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Wurzburg vs Ulm Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 72-76
20-21 12-23 19-17 21-15
Position#8
Record1-0
FormLLWWL
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game81.0
vs
Ulm 🏆
Germany
Position#3
Record-
FormWWWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
GermanyGerman Cup· Tectake Arena (Wurzburger)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Wurzburg v Ulm
09 May 2027
WUR v ULM
upcoming
02 May 2026
WUR98
ULM84
10 Jun 2025
WUR78
ULM77
04 Jun 2025
WUR87
ULM77
14 Apr 2025
WUR89
ULM72
24 May 2024
WUR75
ULM72
22 May 2024
WUR82
ULM79
19 Nov 2023
WUR83
ULM88
14 Oct 2023
WUR72
ULM76
03 Mar 2023
WUR62
ULM82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wurzburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Bayern
#3
L
49-67
49
67
-18
38avg 69
H10/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
86-85
86
85
+1
71avg 69
A15/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
78-82
78
82
-4
no box
H18/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
78-81
78
81
-3
no box
A22/04
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
74-92
74
92
-18
63avg 69
H27/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
L
77-86
77
86
-9
67avg 69
A01/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
73-77
73
77
-4
61avg 69
H04/05
BBL
PS Karlsruhe
#22
W
93-81
93
81
+12
86avg 69
A23/09
German Cup
Hamburg
#10
W
88-58
88
58
+30
84avg 69
A01/10
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
60-78
60
78
-18
40avg 69
H06/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-18
9-22
14-7
14-20
20-24
16-25
31-18
19-18
17-24
22-16
19-13
20-29
18-24
19-21
19-17
22-19
26-22
18-30
15-20
15-20
16-20
19-17
19-24
23-25
12-19
25-22
15-17
21-19
22-17
25-21
22-23
24-20
17-12
20-24
33-15
18-7
10-17
24-19
15-22
11-20
154.3Avg total
75.6Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)93.081.0174.0+12.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)93.081.0174.0+12.0100%
Last 10 (10)75.678.7154.3-3.130%
Last 5 (5)78.276.0154.2+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)69.880.4150.2-10.722%
vs Similar ◀ (17)80.881.6162.4-0.847%
vs Weaker (3)94.376.7171.0+17.7100%
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Bayern
#3
W
104-102 OT
104
102
+2
no box
H02/06
BBL
Bonn
#1
W
79-73
79
73
+6
71avg 80
A09/06
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
75-104
75
104
-29
69avg 80
A11/06
BBL
Bonn
#1
W
112-84
112
84
+28
114avg 80
H14/06
BBL
Bonn
#1
W
74-70
74
70
+4
68avg 80
H16/06
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
W
90-85
90
85
+5
84avg 80
H27/09
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
99-84
99
84
+15
98avg 80
A01/10
BBL
Trento
#16
W
80-70
80
70
+10
67avg 80
H03/10
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#2
W
100-88
100
88
+12
98avg 80
H07/10
BBL
Gran Canaria
#6
L
82-111
82
111
-29
78avg 80
A11/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-22
17-21
28-19
18-30
20-20
22-15
13-17
24-21
16-26
13-19
15-30
31-29
26-18
27-12
27-25
32-29
21-23
22-18
8-18
23-11
31-24
20-18
13-16
26-27
27-26
25-22
19-22
28-14
16-18
26-20
18-16
20-16
20-27
29-25
19-16
32-20
16-30
20-32
32-22
14-27
176.6Avg total
89.5Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)89.587.1176.6+2.480%
Last 5 (5)90.287.6177.8+2.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)83.485.1168.5-1.750%
vs Similar ◀ (10)89.582.2171.7+7.390%
vs Weaker (8)100.989.8190.6+11.175%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +2.4+2.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +2.4+2.4
WurzburgUlm
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#3
L
21-40
21
40
-19
H10/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A15/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H18/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A22/04
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H27/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A01/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H04/05
BBL
PS Karlsruhe
#22
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A23/09
German Cup
Hamburg
#10
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A01/10
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H06/10
BBL
78.1Avg total
