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Esgueira vs Portimonense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 85-68
26-15 28-16 16-20 15-17
Position#9
Record1-10
FormLLWLL
Points / game72.6
Allowed / game87.5
vs
Position#11
Record5-6
FormLLWLL
Points / game72.1
Allowed / game77.6
PortugalLPBRound 12· Pavilhão Clube do Povo de Esgueira
Other2023-24
Meetings · Esgueira v Portimonense
20 Mar 2027
ESGU v PORT
upcoming
06 Jan 2024
ESGU85
PORT68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Esgueira winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Portimonense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EsgueiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEsgueira
Date
Competition
Vitoria
#7
L
66-96
66
96
-30
49avg 64
H21/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
82-106
82
106
-24
66avg 64
A27/10
LPB
Imortal
#8
L
63-69
63
69
-6
50avg 64
A05/11
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
L
71-79
71
79
-8
57avg 64
A11/11
Taca da Liga
Galomar
#10
W
84-74
84
74
+10
71avg 64
H18/11
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
71-75
71
75
-4
56avg 64
A25/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
68-105
68
105
-37
56avg 64
H02/12
LPB
Vitoria
#13
W
78-66
78
66
+12
79avg 64
H09/12
Taca de Portugal
Lusitania
#12
L
83-89
83
89
-6
76avg 64
A16/12
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
L
72-80
72
80
-8
63avg 64
H28/12
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
13-23
22-30
14-26
15-23
21-28
15-27
31-28
15-13
13-14
13-22
22-20
21-16
20-26
13-24
17-13
28-21
24-16
16-16
16-21
20-15
15-28
19-18
17-14
18-24
9-33
21-27
20-21
23-29
22-7
13-16
20-14
21-16
14-32
25-21
23-20
18-21
12-19
23-21
19-19
157.7Avg total
73.8Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)72.687.5160.2-14.99%
Season at home (5)70.485.8156.2-15.420%
Season away (6)74.589.0163.5-14.50%
Last 10 (10)73.883.9157.7-10.120%
Last 5 (5)74.483.0157.4-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)69.492.6162.0-23.10%
vs Similar ◀ (15)79.781.3160.9-1.640%
vs Weaker (4)83.281.0164.2+2.275%
This opponent (Portimonense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PortimonensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPortimonense
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#5
W
62-58
62
58
+4
59avg 69
H28/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
73-94
73
94
-21
68avg 69
A05/11
LPB
Vitoria
#7
L
79-82
79
82
-3
72avg 69
H12/11
Taca da Liga
Lusitania
#12
W
67-64
67
64
+3
64avg 69
H18/11
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
L
74-81 OT
74
81
-7
no box
A25/11
LPB
Vitoria
#7
L
64-72
64
72
-8
52avg 69
A01/12
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
75-88
75
88
-13
68avg 69
A03/12
LPB
Inedsport
#16
W
104-63
104
63
+41
90avg 69
A10/12
Taca de Portugal
Oliveirense
#3
L
68-69
68
69
-1
61avg 69
H16/12
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
67-100
67
100
-33
55avg 69
A30/12
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-22
24-13
8-11
21-12
15-26
15-21
15-24
28-23
20-19
15-27
22-24
22-12
19-19
16-16
9-15
23-14
17-19
16-15
17-11
19-24
11-25
15-14
24-18
14-15
19-21
15-18
15-34
26-15
32-17
17-12
28-24
27-10
19-13
16-22
17-19
16-15
19-22
16-28
16-35
16-15
150.4Avg total
73.3Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)72.177.6149.7-5.545%
Season at home (5)72.468.6141.0+3.880%
Season away (6)71.885.2157.0-13.317%
Last 10 (10)73.377.1150.4-3.830%
Last 5 (5)75.678.4154.0-2.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)71.481.3152.7-9.832%
vs Similar ◀ (8)80.072.0152.0+8.0100%
vs Weaker (2)86.076.5162.5+9.5100%
This opponent (Esgueira) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -6.3-6.3Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +5.7+5.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -6.3-6.3Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +5.7+5.7
EsgueiraPortimonense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vitoria
#7
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H21/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A27/10
LPB
Imortal
#8
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A05/11
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A11/11
Taca da Liga
Galomar
#10
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H18/11
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A25/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
27-57
27
57
-30
H02/12
LPB
Vitoria
#13
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H09/12
Taca de Portugal
Lusitania
#12
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A16/12
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H28/12
LPB
78.0Avg total
35.9Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.642.881.3-4.227%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.942.182.9-1.247%-
