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Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 91-111
19-21 29-34 27-22 16-34
Position#8
Record23-14
FormWLLLW
Points / game117.9
Allowed / game110.8
vs
Position#1
Record33-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game121.2
Allowed / game108.5
USANBA· Toyota Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Oklahoma City Thunder
27 Dec 2026
HOU v OKC
upcoming
31 Oct 2026
HOU119
OKC98
15 Jan 2026
HOU91
OKC111
04 Apr 2025
HOU125
OKC111
01 Dec 2024
HOU119
OKC116
25 Feb 2024
HOU110
OKC123
06 Dec 2023
HOU110
OKC101
01 Feb 2023
HOU112
OKC106
26 Nov 2022
HOU118
OKC105
29 Nov 2021
HOU102
OKC89
22 Oct 2021
HOU124
OKC91
21 Mar 2021
HOU112
OKC114
02 Sep 2020
HOU104
OKC102
29 Aug 2020
HOU114
OKC80
20 Aug 2020
HOU111
OKC98
18 Aug 2020
HOU123
OKC108
20 Jan 2020
HOU107
OKC112
28 Oct 2019
HOU116
OKC112
09 Feb 2019
HOU112
OKC117
25 Dec 2018
HOU113
OKC109
07 Apr 2018
HOU102
OKC108
25 Apr 2017
HOU105
OKC99
19 Apr 2017
HOU115
OKC111
16 Apr 2017
HOU118
OKC87
26 Mar 2017
HOU137
OKC125
05 Jan 2017
HOU118
OKC116
03 Apr 2016
HOU118
OKC110
02 Nov 2015
HOU110
OKC105
15 Jan 2015
HOU112
OKC101
04 Apr 2014
HOU111
OKC107
16 Jan 2014
HOU92
OKC104
03 May 2013
HOU94
OKC103
29 Apr 2013
HOU105
OKC103
27 Apr 2013
HOU101
OKC104
20 Feb 2013
HOU122
OKC119
29 Dec 2012
HOU94
OKC124
15 Feb 2012
HOU96
OKC95
07 Jan 2012
HOU95
OKC98
12 Jan 2011
HOU112
OKC118
28 Nov 2010
HOU99
OKC98
19 Dec 2009
HOU95
OKC90
06 Nov 2009
HOU105
OKC94
01 Nov 2008
HOU89
OKC77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
119-96
119
96
+23
114avg 108
A26/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
117-100
117
100
+17
115avg 108
H28/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
126-119
126
119
+7
125avg 108
H30/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
120-96
120
96
+24
122avg 108
A01/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
104-110
104
110
-6
87avg 108
A04/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
100-97
100
97
+3
91avg 108
H06/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
102-103
102
103
-1
86avg 108
A08/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
105-111
105
111
-6
93avg 108
A10/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
98-111
98
111
-13
88avg 108
A12/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
119-113
119
113
+6
114avg 108
H14/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-25
26-28
29-21
27-22
32-24
28-22
30-17
27-37
30-25
36-23
39-30
21-41
26-20
27-22
37-25
30-29
31-25
19-32
25-30
29-23
25-29
29-31
24-18
22-19
22-25
25-32
28-24
27-22
29-28
27-27
32-22
17-34
23-22
25-29
28-27
22-33
29-24
28-36
33-28
29-25
216.6Avg total
111.0Scored
105.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)117.9110.8228.8+7.162%
Season at home (14)119.6108.1227.7+11.486%
Season away (23)117.0112.4229.4+4.548%
Last 10 (10)111.0105.6216.6+5.460%
Last 5 (5)104.8107.0211.8-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (12)113.6107.5221.1+6.167%
vs Weaker (18)118.2112.7230.9+5.656%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
129-104
129
104
+25
122avg 111
H28/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
140-129
140
129
+11
136avg 111
H30/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
124-95
124
95
+29
117avg 111
H01/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
131-94
131
94
+37
135avg 111
A03/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
105-108
105
108
-3
91avg 111
A05/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
97-124
97
124
-27
71avg 111
H06/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
129-125 OT
129
125
+4
116avg 111
H08/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
117-116
117
116
+1
103avg 111
A10/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
124-112
124
112
+12
114avg 111
H12/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
119-98
119
98
+21
118avg 111
H14/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-29
32-33
38-24
27-18
35-38
35-36
43-29
27-26
38-30
35-25
26-21
25-19
34-23
30-22
31-21
36-28
26-20
23-22
24-32
32-34
33-33
17-34
21-32
26-25
31-22
27-31
33-33
23-28
25-35
21-30
35-29
36-22
32-34
22-25
39-26
31-27
32-26
23-26
40-24
24-22
232.0Avg total
121.5Scored
110.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)121.2108.5229.8+12.785%
Season at home (21)121.5108.1229.6+13.490%
Season away (18)120.9109.1230.0+11.978%
Last 10 (10)121.5110.5232.0+11.080%
Last 5 (5)117.2115.0232.2+2.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)110.3115.0225.3-4.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)122.1107.1229.2+15.089%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +6.3+6.3Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +3.8+3.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +6.3+6.3Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +3.8+3.8
Houston RocketsOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
63-53
63
53
+10
A26/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
60-46
60
46
+14
H28/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
66-48
66
48
+18
H30/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A01/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A04/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
54-60
54
60
-6
H06/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
47-57
47
57
-10
A08/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
56-55
56
55
+1
A10/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A12/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H14/01
NBA
108.3Avg total
55.4Scored
52.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.053.7110.7+3.350%-
Last 30 at home (11)59.353.9113.2+5.455%-
Last 30 away (19)55.753.5109.2+2.247%-
