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NC State vs North Carolina Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 11 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 54-67
28-30 26-37
Position#94
Record11-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game68.1
NC State
USA
vs
North Carolina 🏆
USA
Position#19
Record11-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game70.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · NC State v North Carolina
15 Dec 2026
NC S v NORT
upcoming
17 Feb 2026
NC S82
NORT58
11 Jan 2025
NC S61
NORT63
10 Jan 2024
NC S54
NORT67
19 Feb 2023
NC S77
NORT69
26 Feb 2022
NC S74
NORT84
22 Dec 2020
NC S79
NORT76
27 Jan 2020
NC S65
NORT75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NC State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
North Carolina winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brigham Young
#61
L
86-95
86
95
-9
A25/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
L
52-72
52
72
-20
A29/11
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
84-78 OT
84
78
+6
A02/12
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#325
W
93-61
93
61
+32
H07/12
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
W
81-67
81
67
+14
H13/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A17/12
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#292
W
82-70
82
70
+12
H21/12
NCAA
Detroit
#370
W
83-66
83
66
+17
H23/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A04/01
NCAA
Virginia
#66
W
76-60
76
60
+16
H06/01
NCAA
1H
2H
43-38
43-57
27-35
25-37
36-33
32-35
37-25
56-36
46-35
35-32
31-34
39-45
33-36
49-34
43-36
40-30
26-34
28-18
35-28
41-32
146.1Avg total
76.1Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)77.768.1145.9+9.679%
Season at home (8)82.262.5144.8+19.8100%
Season away (6)71.775.7147.3-4.050%
Last 10 (10)76.170.0146.1+6.170%
Last 5 (5)73.065.4138.4+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)78.087.0165.0-9.00%
vs Similar (12)70.173.8143.8-3.742%
vs Weaker (16)81.366.8148.1+14.594%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Villanova
#174
L
81-83 OT
81
83
-2
H23/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#224
W
87-72
87
72
+15
H24/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
W
100-92
100
92
+8
H30/11
NCAA
Florida State
#196
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H02/12
NCAA
Uconn
#5
L
76-87
76
87
-11
A06/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
L
83-87
83
87
-4
A16/12
NCAA
Oklahoma
#104
W
81-69
81
69
+12
A21/12
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#319
W
105-60
105
60
+45
H30/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
W
70-57
70
57
+13
A03/01
NCAA
Clemson
#74
W
65-55
65
55
+10
A06/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-32
34-36
35-38
52-34
61-39
39-53
29-35
49-35
39-44
37-43
38-40
45-47
36-28
45-41
51-28
54-32
31-28
39-29
34-34
31-21
155.8Avg total
82.6Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)83.670.8154.4+12.879%
Season at home (9)88.370.7159.0+17.789%
Season away (5)75.071.0146.0+4.060%
Last 10 (10)82.673.2155.8+9.470%
Last 5 (5)80.865.6146.4+15.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)76.087.0163.0-11.00%
vs Similar (13)73.772.8146.5+0.938%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)80.665.3145.9+15.394%
This opponent (NC State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +2.3+2.31st half: +4.2+4.22nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: +5.4+5.4
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +2.3+2.31st half: +4.2+4.22nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: +5.4+5.4
NC StateNorth Carolina
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brigham Young
#61
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A25/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A29/11
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A02/12
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#325
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H07/12
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H13/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A17/12
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#292
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H21/12
NCAA
Detroit
#370
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H23/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
L
26-34
26
34
-8
A04/01
NCAA
Virginia
#66
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H06/01
NCAA
69.1Avg total
35.7Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.133.970.9+3.257%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.933.374.3+7.680%-
Last 30 away (15)33.234.467.6-1.233%-
Last 10 (10)35.733.469.1+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)33.633.667.2+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)37.036.073.0+1.050%-
vs Similar (12)33.534.267.7-0.742%-
vs Weaker (16)39.833.473.1+6.469%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Villanova
#174
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H23/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#224
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H24/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
W
61-39
61
39
+22
H30/11
NCAA
Florida State
#196
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H02/12
NCAA
Uconn
#5
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A06/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A16/12
NCAA
Oklahoma
#104
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A21/12
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#319
W
51-28
51
28
+23
H30/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A03/01
NCAA
Clemson
#74
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A06/01
NCAA
73.4Avg total
38.8Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.332.969.1+3.453%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.933.172.0+5.865%-
Last 30 away (13)32.832.565.4+0.338%-
Last 10 (10)38.834.673.4+4.250%-
Last 5 (5)38.031.669.6+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.044.083.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (13)35.233.768.9+1.538%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)36.931.568.4+5.469%-
This opponent (NC State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
NC State wins
6
North Carolina wins
DateGameScore
19/02/23NC State v North Carolina77-69
21/01/23North Carolina v NC State80-69
26/02/22NC State v North Carolina74-84
29/01/22North Carolina v NC State100-80
23/01/21North Carolina v NC State86-76
23/12/20NC State v North Carolina79-76
26/02/20North Carolina v NC State85-79
28/01/20NC State v North Carolina65-75
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24HVirginia76-60
04/01/24ANotre Dame54-52
23/12/23HDetroit83-66
21/12/23HSt. Louis Billikens82-70
17/12/23ATennessee70-79
13/12/23HUT Martin81-67
07/12/23HMd.-East. Shore93-61
02/12/23ABoston College84-78 OT
29/11/23AOle Miss52-72
25/11/23ABrigham Young86-95
North Carolinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24AClemson65-55
03/01/24APittsburgh70-57
30/12/23HCharleston Southern105-60
21/12/23AOklahoma81-69
16/12/23AKentucky83-87
06/12/23AUconn76-87
02/12/23HFlorida State78-70
30/11/23HTennessee100-92
24/11/23HArkansas87-72
23/11/23HVillanova81-83 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NC State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW79%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %79%100%50%
Points / game77.782.271.7
Allowed / game68.162.575.7
Point differential+9.6+19.8-4.0
Avg total145.9144.8147.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %7%0%17%
North Carolina
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW79%
HomeLWWWW89%
AwayLLWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1495
Win %79%89%60%
Points / game83.688.375.0
Allowed / game70.870.771.0
Point differential+12.8+17.7+4.0
Avg total154.4159.0146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%67%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %7%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke1512380%81.965.2+16.7
2 North Carolina1411379%83.670.8+12.8
3 NC State1411379%77.768.1+9.6
4 Wake Forest1511473%81.970.8+11.1
5 Virginia1511473%66.157.3+8.9
6 Clemson1511473%79.771.8+7.9
7 Boston College1410471%80.472.9+7.5
8 Syracuse1410471%77.571.5+6.0
9 Miami (FL)1611569%83.072.3+10.7
10 SMU Mustangs1510567%74.561.7+12.9
11 Virginia Tech1510567%74.367.2+7.1
12 Pittsburgh1610662%77.466.1+11.4
13 Florida State159660%77.374.1+3.2
14 Georgia Tech158753%72.473.7-1.3
15 Stanford147750%78.275.0+3.2
16 Notre Dame167944%63.365.1-1.8
17 Louisville156940%73.275.7-2.5
18 California1551033%75.176.3-1.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
NC State282654
North Carolina303767
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