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Orlando Magic vs Oklahoma City Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 17 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 108-113
22-26 28-25 29-34 29-28
Position#13
Record37-28
FormWWWWL
Points / game115.5
Allowed / game114.0
vs
Position#1
Record52-14
FormWWWWW
Points / game118.4
Allowed / game107.9
USANBA· Kia Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Orlando Magic v Oklahoma City Thunder
10 Jan 2027
ORL v OKC
upcoming
17 Mar 2026
ORL108
OKC113
19 Dec 2024
ORL99
OKC105
13 Feb 2024
ORL113
OKC127
04 Jan 2023
ORL126
OKC115
20 Mar 2022
ORL90
OKC85
02 Jan 2021
ORL99
OKC108
22 Jan 2020
ORL114
OKC120
29 Jan 2019
ORL117
OKC126
29 Nov 2017
ORL121
OKC108
29 Mar 2017
ORL106
OKC114
30 Oct 2015
ORL136
OKC139
18 Jan 2015
ORL99
OKC127
07 Feb 2014
ORL103
OKC102
22 Mar 2013
ORL89
OKC97
01 Mar 2012
ORL102
OKC105
25 Feb 2011
ORL111
OKC88
18 Nov 2009
ORL108
OKC94
05 Dec 2008
ORL98
OKC89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Orlando Magic winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMagic
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#8
L
108-113
108
113
-5
97avg 105
H27/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
92-106
92
106
-14
82avg 105
H01/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
126-109
126
109
+17
130avg 105
H04/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
115-114
115
114
+1
109avg 105
H06/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
119-92
119
92
+27
119avg 105
A07/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
130-91
130
91
+39
135avg 105
A09/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
128-122
128
122
+6
124avg 105
H11/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
136-131 OT
136
131
+5
129avg 105
H12/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
121-117
121
117
+4
118avg 105
A15/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
112-124
112
124
-12
94avg 105
A16/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-22
24-21
27-38
28-32
26-23
31-27
18-31
17-25
27-24
30-30
40-27
29-28
26-33
34-29
31-26
24-26
27-30
33-20
30-28
29-14
25-15
42-40
33-15
30-21
38-35
24-27
34-27
32-33
36-26
27-30
33-25
27-42
41-27
30-28
27-28
23-34
21-34
29-33
33-37
29-20
230.6Avg total
118.7Scored
111.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (65)115.5114.0229.6+1.557%
Season at home (32)116.0113.8229.7+2.266%
Season away (33)115.1114.3229.4+0.848%
Last 10 (10)118.7111.9230.6+6.870%
Last 5 (5)125.4117.0242.4+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)98.8114.8213.5-16.00%
vs Similar (13)112.7114.6227.3-1.954%
vs Weaker (13)120.1109.8229.8+10.385%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
116-107
116
107
+9
109avg 108
A25/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
116-124
116
124
-8
102avg 108
A26/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
127-121 OT
127
121
+6
123avg 108
H28/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
100-87
100
87
+13
88avg 108
A02/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
116-108
116
108
+8
104avg 108
A04/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
103-100
103
100
+3
97avg 108
A05/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
104-97
104
97
+7
100avg 108
H08/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
129-126
129
126
+3
118avg 108
H09/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
104-102
104
102
+2
94avg 108
H13/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
116-103
116
103
+13
103avg 108
H15/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-32
35-19
38-29
18-27
34-22
18-36
28-36
36-30
19-33
31-26
27-24
30-24
36-25
22-24
25-20
17-18
26-22
29-32
32-22
29-32
25-23
25-17
27-40
26-20
34-28
33-26
19-29
18-14
37-40
29-20
30-33
33-33
27-28
29-31
24-24
24-19
23-22
24-31
33-23
36-27
220.6Avg total
113.1Scored
107.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (66)118.4107.9226.3+10.479%
Season at home (34)117.7107.3225.0+10.582%
Season away (32)119.1108.7227.7+10.475%
Last 10 (10)113.1107.5220.6+5.690%
Last 5 (5)111.2105.6216.8+5.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)109.6108.0217.6+1.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)115.9107.1223.0+8.876%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +2.3+2.3
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +2.3+2.3
Orlando MagicOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#8
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H27/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H01/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H04/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
60-62
60
62
-2
H06/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
60-50
60
50
+10
A07/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
67-55
67
55
+12
A09/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
D
62-62
62
62
+0
H11/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
63-56
63
56
+7
H12/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
71-55
71
55
+16
A15/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
50-67
50
67
-17
A16/03
NBA
115.4Avg total
60.0Scored
55.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.556.6112.0-1.147%-
Last 30 at home (16)54.655.7110.2-1.138%-
Last 30 away (14)56.557.6114.1-1.157%-
Last 10 (10)60.055.4115.4+4.670%-
Last 5 (5)62.659.0121.6+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)53.055.2108.2-2.275%-
vs Similar (13)54.857.1111.8-2.338%-
