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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 09 Oct 2019
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 119-104
33-28 33-34 31-27 22-15
Position#8
Record-
FormLWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#13
Record-
FormWWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANBA· BOK Center
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Dallas Mavericks
17 Mar 2027
OKC v DAL
upcoming
08 Mar 2027
OKC v DAL
upcoming
05 Dec 2025
OKC132
DAL111
23 Jan 2025
OKC115
DAL121
10 Dec 2024
OKC118
DAL104
17 Nov 2024
OKC119
DAL121
15 May 2024
OKC92
DAL104
09 May 2024
OKC110
DAL119
07 May 2024
OKC117
DAL95
14 Apr 2024
OKC135
DAL86
14 Mar 2024
OKC126
DAL119
08 Jul 2023
OKC91
DAL80
08 Jan 2023
OKC120
DAL109
05 Oct 2022
OKC96
DAL98
02 Jan 2022
OKC86
DAL95
12 Dec 2021
OKC84
DAL103
29 Mar 2021
OKC106
DAL127
11 Mar 2021
OKC116
DAL108
27 Jan 2020
OKC97
DAL107
31 Dec 2019
OKC106
DAL101
08 Oct 2019
OKC119
DAL104
31 Mar 2019
OKC103
DAL106
31 Dec 2018
OKC122
DAL102
31 Dec 2017
OKC113
DAL116
12 Nov 2017
OKC112
DAL99
26 Jan 2017
OKC109
DAL98
25 Apr 2016
OKC118
DAL104
18 Apr 2016
OKC84
DAL85
16 Apr 2016
OKC108
DAL70
13 Jan 2016
OKC108
DAL89
22 Nov 2015
OKC117
DAL114
13 Oct 2015
OKC100
DAL88
01 Apr 2015
OKC131
DAL135
19 Feb 2015
OKC104
DAL89
16 Mar 2014
OKC86
DAL109
06 Nov 2013
OKC107
DAL93
04 Feb 2013
OKC112
DAL91
27 Dec 2012
OKC111
DAL105
24 Oct 2012
OKC88
DAL76
30 Apr 2012
OKC102
DAL99
28 Apr 2012
OKC99
DAL98
05 Mar 2012
OKC95
DAL91
29 Dec 2011
OKC104
DAL102
20 Dec 2011
OKC87
DAL83
23 May 2011
OKC105
DAL112
21 May 2011
OKC87
DAL93
27 Dec 2010
OKC93
DAL103
24 Nov 2010
OKC103
DAL111
16 Feb 2010
OKC99
DAL86
16 Dec 2009
OKC86
DAL100
02 Mar 2009
OKC96
DAL87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
99-104
99
104
-5
A14/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
94-114
94
114
-20
A17/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
120-108
120
108
+12
H20/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
98-111
98
111
-13
H22/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
115-118
115
118
-3
A24/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
L
66-78
66
78
-12
H06/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Philadelphia 76ers
#24
W
84-81 OT
84
81
+3
H08/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Croatia
#32
W
84-76
84
76
+8
A09/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Portland Trail Blazers
#20
W
92-87
92
87
+5
A12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Croatia
#32
W
69-68
69
68
+1
H12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-39
23-15
21-22
30-28
31-26
23-28
21-37
19-23
21-22
28-17
37-43
34-26
24-26
22-24
22-29
30-32
37-29
23-32
30-27
25-30
15-20
14-18
21-23
16-17
27-11
25-15
13-28
16-27
25-27
23-18
11-24
25-7
20-20
28-16
24-28
20-23
18-13
15-22
17-16
19-17
186.6Avg total
92.1Scored
94.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)92.194.5186.6-2.450%
Last 5 (5)79.078.0157.0+1.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)127.0116.0243.0+11.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (19)104.4107.1211.5-2.742%
vs Weaker (10)103.6101.1204.7+2.570%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
108-110
108
110
-2
H04/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#23
L
112-122
112
122
-10
H06/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#23
W
129-127 OT
129
127
+2
A07/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
120-109
120
109
+11
H10/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
L
94-105
94
105
-11
A11/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#8
W
96-92
96
92
+4
H05/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Houston Rockets
#13
W
113-81
113
81
+32
H07/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Sacramento Kings
#15
L
101-105
101
105
-4
A08/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Croatia
#32
W
79-71
79
71
+8
A10/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Minnesota Timberwolves
#1
L
82-108
82
108
-26
A14/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-32
31-26
21-31
29-21
30-31
23-34
31-34
28-23
24-26
28-30
31-32
29-24
33-18
35-20
30-41
22-30
16-30
21-27
28-23
29-25
23-20
27-19
25-34
21-19
32-19
27-19
25-20
29-23
29-22
30-25
18-29
24-29
19-17
22-8
20-21
18-25
20-29
22-21
18-31
22-27
206.4Avg total
103.4Scored
103.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)103.4103.0206.4+0.450%
Last 5 (5)94.291.4185.6+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)106.9106.4213.3+0.540%
vs Similar ◀ (16)106.2115.6221.9-9.412%
vs Weaker (4)108.294.2202.5+14.0100%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: -6.0-6.0Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +0.5+0.5
Oklahoma City ThunderDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
48-54
48
54
-6
A14/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
D
54-54
54
54
+0
A17/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H20/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H22/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
60-61
60
61
-1
A24/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H06/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Philadelphia 76ers
