PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Orlando Magic Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 16 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 01:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record8-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game111.4
Allowed / game105.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.7/10
Around normal
5.0/10
Around normal
Position#20
Record4-7
FormLLLWW
Points / game108.5
Allowed / game114.0
USANBA· Paycom Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Orlando Magic
15 Feb 2027
OKC v ORL
upcoming
03 Feb 2026
OKC128
ORL92
04 Nov 2024
OKC102
ORL86
13 Jan 2024
OKC112
ORL100
01 Nov 2022
OKC116
ORL108
23 Mar 2022
OKC118
ORL102
29 Dec 2020
OKC107
ORL118
05 Nov 2019
OKC102
ORL94
05 Feb 2019
OKC132
ORL122
26 Feb 2018
OKC112
ORL105
13 Nov 2016
OKC117
ORL119
03 Feb 2016
OKC117
ORL114
02 Feb 2015
OKC104
ORL97
15 Dec 2013
OKC101
ORL98
15 Mar 2013
OKC117
ORL104
25 Dec 2011
OKC97
ORL89
13 Jan 2011
OKC125
ORL124
08 Nov 2009
OKC102
ORL74
12 Nov 2008
OKC92
ORL109
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Orlando Magic win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#13
W
96-84
96
84
+12
83avg 102
H23/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#26
W
108-101
108
101
+7
97avg 102
H25/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#19
W
125-114
125
114
+11
119avg 102
H27/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
96-120
96
120
-24
76avg 102
A29/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
98-119
98
119
-21
72avg 102
A01/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#16
W
117-112
117
112
+5
95avg 102
A03/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#16
W
124-116
124
116
+8
116avg 102
H05/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
128-97
128
97
+31
117avg 102
A07/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
114-75
114
75
+39
114avg 102
H08/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#9
L
103-123
103
123
-20
93avg 102
A11/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
20-21
26-16
26-20
23-20
20-26
34-30
31-25
33-27
34-26
32-32
26-29
30-33
29-32
22-29
15-26
26-35
25-27
24-30
23-27
26-30
33-18
31-36
27-28
37-20
23-24
28-30
36-42
35-28
36-21
27-27
30-21
25-19
32-17
33-23
24-16
27-26
32-33
21-38
23-26
217.0Avg total
110.9Scored
106.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)111.4105.9217.3+5.573%
Season at home (5)113.498.0211.4+15.4100%
Season away (6)109.7112.5222.2-2.850%
Last 10 (10)110.9106.1217.0+4.870%
Last 5 (5)117.2104.6221.8+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)116.0104.0220.0+12.0100%
vs Similar (13)109.9113.5223.5-3.646%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)117.1104.4221.5+12.888%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMagic
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#6
L
93-115
93
115
-22
83avg 105
H23/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#15
W
111-102
111
102
+9
108avg 105
A25/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#17
L
99-129
99
129
-30
86avg 105
A28/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#17
W
121-114
121
114
+7
120avg 105
A30/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#2
L
97-108
97
108
-11
91avg 105
H01/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
94-103
94
103
-9
84avg 105
H03/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#19
L
104-117
104
117
-13
102avg 105
A06/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
L
119-126 OT
119
126
-7
104avg 105
A08/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
107-100
107
100
+7
98avg 105
A11/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
123-108
123
108
+15
no box
A12/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
25-31
15-29
33-29
21-28
27-24
23-23
40-27
25-32
28-37
23-34
23-26
31-27
33-28
31-33
26-26
23-24
27-31
24-22
23-31
33-28
26-32
9-19
26-24
26-33
25-30
22-33
31-21
19-31
22-26
37-20
32-33
34-27
23-25
27-24
23-24
29-34
37-25
19-28
38-21
219.0Avg total
106.8Scored
112.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)108.5114.0222.5-5.536%
Season at home (4)102.2114.5216.8-12.20%
Season away (7)112.0113.7225.7-1.757%
Last 10 (10)106.8112.2219.0-5.440%
Last 5 (5)109.4110.8220.2-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)105.0110.2215.2-5.238%
vs Similar (8)106.4114.9221.2-8.538%
vs Weaker (6)121.3110.5231.8+10.8100%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +3.3+3.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +3.3+3.3
Oklahoma City ThunderOrlando Magic
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#13
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H23/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#26
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H25/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#19
W
67-53
67
53
+14
H27/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
59-65
59
65
-6
A29/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
51-62
51
62
-11
A01/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#16
W
59-48
59
48
+11
A03/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#16
W
60-44
60
44
+16
H05/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
71-49
71
49
+22
A07/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
57-36
57
36
+21
H08/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#9
D
59-59
59
59
+0
A11/11
NBA
108.0Avg total
57.0Scored
51.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.053.1111.1+4.957%-
Last 30 at home (14)57.151.8108.9+5.357%-