36.7Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.042.282.2-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.239.380.5+1.957%-
Last 30 away (16)39.044.783.7-5.725%-
Last 10 (10)36.741.478.1-4.720%-
Last 5 (5)38.037.675.6+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.642.278.8-5.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)40.642.082.6-1.435%-
vs Weaker (3)44.744.389.0+0.367%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#3
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H02/06
BBL
Bonn
#1
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A09/06
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A11/06
BBL
Bonn
#1
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H14/06
BBL
Bonn
#1
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H16/06
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H27/09
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A01/10
BBL
Trento
#16
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H03/10
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#2
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H07/10
BBL
Gran Canaria
#6
L
36-62
36
62
-26
A11/10
Eurocup
87.9Avg total
44.3Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.143.087.1+1.160%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.841.688.4+5.269%-
Last 30 away (14)40.944.685.5-3.650%-
Last 10 (10)44.343.687.9+0.770%-
Last 5 (5)46.048.494.4-2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)41.843.084.8-1.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)43.342.285.5+1.160%-
vs Weaker (8)48.544.092.5+4.575%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.917.9
47.2%
53.5%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.08.3
37.7%
32.3%24.9
🏀 Free throws19.113.7
71.7%
74.1%13.7
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 87.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.818.9
55.9%
53.5%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.5
36.0%
32.3%31.5
🏀 Free throws25.218.3
72.6%
74.1%18.3
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Wurzburg
LWWLLLLLWL
Ulm
LWWWWWWLWW
#8
League position
#3
-4.6
Net rating
+3.7
102.7
Offensive rating
112.8
107.3
Defensive rating
109.1
50.7%
Effective FG%
55.0%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
18.8%
Turnover %
18.2%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.40
37.7%
3-point %
36.0%
46.2%
Assist %
73.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence102.7 · 112.8Defence107.3 · 109.1Shooting50.7% · 55.0%3-point %37.7% · 36.0%Ball care18.8% · 18.2%Off. rebounds27.6% · 30.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Wurzburg   ■ Ulm
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Wurzburg wins
1
Ulm wins
DateGameScore
03/03/23Wurzburg v Ulm62-82
14/01/23Ulm v Wurzburg84-91
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/23HLudwigsburg60-78
01/10/23AHamburg88-58
23/09/23APS Karlsruhe93-81
04/05/23HBasketball Braunschweig73-77
01/05/23AFrankfurt77-86
27/04/23HGottingen74-92
22/04/23ALudwigsburg78-81
18/04/23HOldenburg78-82
15/04/23ACrailsheim Merlins86-85
10/04/23HBayern49-67
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/23AGran Canaria82-111
07/10/23HAlba Berlin100-88
03/10/23HTrento80-70
01/10/23ATubingen99-84
27/09/23HChemnitz90-85
16/06/23HBonn74-70
14/06/23HBonn112-84
11/06/23ABonn75-104
09/06/23ABonn79-73
02/06/23HBayern104-102 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wurzburg
German Cup 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game93.0-93.0
Allowed / game81.0-81.0
Point differential+12.0-+12.0
Avg total174.0-174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Ulm
German Cup 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Basketball Braunschweig110100%78.064.0+14.0
2 Wurzburg110100%93.081.0+12.0
3 Bamberg110100%78.067.0+11.0
4 Syntainics MBC110100%81.073.0+8.0
5 Heidelberg110100%89.082.0+7.0
6 Giessen110100%79.073.0+6.0
7 Vechta220100%92.587.5+5.0
8 Hamburg110100%88.085.0+3.0
9 Gottingen1010%99.0101.0-2.0
10 Dresden1010%85.088.0-3.0
11 Crailsheim Merlins1010%73.079.0-6.0
12 Bayreuth1010%82.089.0-7.0
13 Frankfurt1010%73.081.0-8.0
14 Rostock1010%76.084.0-8.0
15 Artland1010%67.078.0-11.0
16 PS Karlsruhe1010%81.093.0-12.0
17 Tubingen1010%64.078.0-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Wurzburg2012192172
Ulm2123171576
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