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Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 28 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 91-92
26-25 24-10 19-22 22-35
Position#24
Record33-46
FormLWLWL
Points / game97.5
Allowed / game100.4
vs
Position#10
Record43-33
FormWWLWL
Points / game106.9
Allowed / game106.1
USANBA· American Airlines Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Oklahoma City Thunder
18 Jan 2027
DAL v OKC
upcoming
28 Oct 2026
DAL120
OKC96
01 Mar 2026
DAL87
OKC100
27 Oct 2025
DAL94
OKC101
06 Oct 2025
DAL106
OKC89
17 Jan 2025
DAL106
OKC98
20 Jul 2024
DAL79
OKC88
18 May 2024
DAL117
OKC116
13 May 2024
DAL96
OKC100
11 May 2024
DAL105
OKC101
10 Feb 2024
DAL146
OKC111
02 Dec 2023
DAL120
OKC126
12 Dec 2022
DAL121
OKC114
29 Oct 2022
DAL111
OKC117
02 Feb 2022
DAL114
OKC120
17 Jan 2022
DAL104
OKC102
03 Mar 2021
DAL87
OKC78
15 Apr 2020
DAL v OKC
upcoming
14 Oct 2019
DAL107
OKC70
30 Dec 2018
DAL105
OKC103
10 Nov 2018
DAL111
OKC96
28 Feb 2018
DAL110
OKC111
25 Nov 2017
DAL97
OKC81
27 Mar 2017
DAL91
OKC92
05 Mar 2017
DAL104
OKC89
11 Oct 2016
DAL114
OKC109
02 Jul 2016
DAL85
OKC86
23 Apr 2016
DAL108
OKC119
21 Apr 2016
DAL102
OKC131
24 Feb 2016
DAL103
OKC116
22 Jan 2016
DAL106
OKC109
16 Mar 2015
DAL119
OKC115
28 Dec 2014
DAL112
OKC107
10 Oct 2014
DAL109
OKC118
25 Mar 2014
DAL128
OKC119
17 Mar 2013
DAL101
OKC107
18 Jan 2013
DAL114
OKC117
05 May 2012
DAL97
OKC103
03 May 2012
DAL79
OKC95
01 Feb 2012
DAL86
OKC95
02 Jan 2012
DAL100
OKC87
18 Dec 2011
DAL92
OKC106
25 May 2011
DAL100
OKC96
19 May 2011
DAL100
OKC106
17 May 2011
DAL121
OKC112
06 Jan 2011
DAL95
OKC99
03 Apr 2010
DAL116
OKC121
15 Jan 2010
DAL99
OKC98
27 Feb 2009
DAL110
OKC108
13 Dec 2008
DAL103
OKC99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
122-111
122
111
+11
H08/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
105-96
105
96
+9
H11/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
L
98-100
98
100
-2
H12/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
78-100
78
100
-22
A13/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#8
W
112-107
112
107
+5
A15/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
74-116
74
116
-42
A17/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
111-104
111
104
+7
A19/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
87-112
87
112
-25
H22/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
97-95
97
95
+2
H24/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
86-94
86
94
-8
H26/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-29
32-23
33-22
19-37
23-26
23-23
28-24
31-23
24-25
23-20
22-27
29-28
26-25
20-25
20-29
12-21
32-39
21-18
20-23
39-27
23-21
17-30
16-36
18-29
32-26
25-17
25-29
29-32
30-28
20-34
21-29
16-21
29-24
19-30
29-21
20-20
22-30
22-24
20-20
22-20
200.5Avg total
97.0Scored
103.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (79)97.5100.4197.9-3.042%
Season at home (41)100.197.9198.0+2.256%
Season away (38)94.7103.2197.8-8.526%
Last 10 (10)97.0103.5200.5-6.550%
Last 5 (5)91.0104.2195.2-13.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)98.4102.1200.5-3.755%
vs Similar ◀ (19)102.198.6200.7+3.558%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
89-104
89
104
-15
A06/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
121-126
121
126
-5
H08/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
102-92
102
92
+10
H10/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
112-104
112
104
+8
H11/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
122-104
122
104
+18
A14/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
123-102
123
102
+21
A16/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
110-94
110
94
+16
H18/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
95-111
95
111
-16
H21/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
122-97
122
97
+25
H23/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
125-137
125
137
-12
A26/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-28
23-32
21-28
18-16
40-29
27-32
25-38
29-27
29-28
27-21
26-22
20-21
29-23
33-25
29-28
21-28
32-32
30-30
29-21
31-21
29-24
29-24
39-22
26-32
29-19
34-22
22-24
25-29
22-25
17-34
27-33
29-19
29-22
34-28
32-20
27-27
31-37
28-42
29-34
37-24
219.2Avg total
112.1Scored
107.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (76)106.9106.1213.0+0.957%
Season at home (40)109.6103.4212.9+6.272%
Season away (36)104.0109.1213.1-5.039%
Last 10 (10)112.1107.1219.2+5.060%
Last 5 (5)115.0108.2223.2+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)105.0116.5221.5-11.517%
vs Similar ◀ (19)106.9107.7214.6-0.858%
vs Weaker (5)115.0101.2216.2+13.880%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +1.9+1.9
Dallas MavericksOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
70-52
70
52
+18
H08/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H11/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H12/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A13/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#8
L
53-57
53
57
-4
A15/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A17/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
57-43
57
43
+14
A19/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
50-62
50
62
-12
H22/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H24/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
44-54
44
54
-10
H26/03
NBA
101.8Avg total
50.1Scored
51.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.451.8102.2-1.343%-
Last 30 at home (19)52.150.5102.6+1.553%-
Last 30 away (11)47.653.9101.5-6.327%-
Last 10 (10)50.151.7101.8-1.630%-
