New Zealand Breakers vs Brisbane Bullets Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Nov 2026

Tip-off: 06:30

Projected 98-91

Projected total 189.1

Final 94-90 (OT)

14-24 26-16 20-22 19-17 15-11

Position#8

Record4-8

FormLLLLL

Points / game89.4

Allowed / game89.9

New Zealand Breakers 🏆

73%

27%

■ NEW 73%■ BRIS 27%

Pythia win probability

Brisbane Bullets

Position#7

Record6-6

FormWLWWL

Points / game94.9

Allowed / game99.2

NBLRound 9· Spark Arena

Other2026-27

Meetings · New Zealand Breakers v Brisbane Bullets

Sections

Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

New Zealand Breakers host Brisbane Bullets on 13 November 2026 in the NBL, a clash that pits a 4-8 team on a five-game losing streak against a 6-6 side that has won three of its last five outings; the Breakers have struggled on the road, losing all five away games, while the Bullets have managed only two road victories in six attempts. The Breakers' season record of 4-8 shows they average 89.4 points and allow 89.9, whereas the Bullets' 6-6 record comes with 94.9 points scored and 99.2 conceded, and they sit sixth in the league. In the last meeting on 22 September 2026, Brisbane edged New Zealand 88-85, and the all-time head-to-head tally stands at 7-3 in favour of the Bullets. Pythia names the Breakers the favourite with a 73% chance of winning, projecting a 97-91 scoreline and 188.1 total points; the Breakers are also 70% likely to cover the -1.5 line, while the over on the 185.5 total has a 55% probability. The game carries a 4% chance of overtime, and the Bullets' recent win over Adelaide 96-89 at home is their most recent highlight.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Zealand Breakers winWon

72.7%fair 1.38

Best odds1.85

Implied52.7%

Edge+19.9pp

Brisbane Bullets winLost

27.3%fair 3.66

Best odds2.06

Implied47.3%

Edge-19.9pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 11 Nov 07:02 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New Zealand Breakers Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBreakers

Date

Competition

Perth

93-97

-4

84avg 84

A26/09

NBL

Cairns Taipans

98-75

+23

99avg 84

H30/09

NBL

Adelaide

88-72

+16

84avg 84

A04/10

NBL

Perth

84-100

100

-16

63avg 84

A10/10

NBL

Sydney

102-101

102

101

99avg 84

A14/10

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

92-98

-6

89avg 84

A18/10

NBL

Cairns Taipans

84-86

-2

75avg 84

A25/10

NBL

Adelaide

101-108

101

108

-7

92avg 84

H30/10

NBL

Melbourne United

74-94

-20

no box

A02/11

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

77-79

-2

no box

A06/11

NBL

26-22

25-25

22-29

20-21

19-18

23-17

30-25

26-15

23-19

25-23

12-15

28-15

22-21

16-20

28-29

18-30

31-29

20-32

24-12

27-28

32-31

19-22

14-17

27-28

25-16

21-23

16-21

22-26

24-28

20-28

28-18

29-34

19-28

20-15

16-27

19-24

19-27

24-16

12-21

22-15

180.3Avg total

89.3Scored

91.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	89.4	89.9	179.3	-0.5	33%
Season at home (3)	98.0	88.0	186.0	+10.0	67%
Season away (9)	86.6	90.6	177.1	-4.0	22%
Last 10 (10)	89.3	91.0	180.3	-1.7	30%
Last 5 (5)	85.6	93.0	178.6	-7.4	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	88.1	102.6	190.8	-14.5	25%
vs Similar (16)	93.9	92.1	186.1	+1.8	44%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	96.5	89.5	186.0	+7.0	50%

This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Brisbane Bullets Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBullets

Date

Competition

Sydney

78-93

-15

66avg 73

A30/09

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

99-109 OT

109

-10

91avg 73

H03/10

NBL

Cairns Taipans

91-97

-6

80avg 73

A08/10

NBL

South East Melbourne

#10

115-105

115

105

+10

116avg 73

H15/10

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

85-106

106

-21

68avg 73

A21/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

98-81

+17

92avg 73

A24/10

NBL

Cairns Taipans

85-107

107

-22

75avg 73

H29/10

NBL

Adelaide

96-89

95avg 73

A01/11

NBL

Perth

109-104

109

104

no box

H04/11

NBL

Melbourne United

92-120

120

-28

no box

A07/11

NBL

34-23

10-20

14-29

20-21

23-17

24-23

18-34

26-17

17-23

33-24

22-27

19-23

30-24

26-31

34-29

25-21

15-22

29-34

20-28

21-22

25-16

30-19

14-27

29-19

21-23

21-34

19-21

24-29

30-17

20-26

26-23

20-23

37-22

26-21

18-25

28-36

17-29

31-33

25-21

19-37

195.9Avg total

94.8Scored

101.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	94.9	99.2	194.2	-4.3	50%
Season at home (6)	99.8	100.8	200.7	-1.0	67%
Season away (6)	90.0	97.7	187.7	-7.7	33%
Last 10 (10)	94.8	101.1	195.9	-6.3	40%
Last 5 (5)	96.0	100.2	196.2	-4.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	81.6	99.7	181.3	-18.0	17%
vs Similar (7)	91.6	93.3	184.9	-1.7	43%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 183.5Actual: Over 183.5

