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Hamburg vs Ulm Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 78-94
12-30 25-24 19-17 22-23
Position#10
Record1-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game85.7
vs
Ulm 🏆
Germany
Position#5
Record3-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game96.3
Allowed / game85.7
GermanyBBLRound 4· Edel-optics.de Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Hamburg v Ulm
18 Jan 2027
HAM v ULM
upcoming
18 Jan 2026
HAM84
ULM82
11 May 2025
HAM64
ULM79
21 Oct 2023
HAM78
ULM94
07 Jan 2023
HAM65
ULM80
29 Jan 2022
HAM90
ULM91
13 Dec 2020
HAM69
ULM73
15 Mar 2020
HAM v ULM
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hamburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HamburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#12
L
80-87
80
87
-7
no box
A29/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
78-88
78
88
-10
78avg 73
A07/05
BBL
Dresden
#16
W
88-85
88
85
+3
88avg 73
A24/09
German Cup
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
87-79
87
79
+8
83avg 73
A29/09
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
58-88
58
88
-30
44avg 73
H01/10
BBL
Prometey
#7
L
77-97
77
97
-20
60avg 73
A04/10
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
L
79-90
79
90
-11
68avg 73
A08/10
BBL
London Lions
#5
L
94-100
94
100
-6
86avg 73
H10/10
Eurocup
Bamberg
#2
L
64-80
64
80
-16
46avg 73
H15/10
German Cup
Paris
#1
L
69-105
69
105
-36
62avg 73
H18/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
29-17
17-18
13-27
21-21
28-16
12-23
17-28
24-20
29-19
13-27
22-19
19-22
19-16
25-22
24-19
12-17
24-20
15-33
7-18
15-35
27-19
20-24
15-19
31-28
10-26
17-15
21-21
25-25
20-16
25-24
24-35
14-22
20-22
16-14
14-22
15-26
11-26
28-27
15-26
167.3Avg total
77.4Scored
89.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)74.785.7160.3-11.033%
Season at home (1)58.088.0146.0-30.00%
Season away (2)83.084.5167.5-1.550%
Last 10 (10)77.489.9167.3-12.520%
Last 5 (5)76.694.4171.0-17.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)74.889.2164.1-14.46%
vs Similar (11)81.282.2163.4-1.064%
vs Weaker (1)89.087.0176.0+2.0100%
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Bonn
#1
L
75-104
75
104
-29
69avg 80
A11/06
BBL
Bonn
#1
W
112-84
112
84
+28
114avg 80
H14/06
BBL
Bonn
#1
W
74-70
74
70
+4
68avg 80
H16/06
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
W
90-85
90
85
+5
84avg 80
H27/09
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
99-84
99
84
+15
98avg 80
A01/10
BBL
Trento
#16
W
80-70
80
70
+10
67avg 80
H03/10
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#2
W
100-88
100
88
+12
98avg 80
H07/10
BBL
Gran Canaria
#6
L
82-111
82
111
-29
78avg 80
A11/10
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#8
W
76-72
76
72
+4
73avg 80
A14/10
German Cup
Lietkabelis
#17
W
99-74
99
74
+25
95avg 80
H17/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-26
13-19
15-30
31-29
26-18
27-12
27-25
32-29
21-23
22-18
8-18
23-11
31-24
20-18
13-16
26-27
27-26
25-22
19-22
28-14
16-18
26-20
18-16
20-16
20-27
29-25
19-16
32-20
16-30
20-32
32-22
14-27
21-20
23-12
17-19
15-21
27-17
26-25
18-18
28-14
172.9Avg total
88.7Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)96.385.7182.0+10.7100%
Season at home (2)95.086.5181.5+8.5100%
Season away (1)99.084.0183.0+15.0100%
Last 10 (10)88.784.2172.9+4.580%
Last 5 (5)87.483.0170.4+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)83.485.1168.5-1.750%
vs Similar (10)87.881.8169.6+6.090%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)101.990.1192.0+11.875%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -6.2-6.2Q4: +4.1+4.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -6.2-6.2Q4: +4.1+4.1
HamburgUlm
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#12
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A29/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A07/05
BBL
Dresden
#16
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A24/09
German Cup
Ludwigsburg
#9
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A29/09
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H01/10
BBL
Prometey
#7
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A04/10
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A08/10
BBL
London Lions
#5
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H10/10
Eurocup
Bamberg
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H15/10
German Cup
Paris
#1
L
26-52
26
52
-26
H18/10
Eurocup
85.2Avg total
41.4Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.844.485.2-3.640%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.541.781.2-2.246%-
