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Ulm vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 100-88
20-27 29-25 19-16 32-20
Position#5
Record2-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game94.5
Allowed / game84.5
Ulm 🏆
Germany
vs
Alba Berlin
Germany
Position#2
Record2-0
FormLLWWL
Points / game100.0
Allowed / game78.0
GermanyBBLRound 3· Ratiopharm Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Ulm v Alba Berlin
13 Mar 2027
ULM v ABE
upcoming
22 Apr 2026
ULM77
ABE89
24 May 2025
ULM93
ABE84
17 May 2025
ULM94
ABE83
09 Mar 2025
ULM101
ABE90
07 Oct 2023
ULM100
ABE88
24 May 2023
ULM83
ABE81
17 May 2023
ULM77
ABE91
18 Dec 2022
ULM83
ABE110
21 Nov 2021
ULM66
ABE71
05 Jun 2021
ULM75
ABE77
03 Jun 2021
ULM72
ABE80
07 Mar 2021
ULM76
ABE84
11 Feb 2020
ULM106
ABE112
21 May 2019
ULM v ABE
upcoming
20 Oct 2018
ULM74
ABE92
30 Sep 2017
ULM68
ABE72
18 Mar 2017
ULM82
ABE76
02 Apr 2016
ULM78
ABE68
19 Apr 2015
ULM66
ABE80
17 May 2014
ULM89
ABE95
13 May 2014
ULM89
ABE90
08 Feb 2014
ULM87
ABE92
31 Mar 2013
ULM92
ABE73
24 Mar 2013
ULM67
ABE85
11 Apr 2012
ULM91
ABE72
06 Nov 2010
ULM77
ABE73
13 Feb 2010
ULM77
ABE86
02 Nov 2008
ULM69
ABE85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Bayern
#3
W
87-69
87
69
+18
81avg 79
A28/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
93-88
93
88
+5
83avg 79
A30/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
104-102 OT
104
102
+2
no box
H02/06
BBL
Bonn
#1
W
79-73
79
73
+6
71avg 79
A09/06
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
75-104
75
104
-29
69avg 79
A11/06
BBL
Bonn
#1
W
112-84
112
84
+28
114avg 79
H14/06
BBL
Bonn
#1
W
74-70
74
70
+4
68avg 79
H16/06
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
W
90-85
90
85
+5
84avg 79
H27/09
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
99-84
99
84
+15
98avg 79
A01/10
BBL
Trento
#16
W
80-70
80
70
+10
67avg 79
H03/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
24-21
23-17
22-11
27-20
17-19
27-17
22-32
29-22
17-21
28-19
18-30
20-20
22-15
13-17
24-21
16-26
13-19
15-30
31-29
26-18
27-12
27-25
32-29
21-23
22-18
8-18
23-11
31-24
20-18
13-16
26-27
27-26
25-22
19-22
28-14
16-18
26-20
18-16
20-16
172.2Avg total
89.3Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)94.584.5179.0+10.0100%
Season at home (1)90.085.0175.0+5.0100%
Season away (1)99.084.0183.0+15.0100%
Last 10 (10)89.382.9172.2+6.490%
Last 5 (5)91.078.6169.6+12.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)83.582.7166.3+0.855%
vs Similar ◀ (10)88.081.2169.2+6.890%
vs Weaker (9)97.288.2185.4+9.067%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Bonn
#1
L
77-84
77
84
-7
no box
A25/04
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
91-79
91
79
+12
93avg 82
H30/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
83-72
83
72
+11
77avg 82
A04/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
64-88
64
88
-24
58avg 82
H14/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
91-77
91
77
+14
94avg 82
A17/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
81-93
81
93
-12
74avg 82
H19/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
81-83
81
83
-2
81avg 82
A24/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
90-81
90
81
+9
96avg 82
A28/09
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
110-75
110
75
+35
113avg 82
H02/10
BBL
Bayern
#15
L
68-80
68
80
-12
56avg 82
A05/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-17
26-29
15-19
24-19
20-12
28-21
22-25
21-21
20-17
27-17
22-19
14-19
17-19
27-23
10-16
10-30
21-20
18-27
29-14
23-16
27-20
19-33
23-22
12-18
22-26
29-24
16-18
14-15
21-17
23-22
26-19
20-23
30-14
29-26
30-18
21-17
17-19
27-17
7-25
17-19
164.8Avg total
83.6Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)100.078.0178.0+22.0100%
Season at home (1)110.075.0185.0+35.0100%
Season away (1)90.081.0171.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.681.2164.8+2.450%
Last 5 (5)86.082.4168.4+3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.684.4161.0-7.820%
vs Similar ◀ (6)76.778.0154.7-1.350%
vs Weaker (19)86.375.6161.9+10.784%
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -2.1-2.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -2.1-2.1
UlmAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A28/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A30/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H02/06
BBL
Bonn
#1
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A09/06
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A11/06
BBL
Bonn
#1
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H14/06
BBL
Bonn
#1
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H16/06
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H27/09
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A01/10
BBL
Trento