Over 183.5

62.3%

@ 1.65+3.8pp

Under 183.5

37.7%

@ 2.30-3.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.65

Bet365

1.60

Betano

1.53

BetVictor

1.53

Marathon Be

1.52

Under

Betano

2.30

BetVictor

2.30

Bet365

2.25

1xBet

2.08

Marathon Be

2.08

Over/Under 188.5 · main lineActual: Under 188.5

Over 188.5

50.3%

@ 1.95-0.3pp

Under 188.5

49.7%

@ 1.93+0.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.95

SBO

1.92

1xBet

1.88

Betano

1.88

Marathon Be

1.88

Under

Pinnacle

1.93

1xBet

1.88

Marathon Be

1.88

Betano

1.80

Bet365

1.80

Over/Under 193.5Actual: Under 193.5

Over 193.5

38.5%

@ 2.50+0.7pp

Under 193.5

61.5%

@ 1.52-0.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.50

Betano

2.42

BetVictor

2.40

Under

Marathon Be

1.52

Bet365

1.50

BetVictor

1.50

Betano

1.47

📊 3. Team Totals

New Zealand Breakers total 90.5Actual: New Zealand Breakers over 90.5

Over 90.5

76.6%

@ 1.57+16.3pp

Under 90.5

23.4%

@ 2.55-16.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.57

1xBet

1.52

Betano

1.44

Under

Betano

2.55

1xBet

2.31

Bet365

2.25

New Zealand Breakers total 94.5 · main lineActual: New Zealand Breakers under 94.5

Over 94.5

63.1%

@ 1.90+12.7pp

Under 94.5

36.9%

@ 1.91-12.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.90

BetVictor

1.85

Betano

1.82

Marathon Be

1.82

1xBet

1.81

Under

1xBet

1.91

Marathon Be

1.90

Betano

1.85

Bet365

1.85

BetVictor

1.85

New Zealand Breakers total 98.5Actual: New Zealand Breakers under 98.5

Over 98.5

47.6%

@ 2.72+12.3pp

Under 98.5

52.4%

@ 1.45-12.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.72

Betano

2.50

Under

Betano

1.45

Bet365

1.40

Brisbane Bullets total 89.5Actual: Brisbane Bullets over 89.5

Over 89.5

55.4%

@ 1.54-6.8pp

Under 89.5

44.6%

@ 2.52+6.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.54

1xBet

1.47

Betano

1.44

Under

Betano

2.52

1xBet

2.42

Bet365

2.35

Brisbane Bullets total 93.5 · main lineActual: Brisbane Bullets under 93.5

Over 93.5

40.1%

@ 1.90-9.9pp

Under 93.5

59.9%

@ 1.89+9.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.90

Bet365

1.90

Betano

1.83

Marathon Be

1.83

BetVictor

1.83

Under

Marathon Be

1.89

BetVictor

1.88

Bet365

1.85

1xBet

1.83

Betano

1.83

Brisbane Bullets total 97.5Actual: Brisbane Bullets under 97.5

Over 97.5

26.5%

@ 2.65-9.2pp

Under 97.5

73.5%

@ 1.44+9.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.65

Betano

2.52

Under

Betano

1.44

Bet365

1.43

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread New Zealand Breakers -4.5Actual: Brisbane Bullets +4.5

