PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 21 Nov 2016
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 111-115 (OT)
21-30 33-28 16-21 33-24 8-12
Position#10
Record8-5
FormLLLWW
Points / game104.8
Allowed / game102.9
vs
Position#16
Record6-7
FormLLWWL
Points / game105.5
Allowed / game107.5
USANBA· Chesapeake Energy Arena
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Indiana Pacers
05 Feb 2027
OKC v IND
upcoming
23 Jan 2026
OKC114
IND117
22 Jun 2025
OKC103
IND91
16 Jun 2025
OKC120
IND109
08 Jun 2025
OKC123
IND107
05 Jun 2025
OKC110
IND111
29 Mar 2025
OKC132
IND111
12 Mar 2024
OKC111
IND121
18 Jan 2023
OKC126
IND106
28 Jan 2022
OKC110
IND113
01 May 2021
OKC95
IND152
04 Dec 2019
OKC100
IND107
27 Mar 2019
OKC107
IND99
25 Oct 2017
OKC114
IND96
20 Nov 2016
OKC111
IND115
19 Feb 2016
OKC98
IND101
24 Feb 2015
OKC105
IND92
08 Dec 2013
OKC118
IND94
09 Dec 2012
OKC104
IND93
02 Mar 2011
OKC113
IND89
09 Jan 2010
OKC108
IND102
05 Apr 2009
OKC99
IND117
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Indiana Pacers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
85-83
85
83
+2
72avg 102
A03/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
96-122
96
122
-26
79avg 102
A04/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
W
112-92
112
92
+20
104avg 102
H05/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
W
97-85
97
85
+12
91avg 102
H08/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
102-112
102
112
-10
94avg 102
H10/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
108-110
108
110
-2
98avg 102
H12/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
117-119
117
119
-2
104avg 102
H14/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
88-104
88
104
-16
74avg 102
A15/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
105-103
105
103
+2
101avg 102
H17/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
124-105
124
105
+19
118avg 102
H19/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
26-17
16-25
20-17
32-31
11-37
27-30
26-24
32-25
27-28
31-19
22-20
39-28
16-19
28-14
14-24
27-20
28-42
20-26
27-24
24-16
26-34
24-32
34-28
13-27
34-30
37-25
33-37
25-28
22-31
21-19
20-26
38-32
27-31
20-27
20-13
34-40
30-21
32-21
28-23
206.9Avg total
103.4Scored
103.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)104.8102.9207.8+1.962%
Season at home (9)110.1103.6213.7+6.667%
Season away (4)93.0101.5194.5-8.550%
Last 10 (10)103.4103.5206.9-0.150%
Last 5 (5)108.4108.2216.6+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)100.5112.5213.0-12.050%
vs Similar ◀ (19)102.5101.9204.4+0.553%
vs Weaker (9)113.6102.9216.4+10.778%
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana PacersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPacers
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
115-108
115
108
+7
103avg 93
H01/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
107-125
107
125
-18
99avg 93
A04/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
111-94
111
94
+17
104avg 93
H05/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
100-122
100
122
-22
91avg 93
A08/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
122-115 OT
122
115
+7
116avg 93
H10/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
105-109 OT
105
109
-4
95avg 93
A12/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
99-105
99
105
-6
82avg 93
H13/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
88-69
88
69
+19
79avg 93
H15/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
W
103-93
103
93
+10
94avg 93
H17/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
96-116
96
116
-20
85avg 93
H19/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-18
35-33
22-28
31-29
30-29
27-34
22-27
28-35
31-15
31-28
26-21
23-30
34-43
21-32
23-24
22-23
31-26
23-34
30-24
25-25
27-21
25-30
20-25
28-24
31-24
14-24
31-31
23-26
16-19
25-18
30-20
17-12
30-19
20-26
30-23
23-25
18-27
31-30
33-32
14-27
210.2Avg total
104.6Scored
105.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)105.5107.5213.0-2.146%
Season at home (8)108.0102.6210.6+5.475%
Season away (5)101.4115.4216.8-14.00%
Last 10 (10)104.6105.6210.2-1.050%
Last 5 (5)98.298.4196.6-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)113.0101.0214.0+12.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (17)99.8103.2203.0-3.535%
vs Weaker (11)105.099.6204.6+5.473%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -2.2-2.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -2.2-2.2
Oklahoma City ThunderIndiana Pacers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A03/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
43-68
43
68
-25
A04/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
W
59-53
59
53
+6
H05/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H08/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
55-62
55
62
-7
H10/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
D
50-50
50
50
+0
H12/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H14/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
47-59
47
59
-12
A15/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
65-63
65
63
+2
H17/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
64-61
64
61
+3
H19/11
NBA
109.5Avg total
53.4Scored
56.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.052.8105.8+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (17)56.051.6107.6+4.459%-
Last 30 away (13)49.154.3103.4-5.238%-
Last 10 (10)53.456.1109.5-2.750%-
Last 5 (5)54.658.0112.6-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)54.065.5119.5-11.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)51.951.7103.6+0.347%-