Last 10 (10)55.452.9108.3+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)52.456.6109.0-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (12)56.152.0108.1+4.158%-
vs Weaker (18)57.654.8112.4+2.844%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
64-62
64
62
+2
H28/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
70-74
70
74
-4
H30/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
73-55
73
55
+18
H01/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
64-45
64
45
+19
A03/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A05/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
50-67
50
67
-17
H06/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H08/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
46-65
46
65
-19
A10/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
54-59
54
59
-5
H12/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H14/01
NBA
115.7Avg total
58.3Scored
57.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.553.9114.3+6.673%-
Last 30 at home (17)61.253.9115.2+7.376%-
Last 30 away (13)59.553.8113.2+5.769%-
Last 10 (10)58.357.4115.7+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)52.659.2111.8-6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)58.359.7118.0-1.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)60.753.2113.9+7.574%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 111.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.4 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.632.7
56.8%
54.8%65.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.79.7
29.7%
35.8%29.1
🏀 Free throws22.916.5
72.1%
78.1%16.5
They take 90.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 121.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.133.2
60.3%
54.8%66.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.711.2
31.4%
35.8%33.6
🏀 Free throws26.421.5
81.4%
78.1%21.5
They take 90.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Houston Rockets
WLLLWLWWWW
Oklahoma City Thunder
WWWWLLWWWW
#8
League position
#1
+5.6
Net rating
+10.6
115.3
Offensive rating
116.8
109.7
Defensive rating
106.2
52.3%
Effective FG%
55.1%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
13.5%
Turnover %
10.5%
38.6%
Off. rebound %
20.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.29
29.7%
3-point %
31.4%
54.7%
Assist %
57.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence115.3 · 116.8Defence109.7 · 106.2Shooting52.3% · 55.1%3-point %29.7% · 31.4%Ball care13.5% · 10.5%Off. rebounds38.6% · 20.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Houston Rockets   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/26HChicago Bulls119-113
12/01/26ASacramento Kings98-111
10/01/26APortland Trail Blazers105-111
08/01/26APortland Trail Blazers102-103
06/01/26HPhoenix Suns100-97
04/01/26ADallas Mavericks104-110
01/01/26ABrooklyn Nets120-96
30/12/25HIndiana Pacers126-119
28/12/25HCleveland Cavaliers117-100
26/12/25ALos Angeles Lakers119-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/26HSan Antonio Spurs119-98
12/01/26HMiami Heat124-112
10/01/26AMemphis Grizzlies117-116
08/01/26HUtah Jazz129-125 OT
06/01/26HCharlotte Hornets97-124
05/01/26APhoenix Suns105-108
03/01/26AGolden State Warriors131-94
01/01/26HPortland Trail Blazers124-95
30/12/25HAtlanta Hawks140-129
28/12/25HPhiladelphia 76ers129-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW62%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWLLLL48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371423
Win %62%86%48%
Points / game117.9119.6117.0
Allowed / game110.8108.1112.4
Point differential+7.1+11.4+4.5
Avg total228.8227.7229.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%43%39%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)60% (5)17% (6)
Overtime %14%7%17%
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW85%
HomeWLWWW90%
AwayLLWLW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games392118
Win %85%90%78%
Points / game121.2121.5120.9
Allowed / game108.5108.1109.1
Point differential+12.7+13.4+11.9
Avg total229.8229.6230.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%67%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)100% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %8%10%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder3933685%121.2108.5+12.7
2 Detroit Pistons39291074%117.6111.1+6.5
3 Denver Nuggets41281368%122.6117.2+5.3
4 Minnesota Timberwolves41271466%120.3114.6+5.8
5 San Antonio Spurs38251366%117.4112.7+4.7
6 Los Angeles Lakers37241365%116.4116.0+0.4
7 Houston Rockets37231462%117.9110.8+7.1
8 Boston Celtics39241562%116.6110.1+6.5
9 Toronto Raptors41251661%114.2112.0+2.2
10 New York Knicks38231561%118.7115.1+3.6
11 Phoenix Suns40241660%115.2111.4+3.8
12 Orlando Magic39221756%116.2114.6+1.5
13 Philadelphia 76ers39221756%116.8115.6+1.2
14 Cleveland Cavaliers42231955%120.1117.5+2.6
15 Miami Heat39211854%119.8117.8+2.0
16 Golden State Warriors41221954%115.5113.2+2.3
17 Atlanta Hawks42202248%118.3118.9-0.6
18 Chicago Bulls40192148%117.5120.9-3.5
19 Portland Trail Blazers41192246%115.8118.9-3.0
20 Los Angeles Clippers40172342%112.2113.3-1.0
21 Memphis Grizzlies40172342%114.8116.2-1.4
22 Milwaukee Bucks40172342%112.7115.7-3.0
23 Dallas Mavericks41152637%112.9116.9-4.0
24 Charlotte Hornets40142635%116.1116.7-0.5
25 Utah Jazz40142635%119.3127.0-7.7
26 Brooklyn Nets38112729%108.8113.9-5.1
27 Sacramento Kings41113027%110.2120.7-10.5
28 Washington Wizards39102926%112.6123.9-11.3
29 New Orleans Pelicans43103323%114.9122.2-7.3
30 Indiana Pacers4193222%110.6118.3-7.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Houston Rockets1929271691
Oklahoma City Thunder21342234111
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