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Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 06 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 104-89
28-27 32-23 28-21 16-18
Position#24
Record27-41
FormLWWLW
Points / game97.4
Allowed / game100.1
vs
Position#10
Record37-29
FormWWWLL
Points / game106.2
Allowed / game105.9
USANBA· American Airlines Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Oklahoma City Thunder
18 Jan 2027
DAL v OKC
upcoming
28 Oct 2026
DAL120
OKC96
01 Mar 2026
DAL87
OKC100
27 Oct 2025
DAL94
OKC101
06 Oct 2025
DAL106
OKC89
17 Jan 2025
DAL106
OKC98
20 Jul 2024
DAL79
OKC88
18 May 2024
DAL117
OKC116
13 May 2024
DAL96
OKC100
11 May 2024
DAL105
OKC101
10 Feb 2024
DAL146
OKC111
02 Dec 2023
DAL120
OKC126
12 Dec 2022
DAL121
OKC114
29 Oct 2022
DAL111
OKC117
02 Feb 2022
DAL114
OKC120
17 Jan 2022
DAL104
OKC102
03 Mar 2021
DAL87
OKC78
15 Apr 2020
DAL v OKC
upcoming
14 Oct 2019
DAL107
OKC70
30 Dec 2018
DAL105
OKC103
10 Nov 2018
DAL111
OKC96
28 Feb 2018
DAL110
OKC111
25 Nov 2017
DAL97
OKC81
27 Mar 2017
DAL91
OKC92
05 Mar 2017
DAL104
OKC89
11 Oct 2016
DAL114
OKC109
02 Jul 2016
DAL85
OKC86
23 Apr 2016
DAL108
OKC119
21 Apr 2016
DAL102
OKC131
24 Feb 2016
DAL103
OKC116
22 Jan 2016
DAL106
OKC109
16 Mar 2015
DAL119
OKC115
28 Dec 2014
DAL112
OKC107
10 Oct 2014
DAL109
OKC118
25 Mar 2014
DAL128
OKC119
17 Mar 2013
DAL101
OKC107
18 Jan 2013
DAL114
OKC117
05 May 2012
DAL97
OKC103
03 May 2012
DAL79
OKC95
01 Feb 2012
DAL86
OKC95
02 Jan 2012
DAL100
OKC87
18 Dec 2011
DAL92
OKC106
25 May 2011
DAL100
OKC96
19 May 2011
DAL100
OKC106
17 May 2011
DAL121
OKC112
06 Jan 2011
DAL95
OKC99
03 Apr 2010
DAL116
OKC121
15 Jan 2010
DAL99
OKC98
27 Feb 2009
DAL110
OKC108
13 Dec 2008
DAL103
OKC99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
113-114
113
114
-1
H08/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
112-105 OT
112
105
+7
H10/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
112-80
112
80
+32
H12/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
98-111
98
111
-13
H14/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
91-98
91
98
-7
A16/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
84-97
84
97
-13
A25/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
W
96-83
96
83
+13
H26/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
W
96-89
96
89
+7
H28/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#11
L
95-100
95
100
-5
A02/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
104-100
104
100
+4
H04/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-32
26-32
29-22
31-28
20-23
22-31
26-24
32-22
29-23
32-12
23-17
28-28
28-30
22-31
32-22
16-28
17-27
18-35
28-16
28-20
22-26
18-23
23-22
21-26
24-30
23-19
20-14
29-20
22-31
33-23
23-15
18-20
22-27
30-36
24-18
19-19
20-22
31-28
28-22
25-28
197.8Avg total
100.1Scored
97.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (68)97.4100.1197.6-2.740%
Season at home (34)100.197.5197.6+2.656%
Season away (34)94.8102.8197.5-8.024%
Last 10 (10)100.197.7197.8+2.450%
Last 5 (5)95.093.8188.8+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)103.6105.0208.6-1.450%
vs Similar ◀ (20)100.397.0197.3+3.355%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#15
L
90-93
90
93
-3
A07/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
W
118-109
118
109
+9
H10/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
114-130
114
130
-16
H12/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#8
L
98-120
98
120
-22
A14/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
116-105
116
105
+11
H16/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
110-93
110
93
+17
H25/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
W
118-110
118
110
+8
H27/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
109-106
109
106
+3
H01/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
109-114
109
114
-5
A03/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
L
111-118
111
118
-7
A04/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
27-21
18-32
20-20
29-21
26-36
31-25
32-27
24-30
26-43
37-32
27-25
32-38
22-29
19-34
25-19
27-39
35-21
26-20
28-25
29-23
29-28
28-19
24-23
32-35
27-24
28-25
31-26
31-25
30-28
25-22
23-31
24-26
36-31
25-24
24-33
28-23
27-35
24-29
32-31
219.1Avg total
109.3Scored
109.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (66)106.2105.9212.1+0.356%
Season at home (34)109.4103.3212.7+6.274%
Season away (32)102.7108.7211.4-6.038%
Last 10 (10)109.3109.8219.1-0.550%
Last 5 (5)111.4108.2219.6+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)106.0119.2225.2-13.20%
vs Similar ◀ (23)104.6105.4210.0-0.957%
vs Weaker (3)114.3109.7224.0+4.767%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +6.4+6.4Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +0.6+0.6
Dallas MavericksOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
53-64
53
64
-11
H08/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H10/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
61-35
61
35
+26
H12/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
50-61
50
61
-11
H14/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
35-62
35
62
-27
A16/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A25/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H26/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H28/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#11
L
52-63
52
63
-11
A02/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H04/03
NBA
102.7Avg total
48.6Scored
54.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.452.4102.8-2.043%-
Last 30 at home (17)51.550.6102.1+0.953%-
Last 30 away (13)48.954.8103.7-5.831%-
