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Ovarense vs Esgueira Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 75-71
15-20 28-15 18-19 14-17
Position#5
Record3-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game80.4
vs
Position#9
Record1-6
FormLLLLW
Points / game72.1
Allowed / game87.7
PortugalLPBRound 8· Arena de Ovar
Other2023-24
Meetings · Ovarense v Esgueira
05 Dec 2026
OVAR v ESGU
upcoming
04 Oct 2025
OVAR81
ESGU75
01 Mar 2025
OVAR94
ESGU68
04 Jan 2025
OVAR81
ESGU89
25 Nov 2023
OVAR75
ESGU71
15 Oct 2022
OVAR94
ESGU84
25 Apr 2021
OVAR73
ESGU63
23 Apr 2021
OVAR75
ESGU82
13 Dec 2020
OVAR71
ESGU99
27 Mar 2020
OVAR v ESGU
upcoming
10 Nov 2018
OVAR77
ESGU85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ovarense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Esgueira winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OvarensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOvarense
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
44-115
44
115
-71
no box
H25/05
LPB
Vitoria
#7
L
76-79
76
79
-3
65avg 64
A23/09
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
81-85
81
85
-4
74avg 64
H30/09
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
85-82
85
82
+3
74avg 64
A07/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
W
92-91 OT
92
91
+1
no box
H14/10
Taca da Liga
CD Povoa
#6
W
95-93
95
93
+2
96avg 64
H21/10
LPB
Portimonense
#11
L
58-62
58
62
-4
46avg 64
A28/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
W
79-78
79
78
+1
74avg 64
H04/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
60-111
60
111
-51
44avg 64
A11/11
Taca da Liga
Benfica
#1
L
52-84
52
84
-32
42avg 64
A18/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-28
7-36
14-31
7-20
16-28
18-20
24-13
18-18
15-12
17-23
20-28
29-22
18-22
18-21
28-12
21-27
17-21
18-23
27-17
19-20
31-23
20-19
22-24
22-27
22-9
13-24
11-8
12-21
24-22
22-12
14-25
19-19
22-32
14-16
10-22
14-41
17-23
9-19
3-29
23-13
160.2Avg total
72.2Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)75.180.4155.6-5.343%
Season at home (3)85.085.3170.3-0.367%
Season away (4)67.876.8144.5-9.025%
Last 10 (10)72.288.0160.2-15.840%
Last 5 (5)68.885.6154.4-16.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)69.285.0154.2-15.824%
vs Similar (5)76.075.6151.6+0.460%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)78.580.8159.2-2.250%
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EsgueiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEsgueira
Date
Competition
Vitoria
#6
L
99-101
99
101
-2
no box
A06/05
LPB
Portimonense
#11
L
78-85
78
85
-7
68avg 63
A23/09
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
62-74
62
74
-12
56avg 63
H30/09
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
70-110
70
110
-40
62avg 63
A07/10
LPB
Galomar
#8
W
87-74
87
74
+13
83avg 63
H14/10
Taca da Liga
Vitoria
#7
L
66-96
66
96
-30
49avg 63
H21/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
82-106
82
106
-24
66avg 63
A27/10
LPB
Imortal
#8
L
63-69
63
69
-6
50avg 63
A05/11
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
L
71-79
71
79
-8
57avg 63
A11/11
Taca da Liga
Galomar
#10
W
84-74
84
74
+10
71avg 63
H18/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-22
27-27
38-28
21-24
16-20
17-22
14-15
31-28
17-15
13-19
13-20
19-20
15-29
25-13
10-38
20-30
22-22
24-14
16-23
25-15
17-17
13-23
22-30
14-26
15-23
21-28
15-27
31-28
15-13
13-14
13-22
22-20
21-16
20-26
13-24
17-13
28-21
24-16
16-16
16-21
163.0Avg total
76.2Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)72.187.7159.9-15.614%
Season at home (3)70.781.3152.0-10.733%
Season away (4)73.292.5165.8-19.20%
Last 10 (10)76.286.8163.0-10.620%
Last 5 (5)73.284.8158.0-11.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)65.194.6159.7-29.40%
vs Similar (19)78.079.9157.9-1.942%
vs Weaker (3)83.378.3161.7+5.0100%
This opponent (Ovarense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -5.7-5.7Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: -7.3-7.3Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: -0.9-0.9
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -5.7-5.7Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: -7.3-7.3Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: -0.9-0.9
OvarenseEsgueira
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OvarenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
23-64
23
64
-41
H25/05
LPB
Vitoria
#7
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A23/09
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H30/09
LPB
Lusitania
#12
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A07/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H14/10
Taca da Liga
CD Povoa
#6
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H21/10
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A28/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H04/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A11/11
Taca da Liga
Benfica
#1
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A18/11
LPB
78.7Avg total
35.4Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.741.075.7-6.330%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.940.275.1-5.443%-