NEW -4.5

59.3%

@ 2.40+20.1pp

BRIS +4.5

40.7%

@ 1.55-20.1pp

Best 5 market prices

NEW

1xBet

2.40

Bet365

2.40

Marathon Be

2.40

BetVictor

2.30

Betano

2.27

BRIS

Betano

1.55

Bet365

1.55

BetVictor

1.53

1xBet

1.49

Marathon Be

1.49

Spread New Zealand Breakers -1.5 · main lineActual: New Zealand Breakers -1.5

NEW -1.5

70.2%

@ 1.93+20.8pp

BRIS +1.5

29.8%

@ 1.91-20.8pp

Best 5 market prices

NEW

Pinnacle

1.93

1xBet

1.91

Bet365

1.91

Marathon Be

1.91

Betano

1.83

BRIS

Bet365

1.91

1xBet

1.89

Marathon Be

1.89

Pinnacle

1.88

BetVictor

1.85

Spread New Zealand Breakers +1.5Actual: New Zealand Breakers +1.5

NEW +1.5

74.9%

@ 1.74+20.1pp

BRIS -1.5

25.1%

@ 2.21-20.1pp

Best 5 market prices

NEW

Pinnacle

1.74

Betfair

1.73

SBO

1.70

BetVictor

1.67

Betano

1.65

BRIS

1xBet

2.21

Marathon Be

2.21

Bet365

2.15

Pinnacle

2.11

BetVictor

2.10

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

New Zealand BreakersBrisbane Bullets

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 47.5
Last 30 (30)	24.6	23.2	47.8	+1.4	63%	40%
Last 30 at home (11)	24.2	22.3	46.5	+1.9	55%	55%
Last 30 away (19)	24.8	23.7	48.6	+1.1	68%	32%
Last 10 (10)	24.0	23.9	47.9	+0.1	70%	40%
Last 5 (5)	23.8	26.0	49.8	-2.2	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	23.2	26.2	49.5	-3.0	38%	50%
vs Similar (16)	25.3	22.1	47.4	+3.2	75%	38%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	24.5	22.2	46.7	+2.3	67%	33%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 47.5
Last 30 (30)	21.7	23.8	45.5	-2.1	37%	33%
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	23.0	45.5	-0.5	47%	33%
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	24.7	45.6	-3.7	27%	33%
Last 10 (10)	24.9	21.6	46.5	+3.3	60%	30%
Last 5 (5)	26.0	21.4	47.4	+4.6	60%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	21.6	24.4	46.0	-2.8	35%	39%
vs Similar (7)	22.0	22.0	44.0	+0.0	43%	14%
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 47.5
Last 30 (30)	22.1	24.2	46.3	-2.2	33%	53%
Last 30 at home (11)	23.5	24.9	48.5	-1.4	45%	64%
Last 30 away (19)	21.2	23.8	45.1	-2.6	26%	47%
Last 10 (10)	21.3	22.1	43.4	-0.8	40%	40%
Last 5 (5)	20.8	20.8	41.6	+0.0	40%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.8	26.2	47.0	-5.5	38%	50%
vs Similar (16)	21.6	22.9	44.5	-1.4	31%	44%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	25.2	25.0	50.2	+0.2	33%	83%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 47.5
Last 30 (30)	21.8	25.2	47.0	-3.4	33%	47%
Last 30 at home (15)	23.0	24.7	47.7	-1.7	53%	60%
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	25.7	46.2	-5.1	13%	33%
Last 10 (10)	25.0	26.5	51.5	-1.5	40%	60%
Last 5 (5)	25.6	26.6	52.2	-1.0	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	20.7	25.9	46.6	-5.2	22%	43%
vs Similar (7)	25.3	22.9	48.1	+2.4	71%	57%
vs Weaker	no games

New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth

51-47

A26/09

NBL

Cairns Taipans

42-35

H30/09

NBL

Adelaide

48-42

A04/10

NBL

Perth

38-41

-3

A10/10

NBL

Sydney

51-61

-10

A14/10

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

51-53

-2

A18/10

NBL

Cairns Taipans

46-39

A25/10

NBL

Adelaide

44-56

-12

H30/10

NBL

Melbourne United

39-43

-4

A02/11

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

43-43

A06/11

NBL

91.3Avg total

45.3Scored

46.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 96.5
Last 30 (30)	46.7	47.4	94.1	-0.8	47%	47%
Last 30 at home (11)	47.7	47.2	94.9	+0.5	55%	55%
Last 30 away (19)	46.1	47.6	93.6	-1.5	42%	42%
Last 10 (10)	45.3	46.0	91.3	-0.7	40%	40%
Last 5 (5)	44.6	46.8	91.4	-2.2	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	44.0	52.5	96.5	-8.5	12%	50%
vs Similar (16)	46.9	45.0	91.9	+1.9	56%	38%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	49.7	47.2	96.8	+2.5	67%	67%

This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Brisbane BulletsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney

44-43

A30/09

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

47-40

H03/10

NBL

Cairns Taipans

50-47

A08/10

NBL

South East Melbourne

#10

56-55

H15/10

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

44-56

-12

A21/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

55-35

+20

A24/10

NBL

Cairns Taipans

42-57

-15

H29/10

NBL

Adelaide

50-43

A01/11

NBL

Perth

63-43

+20

H04/11

NBL

Melbourne United

48-62

-14

A07/11

NBL

98.0Avg total

49.9Scored

48.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 96.5
Last 30 (30)	43.5	49.0	92.5	-5.6	40%	37%
Last 30 at home (15)	45.5	47.7	93.2	-2.3	47%	47%
Last 30 away (15)	41.5	50.3	91.8	-8.9	33%	27%
Last 10 (10)	49.9	48.1	98.0	+1.8	70%	60%
Last 5 (5)	51.6	48.0	99.6	+3.6	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	42.3	50.3	92.6	-8.0	35%	35%
vs Similar (7)	47.3	44.9	92.1	+2.4	57%	43%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Brisbane Bullets win

