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NC State vs Wake Forest Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 17 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 83-76
35-45 48-31
Position#94
Record12-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game69.0
NC State 🏆
USA
vs
Wake Forest
USA
Position#119
Record12-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game69.3
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · NC State v Wake Forest
23 Jan 2027
NC S v WAKE
upcoming
31 Dec 2025
NC S70
WAKE57
22 Feb 2025
NC S85
WAKE73
16 Jan 2024
NC S83
WAKE76
22 Feb 2023
NC S90
WAKE74
09 Feb 2022
NC S51
WAKE69
27 Jan 2021
NC S72
WAKE67
06 Mar 2020
NC S84
WAKE64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NC State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wake Forest winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#169
W
84-78 OT
84
78
+6
A02/12
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#325
W
93-61
93
61
+32
H07/12
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
W
81-67
81
67
+14
H13/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A17/12
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#292
W
82-70
82
70
+12
H21/12
NCAA
Detroit
#370
W
83-66
83
66
+17
H23/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A04/01
NCAA
Virginia
#66
W
76-60
76
60
+16
H06/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
54-67
54
67
-13
H11/01
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
89-83
89
83
+6
A13/01
NCAA
1H
2H
36-33
32-35
37-25
56-36
46-35
35-32
31-34
39-45
33-36
49-34
43-36
40-30
26-34
28-18
35-28
41-32
28-30
26-37
44-35
45-48
144.9Avg total
76.6Scored
68.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)76.969.0145.9+7.975%
Season at home (9)79.163.0142.1+16.189%
Season away (7)74.176.7150.9-2.657%
Last 10 (10)76.668.3144.9+8.380%
Last 5 (5)71.265.6136.8+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.080.3150.3-10.30%
vs Similar ◀ (11)70.273.2143.4-3.045%
vs Weaker (16)82.067.9149.9+14.194%
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wake ForestUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida
#73
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H30/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
W
76-57
76
57
+19
H06/12
NCAA
NJIT
#349
W
83-59
83
59
+24
H10/12
NCAA
Delaware State
#248
W
88-59
88
59
+29
H19/12
NCAA
Presbyterian
#232
W
91-68
91
68
+23
H21/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
W
86-63
86
63
+23
H30/12
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
84-78
84
78
+6
A03/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
86-82 OT
86
82
+4
H06/01
NCAA
Florida State
#196
L
82-87
82
87
-5
A10/01
NCAA
Virginia
#66
W
66-47
66
47
+19
H13/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-36
50-35
37-31
39-26
38-32
45-27
42-32
46-27
40-37
51-31
44-24
42-39
36-40
48-38
44-37
29-36
41-42
41-45
27-21
39-26
149.5Avg total
82.4Scored
67.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)80.969.3150.2+11.675%
Season at home (13)80.866.5147.3+14.485%
Season away (3)81.081.7162.7-0.733%
Last 10 (10)82.467.1149.5+15.390%
Last 5 (5)80.871.4152.2+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)72.880.0152.8-7.20%
vs Similar ◀ (11)77.374.9152.2+2.455%
vs Weaker (15)80.168.7148.7+11.473%
This opponent (NC State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +3.3+3.31st half: +4.9+4.92nd half2nd half: +4.4+4.42nd half: +10.0+10.0
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +3.3+3.31st half: +4.9+4.92nd half2nd half: +4.4+4.42nd half: +10.0+10.0
NC StateWake Forest
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#169
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A02/12
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#325
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H07/12
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H13/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A17/12
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#292
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H21/12
NCAA
Detroit
#370
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H23/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
L
26-34
26
34
-8
A04/01
NCAA
Virginia
#66
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H06/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H11/01
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A13/01
NCAA
68.5Avg total
35.9Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.033.770.6+3.357%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.133.173.2+7.075%-
Last 30 away (14)33.434.367.6-0.936%-
Last 10 (10)35.932.668.5+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)35.232.667.8+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.034.068.0+0.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)33.534.267.7-0.645%-
vs Weaker (16)39.933.273.1+6.669%-
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wake ForestLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida
#73
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H30/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H06/12
NCAA
NJIT
#349
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H10/12
NCAA
Delaware State
#248
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H19/12
NCAA
Presbyterian
#232
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H21/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H30/12
NCAA
Boston College
#169
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A03/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H06/01
NCAA
Florida State
#196
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A10/01
NCAA
Virginia
#66
W
27-21
27
21
+6
H13/01
NCAA
71.3Avg total
38.1Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.736.373.1+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.333.971.2+3.368%-
Last 30 away (11)35.840.576.3-4.69%-
Last 10 (10)38.133.271.3+4.970%-
Last 5 (5)38.432.871.2+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.241.578.8-4.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)37.035.572.5+1.536%-
vs Weaker (15)36.435.571.9+0.960%-
This opponent (NC State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
NC State wins
2
Wake Forest wins
DateGameScore
23/02/23NC State v Wake Forest90-74
28/01/23Wake Forest v NC State77-79
03/03/22Wake Forest v NC State101-76
10/02/22NC State v Wake Forest51-69
20/02/21Wake Forest v NC State62-80
28/01/21NC State v Wake Forest72-67
07/03/20NC State v Wake Forest84-64
07/12/19Wake Forest v NC State82-91
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/24ALouisville89-83
11/01/24HNorth Carolina54-67
06/01/24HVirginia76-60
04/01/24ANotre Dame54-52
23/12/23HDetroit83-66
21/12/23HSt. Louis Billikens82-70
17/12/23ATennessee70-79
13/12/23HUT Martin81-67
07/12/23HMd.-East. Shore93-61
02/12/23ABoston College84-78 OT
Wake Forestlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/24HVirginia66-47
10/01/24AFlorida State82-87
06/01/24HMiami (FL)86-82 OT
03/01/24ABoston College84-78
30/12/23HVirginia Tech86-63
21/12/23HPresbyterian91-68
19/12/23HDelaware State88-59
10/12/23HNJIT83-59
06/12/23HRutgers76-57
30/11/23HFlorida82-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NC State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW75%
HomeWWWWL89%
AwayLWLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %75%89%57%
Points / game76.979.174.1
Allowed / game69.063.076.7
Point differential+7.9+16.1-2.6
Avg total145.9142.1150.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%89%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %6%0%14%
Wake Forest
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW75%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16133
Win %75%85%33%
Points / game80.980.881.0
Allowed / game69.366.581.7
Point differential+11.6+14.4-0.7
Avg total150.2147.3162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%77%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %12%15%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke1613381%82.066.1+15.9
2 North Carolina1613381%83.869.5+14.2
3 Wake Forest1612475%80.969.3+11.6
4 Clemson1612475%80.372.2+8.1
5 NC State1612475%76.969.0+7.9
6 Miami (FL)1712571%82.572.2+10.3
7 SMU Mustangs1611569%74.661.8+12.8
8 Virginia1611569%64.957.8+7.1
9 Syracuse1611569%76.372.7+3.6
10 Boston College1711665%78.072.8+5.2
11 Pittsburgh1610662%77.466.1+11.4
12 Virginia Tech1610662%74.167.7+6.4
13 Florida State1610662%76.773.1+3.6
14 Stanford169756%78.975.4+3.4
15 Georgia Tech168850%72.874.3-1.5
16 Notre Dame1871139%62.865.1-2.3
17 Louisville1661038%73.876.6-2.8
18 California1761135%75.476.6-1.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
NC State354883
Wake Forest453176
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