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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Toronto Raptors Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 26 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 101-103
30-25 20-29 31-25 20-24
Position#1
Record36-8
FormWLWWL
Points / game121.2
Allowed / game108.4
vs
Position#11
Record28-18
FormLLWWW
Points / game114.5
Allowed / game112.1
USANBA· Paycom Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Toronto Raptors
13 Dec 2026
OKC v TOR
upcoming
25 Jan 2026
OKC101
TOR103
07 Feb 2025
OKC121
TOR109
04 Feb 2024
OKC135
TOR127
11 Nov 2022
OKC132
TOR113
09 Feb 2022
OKC98
TOR117
31 Mar 2021
OKC113
TOR103
15 Jan 2020
OKC121
TOR130
20 Mar 2019
OKC114
TOR123
27 Dec 2017
OKC124
TOR107
09 Nov 2016
OKC102
TOR112
04 Nov 2015
OKC98
TOR103
08 Mar 2015
OKC108
TOR104
22 Dec 2013
OKC98
TOR104
06 Nov 2012
OKC108
TOR88
08 Apr 2012
OKC91
TOR75
20 Mar 2011
OKC93
TOR95
28 Feb 2010
OKC119
TOR99
19 Dec 2008
OKC91
TOR83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toronto Raptors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
97-124
97
124
-27
71avg 111
H06/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
129-125 OT
129
125
+4
116avg 111
H08/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
117-116
117
116
+1
103avg 111
A10/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
124-112
124
112
+12
114avg 111
H12/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
119-98
119
98
+21
118avg 111
H14/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
111-91
111
91
+20
104avg 111
A16/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
120-122
120
122
-2
120avg 111
A18/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
136-104
136
104
+32
132avg 111
A19/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
122-102
122
102
+20
114avg 111
A22/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
114-117
114
117
-3
104avg 111
H24/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-33
17-34
21-32
26-25
31-22
27-31
33-33
23-28
25-35
21-30
35-29
36-22
32-34
22-25
39-26
31-27
32-26
23-26
40-24
24-22
21-19
34-29
22-27
34-16
37-30
28-30
30-35
25-27
32-27
34-24
25-28
45-25
38-18
31-33
30-26
23-25
28-39
25-19
32-31
29-28
230.0Avg total
118.9Scored
111.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)121.2108.4229.5+12.882%
Season at home (22)121.1108.5229.6+12.686%
Season away (22)121.2108.3229.5+12.977%
Last 10 (10)118.9111.1230.0+7.870%
Last 5 (5)120.6107.2227.8+13.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)110.3115.0225.3-4.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)122.1108.8230.9+13.481%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
97-96
97
96
+1
79avg 106
A08/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
117-125
117
125
-8
113avg 106
A10/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
116-115 OT
116
115
+1
101avg 106
H11/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
102-115
102
115
-13
90avg 106
H13/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
115-101
115
101
+14
112avg 106
A15/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
117-121 OT
117
121
-4
110avg 106
H17/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
93-110
93
110
-17
85avg 106
A19/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
145-127
145
127
+18
153avg 106
A21/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
122-109
122
109
+13
117avg 106
A22/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
110-98
110
98
+12
109avg 106
A24/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
20-28
21-22
31-24
30-37
30-31
26-29
31-28
22-25
36-23
18-36
31-23
28-45
23-35
26-19
25-16
39-18
28-30
27-30
21-23
32-24
29-28
28-26
20-31
30-23
24-32
26-32
13-23
41-28
29-22
38-44
37-33
26-30
26-31
43-21
27-27
19-12
31-31
26-31
34-24
225.1Avg total
113.4Scored
111.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)114.5112.1226.6+2.561%
Season at home (22)115.1112.6227.7+2.559%
Season away (24)114.0111.5225.6+2.562%
Last 10 (10)113.4111.7225.1+1.760%
Last 5 (5)117.4113.0230.4+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)105.0118.5223.5-13.50%
vs Similar (19)113.1110.2223.3+2.963%
vs Weaker (7)108.9107.6216.4+1.371%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: +1.8+1.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: +1.8+1.8
Oklahoma City ThunderToronto Raptors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
50-67
50
67
-17
H06/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H08/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
46-65
46
65
-19
A10/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
54-59
54
59
-5
H12/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H14/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A16/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
65-60
65
60
+5
A18/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
66-51
66
51
+15
A19/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
69-51
69
51
+18
A22/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
53-58
53
58
-5
H24/01
NBA
113.5Avg total
57.1Scored
56.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.454.4114.8+6.073%-
Last 30 at home (16)60.155.8115.9+4.269%-
Last 30 away (14)60.952.8113.6+8.179%-
Last 10 (10)57.156.4113.5+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)61.653.6115.2+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)58.359.7118.0-1.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)60.753.8114.5+6.974%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A08/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