NEW win

no forecast

@ 1.83

BRIS win

no forecast

@ 1.98

1st half Spread New Zealand Breakers -0.5 · main lineActual: Brisbane Bullets +0.5

NEW -0.5

no forecast

@ 1.91

BRIS +0.5

no forecast

@ 1.91

1st half Over/Under 96.5 · main lineActual: Under 96.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.10

Under

no forecast

@ 1.90

New Zealand Breakers 1st half total 47.5 · main lineActual: New Zealand Breakers under 47.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.88

Under

no forecast

@ 1.95

Brisbane Bullets 1st half total 47.5 · main lineActual: Brisbane Bullets under 47.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.95

Under

no forecast

@ 1.83

1st half: NEW + total 94.5

NEW & over

no forecast

@ 3.45

NEW & under

no forecast

@ 3.65

1st half: Draw + total 94.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 26.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 26.00

1st half: BRIS + total 94.5

BRIS & over

no forecast

@ 3.80

BRIS & under

no forecast

@ 4.00

1st half Over/Under 95Actual: Under 95

Over

no forecast

@ 1.90

Under

no forecast

@ 2.05

1st half Spread New Zealand Breakers -1.5Actual: Brisbane Bullets +1.5

NEW -1.5

no forecast

@ 2.20

BRIS +1.5

no forecast

@ 1.78

1st half Spread New Zealand Breakers +0.5Actual: New Zealand Breakers +0.5

NEW +0.5

no forecast

@ 1.87

BRIS -0.5

no forecast

@ 2.06

1st half Over/Under 98.5Actual: Under 98.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.50

Under

no forecast

@ 1.50

1st half Over/Under 93.5Actual: Under 93.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.88

Under

no forecast

@ 2.15

1st half Spread New Zealand Breakers -2.5Actual: Brisbane Bullets +2.5

NEW -2.5

no forecast

@ 2.20

BRIS +2.5

no forecast

@ 1.62

1st half Spread New Zealand Breakers +1.5Actual: New Zealand Breakers +1.5

NEW +1.5

no forecast

@ 1.68

BRIS -1.5

no forecast

@ 2.25

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Draw after regulation

NEW

no forecast

@ 1.92

Draw

no forecast

@ 16.50

BRIS

no forecast

@ 2.02

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 45.5
Last 30 (30)	22.5	23.5	46.0	-0.9	37%	57%
Last 30 at home (11)	24.5	25.1	49.6	-0.5	45%	82%
Last 30 away (19)	21.4	22.5	43.9	-1.2	32%	42%
Last 10 (10)	20.2	21.4	41.6	-1.2	30%	40%
Last 5 (5)	17.2	20.8	38.0	-3.6	20%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	22.1	26.0	48.1	-3.9	25%	62%
vs Similar (16)	22.2	23.2	45.4	-1.0	31%	56%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	24.0	20.8	44.8	+3.2	67%	50%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 45.5
Last 30 (30)	19.0	25.2	44.3	-6.2	27%	43%
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	25.3	45.0	-5.5	33%	47%
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	25.2	43.5	-6.9	20%	40%
Last 10 (10)	21.0	26.4	47.4	-5.4	30%	60%
Last 5 (5)	20.4	23.4	43.8	-3.0	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	18.6	25.8	44.4	-7.3	26%	43%
vs Similar (7)	20.6	23.3	43.9	-2.7	29%	43%
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 45
Last 30 (30)	22.8	22.6	45.4	+0.2	43%	40%
Last 30 at home (11)	22.3	21.6	43.9	+0.6	45%	27%
Last 30 away (19)	23.1	23.1	46.2	+0.0	42%	47%
Last 10 (10)	23.8	23.6	47.4	+0.2	30%	50%
Last 5 (5)	23.8	25.4	49.2	-1.6	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	22.0	24.1	46.1	-2.1	25%	50%
vs Similar (16)	23.2	22.2	45.4	+1.0	50%	44%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	22.8	21.5	44.3	+1.3	50%	17%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 45
Last 30 (30)	21.2	23.3	44.5	-2.1	43%	37%
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	24.3	45.7	-3.0	40%	40%
Last 30 away (15)	21.0	22.3	43.3	-1.3	47%	33%
Last 10 (10)	23.1	24.8	47.9	-1.7	30%	50%
Last 5 (5)	24.0	28.8	52.8	-4.8	20%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	20.4	22.7	43.1	-2.3	43%	30%
vs Similar (7)	23.7	25.1	48.9	-1.4	43%	57%
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 90.5
Last 30 (30)	45.3	46.0	91.4	-0.7	50%	60%
Last 30 at home (11)	46.8	46.7	93.5	+0.1	64%	82%
Last 30 away (19)	44.5	45.6	90.1	-1.2	42%	47%
Last 10 (10)	44.0	45.0	89.0	-1.0	40%	50%
Last 5 (5)	41.0	46.2	87.2	-5.2	20%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	44.1	50.1	94.2	-6.0	38%	75%
vs Similar (16)	45.4	45.4	90.8	+0.0	44%	56%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	46.8	42.3	89.2	+4.5	83%	50%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 90.5
Last 30 (30)	40.2	48.5	88.7	-8.3	13%	47%
Last 30 at home (15)	41.1	49.6	90.7	-8.5	20%	53%
Last 30 away (15)	39.3	47.5	86.8	-8.1	7%	40%
Last 10 (10)	44.1	51.2	95.3	-7.1	10%	80%
Last 5 (5)	44.4	52.2	96.6	-7.8	0%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	39.0	48.6	87.5	-9.6	13%	43%
vs Similar (7)	44.3	48.4	92.7	-4.1	14%	57%
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