#24
W
52-26
52
26
+26
H08/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Croatia
#32
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A09/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Portland Trail Blazers
#20
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Croatia
#32
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
90.5Avg total
46.7Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.653.1104.7-1.530%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.851.6100.4-2.819%-
Last 30 away (14)54.954.8109.6+0.143%-
Last 10 (10)46.743.890.5+2.940%-
Last 5 (5)42.036.078.0+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)68.058.0126.0+10.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)50.353.3103.6-3.121%-
vs Weaker (10)52.652.2104.8+0.440%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
D
58-58
58
58
+0
H04/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#23
L
53-65
53
65
-12
H06/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#23
L
52-56
52
56
-4
A07/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
68-38
68
38
+30
H10/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
L
37-57
37
57
-20
A11/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#8
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H05/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Houston Rockets
#13
W
59-38
59
38
+21
H07/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Sacramento Kings
#15
W
59-47
59
47
+12
A08/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Croatia
#32
W
41-25
41
25
+16
A10/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Minnesota Timberwolves
#1
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A14/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
99.2Avg total
51.9Scored
47.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.153.6108.7+1.543%-
Last 30 at home (14)56.952.4109.3+4.650%-
Last 30 away (16)53.554.7108.2-1.238%-
Last 10 (10)51.947.399.2+4.650%-
Last 5 (5)50.239.890.0+10.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)56.754.2110.9+2.540%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)53.256.8110.0-3.531%-
vs Weaker (4)58.539.598.0+19.0100%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 113.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.128.9
51.5%
52.3%57.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.913.0
36.2%
35.7%39.0
🏀 Free throws22.816.9
74.1%
77.2%16.9
They take 92.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 113.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.526.4
54.4%
52.3%52.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.114.3
34.0%
35.7%42.9
🏀 Free throws23.417.6
75.2%
77.2%17.6
They take 90.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Oct 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
WWWWLLLWLL
Dallas Mavericks
LWLWWLWWLL
#8
League position
#13
+1.7
Net rating
+3.7
109.8
Offensive rating
111.5
108.1
Defensive rating
107.8
52.6%
Effective FG%
52.8%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
13.8%
Turnover %
10.7%
27.8%
Off. rebound %
22.1%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.2%
3-point %
34.0%
62.8%
Assist %
67.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.8 · 111.5Defence108.1 · 107.8Shooting52.6% · 52.8%3-point %36.2% · 34.0%Ball care13.8% · 10.7%Off. rebounds27.8% · 22.1%Free throws0.25 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
12/07/19HCroatia69-68
12/07/19APortland Trail Blazers92-87
09/07/19ACroatia84-76
08/07/19HPhiladelphia 76ers84-81 OT
06/07/19HUtah Jazz66-78
24/04/19APortland Trail Blazers115-118
22/04/19HPortland Trail Blazers98-111
20/04/19HPortland Trail Blazers120-108
17/04/19APortland Trail Blazers94-114
14/04/19APortland Trail Blazers99-104
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/07/19AMinnesota Timberwolves82-108
10/07/19ACroatia79-71
08/07/19ASacramento Kings101-105
07/07/19HHouston Rockets113-81
05/07/19HBrooklyn Nets96-92
11/04/19ASan Antonio Spurs94-105
10/04/19HPhoenix Suns120-109
07/04/19AMemphis Grizzlies129-127 OT
06/04/19HMemphis Grizzlies112-122
04/04/19HMinnesota Timberwolves108-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Orlando Magic220100%120.090.0+30.0
2 New Orleans Pelicans110100%133.0109.0+24.0
3 Los Angeles Lakers110100%123.0101.0+22.0
4 Miami Heat110100%107.089.0+18.0
5 Indiana Pacers220100%131.0118.5+12.5
6 Milwaukee Bucks110100%122.0112.0+10.0
7 New York Knicks110100%104.099.0+5.0
8 Toronto Raptors110100%134.0129.0+5.0
9 Boston Celtics110100%107.0106.0+1.0
10 Houston Rockets21150%119.0115.0+4.0
11 Charlotte Hornets1010%106.0107.0-1.0
12 Washington Wizards1010%99.0104.0-5.0
13 Chicago Bulls1010%112.0122.0-10.0
14 Sacramento Kings2020%118.5131.0-12.5
15 Los Angeles Clippers1010%96.0109.0-13.0
16 Golden State Warriors1010%101.0123.0-22.0
17 Atlanta Hawks1010%109.0133.0-24.0
18 Detroit Pistons1010%91.0115.0-24.0
19 San Antonio Spurs2020%89.0116.0-27.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oklahoma City Thunder33333122119
Dallas Mavericks28342715104
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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