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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Jan 2017
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 109-98
23-26 30-29 34-18 22-25
Position#10
Record27-19
FormWLLWW
Points / game106.3
Allowed / game105.3
vs
Position#22
Record16-29
FormWLLWW
Points / game96.7
Allowed / game99.9
USANBA· Chesapeake Energy Arena
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Dallas Mavericks
17 Mar 2027
OKC v DAL
upcoming
08 Mar 2027
OKC v DAL
upcoming
05 Dec 2025
OKC132
DAL111
23 Jan 2025
OKC115
DAL121
10 Dec 2024
OKC118
DAL104
17 Nov 2024
OKC119
DAL121
15 May 2024
OKC92
DAL104
09 May 2024
OKC110
DAL119
07 May 2024
OKC117
DAL95
14 Apr 2024
OKC135
DAL86
14 Mar 2024
OKC126
DAL119
08 Jan 2023
OKC120
DAL109
02 Jan 2022
OKC86
DAL95
12 Dec 2021
OKC84
DAL103
29 Mar 2021
OKC106
DAL127
11 Mar 2021
OKC116
DAL108
27 Jan 2020
OKC97
DAL107
31 Dec 2019
OKC106
DAL101
31 Mar 2019
OKC103
DAL106
31 Dec 2018
OKC122
DAL102
31 Dec 2017
OKC113
DAL116
12 Nov 2017
OKC112
DAL99
26 Jan 2017
OKC109
DAL98
25 Apr 2016
OKC118
DAL104
18 Apr 2016
OKC84
DAL85
16 Apr 2016
OKC108
DAL70
13 Jan 2016
OKC108
DAL89
22 Nov 2015
OKC117
DAL114
01 Apr 2015
OKC131
DAL135
19 Feb 2015
OKC104
DAL89
16 Mar 2014
OKC86
DAL109
06 Nov 2013
OKC107
DAL93
04 Feb 2013
OKC112
DAL91
27 Dec 2012
OKC111
DAL105
30 Apr 2012
OKC102
DAL99
28 Apr 2012
OKC99
DAL98
05 Mar 2012
OKC95
DAL91
29 Dec 2011
OKC104
DAL102
20 Dec 2011
OKC87
DAL83
23 May 2011
OKC105
DAL112
21 May 2011
OKC87
DAL93
27 Dec 2010
OKC93
DAL103
24 Nov 2010
OKC103
DAL111
16 Feb 2010
OKC99
DAL86
16 Dec 2009
OKC86
DAL100
02 Mar 2009
OKC96
DAL87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#3
L
116-118
116
118
-2
104avg 101
A06/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
W
121-106
121
106
+15
114avg 101
H08/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
109-94
109
94
+15
110avg 101
A10/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
103-95
103
95
+8
100avg 101
H12/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
L
86-96
86
96
-10
75avg 101
A14/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
122-118
122
118
+4
108avg 101
A16/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
98-120
98
120
-22
82avg 101
A17/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
100-121
100
121
-21
85avg 101
A19/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
97-95
97
95
+2
85avg 101
A24/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
114-105
114
105
+9
108avg 101
A26/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-33
18-34
27-30
33-21
24-22
36-38
28-20
33-26
26-20
35-26
28-21
20-27
28-22
27-22
20-23
28-28
28-30
22-15
18-29
18-22
28-23
31-23
29-33
34-39
25-34
22-30
28-32
23-24
31-30
25-26
22-37
22-28
27-26
29-27
11-19
30-23
33-20
31-25
28-37
22-23
213.4Avg total
106.6Scored
106.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)106.3105.3211.6+1.059%
Season at home (21)109.8101.9211.7+7.971%
Season away (25)103.4108.2211.6-4.848%
Last 10 (10)106.6106.8213.4-0.260%
Last 5 (5)106.2111.8218.0-5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)105.0113.7218.7-8.70%
vs Similar ◀ (25)106.2104.2210.4+2.068%
vs Weaker (2)118.0109.5227.5+8.5100%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
95-102
95
102
-7
81avg 89
H06/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
82-97
82
97
-15
70avg 89
H08/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
L
92-101
92
101
-9
80avg 89
A10/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
113-108
113
108
+5
102avg 89
A13/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
W
98-87
98
87
+11
92avg 89
H15/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
99-98
99
98
+1
94avg 89
A18/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
L
95-99
95
99
-4
79avg 89
A20/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
107-112 OT
107
112
-5
95avg 89
H21/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
122-73
122
73
+49
122avg 89
H22/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
103-95
103
95
+8
90avg 89
H26/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
23-22
27-29
23-32
20-22
22-23
17-21
23-31
19-33
27-21
24-23
22-24
32-29
25-30
31-17
25-32
27-25
29-22
23-23
19-17
24-28
30-19
22-27
23-24
22-29
31-15
20-26
22-29
22-19
19-27
27-26
30-26
29-22
38-11
23-22
32-18
30-25
22-26
26-22
25-22
197.8Avg total
100.6Scored
97.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)96.799.9196.6-3.236%
Season at home (22)98.097.2195.2+0.845%
Season away (23)95.5102.5198.0-7.026%
Last 10 (10)100.697.2197.8+3.450%
Last 5 (5)105.295.4200.6+9.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)98.8105.2204.0-6.525%
vs Similar ◀ (22)99.596.8196.3+2.755%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -1.1-1.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -1.1-1.1
Oklahoma City ThunderDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#3
L
56-67
56
67
-11
A06/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
D
60-60
60
60
+0
H08/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
61-46
61
46
+15
A10/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H12/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A14/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
59-46
59
46
+13
A16/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
47-64
47
64
-17
A17/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
D
56-56
56
56
+0
A19/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
56-53
56
53
+3
A24/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
64-45
64
45
+19
A26/01
NBA
109.0Avg total
56.4Scored
52.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.052.1107.1+2.963%-
