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Denver Nuggets vs New York Knicks Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 103-142
29-27 23-38 28-40 23-37
Position#6
Record39-24
FormWLLWW
Points / game120.4
Allowed / game116.0
vs
Position#4
Record38-23
FormLWWWL
Points / game116.6
Allowed / game110.8
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v New York Knicks
02 Jan 2027
DEN v NYK
upcoming
06 Mar 2026
DEN103
NYK142
25 Nov 2024
DEN118
NYK145
21 Mar 2024
DEN113
NYK100
16 Nov 2022
DEN103
NYK106
08 Feb 2022
DEN132
NYK115
05 May 2021
DEN113
NYK97
15 Dec 2019
DEN111
NYK105
01 Jan 2019
DEN115
NYK108
25 Jan 2018
DEN130
NYK118
17 Dec 2016
DEN127
NYK114
08 Mar 2016
DEN110
NYK94
09 Mar 2015
DEN106
NYK78
29 Nov 2013
DEN97
NYK95
13 Mar 2013
DEN117
NYK94
16 Nov 2010
DEN120
NYK118
27 Nov 2009
DEN128
NYK125
31 Mar 2009
DEN111
NYK104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
New York Knicks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
117-119
117
119
-2
110avg 112
H10/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
122-116
122
116
+6
123avg 112
H12/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
114-115
114
115
-1
109avg 112
A20/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
157-103
157
103
+54
168avg 112
A21/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
117-128
117
128
-11
108avg 112
A22/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
103-84
103
84
+19
97avg 112
H26/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
121-127 OT
121
127
-6
108avg 112
A28/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
108-117
108
117
-9
99avg 112
H01/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
128-125
128
125
+3
128avg 112
A03/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
120-113
120
113
+7
121avg 112
H06/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-26
29-28
33-33
25-32
30-28
30-26
33-27
29-35
24-25
28-20
25-33
37-37
41-27
41-26
43-32
32-18
27-39
40-37
34-19
16-33
21-24
26-24
30-19
26-17
33-19
26-31
24-27
24-30
31-22
19-36
32-32
26-27
33-34
33-33
34-26
28-32
32-22
32-32
29-32
27-27
235.4Avg total
120.7Scored
114.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (63)120.4116.0236.5+4.462%
Season at home (29)117.9114.4232.3+3.559%
Season away (34)122.6117.5240.1+5.165%
Last 10 (10)120.7114.7235.4+6.050%
Last 5 (5)116.0113.2229.2+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)116.0124.0240.0-8.00%
vs Similar ◀ (14)110.1113.0223.1-2.929%
vs Weaker (14)120.4113.4233.7+7.086%
This opponent (New York Knicks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New York KnicksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKnicks
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
134-137 OT
134
137
-3
127avg 105
H11/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
138-89
138
89
+49
146avg 105
A12/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
111-126
111
126
-15
100avg 105
H20/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
108-106
108
106
+2
97avg 105
H22/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
105-99
105
99
+6
102avg 105
A23/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
94-109
94
109
-15
83avg 105
A25/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
127-98
127
98
+29
128avg 105
A28/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
114-89
114
89
+25
106avg 105
H01/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
111-95
111
95
+16
115avg 105
A04/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
100-103
100
103
-3
91avg 105
H05/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-32
36-31
24-31
31-30
36-23
36-19
32-29
34-18
26-28
22-30
31-32
32-36
27-21
26-33
22-37
33-15
25-27
27-26
31-25
22-21
26-35
28-25
11-23
29-26
38-30
39-27
26-26
24-15
22-21
29-20
29-28
34-20
32-31
36-27
19-24
24-13
23-25
17-25
40-27
20-26
219.3Avg total
114.2Scored
105.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (61)116.6110.8227.3+5.862%
Season at home (32)118.5109.6228.1+8.972%
Season away (29)114.5112.1226.6+2.452%
Last 10 (10)114.2105.1219.3+9.160%
Last 5 (5)109.298.8208.0+10.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)106.0109.9215.9-3.950%
vs Weaker (22)114.3105.2219.5+9.159%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +6.3+6.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +6.3+6.3
Denver NuggetsNew York Knicks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
59-54
59
54
+5
H10/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
60-54
60
54
+6
H12/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A20/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
82-53
82
53
+29
A21/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
67-76
67
76
-9
A22/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H26/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
59-50
59
50
+9
A28/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
50-58
50
58
-8
H01/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
L
66-67
66
67
-1
A03/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
64-54
64
54
+10
H06/03
NBA
116.5Avg total
60.6Scored
55.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.256.2113.5+1.043%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.955.1111.0+0.950%-
Last 30 away (16)58.457.2115.6+1.138%-
Last 10 (10)60.655.9116.5+4.760%-
Last 5 (5)57.255.4112.6+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)57.056.0113.0+1.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)53.755.7109.4-2.036%-
vs Weaker (14)60.856.8117.6+4.050%-
This opponent (New York Knicks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New York KnicksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