Last 30 away (16)58.854.2113.0+4.656%-
Last 10 (10)57.051.0108.0+6.050%-
Last 5 (5)61.247.2108.4+14.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)65.044.0109.0+21.0100%-
vs Similar (13)56.654.2110.8+2.546%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)58.752.8111.4+5.962%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#6
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H23/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#15
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A25/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#17
L
53-69
53
69
-16
A28/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#17
W
64-55
64
55
+9
A30/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#2
L
50-55
50
55
-5
H01/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
59-60
59
60
-1
H03/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#19
L
51-63
51
63
-12
A06/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
L
41-57
41
57
-16
A08/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
57-52
57
52
+5
A11/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
66-59
66
59
+7
A12/11
NBA
111.3Avg total
53.4Scored
57.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.256.7113.9+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (13)60.055.4115.4+4.662%-
Last 30 away (17)55.157.8112.8-2.741%-
Last 10 (10)53.457.9111.3-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)54.858.2113.0-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)54.955.7110.6-0.844%-
vs Similar (8)57.958.8116.6-0.938%-
vs Weaker (6)62.556.8119.3+5.783%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 107.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.627.1
48.7%
54.0%54.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.911.2
34.0%
35.0%33.6
🏀 Free throws23.019.6
85.2%
76.8%19.6
They take 88.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 102.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.023.4
52.0%
54.0%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.513.1
33.2%
35.0%39.3
🏀 Free throws23.416.4
70.1%
76.8%16.4
They take 84.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
LWWWWLLWWW
Orlando Magic
WWLLLLWLWL
#7
League position
#20
-0.6
Net rating
-10.4
103.1
Offensive rating
103.2
103.7
Defensive rating
113.5
49.6%
Effective FG%
50.9%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
13.1%
Turnover %
16.2%
24.0%
Off. rebound %
25.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.0%
3-point %
33.2%
61.4%
Assist %
67.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.1 · 103.2Defence103.7 · 113.5Shooting49.6% · 50.9%3-point %34.0% · 33.2%Ball care13.1% · 16.2%Off. rebounds24.0% · 25.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Orlando Magic
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26APortland Trail Blazers103-123
08/11/26HWashington Wizards114-75
07/11/26AMemphis Grizzlies128-97
05/11/26HCleveland Cavaliers124-116
03/11/26ACleveland Cavaliers117-112
01/11/26AHouston Rockets98-119
29/10/26ADallas Mavericks96-120
27/10/26HPhoenix Suns125-114
25/10/26HLos Angeles Clippers108-101
23/10/26HDenver Nuggets96-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AUtah Jazz123-108
11/11/26ASacramento Kings107-100
08/11/26AGolden State Warriors119-126 OT
06/11/26APhoenix Suns104-117
03/11/26HWashington Wizards94-103
01/11/26HBoston Celtics97-108
30/10/26AToronto Raptors121-114
28/10/26AToronto Raptors99-129
25/10/26ANew York Knicks111-102
23/10/26HMinnesota Timberwolves93-115

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL73%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %73%100%50%
Points / game111.4113.4109.7
Allowed / game105.998.0112.5
Point differential+5.5+15.4-2.8
Avg total217.3211.4222.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%60%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Orlando Magic
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW36%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayWLLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %36%0%57%
Points / game108.5102.2112.0
Allowed / game114.0114.5113.7
Point differential-5.5-12.2-1.7
Avg total222.5216.8225.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %9%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
2 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
3 San Antonio Spurs1210283%119.2108.0+11.2
4 Houston Rockets129375%115.4106.5+8.9
5 Philadelphia 76ers129375%110.2109.2+1.0
6 Minnesota Timberwolves118373%118.1107.0+11.1
7 Oklahoma City Thunder118373%111.4105.9+5.5
8 Detroit Pistons107370%112.7104.6+8.1
9 Portland Trail Blazers107370%119.7112.7+7.0
10 Golden State Warriors128467%119.3111.5+7.8
11 Memphis Grizzlies117464%117.9111.9+6.0
12 Dallas Mavericks117464%114.9110.3+4.6
13 Denver Nuggets106460%114.5113.3+1.2
14 Atlanta Hawks127558%118.2116.2+2.1
15 New York Knicks116555%110.3103.5+6.8
16 Cleveland Cavaliers126650%116.4114.3+2.1
17 Toronto Raptors115645%114.5111.9+2.5
18 Miami Heat115645%115.7120.0-4.3
19 Phoenix Suns104640%112.8118.1-5.3
20 Orlando Magic114736%108.5114.0-5.5
21 Charlotte Hornets114736%98.8110.4-11.5
22 Indiana Pacers124833%111.6114.0-2.4
23 Washington Wizards124833%107.5113.4-5.9
24 New Orleans Pelicans124833%116.9124.2-7.3
25 Brooklyn Nets113827%110.2115.3-5.1
26 Los Angeles Clippers102820%112.2118.1-5.9
27 Chicago Bulls101910%113.3128.8-15.5
28 Sacramento Kings111109%108.3121.0-12.7
29 Utah Jazz121118%106.6118.1-11.5
30 Milwaukee Bucks121118%106.8121.3-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.