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Olimpia Milano vs CSKA Moscow Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Nov 2018
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 85-90
21-16 20-24 25-23 19-27
Position#11
Record4-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game79.4
Olimpia Milano
vs
CSKA Moscow 🏆
Position#1
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game78.4
EuropeEuroleagueRound 6
European cup2018
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v CSKA Moscow
30 Sep 2021
MIL84
CMO74
30 May 2021
MIL83
CMO73
30 Dec 2020
MIL87
CMO91
08 Nov 2018
MIL85
CMO90
11 Jan 2018
MIL81
CMO107
08 Dec 2016
MIL64
CMO79
09 Apr 2015
MIL79
CMO88
24 Nov 2010
MIL71
CMO65
03 Dec 2008
MIL80
CMO79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSKA Moscow winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#5
W
103-92
103
92
+11
135avg 111
H07/10
Lega A
Buducnost
#15
W
82-71
82
71
+11
no box
A12/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
88-79
88
79
+9
115avg 111
A14/10
Lega A
Real Madrid
#3
L
85-91
85
91
-6
no box
H17/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#6
W
99-75
99
75
+24
124avg 111
A19/10
Euroleague
Pistoia
#16
W
107-83
107
83
+24
no box
H21/10
Lega A
Khimki M.
#13
W
81-80
81
80
+1
109avg 111
H25/10
Euroleague
Pesaro
#15
W
97-82
97
82
+15
124avg 111
A28/10
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
81-80
81
80
+1
111avg 111
H02/11
Euroleague
Torino
#13
W
93-71
93
71
+22
127avg 111
A04/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
22-24
34-20
22-24
22-11
20-20
15-20
25-20
22-16
17-24
30-24
19-15
28-13
22-28
14-26
21-24
24-26
20-15
29-22
26-12
26-24
27-24
19-13
35-22
23-20
16-25
27-17
15-18
31-20
19-14
24-27
23-21
24-17
19-18
25-19
13-26
16-17
27-19
14-21
36-14
172.0Avg total
91.6Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)85.679.4165.0+6.280%
Season at home (3)82.383.7166.0-1.367%
Season away (2)90.573.0163.5+17.5100%
Last 10 (10)91.680.4172.0+11.290%
Last 5 (5)91.879.2171.0+12.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)83.085.5168.5-2.550%
vs Similar (3)88.781.3170.0+7.367%
vs Weaker (24)88.077.7165.7+10.479%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMoscow
Date
Competition
Astana
#6
W
86-61
86
61
+25
no box
A07/10
VTB United League
Barcelona
#5
W
95-75
95
75
+20
129avg 116
H11/10
Euroleague
Nizhny Novgorod
#8
W
84-78
84
78
+6
no box
H13/10
VTB United League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
89-86
89
86
+3
no box
A16/10
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#16
W
79-75
79
75
+4
106avg 116
H18/10
Euroleague
BC Kalev/Cramo
#7
W
102-75
102
75
+27
no box
H22/10
VTB United League
Gran Canaria
#14
W
106-91
106
91
+15
138avg 116
A26/10
Euroleague
Parma Perm
#12
W
108-84
108
84
+24
no box
H29/10
VTB United League
Olympiacos
#6
W
69-65
69
65
+4
92avg 116
H01/11
Euroleague
Saratov
#11
W
110-76
110
76
+34
no box
H04/11
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-15
27-12
24-20
21-14
21-17
30-12
18-29
26-17
20-23
26-18
20-23
18-14
24-22
26-24
17-22
22-18
19-17
12-21
26-10
22-27
31-14
23-24
23-19
25-18
26-29
26-26
28-22
26-14
26-23
24-13
35-22
23-26
13-15
18-20
21-9
17-21
25-18
28-28
29-16
28-14
169.4Avg total
92.8Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)87.678.4166.0+9.2100%
Season at home (3)81.071.7152.7+9.3100%
Season away (2)97.588.5186.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)92.876.6169.4+16.2100%
Last 5 (5)99.078.2177.2+20.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)83.092.0175.0-9.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)93.479.0172.4+14.490%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: +4.5+4.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: +4.5+4.5
Olimpia MilanoCSKA Moscow
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#5
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H07/10
Lega A
Buducnost
#15
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A12/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A14/10
Lega A
Real Madrid
#3
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H17/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#6
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A19/10
Euroleague
Pistoia
#16
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H21/10
Lega A
Khimki M.