Last 5 (5)47.852.8100.6-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)48.554.6103.1-6.218%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)51.650.1101.7+1.558%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
50-60
50
60
-10
A06/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
67-61
67
61
+6
H08/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H10/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
62-48
62
48
+14
H11/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
D
62-62
62
62
+0
A14/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
58-48
58
48
+10
A16/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
63-41
63
41
+22
H18/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
39-59
39
59
-20
H21/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
63-50
63
50
+13
H23/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
59-79
59
79
-20
A26/03
NBA
113.6Avg total
57.9Scored
55.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.355.7111.0-0.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)56.254.4110.6+1.856%-
Last 30 away (14)54.357.1111.4-2.936%-
Last 10 (10)57.955.7113.6+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)56.455.4111.8+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)50.361.3111.7-11.017%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)55.654.8110.4+0.853%-
vs Weaker (5)60.252.4112.6+7.860%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 97.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.524.7
46.2%
50.2%49.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.310.3
36.4%
35.7%30.9
🏀 Free throws21.316.7
78.4%
77.0%16.7
They take 81.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 112.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers69.2 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.034.6
54.1%
50.2%69.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.9
34.3%
35.7%23.7
🏀 Free throws27.219.2
70.6%
77.0%19.2
They take 87.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 26% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dallas Mavericks
LWLWLWLLWW
Oklahoma City Thunder
LWLWWWWWLL
#24
League position
#10
-6.8
Net rating
+5.1
101.7
Offensive rating
113.3
108.5
Defensive rating
108.2
49.1%
Effective FG%
53.4%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
11.8%
Turnover %
14.3%
16.1%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.4%
3-point %
34.3%
61.1%
Assist %
56.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence101.7 · 113.3Defence108.5 · 108.2Shooting49.1% · 53.4%3-point %36.4% · 34.3%Ball care11.8% · 14.3%Off. rebounds16.1% · 32.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Dallas Mavericks   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/17HToronto Raptors86-94
24/03/17HLos Angeles Clippers97-95
22/03/17HGolden State Warriors87-112
19/03/17ABrooklyn Nets111-104
17/03/17APhiladelphia 76ers74-116
15/03/17AWashington Wizards112-107
13/03/17AToronto Raptors78-100
12/03/17HPhoenix Suns98-100
11/03/17HBrooklyn Nets105-96
08/03/17HLos Angeles Lakers122-111
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/17AHouston Rockets125-137
23/03/17HPhiladelphia 76ers122-97
21/03/17HGolden State Warriors95-111
18/03/17HSacramento Kings110-94
16/03/17AToronto Raptors123-102
14/03/17ABrooklyn Nets122-104
11/03/17HUtah Jazz112-104
10/03/17HSan Antonio Spurs102-92
08/03/17HPortland Trail Blazers121-126
06/03/17ADallas Mavericks89-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL42%
HomeWLLWL56%
AwayLLWLW26%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games794138
Win %42%56%26%
Points / game97.5100.194.7
Allowed / game100.497.9103.2
Point differential-3.0+2.2-8.5
Avg total197.9198.0197.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%29%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (19)50% (6)54% (13)
Overtime %5%7%3%
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL57%
HomeWWWLW72%
AwayLLWWL39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games764036
Win %57%72%39%
Points / game106.9109.6104.0
Allowed / game106.1103.4109.1
Point differential+0.9+6.2-5.0
Avg total213.0212.9213.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%48%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (22)40% (10)50% (12)
Overtime %5%8%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors80651581%115.6104.1+11.6
2 San Antonio Spurs79611877%105.697.7+7.8
3 Houston Rockets79552470%115.8108.9+6.9
4 Boston Celtics81532865%107.5104.6+3.0
5 Cleveland Cavaliers79493062%109.4106.8+2.6
6 Washington Wizards80493161%108.9106.1+2.8
7 Toronto Raptors80483260%106.7102.8+3.9
8 Utah Jazz79473259%100.196.5+3.6
9 Los Angeles Clippers81473458%106.7104.3+2.4
10 Oklahoma City Thunder76433357%106.9106.1+0.9
11 Memphis Grizzlies79443556%101.4100.5+0.9
12 Atlanta Hawks80423852%102.7103.4-0.8
13 Milwaukee Bucks79403951%103.3103.6-0.3
14 Indiana Pacers79403951%104.5105.2-0.7
15 Portland Trail Blazers80394149%107.4108.3-0.9
16 Miami Heat81394248%103.0101.8+1.2
17 Denver Nuggets81394248%110.7110.4+0.3
18 Chicago Bulls81384347%102.6103.2-0.6
19 Detroit Pistons80374346%100.7101.5-0.9
20 Charlotte Hornets80364445%103.9103.7+0.2
21 Minnesota Timberwolves79334642%104.5104.8-0.3
22 Dallas Mavericks79334642%97.5100.4-3.0
23 New Orleans Pelicans79324741%103.8106.0-2.1
24 New York Knicks80324840%105.3108.4-3.0
25 Sacramento Kings78304838%102.7106.4-3.7
26 Philadelphia 76ers80295136%101.9107.7-5.8
27 Orlando Magic81295236%100.4106.6-6.2
28 Phoenix Suns80265432%106.9112.2-5.3
29 Los Angeles Lakers81235828%104.8111.6-6.8
30 Brooklyn Nets79176222%105.6113.1-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks2624192291
Oklahoma City Thunder2510223592
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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