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Old Dominion vs Arkansas State Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 24 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 00:00
Scheduled
Position#56
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game58.4
vs
Position#229
Record2-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game79.5
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Old Dominion v Arkansas State
23 Jan 2027
OLD v ARKA
upcoming
02 Jan 2025
OLD 59
ARKA78
29 Dec 2022
OLD 57
ARKA60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Old Dominion win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Old DominionUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Miss
#174
L
81-86
81
86
-5
A21/02
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
88-97
88
97
-9
A25/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
81-73
81
73
+8
A28/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
87-80
87
80
+7
H04/03
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
L
84-88
84
88
-4
A05/03
NCAA
Western Michigan
#104
W
61-49
61
49
+12
H03/11
NCAA
Regent University
#428
W
91-47
91
47
+44
H05/11
NCAA
Bucknell
#400
W
82-62
82
62
+20
A07/11
NCAA
Norfolk State
#271
W
71-60
71
60
+11
A12/11
NCAA
Longwood
#170
W
80-74
80
74
+6
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
47-40
34-46
42-49
46-48
36-42
45-31
46-35
41-45
37-39
47-49
30-24
31-25
55-19
36-28
26-25
56-37
36-24
35-36
34-41
46-33
152.2Avg total
80.6Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.058.4135.4+18.6100%
Season at home (3)77.356.7134.0+20.7100%
Season away (2)76.561.0137.5+15.5100%
Last 10 (10)80.671.6152.2+9.070%
Last 5 (5)77.058.4135.4+18.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)74.481.4155.8-7.020%
vs Similar (13)77.273.6150.8+3.554%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)78.768.4147.1+10.371%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#120
L
88-92 OT
88
92
-4
H14/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
79-62
79
62
+17
A20/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
102-94
102
94
+8
A21/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
89-84
89
84
+5
H25/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
81-58
81
58
+23
H28/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
L
77-80
77
80
-3
H06/03
NCAA
Toledo
#266
W
71-70
71
70
+1
H03/11
NCAA
Alabama
#45
L
86-101
86
101
-15
A07/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#200
L
65-82
65
82
-17
H11/11
NCAA
Dillard
#430
W
99-65
99
65
+34
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
41-32
42-51
36-33
43-29
56-49
46-45
53-44
36-40
37-22
44-36
34-42
43-38
36-35
35-35
34-51
52-50
34-54
31-28
48-33
51-32
162.5Avg total
83.7Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.279.5159.8+0.850%
Season at home (3)78.372.3150.7+6.067%
Season away (1)86.0101.0187.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)83.778.8162.5+4.960%
Last 5 (5)79.679.6159.2+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)78.787.7166.3-9.033%
vs Similar (10)81.675.8157.4+5.860%
vs Weaker (15)82.875.2158.0+7.667%
This opponent (Old Dominion) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +5.1+5.11st half: +1.4+1.42nd half2nd half: +3.9+3.92nd half: +3.9+3.9
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +5.1+5.11st half: +1.4+1.42nd half2nd half: +3.9+3.92nd half: +3.9+3.9
Old DominionArkansas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Old DominionLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Miss
#174
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A21/02
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A25/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A28/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H04/03
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A05/03
NCAA
Western Michigan
#104
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H03/11
NCAA
Regent University
#428
W
55-19
55
19
+36
H05/11
NCAA
Bucknell
#400
W
26-25
26
25
+1
A07/11
NCAA
Norfolk State
#271
W
36-24
36
24
+12
A12/11
NCAA
Longwood
#170
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H14/11
NCAA
72.7Avg total
38.9Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.333.869.1+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.432.667.9+2.857%-
Last 30 away (16)35.234.970.1+0.356%-
Last 10 (10)38.933.872.7+5.160%-
Last 5 (5)36.226.662.8+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.435.970.3-1.540%-
vs Similar (13)36.433.870.2+2.562%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)34.430.765.1+3.771%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#120
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H14/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A20/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
56-49
56
49
+7
A21/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H25/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
37-22
37
22
+15
H28/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H06/03
NCAA
Toledo
#266
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H03/11
NCAA
Alabama
#45
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A07/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#200
L
34-54
34
54
-20
H11/11
NCAA
Dillard
#430
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H15/11
NCAA
80.4Avg total
40.9Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.735.375.1+4.470%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.734.174.7+6.672%-
Last 30 away (12)38.337.275.6+1.167%-
Last 10 (10)40.939.580.4+1.470%-
Last 5 (5)37.243.080.2-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)35.746.782.3-11.033%-
vs Similar (10)39.631.771.3+7.980%-
vs Weaker (15)39.336.375.7+3.067%-
This opponent (Old Dominion) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Old Dominion wins
3
Arkansas State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HLongwood80-74
12/11/26ANorfolk State71-60
07/11/26ABucknell82-62
05/11/26HRegent University91-47
03/11/26HWestern Michigan61-49
05/03/26AGeorgia Southern84-88
04/03/26HLouisiana Monroe87-80
28/02/26AGeorgia State81-73
25/02/26AMarshall88-97
21/02/26ASouthern Miss81-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HDillard99-65
11/11/26HUT Martin65-82
07/11/26AAlabama86-101
03/11/26HToledo71-70
06/03/26HGeorgia Southern77-80
28/02/26HLouisiana Lafayette81-58
25/02/26HSouthern Miss89-84
21/02/26ALouisiana Monroe102-94
20/02/26ALouisiana Lafayette79-62
14/02/26HSouth Alabama88-92 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Old Dominion
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game77.077.376.5
Allowed / game58.456.761.0
Point differential+18.6+20.7+15.5
Avg total135.4134.0137.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%67%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Arkansas State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game80.278.386.0
Allowed / game79.572.3101.0
Point differential+0.8+6.0-15.0
Avg total159.8150.7187.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas State440100%89.862.8+27.0
2 Old Dominion550100%77.058.4+18.6
3 Appalachian State42250%69.060.2+8.8
4 Southern Miss42250%72.070.8+1.2
5 Arkansas State42250%80.279.5+0.8
6 Coastal Carolina42250%72.573.5-1.0
7 Georgia State52340%84.272.4+11.8
8 South Alabama52340%74.676.0-1.4
9 Louisiana Lafayette31233%59.060.3-1.3
10 James Madison31233%76.078.7-2.7
11 Marshall41325%78.276.0+2.2
12 Georgia Southern41325%77.882.8-5.0
13 Troy41325%66.078.0-12.0
14 Louisiana Monroe61517%75.087.7-12.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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