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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 08 Nov 2016
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 97-85
39-28 16-19 28-14 14-24
Position#10
Record7-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game103.4
Allowed / game100.5
vs
Position#13
Record6-7
FormWLLWL
Points / game102.2
Allowed / game98.6
USANBA· Chesapeake Energy Arena
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Miami Heat
31 Dec 2026
OKC v MIA
upcoming
11 Jan 2026
OKC124
MIA112
12 Feb 2025
OKC115
MIA101
08 Mar 2024
OKC107
MIA100
14 Dec 2022
OKC108
MIA110
15 Nov 2021
OKC90
MIA103
22 Feb 2021
OKC94
MIA108
12 Aug 2020
OKC116
MIA115
17 Jan 2020
OKC108
MIA115
18 Mar 2019
OKC107
MIA116
23 Mar 2018
OKC105
MIA99
07 Nov 2016
OKC97
MIA85
08 Jul 2016
OKC86
MIA72
17 Jan 2016
OKC99
MIA74
22 Mar 2015
OKC93
MIA75
11 Jul 2014
OKC103
MIA98
20 Feb 2014
OKC81
MIA103
14 Feb 2013
OKC100
MIA110
14 Jun 2012
OKC96
MIA100
12 Jun 2012
OKC105
MIA94
25 Mar 2012
OKC103
MIA87
30 Jan 2011
OKC103
MIA108
16 Jan 2010
OKC98
MIA80
14 Oct 2009
OKC96
MIA91
18 Jan 2009
OKC94
MIA104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
109-114
109
114
-5
A12/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
94-110
94
110
-16
H14/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
112-94
112
94
+18
H16/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#16
W
97-87
97
87
+10
H19/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
103-97
103
97
+6
A27/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
113-110 OT
113
110
+3
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
113-96
113
96
+17
H30/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
85-83
85
83
+2
A03/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
96-122
96
122
-26
A04/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
112-92
112
92
+20
H05/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-29
22-27
40-26
27-32
31-17
21-41
22-26
20-26
27-21
29-28
31-20
25-25
32-28
27-13
23-21
15-25
23-24
28-27
18-24
34-22
25-40
24-13
28-30
25-19
30-24
28-22
19-25
36-25
23-24
26-17
16-25
20-17
32-31
11-37
27-30
26-24
32-25
27-28
31-19
22-20
203.9Avg total
103.4Scored
100.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)103.4100.5203.9+2.970%
Season at home (6)106.898.2205.0+8.783%
Season away (4)98.2104.0202.2-5.850%
Last 10 (10)103.4100.5203.9+2.970%
Last 5 (5)103.8100.6204.4+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)96.0122.0218.0-26.00%
vs Similar ◀ (20)102.5100.2202.7+2.360%
vs Weaker (9)99.691.2190.8+8.389%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
108-100
108
100
+8
A15/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
96-101
96
101
-5
H15/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
107-77
107
77
+30
H18/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
88-96
88
96
-8
A20/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
110-113
110
113
-3
H21/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
108-96
108
96
+12
A26/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
91-97
91
97
-6
H29/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
99-106
99
106
-7
H30/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
108-96 OT
108
96
+12
H01/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
87-96
87
96
-9
A04/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-24
25-24
33-20
20-32
21-27
37-24
18-32
20-18
27-19
29-27
20-16
31-15
19-33
24-21
29-20
16-22
32-27
30-27
26-32
22-27
23-27
27-26
30-16
28-27
23-21
34-25
20-27
14-24
19-24
25-28
28-25
27-29
28-26
26-24
19-17
18-24
27-25
19-27
26-23
15-21
198.0Avg total
100.2Scored
97.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)102.298.6200.8+3.646%
Season at home (8)104.099.9203.9+4.138%
Season away (5)99.496.6196.0+2.860%
Last 10 (10)100.297.8198.0+2.440%
Last 5 (5)98.698.2196.8+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)91.290.2181.5+1.050%
vs Similar ◀ (17)86.892.1178.9-5.324%
vs Weaker (9)98.282.9181.1+15.389%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -2.8-2.8
Oklahoma City ThunderMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A12/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
52-58
52
58
-6
H14/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H16/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#16
W
59-41
59
41
+18
H19/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
D
51-51
51
51
+0
A27/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
58-46
58
46
+12
H30/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A03/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
43-68
43
68
-25
A04/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
59-53
59
53
+6
H05/11
NBA
103.4Avg total
51.8Scored
51.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.349.699.9+0.857%-
Last 30 at home (17)52.246.498.5+5.871%-
Last 30 away (13)47.953.8101.7-5.838%-
Last 10 (10)51.851.6103.4+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)51.652.2103.8-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)43.068.0111.0-25.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)51.450.2101.6+1.155%-