vs Weaker (9)55.052.2107.2+2.856%-
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana PacersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
62-51
62
51
+11
H01/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
57-63
57
63
-6
A04/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
62-43
62
43
+19
H05/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
55-75
55
75
-20
A08/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
54-60
54
60
-6
H10/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A12/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H13/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H15/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H17/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
49-57
49
57
-8
H19/11
NBA
105.7Avg total
52.7Scored
53.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.851.4104.2+1.547%-
Last 30 at home (17)53.750.1103.8+3.653%-
Last 30 away (13)51.753.0104.7-1.338%-
Last 10 (10)52.753.0105.7-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)47.447.695.0-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)60.053.0113.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)50.652.7103.3-2.129%-
vs Weaker (11)55.049.0104.0+6.064%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 103.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.129.9
49.8%
50.2%59.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.0
35.2%
35.7%27.0
🏀 Free throws22.516.6
73.8%
77.0%16.6
They take 85.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Indiana Pacerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Indiana Pacers: 104.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.6 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.932.3
51.4%
50.2%64.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.58.0
34.0%
35.7%24.0
🏀 Free throws20.416.0
78.4%
77.0%16.0
They take 86.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
WWLLLLWWLW
Indiana Pacers
LWWLLWLWLW
#10
League position
#16
-0.1
Net rating
-1.0
103.1
Offensive rating
103.3
103.2
Defensive rating
104.3
50.6%
Effective FG%
51.3%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
15.6%
Turnover %
14.2%
25.1%
Off. rebound %
19.7%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.24
35.2%
3-point %
34.0%
53.2%
Assist %
55.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.1 · 103.3Defence103.2 · 104.3Shooting50.6% · 51.3%3-point %35.2% · 34.0%Ball care15.6% · 14.2%Off. rebounds25.1% · 19.7%Free throws0.26 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Indiana Pacers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/16HBrooklyn Nets124-105
17/11/16HHouston Rockets105-103
15/11/16ADetroit Pistons88-104
14/11/16HOrlando Magic117-119
12/11/16HLos Angeles Clippers108-110
10/11/16HToronto Raptors102-112
08/11/16HMiami Heat97-85
05/11/16HMinnesota Timberwolves112-92
04/11/16AGolden State Warriors96-122
03/11/16ALos Angeles Clippers85-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/16HPhoenix Suns96-116
17/11/16HCleveland Cavaliers103-93
15/11/16HOrlando Magic88-69
13/11/16HBoston Celtics99-105
12/11/16APhiladelphia 76ers105-109 OT
10/11/16HPhiladelphia 76ers122-115 OT
08/11/16ACharlotte Hornets100-122
05/11/16HChicago Bulls111-94
04/11/16AMilwaukee Bucks107-125
01/11/16HLos Angeles Lakers115-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW62%
HomeLLLWW67%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1394
Win %62%67%50%
Points / game104.8110.193.0
Allowed / game102.9103.6101.5
Point differential+1.9+6.6-8.5
Avg total207.8213.7194.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%44%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %8%11%0%
Indiana Pacers
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL46%
HomeWLWWL75%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %46%75%0%
Points / game105.5108.0101.4
Allowed / game107.5102.6115.4
Point differential-2.1+5.4-14.0
Avg total213.0210.6216.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %23%25%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Clippers1412286%109.195.4+13.7
2 Golden State Warriors1311285%116.8108.6+8.2
3 Cleveland Cavaliers1210283%108.6101.6+7.0
4 San Antonio Spurs1310377%103.097.6+5.4
5 Atlanta Hawks139469%105.898.8+7.1
6 Charlotte Hornets128467%105.9101.2+4.7
7 Toronto Raptors128467%108.2104.3+3.9
8 Chicago Bulls138562%104.298.1+6.2
9 Houston Rockets138562%109.1104.9+4.2
10 Oklahoma City Thunder138562%104.8102.9+1.9
11 Memphis Grizzlies138562%96.897.0-0.2
12 Los Angeles Lakers137654%109.8109.0+0.8
13 Boston Celtics137654%103.9104.6-0.7
14 Portland Trail Blazers158753%108.2112.2-4.0
15 Utah Jazz147750%96.494.4+1.9
16 Indiana Pacers136746%105.5107.5-2.1
17 New York Knicks136746%102.4106.2-3.8
18 Orlando Magic136746%92.599.8-7.3
19 Detroit Pistons146843%96.997.2-0.4
20 Milwaukee Bucks125742%102.4103.8-1.3
21 Minnesota Timberwolves124833%105.0103.3+1.7
22 Miami Heat124833%96.296.6-0.4
23 Denver Nuggets124833%106.0108.2-2.2
24 Sacramento Kings134931%101.4105.5-4.1
25 Brooklyn Nets134931%106.5113.3-6.8
26 New Orleans Pelicans1441029%102.5107.6-5.1
27 Phoenix Suns1441029%108.4114.9-6.5
28 Washington Wizards123925%102.6106.0-3.4
29 Philadelphia 76ers1331023%97.8108.2-10.4
30 Dallas Mavericks1221017%90.798.1-7.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Oklahoma City Thunder213316338111
Indiana Pacers3028212412115
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.