Last 30 away (15)36.343.579.7-7.27%-
Last 10 (10)35.942.178.0-6.230%-
Last 5 (5)34.444.879.2-10.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)33.144.177.2-11.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)40.940.981.9+0.040%-
vs Weaker (4)41.843.885.5-2.025%-
This opponent (Portimonense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PortimonenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#5
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H28/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A05/11
LPB
Vitoria
#7
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H12/11
Taca da Liga
Lusitania
#12
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H18/11
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A25/11
LPB
Vitoria
#7
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A01/12
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A03/12
LPB
Inedsport
#16
W
49-29
49
29
+20
A10/12
Taca de Portugal
Oliveirense
#3
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H16/12
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A30/12
LPB
73.4Avg total
34.5Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.238.175.3-0.940%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.137.674.7-0.540%-
Last 30 away (15)37.238.675.8-1.440%-
Last 10 (10)34.538.973.4-4.410%-
Last 5 (5)35.838.474.2-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)34.340.774.9-6.416%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)41.532.974.4+8.688%-
vs Weaker (2)41.539.080.5+2.550%-
This opponent (Esgueira) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Esgueiratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esgueira: 73.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.021.3
48.4%
51.0%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.66.1
29.6%
33.5%18.3
🏀 Free throws19.812.6
63.6%
69.3%12.6
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Portimonensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Portimonense: 73.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.220.2
54.3%
51.0%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.86.6
26.6%
33.5%19.8
🏀 Free throws18.413.1
71.2%
69.3%13.1
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Esgueira
LLWLLWLLLL
Portimonense
LLWLLLWLLW
#9
League position
#11
-12.6
Net rating
-3.3
96.7
Offensive rating
96.7
109.3
Defensive rating
100.0
47.1%
Effective FG%
48.5%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
16.4%
Turnover %
21.6%
25.3%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.30
29.6%
3-point %
26.6%
51.8%
Assist %
66.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence96.7 · 96.7Defence109.3 · 100.0Shooting47.1% · 48.5%3-point %29.6% · 26.6%Ball care16.4% · 21.6%Off. rebounds25.3% · 28.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Esgueira   ■ Portimonense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Esgueira wins
1
Portimonense wins
DateGameScore
23/09/23Portimonense v Esgueira85-78
Esgueiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/23HCD Povoa72-80
16/12/23ALusitania83-89
09/12/23HVitoria78-66
02/12/23HSporting CP68-105
25/11/23AOvarense71-75
18/11/23HGalomar84-74
11/11/23ACD Povoa71-79
05/11/23AImortal63-69
27/10/23AFC Porto82-106
21/10/23HVitoria66-96
Portimonenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23ABenfica67-100
16/12/23HOliveirense68-69
10/12/23AInedsport104-63
03/12/23AFC Porto75-88
01/12/23AVitoria64-72
25/11/23ACD Povoa74-81 OT
18/11/23HLusitania67-64
12/11/23HVitoria79-82
05/11/23ASporting CP73-94
28/10/23HOvarense62-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Esgueira
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL9%
HomeLLWLL20%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %9%20%0%
Points / game72.670.474.5
Allowed / game87.585.889.0
Point differential-14.9-15.4-14.5
Avg total160.2156.2163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Portimonense
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL45%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%80%17%
Points / game72.172.471.8
Allowed / game77.668.685.2
Point differential-5.5+3.8-13.3
Avg total149.7141.0157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %9%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto1110191%88.573.7+14.7
2 Sporting CP1210283%93.982.2+11.8
3 Oliveirense97278%80.474.9+5.6
4 Benfica118373%89.366.9+22.4
5 Ovarense127558%76.978.8-1.8
6 Vitoria126650%80.880.1+0.7
7 Portimonense115645%72.177.6-5.5
8 CD Povoa125742%80.885.8-5.0
9 Imortal125742%76.982.1-5.2
10 Galomar123925%73.680.0-6.4
11 Lusitania111109%73.688.3-14.6
12 Esgueira111109%72.687.5-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Esgueira2628161585
Portimonense1516201768
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