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Okapi Aalst vs Zwolle Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 81-95
18-34 27-17 18-18 18-26
Position#3
Record4-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game84.2
vs
Zwolle 🏆
Position#14
Record1-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game77.0
EuropeBNXT LeagueRound 5· Okapi Forum
Other2025-26
Meetings · Okapi Aalst v Zwolle
06 Mar 2027
OKAP v ZWO
upcoming
25 Oct 2025
OKAP81
ZWO95
12 Apr 2025
OKAP80
ZWO87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Okapi Aalst winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zwolle winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Okapi AalstLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAalst
Date
Competition
Leuven Bears
#7
L
75-90
75
90
-15
70avg 76
A26/04
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
W
79-78
79
78
+1
76avg 76
A30/04
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
100-78
100
78
+22
98avg 76
H03/05
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
61-80
61
80
-19
56avg 76
A07/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
L
88-99
88
99
-11
81avg 76
A10/05
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
W
89-85
89
85
+4
84avg 76
A28/09
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
W
93-74
93
74
+19
87avg 76
H04/10
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
85-83
85
83
+2
78avg 76
A11/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
L
78-85
78
85
-7
61avg 76
A18/10
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
105-94
105
94
+11
97avg 76
A22/10
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-28
17-17
13-23
25-22
22-23
22-20
17-20
18-15
32-16
32-25
23-23
13-14
11-26
16-23
13-19
21-12
18-31
16-26
25-25
29-17
20-18
19-21
22-21
28-25
18-24
23-18
21-15
31-17
22-22
23-20
16-20
24-21
19-17
25-19
17-27
17-22
23-18
28-22
38-23
16-31
169.9Avg total
85.3Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)90.084.2174.2+5.880%
Season at home (1)93.074.0167.0+19.0100%
Season away (4)89.286.8176.0+2.575%
Last 10 (10)85.384.6169.9+0.760%
Last 5 (5)90.084.2174.2+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)72.986.3159.2-13.430%
vs Similar (10)80.783.0163.7-2.340%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)90.080.3170.3+9.780%
This opponent (Zwolle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZwolleLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZwolle
Date
Competition
Limburg
#4
L
69-84
69
84
-15
61avg 73
H30/04
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
80-83
80
83
-3
76avg 73
H04/05
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
L
78-104
78
104
-26
59avg 73
A07/05
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
67-86
67
86
-19
57avg 73
A10/05
BNXT League
Leiden
#2
L
71-103
71
103
-32
no box
A13/05
DBL
Leiden
#2
L
81-83
81
83
-2
74avg 73
H15/05
DBL
Rotterdam
#17
W
88-68
88
68
+20
88avg 73
A28/09
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
L
71-79
71
79
-8
64avg 73
H05/10
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
66-70
66
70
-4
48avg 73
A11/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
79-91
79
91
-12
70avg 73
H19/10
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-20
24-20
21-27
11-17
24-24
16-21
20-19
20-19
17-22
25-21
21-32
15-29
13-30
18-23
9-23
27-10
23-22
16-31
15-21
17-29
20-25
24-19
17-14
20-25
16-21
28-16
22-12
22-19
19-23
20-17
15-20
17-19
22-22
15-12
13-21
16-15
24-23
16-21
14-29
25-18
160.1Avg total
75.0Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)76.077.0153.0-1.025%
Season at home (2)75.085.0160.0-10.00%
Season away (2)77.069.0146.0+8.050%
Last 10 (10)75.085.1160.1-10.110%
Last 5 (5)77.078.2155.2-1.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)76.685.6162.2-9.111%
vs Similar (6)76.785.8162.5-9.217%
vs Weaker (5)91.078.0169.0+13.080%
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -1.0-1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -1.0-1.0
Okapi AalstZwolle
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Okapi AalstLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leuven Bears
#7
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A26/04
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A30/04
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
64-41
64
41
+23
H03/05
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
27-49
27
49
-22
A07/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
L
34-57
34
57
-23
A10/05
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A28/09
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H04/10
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A11/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A18/10
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A22/10
BNXT League
86.0Avg total
42.6Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.141.382.4-0.240%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.441.485.7+3.043%-
Last 30 away (16)38.241.279.4-3.138%-
