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Drake vs Murray State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 59-66
26-26 33-40
Position#8
Record12-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game57.6
vs
Position#214
Record7-7
FormLLLWL
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game69.4
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Drake v Murray State
24 Jan 2027
DRAK v MURR
upcoming
21 Jan 2026
DRAK101
MURR90
05 Jan 2025
DRAK59
MURR66
18 Feb 2024
DRAK95
MURR72
03 Mar 2023
DRAK74
MURR62
07 Jan 2023
DRAK82
MURR64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Drake winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murray State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DrakeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#344
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H21/11
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#162
W
75-63
75
63
+12
A22/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
W
81-70
81
70
+11
A25/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#201
W
61-47
61
47
+14
H30/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
66-60
66
60
+6
A06/12
NCAA
St. Ambrose
#553
W
90-35
90
35
+55
H13/12
NCAA
Kansas State
#216
W
73-70 OT
73
70
+3
A18/12
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#366
W
72-62
72
62
+10
H21/12
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
65-46
65
46
+19
H29/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
L
70-74
70
74
-4
A01/01
NCAA
1H
2H
36-27
44-42
32-28
43-35
34-31
47-39
29-23
32-24
35-26
31-34
51-19
39-16
36-27
27-36
40-32
32-30
39-21
26-25
33-32
37-42
132.9Avg total
73.3Scored
59.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)73.557.6131.1+15.892%
Season at home (8)73.851.5125.2+22.2100%
Season away (5)73.067.4140.4+5.680%
Last 10 (10)73.359.6132.9+13.790%
Last 5 (5)74.057.4131.4+16.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)72.070.2142.2+1.867%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)78.766.5145.2+12.187%
This opponent (Murray State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Valley State
#32
L
75-77
75
77
-2
H23/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
W
79-66
79
66
+13
H26/11
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H04/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#94
W
73-53
73
53
+20
H08/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
L
76-81 OT
76
81
-5
A14/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A19/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
L
49-66
49
66
-17
H23/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#323
L
90-94 OT
90
94
-4
A24/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#75
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H25/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
L
68-74
68
74
-6
H03/01
NCAA
1H
2H
30-35
45-42
44-30
35-36
33-25
30-36
33-33
40-20
39-33
28-34
26-41
48-43
14-34
35-32
29-38
42-33
34-36
37-32
25-33
43-41
144.2Avg total
71.8Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)76.169.4145.6+6.750%
Season at home (9)74.462.6137.0+11.967%
Season away (5)79.281.8161.0-2.620%
Last 10 (10)71.872.4144.2-0.640%
Last 5 (5)70.477.2147.6-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)68.673.6142.2-5.012%
vs Similar (17)67.769.1136.8-1.441%
vs Weaker (4)78.071.0149.0+7.075%
This opponent (Drake) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.9+9.91st half: -3.1-3.12nd half2nd half: +3.5+3.52nd half: +3.4+3.4
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.9+9.91st half: -3.1-3.12nd half2nd half: +3.5+3.52nd half: +3.4+3.4
DrakeMurray State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DrakeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#344
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H21/11
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#162
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A22/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A25/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#201
W
29-23
29
23
+6
H30/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A06/12
NCAA
St. Ambrose
#553
W
51-19
51
19
+32
H13/12
NCAA
Kansas State
#216
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A18/12
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#366
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H21/12
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
39-21
39
21
+18
H29/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A01/01
NCAA
63.1Avg total
36.5Scored
26.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.830.369.1+8.570%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.428.368.7+12.176%-
Last 30 away (13)36.733.069.7+3.762%-
Last 10 (10)36.526.663.1+9.9100%-
Last 5 (5)39.826.266.0+13.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)38.733.271.8+5.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)38.329.968.3+8.474%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Valley State
#32
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H23/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H26/11
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H04/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#94
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H08/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A14/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A19/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
L
14-34
14
34
-20
H23/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#323
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A24/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#75
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H25/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H03/01
NCAA
64.5Avg total
30.7Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.633.466.0-0.843%-
Last 30 at home (18)31.630.762.3+0.950%-
Last 30 away (12)34.137.571.6-3.433%-
Last 10 (10)30.733.864.5-3.130%-
Last 5 (5)25.636.462.0-10.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)32.538.470.9-5.925%-
vs Similar (17)31.231.762.9-0.547%-
vs Weaker (4)33.534.267.8-0.850%-
This opponent (Drake) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Drake wins
0
Murray State wins
DateGameScore
18/02/24Drake v Murray State95-72
04/03/23Drake v Murray State74-62
08/02/23Murray State v Drake68-92
07/01/23Drake v Murray State82-64
27/11/19Murray State v Drake53-63
Drakelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/01/25AIllinois (Chi.)70-74
29/12/24HBelmont65-46
21/12/24HWisc. Green Bay72-62
18/12/24AKansas State73-70 OT
13/12/24HSt. Ambrose90-35
06/12/24AValparaiso66-60
30/11/24HGeorgia Southern61-47
25/11/24AVanderbilt81-70
22/11/24AFlorida Atlantic75-63
21/11/24HMiami (FL)80-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/25HIllinois State68-74
25/12/24HLoyola Chicago71-68
24/12/24ACharlotte90-94 OT
23/12/24HNebraska49-66
19/12/24AIndiana State74-84
14/12/24AWestern Kentucky76-81 OT
08/12/24HSoutheast Missouri State73-53
04/12/24HEvansville63-61
26/11/24HUT Arlington79-66
23/11/24HUtah Valley State75-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Drake
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %92%100%80%
Points / game73.573.873.0
Allowed / game57.651.567.4
Point differential+15.8+22.2+5.6
Avg total131.1125.2140.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+69%88%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%20%
Murray State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL50%
HomeWWLWL67%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1495
Win %50%67%20%
Points / game76.174.479.2
Allowed / game69.462.681.8
Point differential+6.7+11.9-2.6
Avg total145.6137.0161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%44%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %14%0%40%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake1312192%73.557.6+15.8
2 Bradley1513287%81.668.4+13.2
3 Illinois (Chi.)1510567%80.774.1+6.7
4 Belmont1510567%81.178.3+2.8
5 Illinois State149564%78.772.0+6.7
6 Northern Iowa159660%77.567.5+10.0
7 Valparaiso159660%79.572.4+7.1
8 Indiana State159660%83.476.7+6.7
9 Murray State147750%76.169.4+6.7
10 Southern Illinois145936%72.374.6-2.4
11 Evansville1551033%64.970.1-5.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Drake263359
Murray State264066
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