#16
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H03/10
Eurocup
84.6Avg total
44.4Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.341.485.7+2.867%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.740.987.6+5.773%-
Last 30 away (15)41.941.983.8-0.160%-
Last 10 (10)44.440.284.6+4.290%-
Last 5 (5)48.239.888.0+8.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)42.341.383.5+1.055%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)43.840.584.3+3.370%-
vs Weaker (9)47.242.789.9+4.678%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bonn
#1
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A25/04
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H30/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A04/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H14/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A17/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H19/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A24/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A28/09
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
59-40
59
40
+19
H02/10
BBL
Bayern
#15
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A05/10
Euroleague
88.0Avg total
46.0Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.939.982.9+3.070%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.340.583.7+2.860%-
Last 30 away (15)42.639.482.0+3.280%-
Last 10 (10)46.042.088.0+4.070%-
Last 5 (5)48.843.692.4+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)42.840.082.8+2.880%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)38.040.078.0-2.050%-
vs Weaker (19)44.539.984.4+4.674%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.917.2
53.9%
54.6%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.311.0
34.1%
35.4%33.0
🏀 Free throws26.119.0
72.8%
76.0%19.0
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.519.5
56.5%
54.6%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.4
34.6%
35.4%28.2
🏀 Free throws19.415.4
79.4%
76.0%15.4
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
WWWWWLWWWW
Alba Berlin
LWWLLWLWWL
#5
League position
#2
+8.7
Net rating
+3.0
113.8
Offensive rating
111.1
105.1
Defensive rating
108.1
52.5%
Effective FG%
54.5%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
16.5%
Turnover %
21.6%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
35.7%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.1%
3-point %
34.6%
74.1%
Assist %
69.9%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence113.8 · 111.1Defence105.1 · 108.1Shooting52.5% · 54.5%3-point %34.1% · 34.6%Ball care16.5% · 21.6%Off. rebounds32.2% · 35.7%Free throws0.41 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Ulm   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Ulm wins
7
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
24/05/23Ulm v Alba Berlin83-81
19/05/23Alba Berlin v Ulm81-93
17/05/23Ulm v Alba Berlin77-91
14/05/23Alba Berlin v Ulm64-88
30/04/23Alba Berlin v Ulm91-79
18/12/22Ulm v Alba Berlin83-110
15/04/22Alba Berlin v Ulm78-73
21/11/21Ulm v Alba Berlin66-71 OT
05/06/21Ulm v Alba Berlin75-77
03/06/21Ulm v Alba Berlin72-80
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/23HTrento80-70
01/10/23ATubingen99-84
27/09/23HChemnitz90-85
16/06/23HBonn74-70
14/06/23HBonn112-84
11/06/23ABonn75-104
09/06/23ABonn79-73
02/06/23HBayern104-102 OT
30/05/23ABayern93-88
28/05/23ABayern87-69
Alba Berlinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/23ABayern68-80
02/10/23HCrailsheim Merlins110-75
28/09/23AHeidelberg90-81
24/05/23AUlm81-83
19/05/23HUlm81-93
17/05/23AUlm91-77
14/05/23HUlm64-88
04/05/23ABayreuth83-72
30/04/23HUlm91-79
25/04/23ABonn77-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game94.590.099.0
Allowed / game84.585.084.0
Point differential+10.0+5.0+15.0
Avg total179.0175.0183.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alba Berlin
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game100.0110.090.0
Allowed / game78.075.081.0
Point differential+22.0+35.0+9.0
Avg total178.0185.0171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alba Berlin220100%100.078.0+22.0
2 Vechta220100%92.579.0+13.5
3 Ulm220100%94.584.5+10.0
4 Basketball Braunschweig220100%88.081.5+6.5
5 Chemnitz21150%97.084.5+12.5
6 Wurzburg21150%74.068.0+6.0
7 Ludwigsburg21150%78.573.5+5.0
8 Oldenburg21150%81.579.0+2.5
9 Rostock21150%101.599.0+2.5
10 Bayern21150%81.582.0-0.5
11 Tubingen21150%86.087.5-1.5
12 Hamburg21150%72.583.5-11.0
13 Crailsheim Merlins21150%80.095.5-15.5
14 Bonn2020%77.586.0-8.5
15 Syntainics MBC2020%82.090.5-8.5
16 Heidelberg2020%97.0106.0-9.0
17 Bamberg2020%79.0105.0-26.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm20291932100
Alba Berlin2725162088
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