NEW win + total 188.5

🔒 Pro

BRIS win + total 188.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: NEW leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: BRIS leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (NEW :BRIS): NEW wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
New Zealand Breakers 0	72.7%	1.85	Marathon Bet 1.85	1xBet 1.85	-	-	-	+21.3pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers -1	72.0%	1.83	Pinnacle 1.88	Marathon Bet 1.83	1xBet 1.83	SBO 1.83	Bet365 1.80	+21.2pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers +2	77.4%	1.59	Pinnacle 1.68	Bet365 1.60	Marathon Bet 1.55	1xBet 1.55	-	+20.9pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers -1.5	70.2%	1.87	Pinnacle 1.93	1xBet 1.91	Bet365 1.91	Marathon Bet 1.91	Betano 1.83	+20.8pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers +1	74.3%	1.71	Pinnacle 1.78	SBO 1.73	Bet365 1.70	Marathon Bet 1.68	1xBet 1.68	+20.8pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers +3	79.9%	1.50	Pinnacle 1.60	Bet365 1.50	Marathon Bet 1.44	1xBet 1.44	-	+20.6pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers +2.5	78.1%	1.55	Pinnacle 1.64	BetVictor 1.57	Betano 1.55	Bet365 1.55	1xBet 1.50	+20.2pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers (regulation)	70.1%	1.82	1xBet 1.83	Marathon Bet 1.83	Betano 1.80	-	-	+20.1pp	Lost
New Zealand Breakers +1.5	74.9%	1.67	Pinnacle 1.74	Betfair 1.73	SBO 1.70	BetVictor 1.67	Betano 1.65	+20.1pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers win	72.7%	1.77	WilliamHill 1.85	Pinnacle 1.81	1xBet 1.79	Marathon Bet 1.79	Bet365 1.78	+19.9pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers +7	88.5%	1.36	Bet365 1.36	-	-	-	-	+19.6pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers +7.5	88.7%	1.30	Bet365 1.33	1xBet 1.31	Betano 1.25	-	-	+18.3pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers over 92.5	70.2%	1.72	BetVictor 1.83	Bet365 1.80	Marathon Bet 1.79	1xBet 1.60	Betano 1.60	+18.2pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers +8	90.0%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	+18.0pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers +8.5	90.2%	1.28	Bet365 1.30	1xBet 1.27	Betano 1.26	-	-	+17.9pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers over 88.5	82.2%	1.44	Betano 1.44	Bet365 1.43	-	-	-	+17.8pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers +9	91.4%	1.26	Bet365 1.26	-	-	-	-	+17.4pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers +4.5	82.8%	1.41	1xBet 1.51	Betano 1.40	Bet365 1.40	Marathon Bet 1.32	-	+17.3pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers +3.5	80.3%	1.46	BetVictor 1.50	Bet365 1.48	Betano 1.47	1xBet 1.46	Marathon Bet 1.41	+17.3pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers +4	82.3%	1.39	Bet365 1.43	Marathon Bet 1.35	-	-	-	+17.0pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers +9.5	91.6%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	+16.6pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers +5.5	84.9%	1.35	1xBet 1.43	Bet365 1.35	Betano 1.34	Marathon Bet 1.27	-	+16.6pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers over 86.5	86.8%	1.32	Bet365 1.32	-	-	-	-	+16.4pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers over 90.5	76.6%	1.51	Bet365 1.57	1xBet 1.52	Betano 1.44	-	-	+16.3pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers +5	84.6%	1.32	Bet365 1.36	Marathon Bet 1.28	-	-	-	+16.2pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers +11.5	93.8%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+16.0pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers +6.5	86.9%	1.30	1xBet 1.36	Bet365 1.30	Betano 1.29	Marathon Bet 1.24	-	+15.6pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers +6	86.7%	1.27	Bet365 1.32	Marathon Bet 1.23	-	-	-	+15.5pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers +10.5	92.7%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+15.0pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers over 89.5	79.5%	1.45	1xBet 1.52	Bet365 1.43	Betano 1.40	-	-	+14.6pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers over 82.5	93.4%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+13.9pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers over 87.5	84.6%	1.31	Bet365 1.31	-	-	-	-	+13.7pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers over 85.5	88.8%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	+13.5pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers over 84.5	90.5%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+12.8pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers over 83.5	92.1%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+12.6pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers over 91.5	73.5%	1.52	Bet365 1.57	1xBet 1.50	Betano 1.50	-	-	+12.5pp	Won
Brisbane Bullets under 98.5	76.4%	1.42	Betano 1.45	Bet365 1.40	-	-	-	+11.8pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers over 80.5	95.5%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+11.7pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers over 81.5	94.6%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+10.7pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers +16.5	97.2%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+10.6pp	Won
Brisbane Bullets under 100.5	81.7%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	+10.3pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers +15.5	96.7%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+10.1pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers +14.5	96.1%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+10.0pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers over 78.5	97.1%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+9.9pp	Won
Brisbane Bullets under 96.5	70.3%	1.53	Bet365 1.54	1xBet 1.52	Betano 1.52	-	-	+9.9pp	Won
Brisbane Bullets under 102.5	86.1%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+9.9pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers over 79.5	96.4%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+9.2pp	Won
Brisbane Bullets under 97.5	73.5%	1.44	Betano 1.44	Bet365 1.43	-	-	-	+9.2pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers over 76.5	98.1%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+9.1pp	Won
Brisbane Bullets under 104.5	89.6%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+9.1pp	Won
Brisbane Bullets under 103.5	88.0%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+9.1pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers +13.5	95.4%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+8.8pp	Won
Over 178	74.7%	1.42	Bet365 1.42	-	-	-	-	+8.7pp	Won
Brisbane Bullets under 99.5	79.2%	1.32	Bet365 1.32	-	-	-	-	+8.7pp	Won
Brisbane Bullets under 101.5	84.0%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	+8.7pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers over 77.5	97.7%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+8.7pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers +19.5	98.3%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+8.7pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers +21.5	98.8%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+8.6pp	Won
Over 177.5	75.2%	1.40	Bet365 1.40	-	-	-	-	+8.5pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers +20.5	98.6%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+8.3pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers over 75.5	98.5%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+8.1pp	Won
