PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

New York Knicks vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 116-110
36-28 26-39 29-24 25-19
Position#8
Record41-30
FormLLLWW
Points / game115.1
Allowed / game112.3
vs
Position#2
Record47-23
FormLLLLW
Points / game116.9
Allowed / game113.0
USANBA· Madison Square Garden
NBA2022-23
Meetings · New York Knicks v Denver Nuggets
11 Jan 2027
NYK v DEN
upcoming
04 Feb 2026
NYK134
DEN127
29 Jan 2025
NYK122
DEN112
25 Jan 2024
NYK122
DEN84
18 Mar 2023
NYK116
DEN110
04 Dec 2021
NYK99
DEN113
10 Jan 2021
NYK89
DEN114
05 Dec 2019
NYK92
DEN129
22 Mar 2019
NYK93
DEN111
30 Oct 2017
NYK116
DEN110
10 Feb 2017
NYK123
DEN131
07 Feb 2016
NYK96
DEN101
16 Nov 2014
NYK109
DEN93
07 Feb 2014
NYK117
DEN90
09 Dec 2012
NYK112
DEN106
21 Jan 2012
NYK114
DEN119
12 Dec 2010
NYK129
DEN125
23 Mar 2010
NYK109
DEN104
28 Dec 2008
NYK110
DEN117
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New York Knicks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New York KnicksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKnicks
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
128-106
128
106
+22
127avg 105
H26/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
109-94
109
94
+15
101avg 105
H28/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
142-118
142
118
+24
141avg 105
H02/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
122-120
122
120
+2
115avg 105
A04/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
131-129 OT
131
129
+2
119avg 105
A06/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
L
105-112
105
112
-7
88avg 105
H08/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
117-122
117
122
-5
107avg 105
A10/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
95-106
95
106
-11
85avg 105
A11/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
112-108
112
108
+4
101avg 105
A13/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
123-107
123
107
+16
121avg 105
A15/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
42-26
31-26
29-30
26-24
27-15
33-31
28-29
21-19
47-29
34-28
29-30
32-31
37-31
34-25
25-32
26-32
31-34
23-27
34-26
25-26
21-21
45-29
23-37
16-25
23-30
30-39
31-22
33-31
19-20
30-27
25-29
21-30
31-27
31-32
23-27
27-22
20-33
29-22
42-26
32-26
230.6Avg total
118.4Scored
112.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (71)115.1112.3227.4+2.858%
Season at home (35)116.2112.2228.3+4.054%
Season away (36)114.1112.4226.4+1.761%
Last 10 (10)118.4112.2230.6+6.270%
Last 5 (5)110.4111.0221.4-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (25)117.4115.0232.4+2.460%
vs Weaker (5)113.2106.8220.0+6.480%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
94-112
94
112
-18
84avg 113
A26/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
134-124 OT
134
124
+10
133avg 113
H27/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
133-112
133
112
+21
137avg 113
A01/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
W
113-97
113
97
+16
112avg 113
H04/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
118-113
118
113
+5
115avg 113
H07/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
96-117
96
117
-21
87avg 113
H09/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
L
120-128
120
128
-8
113avg 113
A11/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
L
120-122
120
122
-2
116avg 113
H12/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
110-125
110
125
-15
108avg 113
A14/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
119-100
119
100
+19
116avg 113
A16/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-28
22-38
20-28
32-18
35-22
31-36
31-30
23-32
41-30
33-24
32-30
27-28
28-27
22-31
30-22
33-17
29-34
29-27
25-27
35-25
29-25
23-26
24-36
20-30
38-26
29-42
26-30
27-30
30-30
39-31
18-37
33-24
30-49
26-23
36-26
18-27
29-28
29-36
28-22
33-14
230.7Avg total
115.7Scored
115.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (70)116.9113.0229.9+3.967%
Season at home (36)120.6110.1230.7+10.483%
Season away (34)112.9116.0228.9-3.150%
Last 10 (10)115.7115.0230.7+0.750%
Last 5 (5)113.0118.4231.4-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)111.1110.2221.2+0.954%
vs Weaker (17)121.4113.6235.0+7.776%
This opponent (New York Knicks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +3.6+3.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +3.6+3.6
New York KnicksDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
New York KnicksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
73-52
73
52
+21
H26/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
60-46
60
46
+14
H28/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
81-57
81
57
+24
H02/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
71-56
71
56
+15
A04/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
54-61
54
61
-7
A06/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
66-50
66
50
+16
H08/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
53-69
53
69
-16
A10/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A11/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
62-59
62
59
+3
A13/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
L
49-55
49
55
-6
A15/03
NBA
117.0Avg total
61.8Scored
55.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.255.5113.6+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (14)59.553.0112.5+6.571%-
Last 30 away (16)57.057.6114.6-0.644%-
Last 10 (10)61.855.2117.0+6.670%-
Last 5 (5)55.856.0111.8-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (25)58.656.6115.2+2.056%-
vs Weaker (5)55.849.8105.6+6.060%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
42-66
