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Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 04 Nov 2016
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 125-107
29-30 34-27 27-22 35-28
Position#14
Record2-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game101.5
Allowed / game106.5
vs
Position#16
Record2-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game110.0
Allowed / game112.5
USANBA· BMO Harris Bradley Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Indiana Pacers
20 Mar 2027
MIL v IND
upcoming
26 Oct 2026
MIL110
IND102
15 Mar 2026
MIL134
IND123
06 Feb 2026
MIL105
IND99
27 Apr 2025
MIL103
IND129
25 Apr 2025
MIL117
IND101
15 Mar 2025
MIL126
IND119
22 Nov 2024
MIL129
IND117
30 Apr 2024
MIL115
IND92
23 Apr 2024
MIL108
IND125
21 Apr 2024
MIL109
IND94
01 Jan 2024
MIL113
IND122
13 Dec 2023
MIL140
IND126
16 Mar 2023
MIL123
IND139
16 Jan 2023
MIL132
IND119
15 Feb 2022
MIL128
IND119
15 Dec 2021
MIL114
IND99
22 Mar 2021
MIL140
IND113
03 Feb 2021
MIL130
IND110
04 Mar 2020
MIL119
IND100
22 Dec 2019
MIL117
IND89
07 Mar 2019
MIL117
IND98
19 Oct 2018
MIL118
IND101
02 Mar 2018
MIL96
IND103
03 Jan 2018
MIL122
IND101
10 Mar 2017
MIL99
IND85
03 Nov 2016
MIL125
IND107
13 Apr 2016
MIL92
IND97
02 Mar 2016
MIL99
IND104
26 Mar 2015
MIL111
IND107
02 Jan 2015
MIL91
IND94
09 Apr 2014
MIL102
IND104
22 Feb 2014
MIL100
IND110
18 Dec 2012
MIL98
IND93
14 Nov 2012
MIL99
IND85
14 Apr 2012
MIL99
IND105
24 Mar 2012
MIL104
IND125
12 Feb 2011
MIL97
IND103
08 Dec 2010
MIL97
IND95
14 Mar 2010
MIL98
IND94
06 Feb 2010
MIL93
IND81
11 Feb 2009
MIL122
IND110
13 Dec 2008
MIL121
IND103
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Indiana Pacers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
98-102
98
102
-4
94avg 91
H03/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
80-109
80
109
-29
64avg 91
H06/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
L
109-124
109
124
-15
103avg 91
A08/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
109-108 OT
109
108
+1
108avg 91
A10/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
98-107
98
107
-9
92avg 91
A11/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
92-97
92
97
-5
83avg 91
H14/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
96-107
96
107
-11
84avg 91
H27/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
110-108
110
108
+2
103avg 91
H30/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
83-98
83
98
-15
70avg 91
A30/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
117-113
117
113
+4
116avg 91
A02/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
17-33
32-22
25-23
19-33
24-34
24-26
13-16
35-30
23-35
22-36
29-23
29-23
33-22
14-25
22-28
22-32
22-26
29-27
25-22
20-37
26-25
24-16
22-19
24-32
17-24
25-27
30-24
24-18
22-23
34-32
30-35
21-24
18-26
26-25
18-23
29-32
34-22
21-32
33-27
206.5Avg total
99.2Scored
107.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)101.5106.5208.0-5.050%
Season at home (2)103.0107.5210.5-4.550%
Season away (2)100.0105.5205.5-5.550%
Last 10 (10)99.2107.3206.5-8.130%
Last 5 (5)99.6104.6204.2-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)95.6105.9201.4-10.37%
vs Similar ◀ (13)104.0102.4206.4+1.662%
vs Weaker (3)109.0105.7214.7+3.3100%
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana PacersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPacers
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
87-98
87
98
-11
73avg 93
A18/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
85-101
85
101
-16
76avg 93
H21/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
W
100-83
100
83
+17
93avg 93
H23/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
99-102
99
102
-3
96avg 93
A26/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
W
101-83
101
83
+18
97avg 93
H29/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
84-89
84
89
-5
68avg 93
A02/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
130-121 OT
130
121
+9
128avg 93
H26/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
94-103
94
103
-9
77avg 93
A28/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
L
101-118
101
118
-17
96avg 93
A30/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
115-108
115
108
+7
103avg 93
H01/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-27
32-26
18-21
21-24
17-24
19-29
23-18
26-30
28-16
29-26
16-16
27-25
35-20
26-32
29-25
9-25
20-22
20-22
31-20
30-19
23-28
21-22
20-28
20-11
33-21
26-31
35-33
21-30
27-20
21-32
31-20
15-31
20-24
21-38
26-30
34-26
27-18
35-33
22-28
31-29
200.2Avg total
99.6Scored
100.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)110.0112.5222.5-2.550%
Season at home (2)122.5114.5237.0+8.0100%
Season away (2)97.5110.5208.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)99.6100.6200.2-1.040%
Last 5 (5)104.8107.8212.6-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)111.0105.0216.0+6.067%
vs Similar ◀ (17)97.8101.0198.8-3.241%
vs Weaker (10)103.796.6200.3+7.180%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -1.6-1.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -1.6-1.6
Milwaukee BucksIndiana Pacers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
41-57
41
57
-16
H03/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
43-67
43
67
-24
H06/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
L
58-65
58
65
-7
A08/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
62-45
62
45
+17
A10/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
44-58
44
58
-14
A11/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
46-62
46
62
-16
H14/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
41-56
41
56
-15
H27/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H30/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A30/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
63-54
63
54
+9
A02/11