Last 30 away (16)34.641.876.3-7.219%-
Last 10 (10)35.443.378.7-7.930%-
Last 5 (5)38.839.878.6-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)33.742.175.8-8.419%-
vs Similar (5)37.238.075.2-0.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)37.039.276.2-2.250%-
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vitoria
#6
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A06/05
LPB
Portimonense
#11
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A23/09
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H30/09
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A07/10
LPB
Galomar
#8
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H14/10
Taca da Liga
Vitoria
#7
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H21/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A27/10
LPB
Imortal
#8
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A05/11
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A11/11
Taca da Liga
Galomar
#10
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H18/11
LPB
77.6Avg total
37.6Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.742.581.2-3.827%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.242.384.5-0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)35.142.777.9-7.67%-
Last 10 (10)37.640.077.6-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)37.439.476.8-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)32.743.676.3-10.90%-
vs Similar (19)40.341.281.5-0.837%-
vs Weaker (3)44.042.386.3+1.733%-
This opponent (Ovarense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ovarensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ovarense: 72.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.517.1
42.3%
51.0%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.17.9
34.1%
33.5%23.6
🏀 Free throws22.814.6
64.3%
69.3%14.6
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Esgueiratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esgueira: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.620.8
52.5%
51.0%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.16.2
25.8%
33.5%18.7
🏀 Free throws19.712.6
63.8%
69.3%12.6
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/9 games with a box score before 25 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ovarense
LLWLWWWLLL
Esgueira
WLLLLWLLLL
#5
League position
#9
-15.6
Net rating
-16.1
95.5
Offensive rating
97.5
111.1
Defensive rating
113.6
45.5%
Effective FG%
47.3%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
19.1%
Turnover %
16.7%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
26.4%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.1%
3-point %
25.8%
69.5%
Assist %
56.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence95.5 · 97.5Defence111.1 · 113.6Shooting45.5% · 47.3%3-point %34.1% · 25.8%Ball care19.1% · 16.7%Off. rebounds29.3% · 26.4%Free throws0.36 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Ovarense   ■ Esgueira
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Ovarense wins
3
Esgueira wins
DateGameScore
04/01/23Esgueira v Ovarense70-87
15/10/22Ovarense v Esgueira94-84
02/05/21Esgueira v Ovarense85-92 OT
30/04/21Esgueira v Ovarense92-103
25/04/21Ovarense v Esgueira73-63
23/04/21Ovarense v Esgueira75-82
18/03/21Esgueira v Ovarense73-85
13/12/20Ovarense v Esgueira71-99
07/12/19Esgueira v Ovarense87-59
02/02/19Esgueira v Ovarense75-86
Ovarenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/23ABenfica52-84
11/11/23AOliveirense60-111
04/11/23HOliveirense79-78
28/10/23APortimonense58-62
21/10/23HCD Povoa95-93
14/10/23HCD Povoa92-91 OT
07/10/23ALusitania85-82
30/09/23HSporting CP81-85
23/09/23AVitoria76-79
25/05/23HBenfica44-115
Esgueiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/23HGalomar84-74
11/11/23ACD Povoa71-79
05/11/23AImortal63-69
27/10/23AFC Porto82-106
21/10/23HVitoria66-96
14/10/23HGalomar87-74
07/10/23ABenfica70-110
30/09/23HOliveirense62-74
23/09/23APortimonense78-85
06/05/23AVitoria99-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ovarense
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL43%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%67%25%
Points / game75.185.067.8
Allowed / game80.485.376.8
Point differential-5.3-0.3-9.0
Avg total155.6170.3144.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Esgueira
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW14%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %14%33%0%
Points / game72.170.773.2
Allowed / game87.781.392.5
Point differential-15.6-10.7-19.2
Avg total159.9152.0165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto660100%90.771.2+19.5
2 Sporting CP87188%94.083.0+11.0
3 Oliveirense65183%78.571.8+6.7
4 Portimonense75271%74.175.0-0.9
5 Benfica85362%88.170.0+18.1
6 CD Povoa84450%84.484.1+0.2
7 Ovarense73443%75.180.4-5.3
8 Vitoria83538%78.183.8-5.6
9 Imortal83538%72.080.8-8.8
10 Galomar82625%76.280.6-4.4
11 Esgueira71614%72.187.7-15.6
12 Lusitania7070%74.086.9-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ovarense1528181475
Esgueira2015191771
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