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Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Apr 2019
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 108-110
27-32 31-26 21-31 29-21
Position#22
Record31-46
FormWLLWW
Points / game108.6
Allowed / game109.9
vs
Position#21
Record34-43
FormWLWLL
Points / game112.7
Allowed / game114.0
USANBA· American Airlines Center
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Minnesota Timberwolves
04 Apr 2027
DAL v MIN
upcoming
30 Mar 2026
DAL94
MIN124
28 Jan 2026
DAL105
MIN118
22 Jan 2025
DAL114
MIN115
25 Dec 2024
DAL99
MIN105
28 May 2024
DAL100
MIN105
26 May 2024
DAL116
MIN107
07 Jan 2024
DAL115
MIN108
14 Dec 2023
DAL101
MIN119
13 Feb 2023
DAL121
MIN124
21 Mar 2022
DAL110
MIN108
21 Dec 2021
DAL114
MIN102
08 Feb 2021
DAL127
MIN122
17 Dec 2020
DAL127
MIN129
24 Feb 2020
DAL139
MIN123
04 Dec 2019
DAL121
MIN114
03 Apr 2019
DAL108
MIN110
20 Oct 2018
DAL140
MIN136
30 Mar 2018
DAL92
MIN93
17 Nov 2017
DAL87
MIN111
15 Jan 2017
DAL98
MIN87
28 Feb 2016
DAL128
MIN101
20 Jan 2016
DAL106
MIN94
02 Feb 2015
DAL100
MIN94
15 Nov 2014
DAL131
MIN117
19 Mar 2014
DAL122
MIN123
30 Nov 2013
DAL106
MIN112
14 Jan 2013
DAL113
MIN98
12 Nov 2012
DAL82
MIN90
25 Jan 2012
DAL90
MIN105
24 Mar 2011
DAL104
MIN96
01 Dec 2010
DAL100
MIN86
03 Mar 2010
DAL112
MIN109
05 Feb 2010
DAL108
MIN117
13 Apr 2009
DAL96
MIN94
30 Dec 2008
DAL107
MIN100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
99-100
99
100
-1
87avg 99
A15/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
121-116
121
116
+5
118avg 99
H17/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
125-129 OT
125
129
-4
no box
H19/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
118-126
118
126
-8
no box
A21/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
L
100-116
100
116
-16
no box
A22/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
126-91
126
91
+35
131avg 99
A24/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
L
121-125
121
125
-4
no box
H27/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
99-105
99
105
-6
90avg 99
A28/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
106-103
106
103
+3
no box
A31/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
122-102
122
102
+20
116avg 99
H02/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-26
28-25
32-28
10-21
34-26
32-31
34-31
21-28
34-28
25-21
20-35
31-26
17-26
35-39
31-36
35-25
29-27
22-26
25-31
24-32
37-22
37-24
34-24
18-21
23-25
33-29
33-33
32-38
29-26
30-23
23-26
17-30
31-24
27-32
22-19
26-28
27-32
41-18
29-27
25-25
225.0Avg total
113.7Scored
111.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (77)108.6109.9218.5-1.240%
Season at home (38)110.1107.5217.6+2.661%
Season away (39)107.2112.1219.3-4.921%
Last 10 (10)113.7111.3225.0+2.440%
Last 5 (5)114.8105.2220.0+9.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)109.2109.4218.6-0.238%
vs Similar ◀ (14)103.9113.4217.4-9.514%
vs Weaker (3)115.3101.3216.7+14.0100%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
107-133
107
133
-26
95avg 102
A13/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
100-120
100
120
-20
89avg 102
A15/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
102-117
102
117
-15
91avg 102
A18/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
107-117
107
117
-10
no box
H20/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#18
L
106-113
106
113
-7
no box
A21/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
112-99
112
99
+13
112avg 102
A24/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
L
111-122
111
122
-11
no box
H27/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
131-130 OT
131
130
+1
121avg 102
H30/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
109-118
109
118
-9
no box
H31/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
122-132
122
132
-10
112avg 102
H02/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-31
28-27
30-36
29-39
25-34
30-30
26-27
19-29
30-26
19-24
29-43
24-24
27-30
20-29
28-32
32-26
25-25
26-29
27-27
28-32
25-25
24-25
35-18
28-31
23-42
32-33
30-25
26-22
27-32
27-36
32-18
29-29
20-38
35-30
26-24
28-26
23-38
41-37
36-22
22-35
230.8Avg total
110.7Scored
120.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (77)112.7114.0226.7-1.344%
Season at home (38)114.8111.1225.9+3.763%
Season away (39)110.7116.8227.6-6.126%
Last 10 (10)110.7120.1230.8-9.420%
Last 5 (5)117.0120.2237.2-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)113.7121.3235.0-7.621%
vs Similar ◀ (13)115.0116.1231.1-1.146%
vs Weaker (3)113.7109.0222.7+4.767%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -7.6-7.6Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: -2.8-2.8
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -7.6-7.6Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: -2.8-2.8
Dallas MavericksMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#4
W
57-51
57
51
+6
A15/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
66-57
66
57
+9
H17/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
59-49
59
49
+10
H19/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
52-65
52
65
-13
A21/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A22/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
74-46
74
46
+28
A24/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H27/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
59-49
59
49
+10
A28/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
58-56
58
56
+2
A31/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
68-50
68
50
+18
H02/04
NBA
113.0Avg total
60.0Scored
53.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.856.5112.3-0.747%-
Last 30 at home (15)55.856.2112.0-0.447%-
Last 30 away (15)55.856.7112.5-0.947%-
Last 10 (10)60.053.0113.0+7.080%-
