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Pesaro vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 02 Jan 2018
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 64-78
13-20 18-17 20-15 13-26
Position#15
Record3-9
FormLWLLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game82.2
Pesaro
Italy
vs
Olimpia Milano 🏆
Italy
Position#1
Record9-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game71.8
ItalyLega ARound 13
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Pesaro v Olimpia Milano
21 Jan 2024
PES65
MIL85
20 May 2023
PES80
MIL94
18 May 2023
PES88
MIL83
06 Nov 2022
PES71
MIL85
16 Jan 2022
PES85
MIL82
25 Apr 2021
PES81
MIL88
08 Dec 2019
PES65
MIL71
28 Oct 2018
PES82
MIL97
02 Jan 2018
PES64
MIL78
30 Apr 2017
PES90
MIL79
23 Dec 2015
PES69
MIL66
23 Mar 2015
PES61
MIL84
16 Dec 2013
PES73
MIL94
10 Dec 2012
PES70
MIL72
04 Jun 2012
PES67
MIL73
02 Jun 2012
PES85
MIL77
15 Oct 2011
PES69
MIL66
15 May 2011
PES82
MIL71
29 Mar 2010
PES83
MIL77
12 Oct 2008
PES62
MIL67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
75-81
75
81
-6
no box
H14/10
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
79-88
79
88
-9
106avg 100
A22/10
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
68-79
68
79
-11
100avg 100
H29/10
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
L
56-73
56
73
-17
82avg 100
A05/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
W
80-75
80
75
+5
108avg 100
H12/11
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
74-91
74
91
-17
96avg 100
A19/11
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
74-71
74
71
+3
100avg 100
H03/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
L
83-86
83
86
-3
108avg 100
A09/12
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
78-83
78
83
-5
102avg 100
H17/12
Lega A
Cantu
#9
L
73-92
73
92
-19
99avg 100
A26/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
17-24
22-18
16-18
30-17
16-24
16-26
17-21
15-22
17-26
21-12
15-19
18-15
11-21
9-16
18-21
17-25
20-19
25-18
18-13
17-26
19-21
25-23
13-21
22-15
18-12
16-19
18-25
25-22
26-23
21-18
11-23
8-29
25-14
27-20
18-20
17-17
15-21
13-23
28-31
155.9Avg total
74.0Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)76.082.2158.2-6.225%
Season at home (6)74.277.0151.2-2.833%
Season away (6)77.887.5165.3-9.717%
Last 10 (10)74.081.9155.9-7.920%
Last 5 (5)76.484.6161.0-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)77.583.3160.7-5.826%
vs Similar (10)75.679.8155.4-4.240%
vs Weaker (1)56.073.0129.0-17.00%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#16
L
68-73
68
73
-5
93avg 105
A30/11
Euroleague
Reggiana
#11
W
72-71
72
71
+1
94avg 105
A03/12
Lega A
Khimki M.
#8
L
71-77
71
77
-6
93avg 105
H07/12
Euroleague
Torino
#12
L
59-71
59
71
-12
85avg 105
A10/12
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#5
L
72-80
72
80
-8
89avg 105
A15/12
Euroleague
Cantu
#9
W
93-77
93
77
+16
no box
H17/12
Lega A
Baskonia
#7
W
92-85
92
85
+7
117avg 105
H20/12
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
L
71-74
71
74
-3
98avg 105
A22/12
Euroleague
Brescia
#3
W
74-71
74
71
+3
99avg 105
H26/12
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#14
L
88-91
88
91
-3
114avg 105
H29/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
14-10
20-19
18-21
15-14
26-21
12-15
19-21
24-12
14-19
18-24
15-22
14-16
13-16
8-20
24-19
23-14
18-25
16-25
15-16
30-26
20-15
21-17
22-19
27-25
22-12
27-21
16-27
20-26
22-9
11-20
18-19
22-16
23-19
15-27
14-9
15-29
25-16
20-16
28-30
153.0Avg total
76.0Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)76.371.8148.1+4.675%
Season at home (6)83.075.3158.3+7.783%
Season away (6)69.768.2137.8+1.567%
Last 10 (10)76.077.0153.0-1.040%
Last 5 (5)83.679.6163.2+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.188.0169.1-6.925%
vs Similar (9)79.383.3162.7-4.022%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)75.570.3145.8+5.283%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: -1.4-1.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: -1.4-1.4
PesaroOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H14/10
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A22/10
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H29/10
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A05/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H12/11
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A19/11
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H03/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A09/12
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H17/12
Lega A
Cantu
#9
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A26/12
Lega A
78.7Avg total
37.3Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.241.079.2-2.830%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.037.172.1-2.133%-
Last 30 away (15)41.444.986.3-3.527%-
Last 10 (10)37.341.478.7-4.130%-
Last 5 (5)38.440.078.4-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)38.541.479.9-2.826%-
vs Similar (10)38.540.879.3-2.340%-
vs Weaker (1)29.036.065.0-7.00%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#16
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A30/11
Euroleague
Reggiana
#11
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A03/12
Lega A
Khimki M.