vs Weaker (9)48.946.094.9+2.967%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A15/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
58-51
58
51
+7
H15/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
56-46
56
46
+10
H18/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A20/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H21/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A26/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
57-46
57
46
+11
H29/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H30/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H01/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A04/11
NBA
103.1Avg total
52.5Scored
50.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.445.091.4+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.945.493.3+2.462%-
Last 30 away (14)44.644.689.2+0.136%-
Last 10 (10)52.550.6103.1+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)50.250.6100.8-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)43.846.890.5-3.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)44.845.290.0-0.441%-
vs Weaker (9)50.444.094.4+6.478%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 103.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.4 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.331.2
47.1%
50.2%62.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.48.0
35.7%
35.7%24.0
🏀 Free throws24.417.0
69.7%
77.0%17.0
They take 88.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 25% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 100.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.627.6
47.9%
50.2%55.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.8
35.8%
35.7%29.4
🏀 Free throws22.915.6
68.1%
77.0%15.6
They take 85.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Nov 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
WLWWWWWWLL
Miami Heat
LWLLWLLWLW
#10
League position
#13
+2.8
Net rating
+2.4
98.7
Offensive rating
100.7
95.9
Defensive rating
98.3
48.7%
Effective FG%
49.8%
46.3%
Opp. effective FG%
45.1%
16.8%
Turnover %
14.4%
26.7%
Off. rebound %
21.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.7%
3-point %
35.8%
52.6%
Assist %
57.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence98.7 · 100.7Defence95.9 · 98.3Shooting48.7% · 49.8%3-point %35.7% · 35.8%Ball care16.8% · 14.4%Off. rebounds26.7% · 21.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/16HMinnesota Timberwolves112-92
04/11/16AGolden State Warriors96-122
03/11/16ALos Angeles Clippers85-83
30/10/16HLos Angeles Lakers113-96
29/10/16HPhoenix Suns113-110 OT
27/10/16APhiladelphia 76ers103-97
19/10/16HDenver Nuggets97-87
16/10/16HMinnesota Timberwolves112-94
14/10/16HMemphis Grizzlies94-110
12/10/16ADallas Mavericks109-114
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/16AToronto Raptors87-96
01/11/16HSacramento Kings108-96 OT
30/10/16HSan Antonio Spurs99-106
29/10/16HCharlotte Hornets91-97
26/10/16AOrlando Magic108-96
21/10/16HPhiladelphia 76ers110-113
20/10/16ACharlotte Hornets88-96
18/10/16HOrlando Magic107-77
15/10/16HMinnesota Timberwolves96-101
15/10/16ASan Antonio Spurs108-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW70%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %70%83%50%
Points / game103.4106.898.2
Allowed / game100.598.2104.0
Point differential+2.9+8.7-5.8
Avg total203.9205.0202.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %10%17%0%
Miami Heat
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL46%
HomeWLLLW38%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %46%38%60%
Points / game102.2104.099.4
Allowed / game98.699.996.6
Point differential+3.6+4.1+2.8
Avg total200.8203.9196.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%38%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %8%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors1310377%112.5105.5+7.1
2 Oklahoma City Thunder107370%103.4100.5+2.9
3 Atlanta Hawks139469%102.394.3+8.0
4 San Antonio Spurs139469%100.195.3+4.8
5 Cleveland Cavaliers128467%107.1105.0+2.1
6 Los Angeles Clippers128467%97.396.6+0.8
7 Houston Rockets138562%112.4109.1+3.3
8 Boston Celtics138562%107.4105.0+2.4
9 Charlotte Hornets138562%98.097.8+0.2
10 Detroit Pistons127558%97.391.3+6.0
11 Toronto Raptors127558%100.898.6+2.2
12 Utah Jazz148657%98.194.5+3.6
13 Portland Trail Blazers148657%104.9105.4-0.5
14 Memphis Grizzlies137654%101.0101.7-0.7
15 Milwaukee Bucks137654%97.199.1-2.0
16 Minnesota Timberwolves126650%101.197.0+4.1
17 Denver Nuggets147750%104.8104.4+0.4
18 New York Knicks126650%105.5108.4-2.9
19 Miami Heat136746%102.298.6+3.6
20 Chicago Bulls136746%105.3102.7+2.6
21 Indiana Pacers136746%107.8109.5-1.8
22 Phoenix Suns136746%104.7108.4-3.7
23 Los Angeles Lakers156940%107.9107.8+0.1
24 Washington Wizards135838%102.6101.8+0.8
25 Sacramento Kings135838%99.5103.5-4.0
26 Orlando Magic135838%97.0103.5-6.5
27 Brooklyn Nets123925%102.2109.2-7.1
28 Dallas Mavericks1331023%94.7102.0-7.3
29 Philadelphia 76ers1321115%94.1106.2-12.1
30 New Orleans Pelicans121118%102.9109.1-6.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oklahoma City Thunder3916281497
Miami Heat2819142485
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