#13
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H25/10
Euroleague
Pesaro
#15
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A28/10
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H02/11
Euroleague
Torino
#13
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A04/11
Lega A
84.9Avg total
45.0Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.637.882.4+6.870%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.139.686.7+7.573%-
Last 30 away (15)42.036.078.0+6.067%-
Last 10 (10)45.039.984.9+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)45.639.685.2+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)46.538.084.5+8.5100%-
vs Similar (3)41.042.383.3-1.333%-
vs Weaker (24)45.237.582.8+7.771%-
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astana
#6
W
41-27
41
27
+14
A07/10
VTB United League
Barcelona
#5
W
51-29
51
29
+22
H11/10
Euroleague
Nizhny Novgorod
#8
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H13/10
VTB United League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A16/10
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#16
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H18/10
Euroleague
BC Kalev/Cramo
#7
W
54-38
54
38
+16
H22/10
VTB United League
Gran Canaria
#14
L
52-55
52
55
-3
A26/10
Euroleague
Parma Perm
#12
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H29/10
VTB United League
Olympiacos
#6
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H01/11
Euroleague
Saratov
#11
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H04/11
VTB United League
85.0Avg total
45.9Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.041.288.2+5.863%-
Last 30 at home (19)45.539.885.3+5.763%-
Last 30 away (11)49.643.693.3+6.064%-
Last 10 (10)45.939.185.0+6.870%-
Last 5 (5)48.042.090.0+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)46.047.093.0-1.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)47.141.088.1+6.166%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 90.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.821.5
55.4%
52.7%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.510.6
38.5%
37.0%31.8
🏀 Free throws20.316.0
78.8%
76.7%16.0
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSKA Moscowtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Moscow: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.020.1
47.9%
52.7%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.69.1
37.0%
37.0%27.3
🏀 Free throws21.516.9
78.6%
76.7%16.9
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Nov 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WWWWWWLWWW
CSKA Moscow
WWWWWWWWWW
#11
League position
#1
+15.1
Net rating
+5.5
122.4
Offensive rating
111.4
107.3
Defensive rating
105.9
56.4%
Effective FG%
50.7%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
12.8%
Turnover %
15.1%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
32.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.32
38.5%
3-point %
37.0%
51.1%
Assist %
51.7%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence122.4 · 111.4Defence107.3 · 105.9Shooting56.4% · 50.7%3-point %38.5% · 37.0%Ball care12.8% · 15.1%Off. rebounds31.6% · 32.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)90% · 100%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ CSKA Moscow
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Olimpia Milano wins
7
CSKA Moscow wins
DateGameScore
11/01/18Olimpia Milano v CSKA Moscow81-107
12/10/17CSKA Moscow v Olimpia Milano93-84
13/01/17CSKA Moscow v Olimpia Milano101-64
08/12/16Olimpia Milano v CSKA Moscow64-79
09/04/15Olimpia Milano v CSKA Moscow79-88
13/02/15CSKA Moscow v Olimpia Milano97-75
24/11/10Olimpia Milano v CSKA Moscow71-65
21/10/10CSKA Moscow v Olimpia Milano73-88
03/12/08Olimpia Milano v CSKA Moscow80-79
22/10/08CSKA Moscow v Olimpia Milano90-64
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/18ATorino93-71
02/11/18HAnadolu Efes81-80
28/10/18APesaro97-82
25/10/18HKhimki M.81-80
21/10/18HPistoia107-83
19/10/18AOlympiacos99-75
17/10/18HReal Madrid85-91
14/10/18AVirtus Bologna88-79
12/10/18ABuducnost82-71
07/10/18HBrindisi103-92
CSKA Moscowlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/18HSaratov110-76
01/11/18HOlympiacos69-65
29/10/18HParma Perm108-84
26/10/18AGran Canaria106-91
22/10/18HBC Kalev/Cramo102-75
18/10/18HDarussafaka79-75
16/10/18AMaccabi Tel Aviv89-86
13/10/18HNizhny Novgorod84-78
11/10/18HBarcelona95-75
07/10/18AAstana86-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%67%100%
Points / game85.682.390.5
Allowed / game79.483.773.0
Point differential+6.2-1.3+17.5
Avg total165.0166.0163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
CSKA Moscow
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game87.681.097.5
Allowed / game78.471.788.5
Point differential+9.2+9.3+9.0
Avg total166.0152.7186.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid660100%93.876.2+17.7
2 CSKA Moscow550100%87.678.4+9.2
3 Fenerbahce54180%88.681.0+7.6
4 Olimpia Milano54180%85.679.4+6.2
5 Panathinaikos53260%85.081.0+4.0
6 Barcelona53260%79.476.8+2.6
7 Anadolu Efes53260%84.682.4+2.2
8 Olympiacos53260%80.078.8+1.2
9 Bayern63350%83.580.2+3.3
10 Baskonia52340%79.878.8+1.0
11 Zalgiris Kaunas52340%82.684.2-1.6
12 Khimki M.51420%80.483.6-3.2
13 Gran Canaria51420%81.895.6-13.8
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv61517%75.382.5-7.2
15 Darussafaka61517%72.788.0-15.3
16 Buducnost5050%64.878.4-13.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2120251985
CSKA Moscow1624232790
← all games of the day
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