60-68
60
68
-8
A10/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
58-48
58
48
+10
H11/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
51-80
51
80
-29
H13/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
67-48
67
48
+19
A15/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
61-52
61
52
+9
H17/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
54-55
54
55
-1
A19/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
70-50
70
50
+20
A21/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
52-61
52
61
-9
A22/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A24/01
NBA
112.3Avg total
56.8Scored
55.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.457.1113.5-0.853%-
Last 30 at home (16)58.059.8117.8-1.862%-
Last 30 away (14)54.554.1108.6+0.443%-
Last 10 (10)56.855.5112.3+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)57.452.2109.6+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)55.563.2118.8-7.825%-
vs Similar (19)56.756.3113.0+0.458%-
vs Weaker (7)56.055.9111.9+0.157%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 118.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.031.1
58.7%
54.8%62.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.712.1
33.9%
35.8%36.3
🏀 Free throws26.020.4
78.5%
78.1%20.4
They take 88.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 113.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.231.7
55.4%
54.8%63.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.910.7
31.6%
35.8%32.1
🏀 Free throws22.417.9
79.9%
78.1%17.9
They take 91.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
LWWLWWWWWL
Toronto Raptors
WWWLLWLWLW
#1
League position
#11
+7.6
Net rating
+1.7
115.9
Offensive rating
113.5
108.3
Defensive rating
111.8
55.5%
Effective FG%
52.4%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
9.9%
Turnover %
11.4%
18.8%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.25
33.9%
3-point %
31.6%
55.3%
Assist %
71.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence115.9 · 113.5Defence108.3 · 111.8Shooting55.5% · 52.4%3-point %33.9% · 31.6%Ball care9.9% · 11.4%Off. rebounds18.8% · 28.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Toronto Raptors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26HIndiana Pacers114-117
22/01/26AMilwaukee Bucks122-102
19/01/26ACleveland Cavaliers136-104
18/01/26AMiami Heat120-122
16/01/26AHouston Rockets111-91
14/01/26HSan Antonio Spurs119-98
12/01/26HMiami Heat124-112
10/01/26AMemphis Grizzlies117-116
08/01/26HUtah Jazz129-125 OT
06/01/26HCharlotte Hornets97-124
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26APortland Trail Blazers110-98
22/01/26ASacramento Kings122-109
21/01/26AGolden State Warriors145-127
19/01/26ALos Angeles Lakers93-110
17/01/26HLos Angeles Clippers117-121 OT
15/01/26AIndiana Pacers115-101
13/01/26HPhiladelphia 76ers102-115
11/01/26HPhiladelphia 76ers116-115 OT
10/01/26ABoston Celtics117-125
08/01/26ACharlotte Hornets97-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL82%
HomeLWWWL86%
AwayWWLWW77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442222
Win %82%86%77%
Points / game121.2121.1121.2
Allowed / game108.4108.5108.3
Point differential+12.8+12.6+12.9
Avg total229.5229.6229.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%64%59%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)75% (4)20% (5)
Overtime %7%9%5%
Toronto Raptors
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW61%
HomeWWWLL59%
AwayWLWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462224
Win %61%59%62%
Points / game114.5115.1114.0
Allowed / game112.1112.6111.5
Point differential+2.5+2.5+2.5
Avg total226.6227.7225.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%36%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)62% (8)100% (1)
Overtime %9%14%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder4436882%121.2108.4+12.8
2 Detroit Pistons44331175%117.4110.1+7.3
3 San Antonio Spurs43291467%117.7112.5+5.2
4 Denver Nuggets46311567%120.7116.2+4.5
5 Houston Rockets43271663%116.9110.8+6.1
6 Los Angeles Lakers43271663%115.9115.9+0.1
7 Boston Celtics45281762%116.9110.3+6.6
8 Phoenix Suns44271761%115.0111.2+3.8
9 Toronto Raptors46281861%114.5112.1+2.5
10 Minnesota Timberwolves46271959%119.2115.0+4.2
11 New York Knicks43251858%117.5113.8+3.7
12 Cleveland Cavaliers47272057%119.1116.9+2.3
13 Golden State Warriors47262155%116.7113.5+3.2
14 Philadelphia 76ers44242055%116.6115.5+1.2
15 Miami Heat45242153%120.2118.4+1.8
16 Orlando Magic42222052%115.3115.2+0.0
17 Chicago Bulls45232251%117.9119.7-1.8
18 Portland Trail Blazers46232350%116.1117.8-1.7
19 Atlanta Hawks47222547%117.4118.7-1.3
20 Los Angeles Clippers44202445%112.3113.5-1.2
21 Memphis Grizzlies43182542%115.5116.6-1.1
22 Dallas Mavericks46192741%114.3116.5-2.3
23 Milwaukee Bucks44182641%111.9115.5-3.6
24 Charlotte Hornets46182839%116.0115.5+0.5
25 Utah Jazz46153133%119.0127.8-8.8
26 Brooklyn Nets43123128%108.3114.8-6.5
27 Sacramento Kings47123526%111.0121.2-10.2
28 Indiana Pacers46113524%110.1118.2-8.1
29 New Orleans Pelicans47113623%115.1122.1-7.0
30 Washington Wizards44103423%112.2123.1-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oklahoma City Thunder30203120101
Toronto Raptors25292524103
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