NBA
103.8Avg total
48.3Scored
55.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.854.2104.0-4.437%-
Last 30 at home (19)49.154.5103.5-5.442%-
Last 30 away (11)51.253.7104.9-2.527%-
Last 10 (10)48.355.5103.8-7.230%-
Last 5 (5)47.052.699.6-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)48.256.4104.6-8.214%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)50.654.0104.6-3.446%-
vs Weaker (3)54.044.798.7+9.3100%-
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana PacersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A18/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H21/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H23/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
W
61-52
61
52
+9
A26/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H29/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A02/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
59-52
59
52
+7
H26/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A28/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
L
41-62
41
62
-21
A30/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
62-51
62
51
+11
H01/11
NBA
100.7Avg total
49.6Scored
51.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.149.3101.4+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (17)52.747.9100.6+4.865%-
Last 30 away (13)51.351.0102.3+0.346%-
Last 10 (10)49.651.1100.7-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)50.853.4104.2-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)56.352.3108.7+4.067%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)48.450.198.5-1.741%-
vs Weaker (10)57.146.9104.0+10.280%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 99.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀68%
🏀🏀🏀17%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers67.4 pts a game · 68% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers67.933.7
49.6%
50.2%67.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.85.5
29.3%
35.7%16.5
🏀 Free throws19.615.3
78.1%
77.0%15.3
They take 86.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 22% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Indiana Pacerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Indiana Pacers: 101.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.828.3
47.3%
50.2%56.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.98.2
37.4%
35.7%24.6
🏀 Free throws25.120.0
79.7%
77.0%20.0
They take 81.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
WLWLLLWLLL
Indiana Pacers
WLLWLWLWLL
#14
League position
#16
-8.1
Net rating
+0.5
99.7
Offensive rating
104.0
107.8
Defensive rating
103.5
48.4%
Effective FG%
49.7%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
47.2%
14.9%
Turnover %
14.4%
23.0%
Off. rebound %
23.6%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.31
29.3%
3-point %
37.4%
62.5%
Assist %
60.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence99.7 · 104.0Defence107.8 · 103.5Shooting48.4% · 49.7%3-point %29.3% · 37.4%Ball care14.9% · 14.4%Off. rebounds23.0% · 23.6%Free throws0.23 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Indiana Pacers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Milwaukee Bucks wins
7
Indiana Pacers wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/16ANew Orleans Pelicans117-113
30/10/16ADetroit Pistons83-98
30/10/16HBrooklyn Nets110-108
27/10/16HCharlotte Hornets96-107
14/04/16HIndiana Pacers92-97
11/04/16AOrlando Magic98-107
10/04/16APhiladelphia 76ers109-108 OT
08/04/16ABoston Celtics109-124
06/04/16HCleveland Cavaliers80-109
03/04/16HChicago Bulls98-102
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/16HLos Angeles Lakers115-108
30/10/16AChicago Bulls101-118
28/10/16ABrooklyn Nets94-103
26/10/16HDallas Mavericks130-121 OT
02/05/16AToronto Raptors84-89
29/04/16HToronto Raptors101-83
26/04/16AToronto Raptors99-102
23/04/16HToronto Raptors100-83
21/04/16HToronto Raptors85-101
18/04/16AToronto Raptors87-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game101.5103.0100.0
Allowed / game106.5107.5105.5
Point differential-5.0-4.5-5.5
Avg total208.0210.5205.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Indiana Pacers
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game110.0122.597.5
Allowed / game112.5114.5110.5
Point differential-2.5+8.0-13.0
Avg total222.5237.0208.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %25%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers440100%111.099.5+11.5
2 Oklahoma City Thunder440100%103.596.5+7.0
3 San Antonio Spurs54180%105.295.6+9.6
4 Atlanta Hawks43175%110.097.2+12.8
5 Chicago Bulls43175%110.298.8+11.5
6 Los Angeles Clippers43175%100.291.0+9.2
7 Toronto Raptors43175%104.597.5+7.0
8 Charlotte Hornets43175%102.896.0+6.8
9 Boston Celtics43175%108.0105.0+3.0
10 Golden State Warriors43175%113.8111.8+2.0
11 Detroit Pistons53260%100.094.4+5.6
12 Utah Jazz53260%95.692.4+3.2
13 Houston Rockets53260%110.2107.4+2.8
14 Memphis Grizzlies53260%97.4102.2-4.8
15 Miami Heat42250%101.598.8+2.8
16 Indiana Pacers42250%110.0112.5-2.5
17 Milwaukee Bucks42250%101.5106.5-5.0
18 Los Angeles Lakers52340%107.2110.8-3.6
19 Brooklyn Nets52340%105.0109.0-4.0
20 Portland Trail Blazers52340%110.6115.2-4.6
21 Orlando Magic52340%96.4103.2-6.8
22 Minnesota Timberwolves31233%105.796.0+9.7
23 Denver Nuggets31233%107.3107.3+0.0
24 Sacramento Kings62433%99.7102.5-2.8
25 New York Knicks41325%96.8110.2-13.5
26 Phoenix Suns51420%104.0112.6-8.6
27 New Orleans Pelicans5050%98.2106.6-8.4
28 Dallas Mavericks4040%98.0106.5-8.5
29 Washington Wizards3030%101.7113.0-11.3
30 Philadelphia 76ers4040%90.8104.8-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks29342735125
Indiana Pacers30272228107
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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