2216.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%25%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %9%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs1311285%119.5106.2+13.2
2 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
3 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
4 Philadelphia 76ers1411379%112.6110.4+2.1
5 Houston Rockets1310377%116.2107.4+8.8
6 Portland Trail Blazers129375%119.6111.8+7.8
7 Minnesota Timberwolves139469%118.3106.8+11.5
8 Memphis Grizzlies139469%120.6111.7+8.9
9 Detroit Pistons128467%115.7110.2+5.4
10 Denver Nuggets117464%114.6112.8+1.8
11 Golden State Warriors138562%116.7112.4+4.3
12 Oklahoma City Thunder138562%111.2107.4+3.8
13 Atlanta Hawks137654%118.2116.8+1.3
14 Dallas Mavericks137654%113.5113.3+0.2
15 Miami Heat137654%118.7119.8-1.2
16 New York Knicks126650%109.8103.7+6.1
17 Cleveland Cavaliers147750%117.5115.9+1.6
18 Phoenix Suns115645%111.7116.1-4.4
19 Toronto Raptors125742%114.2112.8+1.4
20 Orlando Magic125742%108.3112.8-4.4
21 Indiana Pacers145936%112.1114.5-2.4
22 Charlotte Hornets124833%98.6109.6-11.0
23 Washington Wizards134931%110.0115.8-5.8
24 New Orleans Pelicans1441029%115.9124.9-9.1
25 Los Angeles Clippers113827%112.3117.5-5.3
26 Brooklyn Nets123925%110.2116.4-6.2
27 Chicago Bulls123925%114.6125.9-11.3
28 Sacramento Kings121118%108.2120.9-12.8
29 Utah Jazz131128%107.5118.6-11.2
30 Milwaukee Bucks131128%106.2120.2-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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