PythiaBasketballBETA
NBLRound 10· Spark Arena
New Zealand Breakers will host South East Melbourne on 18 November 2026 in the NBL, with the model favouring the visitors at 56% to 44% for the home side; the projected score is 96-98 and the total is 193.7 points, a 5% chance of overtime. The Breakers have finished 4-8 this season, averaging 89.4 points scored and 89.9 points allowed, while holding a 2-1 home record with 98.0 points per game and 88.0 points allowed; their last five games were all losses. Their recent outings include a 77-79 loss to Tasmania JackJumpers, a 74-94 defeat by Melbourne United and a 101-108 home loss to Adelaide. South East Melbourne also sit at 4-8, with 98.2 points scored and 97.8 points allowed, and a 1-4 road record of 96.6 points scored and 98.4 points allowed; they have won two of their last five games. Their recent results feature a 110-120 loss to Illawarra Hawks, a 99-110 loss to Sydney and a 89-98 defeat by Tasmania JackJumpers. In the 10 meetings between the clubs, South East Melbourne have won eight to the Breakers' two, most recently defeating them 114-83 on 5 February 2026. The game will likely hinge on South East Melbourne's ability to maintain their offensive output against a Breakers squad that has struggled to close out games.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (13) | 89.8 | 89.9 | 179.7 | -0.2 | 38% |
| Season at home (4) | 97.0 | 88.5 | 185.5 | +8.5 | 75% |
| Season away (9) | 86.6 | 90.6 | 177.1 | -4.0 | 22% |
| Last 10 (10) | 89.4 | 90.3 | 179.7 | -0.9 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 86.0 | 91.4 | 177.4 | -5.4 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (8) | 88.1 | 102.6 | 190.8 | -14.5 | 25% |
| vs Similar ◀ (15) | 93.6 | 92.5 | 186.1 | +1.1 | 40% |
| vs Weaker (7) | 96.1 | 89.6 | 185.7 | +6.6 | 57% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (13) | 97.9 | 98.1 | 196.0 | -0.2 | 31% |
| Season at home (7) | 99.3 | 97.3 | 196.6 | +2.0 | 43% |
| Season away (6) | 96.3 | 99.0 | 195.3 | -2.7 | 17% |
| Last 10 (10) | 102.1 | 101.4 | 203.5 | +0.7 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 100.2 | 104.8 | 205.0 | -4.6 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (6) | 94.3 | 105.5 | 199.8 | -11.2 | 17% |
| vs Similar ◀ (10) | 98.3 | 93.9 | 192.2 | +4.4 | 40% |
| vs Weaker (14) | 109.8 | 100.3 | 210.1 | +9.5 | 71% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 46.3 | 47.4 | 93.7 | -1.1 | 43% | - |
| Last 30 at home (11) | 46.6 | 47.1 | 93.7 | -0.5 | 45% | - |
| Last 30 away (19) | 46.1 | 47.6 | 93.6 | -1.5 | 42% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 44.2 | 45.3 | 89.5 | -1.1 | 30% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 42.4 | 44.2 | 86.6 | -1.8 | 20% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (8) | 44.0 | 52.5 | 96.5 | -8.5 | 12% | - |
| vs Similar ◀ (15) | 46.5 | 45.3 | 91.8 | +1.3 | 53% | - |
| vs Weaker (7) | 48.3 | 46.1 | 94.4 | +2.1 | 57% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 52.3 | 51.3 | 103.6 | +1.0 | 43% | - |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 55.4 | 52.3 | 107.7 | +3.1 | 53% | - |
| Last 30 away (15) | 49.2 | 50.3 | 99.5 | -1.1 | 33% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 53.0 | 53.3 | 106.3 | -0.3 | 40% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 51.0 | 57.8 | 108.8 | -6.8 | 20% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (6) | 48.5 | 53.8 | 102.3 | -5.3 | 17% | - |
| vs Similar ◀ (10) | 52.7 | 48.3 | 101.0 | +4.4 | 60% | - |
| vs Weaker (14) | 53.6 | 52.4 | 106.0 | +1.3 | 43% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 38.2 | 21.3 | 56.4% | 42.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 28.3 | 11.7 | 34.2% | 35.1 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 18.8 | 12.9 | 74.0% | 12.9 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 40.4 | 22.6 | 56.4% | 45.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 37.5 | 11.6 | 34.2% | 34.8 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 22.0 | 16.7 | 74.0% | 16.7 |
New Zealand Breakers
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 05/02/26 | New Zealand Breakers v South East Melbourne | 83-114 |
| 21/01/26 | South East Melbourne v New Zealand Breakers | 123-116 |
| 13/12/25 | South East Melbourne v New Zealand Breakers | 92-80 |
