PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

North Dakota vs UMKC Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 16 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#326
Record1-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game86.8
North Dakota
USA
vs
UMKC
USA
Position#260
Record2-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game77.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · North Dakota v UMKC
16 Jan 2027
NORT v UMKC
upcoming
19 Feb 2026
NORT85
UMKC70
18 Jan 2025
NORT76
UMKC72
10 Feb 2024
NORT47
UMKC65
19 Jan 2023
NORT77
UMKC60
17 Feb 2022
NORT65
UMKC80
03 Jan 2021
NORT53
UMKC77
02 Jan 2021
NORT52
UMKC45
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

North Dakota win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
UMKC win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

North DakotaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMKC
#368
W
85-70
85
70
+15
H20/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
L
83-91
83
91
-8
A21/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
63-96
63
96
-33
A28/02
NCAA
Denver
#239
W
83-67
83
67
+16
H07/03
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#42
W
67-66
67
66
+1
A08/03
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A09/03
NCAA
Minnesota
#53
L
50-85
50
85
-35
A03/11
NCAA
Winthrop
#347
W
93-90
93
90
+3
A07/11
NCAA
Clemson
#131
L
77-92
77
92
-15
A10/11
NCAA
Montana
#195
L
71-80
71
80
-9
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
37-35
48-35
44-42
39-49
31-44
32-52
42-29
41-38
28-34
39-32
30-38
32-32
25-41
25-44
42-45
51-45
40-38
37-54
38-33
33-47
154.1Avg total
73.4Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)72.886.8159.5-14.025%
Season at home (1)71.080.0151.0-9.00%
Season away (3)73.389.0162.3-15.733%
Last 10 (10)73.480.7154.1-7.340%
Last 5 (5)70.683.4154.0-12.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)70.283.8154.0-13.531%
vs Similar (12)81.478.8160.2+2.767%
vs Weaker (4)80.068.5148.5+11.575%
This opponent (UMKC) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMKCUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Dakota
#196
L
70-85
70
85
-15
A20/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
59-95
59
95
-36
A21/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
L
59-73
59
73
-14
H27/02
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
L
70-94
70
94
-24
H01/03
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
L
62-84
62
84
-22
A05/03
NCAA
Creighton
#160
L
61-76
61
76
-15
A03/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#156
W
100-93
100
93
+7
H07/11
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#161
L
61-79
61
79
-18
A10/11
NCAA
Florida A&M
#309
W
87-65
87
65
+22
A11/11
NCAA
George Mason
#65
L
68-76
68
76
-8
A12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-37
35-48
26-56
33-39
30-36
29-37
30-43
40-51
21-44
41-40
39-33
22-43
55-42
45-51
20-36
41-43
51-21
36-44
33-37
35-39
151.7Avg total
69.7Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)75.477.8153.2-2.440%
Season at home (1)100.093.0193.0+7.0100%
Season away (4)69.274.0143.2-4.825%
Last 10 (10)69.782.0151.7-12.320%
Last 5 (5)75.477.8153.2-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)67.883.7151.4-15.97%
vs Similar (1)87.065.0152.0+22.0100%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (North Dakota) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -2.2-2.21st half: -4.5-4.52nd half2nd half: -5.1-5.12nd half: -7.8-7.8
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -2.2-2.21st half: -4.5-4.52nd half2nd half: -5.1-5.12nd half: -7.8-7.8
North DakotaUMKC
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
North DakotaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMKC
#368
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H20/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A21/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A28/02
NCAA
Denver
#239
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H07/03
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#42
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A08/03
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A09/03
NCAA
Minnesota
#53
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A03/11
NCAA
Winthrop
#347
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A07/11
NCAA
Clemson
#131
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A10/11
NCAA
Montana
#195
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H14/11
NCAA
73.6Avg total
35.7Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.237.173.3-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.334.873.1+3.567%-
Last 30 away (15)34.039.573.5-5.527%-
Last 10 (10)35.737.973.6-2.250%-
Last 5 (5)35.039.074.0-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)32.938.271.1-5.231%-
vs Similar (12)38.537.876.2+0.858%-
vs Weaker (4)37.836.073.8+1.850%-
This opponent (UMKC) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMKCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Dakota
#196
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A20/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
26-56
26
56
-30
A21/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H27/02
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H01/03
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
L
21-44
21
44
-23
A05/03
NCAA
Creighton
#160
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A03/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#156
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H07/11
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#161
L
20-36
20
36
-16
A10/11
NCAA
Florida A&M
#309
W
51-21
51
21
+30
A11/11
NCAA
George Mason
#65
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A12/11
NCAA
72.5Avg total
34.0Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.539.472.9-5.930%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.637.974.5-1.338%-
Last 30 away (17)31.140.571.6-9.424%-
Last 10 (10)34.038.572.5-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)39.633.873.4+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)31.740.071.7-8.226%-
vs Similar (1)51.021.072.0+30.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (North Dakota) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
North Dakota wins
4
UMKC wins
DateGameScore
20/02/26North Dakota v UMKC85-70
11/01/26UMKC v North Dakota79-81
08/02/25UMKC v North Dakota80-69
18/01/25North Dakota v UMKC76-72
10/02/24North Dakota v UMKC47-65
13/01/24UMKC v North Dakota69-82
19/02/23UMKC v North Dakota73-81
20/01/23North Dakota v UMKC77-60
18/02/22North Dakota v UMKC65-80
23/01/22UMKC v North Dakota79-74
North Dakotalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HMontana71-80
10/11/26AClemson77-92
07/11/26AWinthrop93-90
03/11/26AMinnesota50-85
09/03/26ANorth Dakota St62-70
08/03/26ASt. Thomas (Minn.)67-66
07/03/26HDenver83-67
28/02/26ANorth Dakota St63-96
21/02/26ASouth Dakota St.83-91
20/02/26HUMKC85-70
UMKClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AGeorge Mason68-76
11/11/26AFlorida A&M87-65
10/11/26AJacksonville Dolphins61-79
07/11/26HSouthern Illinois100-93
03/11/26ACreighton61-76
05/03/26AOral Roberts62-84
01/03/26HOral Roberts70-94
27/02/26HSouth Dakota St.59-73
21/02/26ANorth Dakota St59-95
20/02/26ANorth Dakota70-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

North Dakota
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeL0%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%0%33%
Points / game72.871.073.3
Allowed / game86.880.089.0
Point differential-14.0-9.0-15.7
Avg total159.5151.0162.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
UMKC
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL40%
HomeW100%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %40%100%25%
Points / game75.4100.069.2
Allowed / game77.893.074.0
Point differential-2.4+7.0-4.8
Avg total153.2193.0143.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 South Dakota St.440100%72.857.5+15.2
2 Nebraska O.53260%68.277.0-8.8
3 Oral Roberts42250%75.560.8+14.8
4 St. Thomas (Minn.)52340%82.478.2+4.2
5 UMKC52340%75.477.8-2.4
6 North Dakota St52340%77.283.0-5.8
7 North Dakota41325%72.886.8-14.0
8 South Dakota Coyotes51420%84.482.8+1.6
9 Denver3030%60.371.7-11.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.