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Okapi Aalst vs Mechelen Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 65-79
13-18 19-17 21-21 12-23
Position#13
Record13-9
FormWWWWL
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game78.5
Okapi Aalst
vs
Mechelen 🏆
Position#3
Record16-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game74.9
EuropeBNXT League· Okapi Forum
Other2024-25
Meetings · Okapi Aalst v Mechelen
27 Jan 2027
OKAP v MECH
upcoming
06 Dec 2025
OKAP93
MECH76
01 Mar 2025
OKAP65
MECH79
20 Apr 2024
OKAP72
MECH81
12 Jan 2024
OKAP82
MECH80
04 Dec 2022
OKAP77
MECH81
20 Feb 2022
OKAP87
MECH92
19 Oct 2019
OKAP83
MECH76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Okapi Aalst winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mechelen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Okapi AalstLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAalst
Date
Competition
BAL Weert
#18
W
66-61
66
61
+5
61avg 77
A21/12
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
W
84-83
84
83
+1
74avg 77
H26/12
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#6
L
69-112
69
112
-43
no box
H03/01
Belgian Cup
Kortrijk
#6
W
80-77
80
77
+3
no box
A05/01
Belgian Cup
Belfius Mons
#9
W
93-80
93
80
+13
90avg 77
H11/01
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
W
98-90
98
90
+8
97avg 77
A17/01
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
110-62
110
62
+48
111avg 77
H25/01
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
103-90
103
90
+13
102avg 77
H01/02
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
W
80-71
80
71
+9
82avg 77
H07/02
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
L
84-91
84
91
-7
74avg 77
A16/02
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-14
14-17
13-20
22-10
25-24
24-14
15-20
20-25
15-25
15-30
22-34
17-23
18-17
20-21
17-20
25-19
29-16
31-17
20-22
13-25
28-21
25-24
20-18
25-27
27-18
34-21
23-14
26-9
28-24
19-22
33-20
23-24
22-11
19-16
14-26
25-18
15-20
23-26
28-23
18-22
168.4Avg total
86.7Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)83.478.5161.9+4.859%
Season at home (12)85.378.0163.3+7.367%
Season away (10)81.079.2160.2+1.850%
Last 10 (10)86.781.7168.4+5.080%
Last 5 (5)95.080.8175.8+14.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)75.481.4156.8-6.050%
vs Similar (10)80.479.9160.3+0.540%
vs Weaker (11)89.376.4165.6+12.973%
This opponent (Mechelen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MechelenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMechelen
Date
Competition
Feyenoord
#17
W
100-93
100
93
+7
94avg 76
H21/12
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
76-65
76
65
+11
65avg 76
H26/12
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#2
L
82-86
82
86
-4
no box
H03/01
Belgian Cup
Leuven Bears
#2
L
73-78
73
78
-5
no box
A05/01
Belgian Cup
Zwolle
#15
W
75-69
75
69
+6
60avg 76
A12/01
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
W
72-69
72
69
+3
44avg 76
H18/01
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
77-70
77
70
+7
66avg 76
A25/01
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
W
89-69
89
69
+20
86avg 76
H01/02
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
85-75
85
75
+10
77avg 76
A08/02
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
L
86-89
86
89
-3
80avg 76
H15/02
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
21-31
30-19
26-24
21-18
21-17
19-14
15-16
24-19
15-17
18-30
25-20
17-17
15-28
26-11
15-22
10-18
22-20
23-5
20-26
19-27
18-17
20-11
15-14
20-13
18-28
19-21
20-8
10-18
32-20
25-20
22-11
26-17
20-24
19-17
20-17
20-22
29-18
13-21
24-28
157.8Avg total
81.5Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)80.974.9155.7+6.073%
Season at home (11)82.473.2155.5+9.282%
Season away (11)79.476.5155.9+2.864%
Last 10 (10)81.576.3157.8+5.270%
Last 5 (5)81.874.4156.2+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)79.886.8166.5-7.025%
vs Similar (11)76.077.4153.4-1.445%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)84.972.4157.3+12.493%
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +1.6+1.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +1.6+1.6
Okapi AalstMechelen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Okapi AalstLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BAL Weert
#18
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A21/12
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H26/12
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#6
L
30-55
30
55
-25
H03/01
Belgian Cup
Kortrijk
#6
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A05/01
Belgian Cup
Belfius Mons
#9
W
60-33
60
33
+27
H11/01
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A17/01
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
61-39
61
39
+22
H25/01
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H01/02
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H07/02
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A16/02
BNXT League
84.6Avg total
44.8Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.838.679.3+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.537.278.8+4.262%-
Last 30 away (14)39.940.180.0-0.150%-
Last 10 (10)44.839.884.6+5.060%-
Last 5 (5)48.040.688.6+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)37.540.578.0-3.050%-
vs Similar (10)40.737.478.1+3.360%-
