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Oldenburg vs Ulm Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 94-98 (OT)
16-23 25-24 28-21 18-19 7-11
Position#8
Record5-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game79.3
vs
Ulm 🏆
Germany
Position#5
Record5-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game86.8
GermanyBBLRound 7· Gro
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Oldenburg v Ulm
03 Apr 2027
OLD v ULM
upcoming
02 Oct 2025
OLD86
ULM93
19 Oct 2024
OLD93
ULM66
11 Nov 2023
OLD94
ULM98
21 Oct 2022
OLD81
ULM73
18 Dec 2021
OLD89
ULM96
22 May 2021
OLD77
ULM75
20 May 2021
OLD88
ULM93
24 Apr 2021
OLD75
ULM93
08 Jun 2020
OLD66
ULM85
08 Dec 2019
OLD91
ULM104
13 Oct 2018
OLD103
ULM99
22 Oct 2017
OLD94
ULM83
30 May 2017
OLD61
ULM74
23 May 2017
OLD107
ULM103
25 Feb 2017
OLD88
ULM96
14 May 2016
OLD87
ULM85
07 May 2016
OLD81
ULM90
24 Apr 2016
OLD90
ULM75
17 Apr 2015
OLD74
ULM66
26 Jan 2014
OLD76
ULM62
06 Jun 2013
OLD80
ULM75
29 May 2013
OLD65
ULM59
21 May 2013
OLD84
ULM86
12 Jan 2013
OLD91
ULM95
15 Apr 2012
OLD84
ULM80
29 Dec 2010
OLD84
ULM79
25 Apr 2010
OLD90
ULM88
19 Nov 2008
OLD82
ULM70
18 Oct 2008
OLD80
ULM75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oldenburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OldenburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOldenburg
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
72-86
72
86
-14
no box
A21/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
86-91
86
91
-5
79avg 79
A29/09
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
77-67
77
67
+10
68avg 79
H02/10
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
92-83
92
83
+9
78avg 79
A07/10
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
73-101
73
101
-28
60avg 79
A15/10
German Cup
Strasbourg
#11
L
83-85 OT
83
85
-2
73avg 79
H17/10
Champions League
Rostock
#15
W
94-89
94
89
+5
90avg 79
H20/10
BBL
Bamberg
#11
W
92-83
92
83
+9
89avg 79
A27/10
BBL
Karsiyaka
#27
L
83-85
83
85
-2
72avg 79
A01/11
Champions League
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
99-63
99
63
+36
97avg 79
A04/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
14-15
18-26
17-20
27-28
24-18
16-32
19-13
21-26
24-13
13-15
19-13
26-22
20-18
23-22
23-21
20-32
15-23
17-25
21-21
16-17
20-21
17-20
22-17
28-17
20-25
23-29
23-18
24-21
29-27
25-14
14-21
22-18
17-30
27-17
17-20
15-14
25-20
33-15
26-14
168.4Avg total
85.1Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)90.079.3169.3+10.783%
Season at home (2)85.578.0163.5+7.5100%
Season away (4)92.280.0172.2+12.275%
Last 10 (10)85.183.3168.4+1.850%
Last 5 (5)90.281.0171.2+9.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)80.883.8164.6-3.040%
vs Similar (11)85.685.4171.0+0.345%
vs Weaker (13)89.281.8171.1+7.469%
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#2
W
100-88
100
88
+12
98avg 81
H07/10
BBL
Gran Canaria
#6
L
82-111
82
111
-29
78avg 81
A11/10
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#8
W
76-72
76
72
+4
73avg 81
A14/10
German Cup
Lietkabelis
#17
W
99-74
99
74
+25
95avg 81
H17/10
Eurocup
Hamburg
#10
W
94-78
94
78
+16
94avg 81
A21/10
BBL
Turk Telekom
#15
W
91-78
91
78
+13
84avg 81
A25/10
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
70-99
70
99
-29
62avg 81
H28/10
BBL
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
108-103 OT
108
103
+5
108avg 81
H01/11
Eurocup
Bonn
#7
W
105-87
105
87
+18
109avg 81
H05/11
BBL
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
75-86
75
86
-11
58avg 81
A08/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-27
29-25
19-16
32-20
16-30
20-32
32-22
14-27
21-20
23-12
17-19
15-21
27-17
26-25
18-18
28-14
30-12
24-25
17-19
23-22
16-21
29-12
24-25
22-20
20-14
15-25
21-26
14-34
25-22
24-24
15-31
30-17
31-22
27-18
21-26
26-21
14-26
10-25
24-13
27-22
177.6Avg total
90.0Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)93.086.8179.8+6.283%
Season at home (4)91.289.8181.0+1.575%
Season away (2)96.581.0177.5+15.5100%
Last 10 (10)90.087.6177.6+2.470%
Last 5 (5)89.890.6180.4-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)84.185.0169.1-0.955%
vs Similar (12)89.084.0173.0+5.083%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)104.391.3195.6+13.086%
This opponent (Oldenburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +1.3+1.3
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +1.3+1.3
OldenburgUlm
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OldenburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A21/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A29/09
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H02/10
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A07/10
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A15/10
German Cup
Strasbourg
#11
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H17/10
Champions League
Rostock
#15
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H20/10
BBL
Bamberg
#11
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A27/10
BBL
Karsiyaka
#27
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A01/11
Champions League
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A04/11