Brisbane Bullets under 106.5	92.4%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+8.0pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers over 72.5	99.3%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.8pp	Won
Over 175.5	78.9%	1.32	Bet365 1.32	-	-	-	-	+7.8pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers +18.5	98.0%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+7.8pp	Won
Over 178.5	73.2%	1.39	Betano 1.42	1xBet 1.40	Bet365 1.36	-	-	+7.7pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers over 74.5	98.8%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.7pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers over 73.5	99.1%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.6pp	Won
Over 170.5	86.7%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+7.4pp	Won
Brisbane Bullets under 108.5	94.6%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+7.4pp	Won
Brisbane Bullets under 105.5	91.1%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+7.3pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers over 71.5	99.5%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+7.2pp	Won
Brisbane Bullets under 110.5	96.2%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+7.2pp	Won
Brisbane Bullets under 107.5	93.6%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+6.9pp	Won
Brisbane Bullets under 112.5	97.3%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+6.9pp	Won
Over 160.5	95.8%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
Brisbane Bullets under 109.5	95.4%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Over 165.5	92.2%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Brisbane Bullets under 114.5	98.2%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Brisbane Bullets under 113.5	97.8%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.6pp	Won
Brisbane Bullets under 111.5	96.8%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+6.6pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers +24.5	99.3%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Won
Over 161.5	95.2%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+5.6pp	Won
Over 179.5	71.1%	1.42	1xBet 1.45	Marathon Bet 1.44	Betano 1.40	Bet365 1.40	-	+5.5pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers +23.5	99.1%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Won
Over 176.5	77.1%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Brisbane Bullets over 72.5	96.5%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Over 171.5	85.3%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Brisbane Bullets over 71.5	97.2%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Over 179	72.6%	1.38	Bet365 1.38	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Over 166.5	91.3%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
Over 180	70.5%	1.44	Marathon Bet 1.46	Bet365 1.42	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
Brisbane Bullets over 73.5	95.6%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Overtime: no	95.5%	1.03	Betano 1.03	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Lost
Brisbane Bullets over 74.5	94.6%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers under 115.5	95.6%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers under 114.5	94.7%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers under 113.5	93.6%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+3.4pp	Won
Under 211.5	90.8%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Won
Brisbane Bullets over 76.5	92.1%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+3.1pp	Won
Brisbane Bullets over 75.5	93.5%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+3.0pp	Won
Under 206.5	85.3%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+2.4pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers under 111.5	90.8%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+2.1pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers under 112.5	92.3%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+1.8pp	Won
Brisbane Bullets over 78.5	88.8%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+1.7pp	Won
Brisbane Bullets over 77.5	90.6%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+1.6pp	Won
Under 210.5	89.9%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+1.6pp	Won
Brisbane Bullets +26.5	95.2%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+1.5pp	Won
Under 201.5	77.8%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+1.1pp	Won
Brisbane Bullets over 80.5	84.6%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+0.8pp	Won
Brisbane Bullets +25.5	94.4%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+0.7pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers under 109.5	87.2%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+0.6pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers under 110.5	89.1%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+0.1pp	Won
Brisbane Bullets over 82.5	79.5%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-0.1pp	Won
Brisbane Bullets +24.5	93.5%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	-0.2pp	Won
Brisbane Bullets over 79.5	86.8%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	-0.3pp	Won
Brisbane Bullets +21.5	89.9%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	-0.4pp	Won
Under 205.5	84.0%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	-0.4pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers under 107.5	82.7%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	-1.1pp	Won
Brisbane Bullets over 83.5	76.5%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-1.2pp	Won
Brisbane Bullets +23.5	92.4%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	-1.3pp	Won
Brisbane Bullets over 81.5	82.1%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	-1.7pp	Won
Brisbane Bullets over 85.5	70.1%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	-1.8pp	Won
Brisbane Bullets over 84.5	73.4%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	-1.9pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers under 108.5	85.1%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	-2.1pp	Won
Brisbane Bullets +20.5	88.3%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	-2.1pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers under 105.5	77.3%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-2.2pp	Won
Under 200.5	76.0%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-2.3pp	Won
Brisbane Bullets +19.5	86.6%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	-3.6pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers under 104.5	74.2%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-3.6pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers under 106.5	80.1%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	-4.3pp	Won
New Zealand Breakers under 103.5	70.9%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	-5.2pp	Won
Brisbane Bullets +18.5	84.8%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	-5.4pp	Won
Brisbane Bullets +16.5	80.4%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	-6.2pp	Won
Brisbane Bullets +15.5	78.0%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	-9.2pp	Won
Brisbane Bullets +14.5	75.3%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	-11.3pp	Won
Brisbane Bullets +13.5	72.5%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	-13.6pp	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