Last 30 away (17)41.846.588.3-4.635%-
Last 10 (10)41.443.885.2-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)37.649.086.6-11.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)39.546.285.6-6.729%-
vs Similar (11)41.542.183.5-0.655%-
vs Weaker (1)44.045.089.0-1.00%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bonn
#1
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A11/06
BBL
Bonn
#1
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H14/06
BBL
Bonn
#1
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H16/06
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H27/09
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A01/10
BBL
Trento
#16
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H03/10
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#2
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H07/10
BBL
Gran Canaria
#6
L
36-62
36
62
-26
A11/10
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#8
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A14/10
German Cup
Lietkabelis
#17
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H17/10
Eurocup
88.4Avg total
45.2Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.143.187.2+1.060%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.042.589.5+4.567%-
Last 30 away (15)41.143.784.9-2.653%-
Last 10 (10)45.243.288.4+2.070%-
Last 5 (5)44.845.290.0-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)41.843.084.8-1.250%-
vs Similar (10)42.541.584.0+1.060%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)49.545.294.8+4.275%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.617.0
50.6%
54.6%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.18.8
32.5%
35.4%26.4
🏀 Free throws22.515.8
70.2%
76.0%15.8
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.920.3
56.5%
54.6%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.910.0
37.2%
35.4%30.0
🏀 Free throws23.317.3
74.2%
76.0%17.3
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hamburg
LLLLLLWWLL
Ulm
WWLWWWWWWL
#10
League position
#5
-17.1
Net rating
+6.3
101.1
Offensive rating
113.4
118.3
Defensive rating
107.1
49.8%
Effective FG%
56.2%
58.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
20.3%
Turnover %
18.0%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.37
32.5%
3-point %
37.2%
62.8%
Assist %
72.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence101.1 · 113.4Defence118.3 · 107.1Shooting49.8% · 56.2%3-point %32.5% · 37.2%Ball care20.3% · 18.0%Off. rebounds30.4% · 29.3%Free throws0.37 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Hamburg   ■ Ulm
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Hamburg wins
7
Ulm wins
DateGameScore
09/04/23Ulm v Hamburg112-78
07/01/23Hamburg v Ulm65-80
29/01/22Hamburg v Ulm90-91
12/12/21Ulm v Hamburg78-74
03/03/21Ulm v Hamburg89-76
13/12/20Hamburg v Ulm69-73
24/11/19Ulm v Hamburg102-69
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/23HParis69-105
15/10/23HBamberg64-80
10/10/23HLondon Lions94-100
08/10/23ABayern79-90
04/10/23APrometey77-97
01/10/23HWurzburg58-88
29/09/23ALudwigsburg87-79
24/09/23ADresden88-85
07/05/23ABasketball Braunschweig78-88
29/04/23AChemnitz80-87
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/23HLietkabelis99-74
14/10/23AWurzburg76-72
11/10/23AGran Canaria82-111
07/10/23HAlba Berlin100-88
03/10/23HTrento80-70
01/10/23ATubingen99-84
27/09/23HChemnitz90-85
16/06/23HBonn74-70
14/06/23HBonn112-84
11/06/23ABonn75-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hamburg
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game74.758.083.0
Allowed / game85.788.084.5
Point differential-11.0-30.0-1.5
Avg total160.3146.0167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ulm
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game96.395.099.0
Allowed / game85.786.584.0
Point differential+10.7+8.5+15.0
Avg total182.0181.5183.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vechta330100%96.076.7+19.3
2 Ulm330100%96.385.7+10.7
3 Gottingen110100%110.0104.0+6.0
4 Oldenburg43175%87.282.5+4.8
5 Alba Berlin32167%96.085.3+10.7
6 Chemnitz32167%93.383.3+10.0
7 Bayern32167%84.381.0+3.3
8 Basketball Braunschweig32167%85.783.0+2.7
9 Wurzburg21150%74.068.0+6.0
10 Ludwigsburg21150%78.573.5+5.0
11 Bonn31233%85.081.7+3.3
12 Rostock31233%97.397.3+0.0
13 Hamburg31233%74.785.7-11.0
14 Tubingen31233%81.392.7-11.3
15 Crailsheim Merlins31233%88.0100.3-12.3
16 Heidelberg3030%92.3101.3-9.0
17 Syntainics MBC3030%79.093.7-14.7
18 Bamberg2020%79.0105.0-26.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hamburg1225192278
Ulm3024172394
← all games of the day
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