Last 10 (10)48.654.1102.7-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)49.053.0102.0-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)50.156.0106.1-5.930%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)50.550.6101.1-0.150%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#15
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A07/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
L
55-57
55
57
-2
H10/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
50-73
50
73
-23
H12/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#8
L
54-67
54
67
-13
A14/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
62-60
62
60
+2
H16/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
58-51
58
51
+7
H25/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
D
59-59
59
59
+0
H27/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
61-53
61
53
+8
H01/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
60-57
60
57
+3
A03/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A04/03
NBA
114.2Avg total
56.6Scored
57.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.754.2108.9+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (13)56.454.4110.8+2.046%-
Last 30 away (17)53.454.1107.5-0.847%-
Last 10 (10)56.657.6114.2-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)58.655.6114.2+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)51.062.0113.0-11.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (23)55.053.2108.2+1.752%-
vs Weaker (3)57.351.7109.0+5.767%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 100.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.427.3
51.1%
50.2%54.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.410.1
35.6%
35.7%30.3
🏀 Free throws18.715.2
81.3%
77.0%15.2
They take 81.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 109.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.830.4
48.4%
50.2%60.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.1
34.1%
35.7%27.3
🏀 Free throws27.521.2
77.1%
77.0%21.2
They take 89.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dallas Mavericks
WLWWLLLWWL
Oklahoma City Thunder
LLWWWWLLWL
#24
League position
#10
+2.5
Net rating
-0.5
105.5
Offensive rating
106.9
103.0
Defensive rating
107.4
51.9%
Effective FG%
49.2%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
12.9%
Turnover %
14.6%
17.5%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.6%
3-point %
34.1%
57.5%
Assist %
47.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.5 · 106.9Defence103.0 · 107.4Shooting51.9% · 49.2%3-point %35.6% · 34.1%Ball care12.9% · 14.6%Off. rebounds17.5% · 31.0%Free throws0.23 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Dallas Mavericks   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/17HMemphis Grizzlies104-100
02/03/17AAtlanta Hawks95-100
28/02/17HMiami Heat96-89
26/02/17HNew Orleans Pelicans96-83
25/02/17AMinnesota Timberwolves84-97
16/02/17ADetroit Pistons91-98
14/02/17HBoston Celtics98-111
12/02/17HOrlando Magic112-80
10/02/17HUtah Jazz112-105 OT
08/02/17HPortland Trail Blazers113-114
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/17APhoenix Suns111-118
03/03/17APortland Trail Blazers109-114
01/03/17HUtah Jazz109-106
27/02/17HNew Orleans Pelicans118-110
25/02/17HLos Angeles Lakers110-93
16/02/17HNew York Knicks116-105
14/02/17AWashington Wizards98-120
12/02/17HGolden State Warriors114-130
10/02/17HCleveland Cavaliers118-109
07/02/17AIndiana Pacers90-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW40%
HomeWLWWW56%
AwayWLLLL24%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games683434
Win %40%56%24%
Points / game97.4100.194.8
Allowed / game100.197.5102.8
Point differential-2.7+2.6-8.0
Avg total197.6197.6197.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%29%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (16)50% (4)50% (12)
Overtime %6%9%3%
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL56%
HomeLWWWW74%
AwayLLLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games663432
Win %56%74%38%
Points / game106.2109.4102.7
Allowed / game105.9103.3108.7
Point differential+0.3+6.2-6.0
Avg total212.1212.7211.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%47%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won48% (21)44% (9)50% (12)
Overtime %6%9%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors69571283%117.0104.9+12.0
2 San Antonio Spurs67521578%105.797.7+7.9
3 Houston Rockets69482170%115.4108.5+6.9
4 Cleveland Cavaliers67442366%110.2106.5+3.7
5 Boston Celtics70452564%107.7104.8+2.8
6 Utah Jazz69422761%100.396.1+4.2
7 Washington Wizards68412760%107.8104.9+2.8
8 Los Angeles Clippers68402859%106.4104.7+1.7
9 Toronto Raptors69402958%107.3103.8+3.5
10 Memphis Grizzlies69402958%101.8100.3+1.5
11 Atlanta Hawks69393057%103.1103.2-0.1
12 Oklahoma City Thunder66372956%106.2105.9+0.3
13 Indiana Pacers68353351%105.4106.0-0.6
14 Chicago Bulls69343549%102.7103.0-0.2
15 Detroit Pistons68333549%101.3101.1+0.2
16 Miami Heat71333846%102.5101.6+0.9
17 Milwaukee Bucks67313646%103.8104.3-0.5
18 Denver Nuggets70323846%109.9110.6-0.6
19 Portland Trail Blazers68303844%107.3109.4-2.1
20 Minnesota Timberwolves69303943%104.4104.0+0.4
21 Charlotte Hornets69303943%103.5104.0-0.5
22 New York Knicks69294042%106.0108.6-2.6
23 Sacramento Kings67274040%102.6105.5-2.9
24 Dallas Mavericks68274140%97.4100.1-2.7
25 New Orleans Pelicans68254337%103.3106.8-3.5
26 Phoenix Suns69254436%107.1111.6-4.5
27 Philadelphia 76ers69254436%101.3107.7-6.5
28 Orlando Magic70254536%99.8105.8-6.1
29 Los Angeles Lakers70214930%104.2110.5-6.3
30 Brooklyn Nets67115616%105.0114.1-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks28322816104
Oklahoma City Thunder2723211889
← all games of the day
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