New Zealand Breakerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Zealand Breakers: 90.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀39%

🏀14%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 39% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 14% of the points

League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game

50%

34%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.2	21.3	55.8%	56.4%	42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.3	11.7	41.3%	34.2%	35.1
🏀 Free throws	18.8	12.9	68.6%	74.0%	12.9

They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Brisbane Bulletstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brisbane Bullets: 93.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀55%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀14%

🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 55% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 14% of the points

League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game

50%

34%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	45.4	25.6	56.4%	56.4%	51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.0	9.7	30.3%	34.2%	29.1
🏀 Free throws	18.7	13.1	70.1%	74.0%	13.1

They take 77.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.5	20.8	55.5%	56.4%	41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.6	10.7	33.9%	34.2%	32.1
🏀 Free throws	19.9	14.0	70.4%	74.0%	14.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.2	23.4	56.8%	56.4%	46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	34.1	11.4	33.4%	34.2%	34.2
🏀 Free throws	20.8	14.8	71.2%	74.0%	14.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.1	24.7	55.9%	56.4%	49.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.9	9.6	35.5%	34.2%	28.7
🏀 Free throws	20.2	14.3	70.8%	74.0%	14.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.6	22.5	52.7%	56.4%	44.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.8	8.1	28.2%	34.2%	24.3
🏀 Free throws	18.7	13.1	70.4%	74.0%	13.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.2	22.3	56.8%	56.4%	44.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.1	11.0	34.3%	34.2%	33.0
🏀 Free throws	20.6	15.5	75.2%	74.0%	15.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.0	24.6	57.3%	56.4%	49.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.8	9.8	34.0%	34.2%	29.4
🏀 Free throws	22.4	17.1	76.3%	74.0%	17.1