69-63
69
63
+6
H11/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
72-42
72
42
+30
A12/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
48-58
48
58
-10
H20/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
53-54
53
54
-1
H22/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A23/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
54-60
54
60
-6
A25/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
77-57
77
57
+20
A28/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H01/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
68-58
68
58
+10
A04/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H05/03
NBA
112.0Avg total
58.4Scored
53.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.155.8111.9+0.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.255.0108.2-1.847%-
Last 30 away (15)58.956.7115.6+2.340%-
Last 10 (10)58.453.6112.0+4.850%-
Last 5 (5)58.053.2111.2+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)50.454.5104.9-4.138%-
vs Weaker (22)58.156.3114.5+1.845%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 120.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws23.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.228.5
55.7%
54.8%57.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.713.4
37.5%
35.8%40.2
🏀 Free throws29.223.5
80.5%
78.1%23.5
They take 86.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
New York Knickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New York Knicks: 114.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.329.1
57.9%
54.8%58.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.413.5
35.2%
35.8%40.5
🏀 Free throws20.915.5
74.2%
78.1%15.5
They take 88.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWLLWLWLWL
New York Knicks
LWWWLWWLWL
#6
League position
#4
+5.8
Net rating
+9.0
116.5
Offensive rating
113.4
110.7
Defensive rating
104.4
55.9%
Effective FG%
55.6%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
14.1%
Turnover %
13.0%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.24
37.5%
3-point %
35.2%
66.1%
Assist %
67.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence116.5 · 113.4Defence110.7 · 104.4Shooting55.9% · 55.6%3-point %37.5% · 35.2%Ball care14.1% · 13.0%Off. rebounds25.9% · 27.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ New York Knicks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Denver Nuggets wins
6
New York Knicks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/26HLos Angeles Lakers120-113
03/03/26AUtah Jazz128-125
01/03/26HMinnesota Timberwolves108-117
28/02/26AOklahoma City Thunder121-127 OT
26/02/26HBoston Celtics103-84
22/02/26AGolden State Warriors117-128
21/02/26APortland Trail Blazers157-103
20/02/26ALos Angeles Clippers114-115
12/02/26HMemphis Grizzlies122-116
10/02/26HCleveland Cavaliers117-119
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/26HOklahoma City Thunder100-103
04/03/26AToronto Raptors111-95
01/03/26HSan Antonio Spurs114-89
28/02/26AMilwaukee Bucks127-98
25/02/26ACleveland Cavaliers94-109
23/02/26AChicago Bulls105-99
22/02/26HHouston Rockets108-106
20/02/26HDetroit Pistons111-126
12/02/26APhiladelphia 76ers138-89
11/02/26HIndiana Pacers134-137 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW62%
HomeLWWLW59%
AwayLWLLW65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games632934
Win %62%59%65%
Points / game120.4117.9122.6
Allowed / game116.0114.4117.5
Point differential+4.4+3.5+5.1
Avg total236.5232.3240.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%31%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (22)44% (9)54% (13)
Overtime %10%7%12%
New York Knicks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL62%
HomeLLWWL72%
AwayWWLWW52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games613229
Win %62%72%52%
Points / game116.6118.5114.5
Allowed / game110.8109.6112.1
Point differential+5.8+8.9+2.4
Avg total227.3228.1226.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%47%28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)50% (4)62% (8)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder62481477%118.7108.0+10.7
2 Detroit Pistons61451674%117.0109.6+7.3
3 San Antonio Spurs60431772%118.1111.3+6.8
4 Boston Celtics63422167%114.5107.0+7.5
5 Minnesota Timberwolves63402363%119.0114.4+4.7
6 Houston Rockets62392363%114.5109.3+5.2
7 New York Knicks61382362%116.6110.8+5.8
8 Denver Nuggets63392462%120.4116.0+4.4
9 Cleveland Cavaliers63392462%119.1114.9+4.2
10 Los Angeles Lakers61372461%115.7115.0+0.7
11 Toronto Raptors61352657%113.8112.0+1.8
12 Phoenix Suns61352657%112.4110.7+1.7
13 Miami Heat63352856%120.3116.6+3.7
14 Philadelphia 76ers62342855%115.8115.9-0.1
15 Orlando Magic59322754%114.6114.2+0.5
16 Golden State Warriors62323052%115.3114.1+1.3
17 Atlanta Hawks63323151%117.6117.3+0.3
18 Charlotte Hornets64323250%116.2112.5+3.6
19 Los Angeles Clippers61303149%112.4112.0+0.4
20 Portland Trail Blazers64303447%115.1118.1-3.0
21 Milwaukee Bucks61263543%111.4115.8-4.4
22 Chicago Bulls63263741%115.5119.7-4.2
23 Memphis Grizzlies61233838%115.6117.7-2.1
24 Dallas Mavericks63214233%113.3117.7-4.3
25 New Orleans Pelicans64204431%115.1120.2-5.1
26 Utah Jazz63194430%117.7125.2-7.6
27 Washington Wizards62164626%112.2123.0-10.8
28 Indiana Pacers62154724%111.3119.7-8.4
29 Brooklyn Nets62154724%106.9115.7-8.9
30 Sacramento Kings64145022%110.4121.3-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets29232823103
New York Knicks27384037142
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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