Last 5 (5)63.051.0114.0+12.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)56.257.5113.7-1.231%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)54.656.3110.9-1.750%-
vs Weaker (3)59.753.0112.7+6.7100%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
48-58
48
58
-10
A13/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
55-64
55
64
-9
A15/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A18/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
47-59
47
59
-12
H20/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#18
L
51-54
51
54
-3
A21/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A24/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
L
55-75
55
75
-20
H27/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
54-68
54
68
-14
H30/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
55-68
55
68
-13
H31/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
64-75
64
75
-11
H02/04
NBA
114.8Avg total
52.7Scored
62.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.360.1117.4-2.833%-
Last 30 at home (14)56.960.1117.1-3.236%-
Last 30 away (16)57.660.1117.6-2.531%-
Last 10 (10)52.762.1114.8-9.40%-
Last 5 (5)55.467.2122.6-11.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)56.061.1117.1-5.121%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)57.360.3117.6-3.031%-
vs Weaker (3)63.054.3117.3+8.7100%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 111.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.625.5
53.6%
51.7%51.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.814.4
36.2%
35.4%43.2
🏀 Free throws22.816.9
74.1%
76.6%16.9
They take 87.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 110.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.530.5
49.6%
51.7%61.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.610.2
34.5%
35.4%30.6
🏀 Free throws24.518.9
77.1%
76.6%18.9
They take 91.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Apr 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dallas Mavericks
WWLLWLLLWL
Minnesota Timberwolves
LLWLWLLLLL
#22
League position
#21
+1.7
Net rating
-8.7
112.4
Offensive rating
106.9
110.7
Defensive rating
115.6
53.9%
Effective FG%
50.3%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
56.4%
9.9%
Turnover %
12.3%
19.9%
Off. rebound %
23.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.2%
3-point %
34.5%
63.2%
Assist %
60.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence112.4 · 106.9Defence110.7 · 115.6Shooting53.9% · 50.3%3-point %36.2% · 34.5%Ball care9.9% · 12.3%Off. rebounds19.9% · 23.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Dallas Mavericks   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/19HPhiladelphia 76ers122-102
31/03/19AOklahoma City Thunder106-103
28/03/19AMiami Heat99-105
27/03/19HSacramento Kings121-125
24/03/19AGolden State Warriors126-91
22/03/19ASacramento Kings100-116
21/03/19APortland Trail Blazers118-126
19/03/19HNew Orleans Pelicans125-129 OT
17/03/19HCleveland Cavaliers121-116
15/03/19ADenver Nuggets99-100
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/19HPortland Trail Blazers122-132
31/03/19HPhiladelphia 76ers109-118
30/03/19HGolden State Warriors131-130 OT
27/03/19HLos Angeles Clippers111-122
24/03/19AMemphis Grizzlies112-99
21/03/19ACharlotte Hornets106-113
20/03/19HGolden State Warriors107-117
18/03/19AHouston Rockets102-117
15/03/19AUtah Jazz100-120
13/03/19ADenver Nuggets107-133

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW40%
HomeLWLLW61%
AwayLLWLW21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games773839
Win %40%61%21%
Points / game108.6110.1107.2
Allowed / game109.9107.5112.1
Point differential-1.2+2.6-4.9
Avg total218.5217.6219.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%16%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (27)60% (15)25% (12)
Overtime %4%3%5%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL44%
HomeLLWLL63%
AwayLLLLW26%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games773839
Win %44%63%26%
Points / game112.7114.8110.7
Allowed / game114.0111.1116.8
Point differential-1.3+3.7-6.1
Avg total226.7225.9227.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%34%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (20)58% (12)25% (8)
Overtime %8%13%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks78582074%117.9108.6+9.3
2 Toronto Raptors79562371%114.4108.4+6.0
3 Golden State Warriors77532469%117.7111.4+6.3
4 Denver Nuggets77512666%110.8106.9+3.9
5 Houston Rockets78502864%113.2109.3+3.8
6 Portland Trail Blazers77492864%114.6110.5+4.0
7 Philadelphia 76ers78492963%115.2112.4+2.7
8 Utah Jazz77473061%111.2106.1+5.1
9 Los Angeles Clippers78473160%115.1113.4+1.6
10 Boston Celtics79473259%112.3108.0+4.4
11 Indiana Pacers79473259%108.0104.1+3.8
12 Oklahoma City Thunder78453358%114.0110.8+3.2
13 San Antonio Spurs78453358%111.9110.4+1.5
14 Detroit Pistons78393950%107.2107.6-0.3
15 Orlando Magic79394049%106.5106.4+0.1
16 Brooklyn Nets79394049%112.0112.6-0.5
17 Miami Heat78384049%105.6105.7-0.2
18 Sacramento Kings78384049%113.9114.9-1.0
19 Charlotte Hornets78364246%110.6112.2-1.6
20 Los Angeles Lakers78354345%112.0113.7-1.7
21 Minnesota Timberwolves77344344%112.7114.0-1.3
22 New Orleans Pelicans79324741%115.2116.5-1.2
23 Washington Wizards79324741%114.2116.8-2.7
24 Dallas Mavericks77314640%108.6109.9-1.2
25 Memphis Grizzlies77314640%102.9105.6-2.6
26 Atlanta Hawks79295037%113.2118.8-5.7
27 Chicago Bulls79225728%105.2113.4-8.2
28 Cleveland Cavaliers78195924%104.6113.9-9.2
29 Phoenix Suns78186023%107.2116.3-9.0
30 New York Knicks78156319%104.9114.1-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks27312129108
Minnesota Timberwolves32263121110
← all games of the day
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