vs Weaker (13)56.956.5113.4+0.546%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
60-51
60
51
+9
A25/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
52-58
52
58
-6
A26/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
50-59
50
59
-9
H28/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A02/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A04/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A05/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
67-54
67
54
+13
H08/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
66-60
66
60
+6
H09/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
56-59
56
59
-3
H13/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
47-53
47
53
-6
H15/03
NBA
109.8Avg total
56.1Scored
53.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.454.1111.6+3.363%-
Last 30 at home (15)55.753.1108.7+2.653%-
Last 30 away (15)59.255.2114.4+4.073%-
Last 10 (10)56.153.7109.8+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)57.253.2110.4+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)54.256.4110.6-2.240%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)58.153.7111.8+4.468%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 118.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws23.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.029.5
55.7%
54.8%59.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.812.2
35.1%
35.8%36.6
🏀 Free throws28.923.1
79.9%
78.1%23.1
They take 87.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 113.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.026.9
54.9%
54.8%53.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.014.0
33.3%
35.8%42.0
🏀 Free throws20.517.3
84.4%
78.1%17.3
They take 91.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Orlando Magic
LWWWWWWWLL
Oklahoma City Thunder
WWWWWWWWLW
#13
League position
#1
+6.6
Net rating
+5.5
115.1
Offensive rating
111.1
108.5
Defensive rating
105.6
54.4%
Effective FG%
52.6%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
12.4%
Turnover %
10.7%
26.3%
Off. rebound %
19.8%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.23
35.1%
3-point %
33.3%
65.5%
Assist %
61.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence115.1 · 111.1Defence108.5 · 105.6Shooting54.4% · 52.6%3-point %35.1% · 33.3%Ball care12.4% · 10.7%Off. rebounds26.3% · 19.8%Free throws0.33 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Orlando Magic   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/26AAtlanta Hawks112-124
15/03/26AMiami Heat121-117
12/03/26HWashington Wizards136-131 OT
11/03/26HCleveland Cavaliers128-122
09/03/26AMilwaukee Bucks130-91
07/03/26AMinnesota Timberwolves119-92
06/03/26HDallas Mavericks115-114
04/03/26HWashington Wizards126-109
01/03/26HDetroit Pistons92-106
27/02/26HHouston Rockets108-113
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/26HMinnesota Timberwolves116-103
13/03/26HBoston Celtics104-102
09/03/26HDenver Nuggets129-126
08/03/26HGolden State Warriors104-97
05/03/26ANew York Knicks103-100
04/03/26AChicago Bulls116-108
02/03/26ADallas Mavericks100-87
28/02/26HDenver Nuggets127-121 OT
26/02/26ADetroit Pistons116-124
25/02/26AToronto Raptors116-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Orlando Magic
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL57%
HomeLWWWW66%
AwayWWWWL48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games653233
Win %57%66%48%
Points / game115.5116.0115.1
Allowed / game114.0113.8114.3
Point differential+1.5+2.2+0.8
Avg total229.6229.7229.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%25%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (23)67% (12)73% (11)
Overtime %8%3%12%
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW79%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayWLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games663432
Win %79%82%75%
Points / game118.4117.7119.1
Allowed / game107.9107.3108.7
Point differential+10.4+10.5+10.4
Avg total226.3225.0227.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)71% (7)33% (6)
Overtime %6%9%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder66521479%118.4107.9+10.4
2 San Antonio Spurs66481873%118.8111.8+7.0
3 Detroit Pistons67481972%117.2109.8+7.5
4 Boston Celtics68452366%114.3107.1+7.2
5 Los Angeles Lakers67432464%116.2114.7+1.5
6 New York Knicks67422563%116.6110.6+6.0
7 Houston Rockets67412661%113.8109.8+4.0
8 Cleveland Cavaliers68412760%119.1114.9+4.2
9 Denver Nuggets68412760%120.7116.7+4.0
10 Minnesota Timberwolves68412760%118.5115.2+3.3
11 Phoenix Suns67392858%112.9110.9+2.0
12 Toronto Raptors66382858%113.8111.8+2.0
13 Orlando Magic65372857%115.5114.0+1.5
14 Miami Heat67382957%120.6116.6+4.0
15 Atlanta Hawks68373154%117.8116.6+1.3
16 Philadelphia 76ers68373154%115.6116.0-0.4
17 Charlotte Hornets68343450%115.5112.3+3.2
18 Los Angeles Clippers68343450%113.5112.7+0.8
19 Golden State Warriors68333549%115.2114.4+0.9
20 Portland Trail Blazers69333648%115.1117.2-2.2
21 Milwaukee Bucks67283942%111.2116.1-4.9
22 Chicago Bulls68284041%116.0120.0-4.0
23 Memphis Grizzlies67234434%115.6118.6-3.0
24 New Orleans Pelicans69234633%115.6119.7-4.1
25 Dallas Mavericks69234633%113.2118.2-5.1
26 Utah Jazz68204829%117.3124.9-7.6
27 Sacramento Kings69185126%110.8120.6-9.7
28 Brooklyn Nets68175125%106.6115.6-9.0
29 Washington Wizards67165124%112.7123.7-11.0
30 Indiana Pacers68155322%111.2119.9-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Orlando Magic22282929108
Oklahoma City Thunder26253428113
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