Last 10 (10)42.643.486.0-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)44.039.883.8+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.842.479.2-5.620%-
vs Similar (10)40.842.883.6-2.030%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)45.638.784.3+6.970%-
This opponent (Zwolle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZwolleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Limburg
#4
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H30/04
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H04/05
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A07/05
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A10/05
BNXT League
Leiden
#2
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A13/05
DBL
Leiden
#2
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H15/05
DBL
Rotterdam
#17
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A28/09
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H05/10
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A11/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H19/10
BNXT League
82.6Avg total
39.3Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.742.081.7-2.333%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.541.780.3-3.220%-
Last 30 away (15)40.942.383.1-1.447%-
Last 10 (10)39.343.382.6-4.020%-
Last 5 (5)40.839.880.6+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)38.942.681.5-3.626%-
vs Similar (6)38.743.382.0-4.733%-
vs Weaker (5)43.838.282.0+5.660%-
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Okapi Aalsttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Okapi Aalst: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.4
51.1%
54.3%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.910.7
38.4%
34.6%32.1
🏀 Free throws19.314.8
76.7%
72.4%14.8
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zwolletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zwolle: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.418.6
52.5%
54.3%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.58.8
32.0%
34.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws17.212.7
73.8%
72.4%12.7
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Okapi Aalst
WLWWWLLWWL
Zwolle
LLLWLLLLLL
#3
League position
#14
-0.7
Net rating
-10.7
111.2
Offensive rating
103.6
111.9
Defensive rating
114.3
53.9%
Effective FG%
50.6%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
17.2%
Turnover %
17.6%
27.8%
Off. rebound %
25.5%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
38.4%
3-point %
32.0%
58.4%
Assist %
61.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 103.6Defence111.9 · 114.3Shooting53.9% · 50.6%3-point %38.4% · 32.0%Ball care17.2% · 17.6%Off. rebounds27.8% · 25.5%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ Okapi Aalst   ■ Zwolle
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Okapi Aalst wins
2
Zwolle wins
DateGameScore
12/04/25Okapi Aalst v Zwolle80-87
22/09/24Zwolle v Okapi Aalst90-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/25ALWD Basket105-94
18/10/25ADonar Groningen78-85
11/10/25ADen Helder85-83
04/10/25HKortrijk93-74
28/09/25ABrussels Basketball89-85
10/05/25ALWD Basket88-99
07/05/25ADen Bosch61-80
03/05/25HBAL Weert100-78
30/04/25AMechelen79-78
26/04/25ALeuven Bears75-90
Zwollelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/25HBrussels Basketball79-91
11/10/25AMechelen66-70
05/10/25HDen Bosch71-79
28/09/25ARotterdam88-68
15/05/25HLeiden81-83
13/05/25ALeiden71-103
10/05/25AKortrijk67-86
07/05/25ADonar Groningen78-104
04/05/25HBelfius Mons80-83
30/04/25HLimburg69-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Okapi Aalst
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeW100%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %80%100%75%
Points / game90.093.089.2
Allowed / game84.274.086.8
Point differential+5.8+19.0+2.5
Avg total174.2167.0176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%100%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zwolle
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeLL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%0%50%
Points / game76.075.077.0
Allowed / game77.085.069.0
Point differential-1.0-10.0+8.0
Avg total153.0160.0146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leiden550100%94.669.8+24.8
2 Oostende550100%90.479.2+11.2
3 Mechelen440100%78.268.0+10.2
4 Okapi Aalst54180%90.084.2+5.8
5 Antwerp Giants43175%89.869.0+20.8
6 Den Bosch43175%86.278.5+7.8
7 Belfius Mons43175%93.286.0+7.2
8 Limburg53260%87.279.2+8.0
9 Donar Groningen53260%83.078.4+4.6
10 Brussels Basketball53260%85.483.2+2.2
11 Spirou Charleroi53260%82.285.6-3.4
12 Kortrijk52340%78.887.0-8.2
13 Zwolle41325%76.077.0-1.0
14 LWD Basket5050%87.8101.0-13.2
15 Den Helder5050%75.088.8-13.8
16 Leuven Bears4040%71.888.5-16.8
17 Rotterdam5050%74.294.0-19.8
18 BAL Weert5050%67.288.0-20.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Okapi Aalst1827181881
Zwolle3417182695
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