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

New Zealand Breakers

LLLLLWLWWL

Brisbane Bullets

LWWLWLWLLL

League position

+3.3

Net rating

-2.4

102.8

Offensive rating

94.9

99.5

Defensive rating

97.4

58.4%

Effective FG%

51.9%

53.3%

Opp. effective FG%

53.8%

14.1%

Turnover %

15.3%

0.28

Free-throw rate

0.24

41.3%

3-point %

30.3%

63.3%

Assist %

59.5%

30%

Form (last 10/10)

40%

Profile

■ New Zealand Breakers ■ Brisbane Bullets

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

New Zealand Breakers wins

Brisbane Bullets wins

Date	Game	Score
22/09/26	Brisbane Bullets v New Zealand Breakers	88-85
22/12/25	Brisbane Bullets v New Zealand Breakers	99-85
12/11/25	Brisbane Bullets v New Zealand Breakers	84-113
23/10/25	New Zealand Breakers v Brisbane Bullets	83-84
19/09/25	New Zealand Breakers v Brisbane Bullets	95-104
24/01/25	New Zealand Breakers v Brisbane Bullets	87-93
08/01/25	Brisbane Bullets v New Zealand Breakers	83-74
17/10/24	Brisbane Bullets v New Zealand Breakers	84-73
21/09/24	New Zealand Breakers v Brisbane Bullets	91-87
16/02/24	New Zealand Breakers v Brisbane Bullets	103-87

New Zealand Breakerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/11/26	A	Tasmania JackJumpers	77-79
02/11/26	A	Melbourne United	74-94
30/10/26	H	Adelaide	101-108
25/10/26	A	Cairns Taipans	84-86
18/10/26	A	Tasmania JackJumpers	92-98
14/10/26	A	Sydney	102-101
10/10/26	A	Perth	84-100
04/10/26	A	Adelaide	88-72
30/09/26	H	Cairns Taipans	98-75
26/09/26	A	Perth	93-97

Brisbane Bulletslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/11/26	A	Melbourne United	92-120
04/11/26	H	Perth	109-104
01/11/26	A	Adelaide	96-89
29/10/26	H	Cairns Taipans	85-107
24/10/26	A	Illawarra Hawks	98-81
21/10/26	A	Tasmania JackJumpers	85-106
15/10/26	H	South East Melbourne	115-105
08/10/26	A	Cairns Taipans	91-97
03/10/26	H	Tasmania JackJumpers	99-109 OT
30/09/26	A	Sydney	78-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Zealand Breakers

NBL 2026-27

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	33%
Home	WWL	67%
Away	WLLLL	22%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	3	9
Win %	33%	67%	22%
Points / game	89.4	98.0	86.6
Allowed / game	89.9	88.0	90.6
Point differential	-0.5	+10.0	-4.0
Avg total	179.3	186.0	177.1
Over 188.5	33%	33%	33%
Win by 10+	25%	67%	11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	20% (5)	-	20% (5)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Brisbane Bullets

NBL 2026-27

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	50%
Home	WLWLW	67%
Away	LLWWL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	6	6
Win %	50%	67%	33%
Points / game	94.9	99.8	90.0
Allowed / game	99.2	100.8	97.7
Point differential	-4.3	-1.0	-7.7
Avg total	194.2	200.7	187.7
Over 188.5	58%	83%	33%
Win by 10+	17%	17%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (2)	-
Overtime %	8%	17%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sydney	11	8	3	73%	99.0	89.1	+9.9
2	Tasmania JackJumpers	12	8	4	67%	93.9	90.2	+3.7
3	Melbourne United	13	7	6	54%	98.0	91.7	+6.3
4	Adelaide	13	7	6	54%	92.9	92.5	+0.5
5	Cairns Taipans	13	7	6	54%	93.0	97.0	-4.0
6	Perth	12	6	6	50%	94.4	97.6	-3.2
7	Brisbane Bullets	12	6	6	50%	94.9	99.2	-4.3
8	Illawarra Hawks	14	5	9	36%	97.3	104.3	-7.0
9	South East Melbourne	12	4	8	33%	98.2	97.8	+0.4
10	New Zealand Breakers	12	4	8	33%	89.4	89.9	-0.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
New Zealand Breakers	14	26	20	19	15	94
Brisbane Bullets	24	16	22	17	11	90

← all games of the day

New Zealand Breakers vs Brisbane Bullets Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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