#8
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H07/12
Euroleague
Torino
#12
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A10/12
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#5
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A15/12
Euroleague
Cantu
#9
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H17/12
Lega A
Baskonia
#7
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H20/12
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A22/12
Euroleague
Brescia
#3
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H26/12
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#14
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H29/12
Euroleague
76.6Avg total
40.3Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.638.276.8+0.553%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.138.577.6+0.653%-
Last 30 away (13)38.037.875.8+0.254%-
Last 10 (10)40.336.376.6+4.070%-
Last 5 (5)45.238.683.8+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)42.842.585.2+0.250%-
vs Similar (9)35.638.874.3-3.222%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)38.235.873.9+2.475%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.220.0
48.5%
51.6%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.06.6
28.7%
34.9%19.8
🏀 Free throws19.413.9
71.6%
73.0%13.9
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.016.7
53.9%
51.6%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.4
33.3%
34.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws21.016.6
79.0%
73.0%16.6
They take 56.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Jan 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LLLWLWLLLL
Olimpia Milano
LWLWWLLLWL
#15
League position
#1
-10.2
Net rating
-1.4
100.5
Offensive rating
105.6
110.7
Defensive rating
107.0
46.6%
Effective FG%
52.1%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
17.3%
Turnover %
18.4%
33.3%
Off. rebound %
24.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.37
28.7%
3-point %
33.3%
45.5%
Assist %
60.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence100.5 · 105.6Defence110.7 · 107.0Shooting46.6% · 52.1%3-point %28.7% · 33.3%Ball care17.3% · 18.4%Off. rebounds33.3% · 24.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Pesaro   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Pesaro wins
8
Olimpia Milano wins
DateGameScore
30/04/17Pesaro v Olimpia Milano90-79
02/01/17Olimpia Milano v Pesaro88-84
17/04/16Olimpia Milano v Pesaro82-78
23/12/15Pesaro v Olimpia Milano69-66
23/03/15Pesaro v Olimpia Milano61-84
30/11/14Olimpia Milano v Pesaro96-61
31/03/14Olimpia Milano v Pesaro95-64
16/12/13Pesaro v Olimpia Milano73-94
06/04/13Olimpia Milano v Pesaro93-65
10/12/12Pesaro v Olimpia Milano70-72
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/17ACantu73-92
17/12/17HAvellino78-83
09/12/17APistoia83-86
03/12/17HVarese74-71
19/11/17ATrento74-91
12/11/17HBrindisi80-75
05/11/17ACapo d'Orlando56-73
29/10/17HCremona68-79
22/10/17ATorino79-88
14/10/17HVirtus Bologna75-81
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/17HCrvena zvezda88-91
26/12/17HBrescia74-71
22/12/17AUnicaja71-74
20/12/17HBaskonia92-85
17/12/17HCantu93-77
15/12/17APanathinaikos72-80
10/12/17ATorino59-71
07/12/17HKhimki M.71-77
03/12/17AReggiana72-71
30/11/17AAnadolu Efes68-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL25%
HomeLLWWL33%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %25%33%17%
Points / game76.074.277.8
Allowed / game82.277.087.5
Point differential-6.2-2.8-9.7
Avg total158.2151.2165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW75%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayWLWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %75%83%67%
Points / game76.383.069.7
Allowed / game71.875.368.2
Point differential+4.6+7.7+1.5
Avg total148.1158.3137.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %8%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia1310377%78.670.8+7.8
2 Olimpia Milano129375%76.371.8+4.6
3 Avellino129375%81.076.5+4.5
4 Venezia128467%81.781.2+0.4
5 Torino138562%79.477.8+1.6
6 Sassari127558%83.879.5+4.3
7 Trento137654%77.576.6+0.8
8 Virtus Bologna126650%81.077.1+3.9
9 Cremona136746%80.880.2+0.7
10 Cantu136746%85.186.6-1.5
11 Capo d'Orlando125742%67.276.7-9.5
12 Reggiana135838%73.574.7-1.2
13 Varese124833%74.872.9+1.8
14 Pistoia124833%75.681.8-6.2
15 Pesaro123925%76.082.2-6.2
16 Brindisi1221017%74.481.0-6.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro1318201364
Olimpia Milano2017152678
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