42
66
-24
A26/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
66-58
66
58
+8
H27/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
74-54
74
54
+20
A01/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
50-58
50
58
-8
H04/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H07/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H09/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
L
67-68
67
68
-1
A11/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
69-61
69
61
+8
H12/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
56-72
56
72
-16
A14/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
58-64
58
64
-6
A16/03
NBA
120.5Avg total
59.2Scored
61.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.958.5119.3+2.450%-
Last 30 at home (16)62.956.4119.3+6.669%-
Last 30 away (14)58.560.9119.4-2.429%-
Last 10 (10)59.261.3120.5-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)60.463.2123.6-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)57.558.7116.2-1.238%-
vs Weaker (17)63.558.3121.8+5.259%-
This opponent (New York Knicks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
New York Knickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New York Knicks: 118.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.128.6
58.2%
54.5%57.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.914.0
36.0%
35.8%42.0
🏀 Free throws26.419.2
72.7%
78.1%19.2
They take 88.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 115.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.132.1
58.3%
54.5%64.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.211.5
34.6%
35.8%34.5
🏀 Free throws22.417.0
75.9%
78.1%17.0
They take 88.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
New York Knicks
WWLLLWWWWW
Denver Nuggets
WLLLLWWWWL
#8
League position
#2
+6.1
Net rating
+0.7
116.9
Offensive rating
115.6
110.7
Defensive rating
114.9
56.4%
Effective FG%
55.9%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
12.8%
Turnover %
12.4%
28.0%
Off. rebound %
25.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.25
36.0%
3-point %
34.6%
51.6%
Assist %
68.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence116.9 · 115.6Defence110.7 · 114.9Shooting56.4% · 55.9%3-point %36.0% · 34.6%Ball care12.8% · 12.4%Off. rebounds28.0% · 25.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ New York Knicks   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
New York Knicks wins
9
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/23APortland Trail Blazers123-107
13/03/23ALos Angeles Lakers112-108
11/03/23ALos Angeles Clippers95-106
10/03/23ASacramento Kings117-122
08/03/23HCharlotte Hornets105-112
06/03/23ABoston Celtics131-129 OT
04/03/23AMiami Heat122-120
02/03/23HBrooklyn Nets142-118
28/02/23HBoston Celtics109-94
26/02/23HNew Orleans Pelicans128-106
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/23ADetroit Pistons119-100
14/03/23AToronto Raptors110-125
12/03/23HBrooklyn Nets120-122
11/03/23ASan Antonio Spurs120-128
09/03/23HChicago Bulls96-117
07/03/23HToronto Raptors118-113
04/03/23HMemphis Grizzlies113-97
01/03/23AHouston Rockets133-112
27/02/23HLos Angeles Clippers134-124 OT
26/02/23AMemphis Grizzlies94-112

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New York Knicks
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW58%
HomeWWWWL54%
AwayWLLWW61%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games713536
Win %58%54%61%
Points / game115.1116.2114.1
Allowed / game112.3112.2112.4
Point differential+2.8+4.0+1.7
Avg total227.4228.3226.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%34%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (22)44% (9)77% (13)
Overtime %14%14%14%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW67%
HomeWWWLL83%
AwayLWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games703634
Win %67%83%50%
Points / game116.9120.6112.9
Allowed / game113.0110.1116.0
Point differential+3.9+10.4-3.1
Avg total229.9230.7228.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%53%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (21)62% (13)88% (8)
Overtime %4%6%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks70502071%116.2112.4+3.9
2 Boston Celtics71492269%117.6112.2+5.5
3 Philadelphia 76ers69472268%115.2110.3+4.9
4 Denver Nuggets70472367%116.9113.0+3.9
5 Cleveland Cavaliers73452862%112.2106.6+5.5
6 Memphis Grizzlies69422761%115.8112.1+3.8
7 Sacramento Kings69422761%120.9118.2+2.7
8 New York Knicks71413058%115.1112.3+2.8
9 Brooklyn Nets70393156%113.5112.9+0.6
10 Phoenix Suns70383254%113.3111.4+1.8
11 Miami Heat71383354%109.1109.6-0.5
12 Los Angeles Clippers70373353%112.8112.7+0.1
13 Dallas Mavericks71363551%113.8113.3+0.6
14 Golden State Warriors71363551%118.3117.9+0.4
15 Atlanta Hawks70353550%117.4117.5-0.1
16 Minnesota Timberwolves71353649%115.7115.9-0.2
17 Oklahoma City Thunder70343649%117.8116.3+1.4
18 Toronto Raptors70343649%112.8112.1+0.7
19 Los Angeles Lakers71343748%116.5117.0-0.5
20 Utah Jazz69333648%117.2117.2-0.0
21 New Orleans Pelicans70333747%113.9113.5+0.4
22 Chicago Bulls69323746%113.6112.8+0.8
23 Washington Wizards70323846%112.7113.2-0.5
24 Indiana Pacers70323846%115.9118.0-2.1
25 Portland Trail Blazers70313944%114.4116.1-1.7
26 Orlando Magic70284240%111.6114.6-3.0
27 Charlotte Hornets72225031%111.2117.5-6.3
28 Houston Rockets70185226%110.4118.1-7.7
29 San Antonio Spurs70185226%112.6122.1-9.5
30 Detroit Pistons71165523%111.1118.6-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
New York Knicks36262925116
Denver Nuggets28392419110
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.