| 12/10/25 | New Zealand Breakers v South East Melbourne | 81-87 |
| 18/01/25 | South East Melbourne v New Zealand Breakers | 102-89 |
| 24/10/24 | New Zealand Breakers v South East Melbourne | 62-88 |
| 29/09/24 | New Zealand Breakers v South East Melbourne | 81-79 |
| 20/01/24 | New Zealand Breakers v South East Melbourne | 106-75 |
| 02/12/23 | South East Melbourne v New Zealand Breakers | 90-79 |
| 28/10/23 | South East Melbourne v New Zealand Breakers | 103-100 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/26 | H | Brisbane Bullets | 94-90 OT |
| 06/11/26 | A | Tasmania JackJumpers | 77-79 |
| 02/11/26 | A | Melbourne United | 74-94 |
| 30/10/26 | H | Adelaide | 101-108 |
| 25/10/26 | A | Cairns Taipans | 84-86 |
| 18/10/26 | A | Tasmania JackJumpers | 92-98 |
| 14/10/26 | A | Sydney | 102-101 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Perth | 84-100 |
| 04/10/26 | A | Adelaide | 88-72 |
| 30/09/26 | H | Cairns Taipans | 98-75 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | A | Melbourne United | 95-102 |
| 11/11/26 | H | Illawarra Hawks | 110-120 |
| 08/11/26 | A | Sydney | 99-110 |
| 01/11/26 | H | Tasmania JackJumpers | 89-98 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Adelaide | 108-94 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Cairns Taipans | 115-83 |
| 15/10/26 | A | Brisbane Bullets | 105-115 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Melbourne United | 99-104 |
| 04/10/26 | H | Illawarra Hawks | 113-96 |
| 02/10/26 | A | Perth | 88-92 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLLW | 38% |
| Home | WWLW | 75% |
| Away | WLLLL | 22% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 13 | 4 | 9 |
| Win % | 38% | 75% | 22% |
| Points / game | 89.8 | 97.0 | 86.6 |
| Allowed / game | 89.9 | 88.5 | 90.6 |
| Point differential | -0.2 | +8.5 | -4.0 |
| Avg total | 179.7 | 185.5 | 177.1 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 23% | 50% | 11% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 33% (6) | 100% (1) | 20% (5) |
| Overtime % | 8% | 25% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLLL | 31% |
| Home | LWWLL | 43% |
| Away | LLLLL | 17% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 13 | 7 | 6 |
| Win % | 31% | 43% | 17% |
| Points / game | 97.9 | 99.3 | 96.3 |
| Allowed / game | 98.1 | 97.3 | 99.0 |
| Point differential | -0.2 | +2.0 | -2.7 |
| Avg total | 196.0 | 196.6 | 195.3 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 31% | 43% | 17% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (3) | 0% (1) | 0% (2) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sydney | 12 | 8 | 4 | 67% | 97.6 | 88.7 | +8.9 |
| 2 |  Tasmania JackJumpers | 12 | 8 | 4 | 67% | 93.9 | 90.2 | +3.7 |
| 3 |  Melbourne United | 14 | 8 | 6 | 57% | 98.3 | 91.9 | +6.4 |
| 4 |  Cairns Taipans | 14 | 8 | 6 | 57% | 92.4 | 95.9 | -3.6 |
| 5 |  Adelaide | 13 | 7 | 6 | 54% | 92.9 | 92.5 | +0.5 |
| 6 |  Perth | 13 | 7 | 6 | 54% | 95.7 | 97.8 | -2.1 |
| 7 |  Brisbane Bullets | 13 | 6 | 7 | 46% | 94.5 | 98.8 | -4.3 |
| 8 | New Zealand Breakers | 13 | 5 | 8 | 38% | 89.8 | 89.9 | -0.2 |
| 9 |  Illawarra Hawks | 15 | 5 | 10 | 33% | 97.5 | 104.7 | -7.3 |
| 10 | South East Melbourne | 13 | 4 | 9 | 31% | 97.9 | 98.1 | -0.2 |
We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.
Cookies required to use the site and the features you have asked for. They provide the pages, predictions and account functions you requested. These are essential for the operation of our website.
Cookies that remember the preferences and settings from your last visit, so the site behaves the way you left it. They do not tell us who you are and they are not used to build a profile of you.
Cookies used to collect information about your usage of the site. These are used to produce aggregated statistics about visits to our pages. We use these statistics internally to test and improve the site and to give you a better experience. Without them our ability to provide a smoother experience may be degraded.
Cookies used to deliver adverts relevant to you based on your interests. This can include limiting the number of times you see an advert as well as helping us measure the effectiveness of an advert. Without these cookies you will still see adverts, but they will not be adjusted to your interests.
