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Old Dominion vs Arkansas State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 59-78
29-32 30-46
Position#261
Record5-8
FormWLLWW
Points / game69.9
Allowed / game75.0
vs
Position#54
Record10-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game71.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Old Dominion v Arkansas State
23 Jan 2027
OLD v ARKA
upcoming
02 Jan 2025
OLD 59
ARKA78
29 Dec 2022
OLD 57
ARKA60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Old Dominion winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Old DominionUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Md.-East. Shore
#355
W
73-71
73
71
+2
H16/11
NCAA
Randolph-Macon
#394
W
71-55
71
55
+16
H20/11
NCAA
Boston College
#298
L
52-82
52
82
-30
A25/11
NCAA
High Point
#13
L
67-73
67
73
-6
H25/11
NCAA
Duquesne
#279
L
54-67
54
67
-13
H26/11
NCAA
William & Mary
#178
W
88-83
88
83
+5
H03/12
NCAA
George Washington
#96
L
70-78
70
78
-8
H07/12
NCAA
Northeastern
#181
L
71-75
71
75
-4
H15/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
80-75 OT
80
75
+5
A21/12
NCAA
VA Wesleyan
#532
W
82-44
82
44
+38
H28/12
NCAA
1H
2H
41-38
32-33
34-27
37-28
24-43
28-39
34-34
33-39
19-26
35-41
38-36
50-47
35-34
35-44
26-31
45-44
32-29
36-39
32-20
50-24
141.1Avg total
70.8Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)69.975.0144.9-5.138%
Season at home (9)73.169.9143.0+3.244%
Season away (4)62.886.5149.2-23.825%
Last 10 (10)70.870.3141.1+0.550%
Last 5 (5)78.271.0149.2+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)67.279.7146.9-12.46%
vs Similar (10)73.174.3147.4-1.240%
vs Weaker (2)77.577.0154.5+0.550%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stephen F. Austin
#244
W
59-49
59
49
+10
H16/11
NCAA
Lane College
#570
W
103-60
103
60
+43
H23/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
86-81
86
81
+5
A29/11
NCAA
Rice
#281
L
67-75
67
75
-8
H01/12
NCAA
Hofstra
#237
L
66-68
66
68
-2
H01/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#221
W
66-64
66
64
+2
H06/12
NCAA
Memphis
#15
W
85-72
85
72
+13
A08/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
W
83-79
83
79
+4
H13/12
NCAA
UAB
#91
W
98-89 OT
98
89
+9
A15/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#326
W
97-67
97
67
+30
H21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
30-24
29-25
54-24
49-36
46-35
40-46
33-34
34-41
29-29
37-39
37-31
29-33
42-29
43-43
35-39
48-40
28-53
56-31
53-22
44-45
151.4Avg total
81.0Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)80.771.5152.2+9.277%
Season at home (9)77.966.7144.6+11.278%
Season away (4)87.082.5169.5+4.575%
Last 10 (10)81.070.4151.4+10.680%
Last 5 (5)85.874.2160.0+11.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.677.4153.0-1.957%
vs Similar (9)84.476.6161.0+7.978%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)77.269.3146.5+7.875%
This opponent (Old Dominion) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -0.3-0.31st half: +6.7+6.72nd half2nd half: +0.3+0.32nd half: +3.0+3.0
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -0.3-0.31st half: +6.7+6.72nd half2nd half: +0.3+0.32nd half: +3.0+3.0
Old DominionArkansas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Old DominionLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Md.-East. Shore
#355
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H16/11
NCAA
Randolph-Macon
#394
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H20/11
NCAA
Boston College
#298
L
24-43
24
43
-19
A25/11
NCAA
High Point
#13
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H25/11
NCAA
Duquesne
#279
L
19-26
19
26
-7
H26/11
NCAA
William & Mary
#178
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H03/12
NCAA
George Washington
#96
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H07/12
NCAA
Northeastern
#181
L
26-31
26
31
-5
H15/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A21/12
NCAA
VA Wesleyan
#532
W
32-20
32
20
+12
H28/12
NCAA
63.3Avg total
31.5Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.235.466.6-4.243%-
Last 30 at home (18)30.333.563.8-3.233%-
Last 30 away (12)32.438.270.7-5.858%-
Last 10 (10)31.531.863.3-0.360%-
Last 5 (5)32.630.062.6+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)30.536.667.1-6.138%-
vs Similar (10)30.234.865.0-4.640%-
vs Weaker (2)39.540.580.0-1.050%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stephen F. Austin
#244
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H16/11
NCAA
Lane College
#570
W
54-24
54
24
+30
H23/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A29/11
NCAA
Rice
#281
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H01/12
NCAA
Hofstra
#237
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H01/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#221
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H06/12
NCAA
Memphis
#15
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A08/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H13/12
NCAA
UAB
#91
L
28-53
28
53
-25
A15/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#326
W
53-22
53
22
+31
H21/12
NCAA
70.7Avg total
38.7Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.033.772.7+5.363%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.232.672.7+7.667%-
Last 30 away (12)37.235.572.8+1.858%-
Last 10 (10)38.732.070.7+6.760%-
Last 5 (5)39.034.873.8+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.136.771.9-1.643%-
vs Similar (9)39.637.677.1+2.056%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)39.529.869.3+9.775%-
This opponent (Old Dominion) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Old Dominion wins
2
Arkansas State wins
DateGameScore
06/01/24Arkansas State v Old Dominion90-75
30/12/22Old Dominion v Arkansas State57-60
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/24HVA Wesleyan82-44
21/12/24ALouisiana Monroe80-75 OT
15/12/24HNortheastern71-75
07/12/24HGeorge Washington70-78
03/12/24HWilliam & Mary88-83
26/11/24HDuquesne54-67
25/11/24HHigh Point67-73
25/11/24ABoston College52-82
20/11/24HRandolph-Macon71-55
16/11/24HMd.-East. Shore73-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24HCoastal Carolina97-67
15/12/24AUAB98-89 OT
13/12/24HUT Arlington83-79
08/12/24AMemphis85-72
06/12/24HJackson State66-64
01/12/24HHofstra66-68
01/12/24HRice67-75
29/11/24AIndiana State86-81
23/11/24HLane College103-60
16/11/24HStephen F. Austin59-49

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Old Dominion
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW38%
HomeLWLLW44%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1394
Win %38%44%25%
Points / game69.973.162.8
Allowed / game75.069.986.5
Point differential-5.1+3.2-23.8
Avg total144.9143.0149.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %8%0%25%
Arkansas State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW77%
HomeLLWWW78%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1394
Win %77%78%75%
Points / game80.777.987.0
Allowed / game71.566.782.5
Point differential+9.2+11.2+4.5
Avg total152.2144.6169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%44%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)75% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %15%11%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arkansas State1310377%80.771.5+9.2
2 South Alabama139469%74.962.7+12.2
3 Troy139469%74.966.0+8.9
4 Texas State138562%77.068.1+8.9
5 James Madison137654%74.669.5+5.2
6 Coastal Carolina137654%69.268.1+1.2
7 Georgia Southern137654%74.478.9-4.5
8 Marshall147750%76.072.3+3.7
9 Appalachian State136746%69.365.3+4.0
10 Southern Miss136746%72.276.2-4.0
11 Old Dominion135838%69.975.0-5.1
12 Georgia State134931%71.379.1-7.8
13 Louisiana Monroe1441029%72.872.4+0.4
14 Louisiana Lafayette1331023%65.675.8-10.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Old Dominion293059
Arkansas State324678
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