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Murray State vs Illinois State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 68-74
25-33 43-41
Position#214
Record7-6
FormLLLLW
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game69.1
vs
Position#141
Record8-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game72.3
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Murray State v Illinois State
17 Dec 2026
MURR v ILLI
upcoming
28 Jan 2026
MURR65
ILLI70
02 Jan 2025
MURR68
ILLI74
30 Jan 2024
MURR59
ILLI61
01 Dec 2022
MURR70
ILLI67
05 Dec 2020
MURR76
ILLI65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murray State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Md.-East. Shore
#355
W
79-61
79
61
+18
H21/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#32
L
75-77
75
77
-2
H23/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
W
79-66
79
66
+13
H26/11
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H04/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#94
W
73-53
73
53
+20
H08/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
L
76-81 OT
76
81
-5
A14/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A19/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
L
49-66
49
66
-17
H23/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#323
L
90-94 OT
90
94
-4
A24/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#75
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H25/12
NCAA
1H
2H
36-30
43-31
30-35
45-42
44-30
35-36
33-25
30-36
33-33
40-20
39-33
28-34
26-41
48-43
14-34
35-32
29-38
42-33
34-36
37-32
144.0Avg total
72.9Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)76.869.1145.8+7.754%
Season at home (8)75.261.1136.4+14.175%
Season away (5)79.281.8161.0-2.620%
Last 10 (10)72.971.1144.0+1.850%
Last 5 (5)72.078.6150.6-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)68.673.6142.2-5.012%
vs Similar ◀ (17)68.267.9136.1+0.447%
vs Weaker (4)78.071.0149.0+7.075%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trinity (IL)
#671
W
107-52
107
52
+55
H17/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
68-76
68
76
-8
A22/11
NCAA
UAB
#91
W
84-83
84
83
+1
H23/11
NCAA
George Washington
#96
L
64-72
64
72
-8
A25/11
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
97-99 OT
97
99
-2
A05/12
NCAA
Pacific
#336
W
72-61
72
61
+11
H08/12
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#140
W
81-77
81
77
+4
H15/12
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
W
81-60
81
60
+21
H19/12
NCAA
Cornell
#113
W
80-77
80
77
+3
A22/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
L
67-73
67
73
-6
H29/12
NCAA
1H
2H
44-23
63-29
36-43
32-33
39-43
45-40
29-27
35-45
45-54
43-34
33-29
39-32
43-31
38-46
36-28
45-32
43-45
37-32
35-33
32-40
153.1Avg total
80.1Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)79.172.3151.4+6.862%
Season at home (8)80.268.5148.8+11.875%
Season away (5)77.278.4155.6-1.240%
Last 10 (10)80.173.0153.1+7.160%
Last 5 (5)76.269.6145.8+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)62.568.3130.8-5.817%
vs Similar ◀ (19)72.270.9143.2+1.358%
vs Weaker (5)76.461.4137.8+15.060%
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.7-1.71st half: +2.7+2.72nd half2nd half: +4.4+4.42nd half: +4.6+4.6
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.7-1.71st half: +2.7+2.72nd half2nd half: +4.4+4.42nd half: +4.6+4.6
Murray StateIllinois State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Md.-East. Shore
#355
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H21/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#32
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H23/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H26/11
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H04/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#94
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H08/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A14/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A19/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
L
14-34
14
34
-20
H23/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#323
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A24/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#75
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H25/12
NCAA
65.3Avg total
31.8Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.232.966.1+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (17)32.030.562.5+1.553%-
Last 30 away (13)34.736.170.8-1.438%-
Last 10 (10)31.833.565.3-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)28.436.464.8-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)32.538.470.9-5.925%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)32.230.963.1+1.353%-
vs Weaker (4)33.534.267.8-0.850%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trinity (IL)
#671
W
44-23
44
23
+21
H17/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A22/11
NCAA
UAB
#91
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H23/11
NCAA
George Washington
#96
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A25/11
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A05/12
NCAA
Pacific
#336
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H08/12
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#140
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H15/12
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H19/12
NCAA
Cornell
#113
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A22/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H29/12
NCAA
73.9Avg total
38.3Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.333.867.1-0.447%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.632.866.4+0.959%-
Last 30 away (13)32.935.168.0-2.231%-
Last 10 (10)38.335.673.9+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)38.033.271.2+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)27.336.263.5-8.817%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)35.433.969.3+1.553%-
vs Weaker (5)32.830.463.2+2.460%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Murray State wins
2
Illinois State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/12/24HLoyola Chicago71-68
24/12/24ACharlotte90-94 OT
23/12/24HNebraska49-66
19/12/24AIndiana State74-84
14/12/24AWestern Kentucky76-81 OT
08/12/24HSoutheast Missouri State73-53
04/12/24HEvansville63-61
26/11/24HUT Arlington79-66
23/11/24HUtah Valley State75-77
21/11/24HMd.-East. Shore79-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/24HIllinois (Chi.)67-73
22/12/24ACornell80-77
19/12/24HNorthern Illinois81-60
15/12/24HSt. Louis Billikens81-77
08/12/24HPacific72-61
05/12/24ABelmont97-99 OT
25/11/24AGeorge Washington64-72
23/11/24HUAB84-83
22/11/24AMcNeese State68-76
17/11/24HTrinity (IL)107-52

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murray State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW54%
HomeWWWLW75%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %54%75%20%
Points / game76.875.279.2
Allowed / game69.161.181.8
Point differential+7.7+14.1-2.6
Avg total145.8136.4161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %15%0%40%
Illinois State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL62%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %62%75%40%
Points / game79.180.277.2
Allowed / game72.368.578.4
Point differential+6.8+11.8-1.2
Avg total151.4148.8155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake1312192%73.557.6+15.8
2 Bradley1412286%82.569.0+13.5
3 Illinois (Chi.)1410471%80.372.8+7.5
4 Northern Iowa149564%77.966.6+11.2
5 Belmont149564%80.477.7+2.6
6 Illinois State138562%79.172.3+6.8
7 Valparaiso148657%79.572.4+7.1
8 Indiana State148657%84.677.7+6.9
9 Murray State137654%76.869.1+7.7
10 Southern Illinois145936%72.374.6-2.4
11 Evansville145936%65.170.4-5.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Murray State254368
Illinois State334174
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