Last 30 at home (11)54.647.5102.1+7.273%-
Last 30 away (19)55.254.8110.1+0.458%-
Last 10 (10)56.452.6109.0+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)56.452.8109.2+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)53.759.3113.0-5.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (25)55.052.0107.1+3.068%-
vs Weaker (2)56.542.599.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H06/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H08/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
L
46-54
46
54
-8
A10/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
57-59
57
59
-2
A13/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H15/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A18/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A20/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H21/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
67-33
67
33
+34
H22/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H26/01
NBA
98.0Avg total
51.3Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.750.1101.8+1.543%-
Last 30 at home (17)51.247.899.0+3.559%-
Last 30 away (13)52.253.2105.5-1.023%-
Last 10 (10)51.346.798.0+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)53.444.297.6+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)49.257.0106.2-7.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)52.547.6100.2+4.959%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 106.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.930.7
51.3%
50.2%61.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.98.5
31.6%
35.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws24.919.7
79.1%
77.0%19.7
They take 86.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 100.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.426.4
51.4%
50.2%52.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.811.4
37.0%
35.7%34.2
🏀 Free throws17.213.6
79.1%
77.0%13.6
They take 82.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Jan 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
WWLLWLWWWL
Dallas Mavericks
WWLLWWWLLL
#10
League position
#22
-0.2
Net rating
+3.6
105.8
Offensive rating
107.7
106.0
Defensive rating
104.1
50.1%
Effective FG%
52.9%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
14.2%
Turnover %
11.6%
25.5%
Off. rebound %
17.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.21
31.6%
3-point %
37.0%
53.6%
Assist %
58.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.8 · 107.7Defence106.0 · 104.1Shooting50.1% · 52.9%3-point %31.6% · 37.0%Ball care14.2% · 11.6%Off. rebounds25.5% · 17.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/17ANew Orleans Pelicans114-105
24/01/17AUtah Jazz97-95
19/01/17AGolden State Warriors100-121
17/01/17ALos Angeles Clippers98-120
16/01/17ASacramento Kings122-118
14/01/17AMinnesota Timberwolves86-96
12/01/17HMemphis Grizzlies103-95
10/01/17AChicago Bulls109-94
08/01/17HDenver Nuggets121-106
06/01/17AHouston Rockets116-118
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/17HNew York Knicks103-95
22/01/17HLos Angeles Lakers122-73
21/01/17HUtah Jazz107-112 OT
20/01/17AMiami Heat95-99
18/01/17AChicago Bulls99-98
15/01/17HMinnesota Timberwolves98-87
13/01/17APhoenix Suns113-108
10/01/17AMinnesota Timberwolves92-101
08/01/17HAtlanta Hawks82-97
06/01/17HPhoenix Suns95-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW59%
HomeLWWWW71%
AwayWLLWW48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462125
Win %59%71%48%
Points / game106.3109.8103.4
Allowed / game105.3101.9108.2
Point differential+1.0+7.9-4.8
Avg total211.6211.7211.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%48%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (17)38% (8)67% (9)
Overtime %9%14%4%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW36%
HomeLWLWW45%
AwayLLWWL26%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452223
Win %36%45%26%
Points / game96.798.095.5
Allowed / game99.997.2102.5
Point differential-3.2+0.8-7.0
Avg total196.6195.2198.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%32%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)0% (1)50% (8)
Overtime %7%9%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors4639785%117.5104.8+12.7
2 San Antonio Spurs4536980%107.798.8+8.9
3 Houston Rockets49341569%114.3108.1+6.3
4 Cleveland Cavaliers44301468%109.7105.1+4.5
5 Los Angeles Clippers47301764%108.0103.0+5.0
6 Utah Jazz47291862%99.495.5+3.9
7 Toronto Raptors46281861%109.7104.8+4.9
8 Boston Celtics45271860%107.6105.8+1.8
9 Oklahoma City Thunder46271959%106.3105.3+1.0
10 Atlanta Hawks46271959%103.3103.0+0.3
11 Memphis Grizzlies47272057%99.799.4+0.3
12 Washington Wizards45252056%106.6105.7+0.8
13 Charlotte Hornets46232350%105.2103.4+1.8
14 Indiana Pacers44222250%105.3106.8-1.4
15 Chicago Bulls47232449%101.5101.5-0.1
16 Milwaukee Bucks45212447%105.0104.5+0.5
17 Detroit Pistons46212546%100.6101.3-0.8
18 Denver Nuggets44192543%109.7110.9-1.2
19 New York Knicks47202743%105.4108.1-2.7
20 Portland Trail Blazers47202743%107.4110.2-2.7
21 Sacramento Kings45182740%102.8105.6-2.8
22 New Orleans Pelicans46182839%103.3106.2-2.9
23 Philadelphia 76ers44172739%99.9105.0-5.1
24 Orlando Magic47182938%99.7104.9-5.1
25 Minnesota Timberwolves45172838%103.5104.5-1.0
26 Dallas Mavericks45162936%96.799.9-3.2
27 Miami Heat46163035%99.2102.5-3.4
28 Phoenix Suns45153033%106.2111.5-5.3
29 Los Angeles Lakers49163333%104.0110.3-6.4
30 Brooklyn Nets4593620%105.8114.7-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oklahoma City Thunder23303422109
Dallas Mavericks2629182598
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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