vs Weaker (11)43.038.181.1+4.955%-
This opponent (Mechelen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MechelenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Feyenoord
#17
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H21/12
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H26/12
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#2
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H03/01
Belgian Cup
Leuven Bears
#2
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A05/01
Belgian Cup
Zwolle
#15
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A12/01
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H18/01
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A25/01
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H01/02
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A08/02
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H15/02
BNXT League
80.9Avg total
40.1Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.238.880.0+2.469%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.437.379.7+5.186%-
Last 30 away (15)40.140.380.3-0.253%-
Last 10 (10)40.140.880.9-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)42.440.883.2+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.241.881.0-2.550%-
vs Similar (11)40.538.779.3+1.864%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)42.338.180.4+4.279%-
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Okapi Aalsttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Okapi Aalst: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.821.1
58.9%
52.6%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.9
35.3%
34.1%26.7
🏀 Free throws22.316.7
74.9%
71.9%16.7
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mechelentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.820.2
52.1%
52.6%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.3
33.7%
34.1%24.9
🏀 Free throws19.715.5
78.7%
71.9%15.5
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Okapi Aalst
LWWWWWWLWW
Mechelen
LWWWWWLLWW
#13
League position
#3
+11.2
Net rating
+13.6
114.1
Offensive rating
109.7
102.9
Defensive rating
96.2
56.5%
Effective FG%
51.5%
48.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
19.4%
Turnover %
16.9%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.3%
3-point %
33.7%
54.3%
Assist %
47.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.1 · 109.7Defence102.9 · 96.2Shooting56.5% · 51.5%3-point %35.3% · 33.7%Ball care19.4% · 16.9%Off. rebounds31.5% · 30.1%Free throws0.37 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Okapi Aalst   ■ Mechelen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Okapi Aalst wins
4
Mechelen wins
DateGameScore
20/04/24Okapi Aalst v Mechelen72-81
12/01/24Okapi Aalst v Mechelen82-80
07/10/23Mechelen v Okapi Aalst91-84
15/01/23Mechelen v Okapi Aalst90-98
04/12/22Okapi Aalst v Mechelen77-81
20/02/22Okapi Aalst v Mechelen87-92 OT
09/10/21Mechelen v Okapi Aalst71-77
19/10/19Okapi Aalst v Mechelen83-76
Okapi Aalstlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/25ADonar Groningen84-91
07/02/25HLeiden80-71
01/02/25HQSTA Utd103-90
25/01/25HDen Helder110-62
17/01/25ACircus Brussels98-90
11/01/25HBelfius Mons93-80
05/01/25AKortrijk80-77
03/01/25HKortrijk69-112
26/12/24HKortrijk84-83
21/12/24ABAL Weert66-61
Mechelenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/25HCircus Brussels86-89
08/02/25ADonar Groningen85-75
01/02/25HLWD Basket89-69
25/01/25ABAL Weert77-70
18/01/25HDen Bosch72-69
12/01/25AZwolle75-69
05/01/25ALeuven Bears73-78
03/01/25HLeuven Bears82-86
26/12/24HLimburg76-65
21/12/24HFeyenoord100-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Okapi Aalst
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL59%
HomeWWWWW67%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %59%67%50%
Points / game83.485.381.0
Allowed / game78.578.079.2
Point differential+4.8+7.3+1.8
Avg total161.9163.3160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%33%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %9%0%20%
Mechelen
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL73%
HomeWWWWL82%
AwayWWWWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %73%82%64%
Points / game80.982.479.4
Allowed / game74.973.276.5
Point differential+6.0+9.2+2.8
Avg total155.7155.5155.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%45%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)60% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende2118386%90.875.9+14.9
2 Kortrijk2218482%96.877.5+19.3
3 Mechelen2216673%80.974.9+6.0
4 Limburg2114767%81.074.9+6.1
5 Circus Brussels2214864%78.376.3+2.0
6 Spirou Charleroi2213959%79.674.1+5.5
7 Okapi Aalst2213959%83.478.5+4.8
8 Leuven Bears22121055%79.774.7+5.0
9 Antwerp Giants22121055%80.979.7+1.2
10 Belfius Mons23121152%80.778.8+1.8
11 Den Bosch23121152%81.781.2+0.5
12 LWD Basket23121152%80.683.3-2.7
13 Leiden22111150%77.579.9-2.5
14 Zwolle2281436%80.684.5-4.0
15 Donar Groningen2171433%77.285.9-8.7
16 Den Helder2371630%70.983.2-12.3
17 Feyenoord2161529%82.089.9-7.9
18 QSTA Utd222209%77.490.4-13.0
19 BAL Weert222209%69.084.5-15.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Okapi Aalst1319211265
Mechelen1817212379
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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