BBL
86.0Avg total
43.0Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.442.385.8+1.160%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.441.284.6+2.260%-
Last 30 away (15)43.543.586.9+0.060%-
Last 10 (10)43.043.086.0+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)43.242.085.2+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)39.643.883.4-4.240%-
vs Similar (11)42.543.285.7-0.636%-
vs Weaker (13)46.340.186.4+6.292%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#2
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H07/10
BBL
Gran Canaria
#6
L
36-62
36
62
-26
A11/10
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#8
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A14/10
German Cup
Lietkabelis
#17
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H17/10
Eurocup
Hamburg
#10
W
54-37
54
37
+17
A21/10
BBL
Turk Telekom
#15
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A25/10
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H28/10
BBL
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H01/11
Eurocup
Bonn
#7
W
58-40
58
40
+18
H05/11
BBL
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
24-51
24
51
-27
A08/11
Eurocup
88.1Avg total
44.7Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.542.987.4+1.663%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.942.390.2+5.573%-
Last 30 away (15)41.143.584.6-2.353%-
Last 10 (10)44.743.488.1+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)42.241.884.0+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)42.243.886.0-1.645%-
vs Similar (12)43.040.783.7+2.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)50.745.396.0+5.486%-
This opponent (Oldenburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oldenburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oldenburg: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.919.0
51.5%
54.6%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.3
34.7%
35.4%27.9
🏀 Free throws20.716.0
77.3%
76.0%16.0
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.721.9
56.6%
54.6%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.610.6
39.8%
35.4%31.8
🏀 Free throws18.513.4
72.4%
76.0%13.4
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oldenburg
WLWWLLWWLL
Ulm
LWWLWWWWLW
#8
League position
#5
+0.5
Net rating
+3.1
110.4
Offensive rating
113.7
109.9
Defensive rating
110.6
51.7%
Effective FG%
57.9%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
19.3%
Turnover %
17.8%
36.3%
Off. rebound %
27.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.7%
3-point %
39.8%
58.0%
Assist %
69.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence110.4 · 113.7Defence109.9 · 110.6Shooting51.7% · 57.9%3-point %34.7% · 39.8%Ball care19.3% · 17.8%Off. rebounds36.3% · 27.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Oldenburg   ■ Ulm
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Oldenburg wins
7
Ulm wins
DateGameScore
25/04/23Ulm v Oldenburg97-84
21/10/22Oldenburg v Ulm81-73
07/02/22Ulm v Oldenburg86-78
18/12/21Oldenburg v Ulm89-96
26/05/21Ulm v Oldenburg96-88
24/05/21Ulm v Oldenburg70-66
22/05/21Oldenburg v Ulm77-75
20/05/21Oldenburg v Ulm88-93
24/04/21Oldenburg v Ulm75-93
26/12/20Ulm v Oldenburg86-89
Oldenburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/23ACrailsheim Merlins99-63
01/11/23AKarsiyaka83-85
27/10/23ABamberg92-83
20/10/23HRostock94-89
17/10/23HStrasbourg83-85 OT
15/10/23ABayern73-101
07/10/23AHeidelberg92-83
02/10/23HBayern77-67
29/09/23ABasketball Braunschweig86-91
21/05/23ALudwigsburg72-86
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/23ACluj-Napoca75-86
05/11/23HBonn105-87
01/11/23HSlask Wroclaw108-103 OT
28/10/23HLudwigsburg70-99
25/10/23ATurk Telekom91-78
21/10/23AHamburg94-78
17/10/23HLietkabelis99-74
14/10/23AWurzburg76-72
11/10/23AGran Canaria82-111
07/10/23HAlba Berlin100-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oldenburg
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %83%100%75%
Points / game90.085.592.2
Allowed / game79.378.080.0
Point differential+10.7+7.5+12.2
Avg total169.3163.5172.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ulm
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW83%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %83%75%100%
Points / game93.091.296.5
Allowed / game86.889.881.0
Point differential+6.2+1.5+15.5
Avg total179.8181.0177.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alba Berlin65183%99.582.3+17.2
2 Oldenburg65183%90.079.3+10.7
3 Chemnitz65183%83.574.3+9.2
4 Ulm65183%93.086.8+6.2
5 Bayern64267%86.375.3+11.0
6 Vechta64267%91.083.8+7.2
7 Ludwigsburg53260%87.677.0+10.6
8 Bonn63350%87.284.0+3.2
9 Basketball Braunschweig63350%84.385.2-0.8
10 Hamburg63350%79.284.2-5.0
11 Wurzburg52340%72.873.8-1.0
12 Bamberg52340%88.895.6-6.8
13 Rostock62433%93.798.0-4.3
14 Syntainics MBC72529%83.189.0-5.9
15 Gottingen41325%84.898.0-13.2
16 Heidelberg61517%89.097.5-8.5
17 Tubingen61517%85.396.2-10.8
18 Crailsheim Merlins61517%76.297.8-21.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Oldenburg16252818794
Ulm232421191198
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